AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year ended June 2018 AGENDA Key features and results history Group financial results Business unit performance Prospects Questions and answers KEY FEATURES


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SLIDE 1

AVI Limited presentation to shareholders & analysts for the year ended June 2018

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SLIDE 2

AGENDA

 Key features and results history  Group financial results  Business unit performance  Prospects  Questions and answers

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SLIDE 3

KEY FEATURES

 Profit growth in a challenging demand environment;  Carefully balanced value versus volume across key categories;  Revenue up 1,9% to R13,44 billion;  Gross profit margin recovery in line with easing of Rand driven cost pressures;  Operating profit up 7,0% to R2,55 billion;  Cash generated by operations up 16,1% to R2,69 billion;  Capital expenditure to grow and sustain our businesses of R419,9 million;  Return on capital employed increased to 28,7%;  Headline earnings per share up 7,0% to 543,1 cents;  Final dividend of 260 cents per share, total normal dividend up 7,4% to 435

cents per share;

 Special dividend of 250 cents per share

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SLIDE 4

RESULTS HISTORY

 Compound annual growth rate from F05 to F18 of 14,6%  Operating profit margin increased from 9,9% in F05 to 19,0% in F18

Operating profit

199 210 237 254 289 330 400 416 398 442 545 662 735 793 105 127 157 186 193 233 262 329 388 475 533 609 666 705 84 6 117 160 238 74 91 179 166 245 248 331 389 425 47 51 60 73 95 105 133 156 167 172 198 218 241 250

  • 115

147 133 101 151 236 308 410 388 404 345 366 395 435 509 718 806 915 892 1 121 1 386 1 529 1 722 1 929 2 165 2 398 2 568

  • 200

400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800 2 000 2 200 2 400 2 600 F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18 R million Entyce Snackworks I&J Personal Care Footwear and Apparel

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SLIDE 5

RESULTS HISTORY

 Sustained returns including increased capital expenditure to support growth and efficiency  Capital expenditure of R4,75 billion over last 8 years

Return on capital employed

22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18 R million Net operating profit after tax Average capital employed ROCE (%)

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SLIDE 6

RESULTS HISTORY

 Sustained strong conversion of earnings into cash

Cash conversion

201.8 230.6 226.6 550.0 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 3 500 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18 R million EBITDA Cash generated by operations after working capital changes Cash to EBITDA

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SLIDE 7

RESULTS HISTORY

 Sustained investment in efficiency, capacity and retail stores

Cash generation

196 209 224 264 256 325 410 541 567 424 748 622 546 420 108 101 260 284 227 237 92 363 454 595 502 530 956 699 812 1074 1524 480 436 460 356 619 780 1 005 1 043 1 097 1 488 1 548 1 693 1 620 1 944

  • 200

400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800 2 000 2 200 2 400 F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18 R million Capex I&J vessel replacements Free Cash Flow

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SLIDE 8

RESULTS HISTORY

Dividend yield

 Based on share price at end of each year (R108,20 at end June 2018)  Total dividend yield includes payments out of share premium and special dividends  Excludes share buy-backs

2.8% 3.8% 3.7% 6.2% 5.2% 4.5% 4.0% 4.1% 4.4% 4.9% 4.1% 4.3% 4.0% 7.7% 12.0% 6.4% 7.4% 6.5% 4.5% 6.3% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18 Normal dividend yield Total dividend yield

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SLIDE 9

RESULTS HISTORY

 Effective payout ratio from F05 = 94% of headline earnings  R7,42 billion returned to shareholders in last 5 years

Returns to shareholders

550.0 116.0 166.0 229.4 238.6 262.8 301.1 373.0 620.7 809.7 953.5 1 064.5 1 197.4 1 322.0 573.7 201.8 230.6 226.6 550.0 638.8 319.1 269.9 852.6 819.8 317.8 166.0 229.4 788.3 262.8 301.1 869.5 620.7 1 359.7 953.5 1 703.3 1 197.4 1 322.0 2 246.1

  • 500

1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 F05 F06 F07 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18 R million Normal dividend paid Special dividend paid Share Buyback Final dividend declared Special divdend declared

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SLIDE 10

Group Financial Results

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SLIDE 11

F18 F17 Rm Rm %

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Income statement Revenue 13 437,5 13 184,6 1,9 Gross profit 5 939,5 5 762,2 3,1

Gross profit margin % 44,2 43,7 1,1

Selling and administrative expenses (3 387,0) (3 376,9) 0,3 Operating profit 2 552,5 2 385,3 7,0

Operating profit margin % 19,0 18,1 5,0

Net financing cost (126,7) (152,4) 16,9) Share of Joint Ventures 56,3 63,2 (10,9) Capital items (136,6) (127,5) Effective tax rate % 28,6 28,4 Headline earnings 1 773,9 1 646,0 7,8

HEPS (cps) 543,1 507,7 7,0

Return on capital employed % 28,7 28,0

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SLIDE 12

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

 Higher selling prices mainly reflect the benefit of price increases taken in F17  Volume pressure in key categories in constrained and competitive environment

12 500 13 000 13 500 14 000 13 185 439

  • 186

13 438 F17 Price Volume F18 R million

Movement in group revenue

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SLIDE 13

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

44.9% 45.4% 44.6% 43.1% 43.8% 43.9% 43.7% 44.2% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18

 Stronger Rand and benign cost inflation across the basket of raw materials provided relief

from accumulated cost pressure

 Few price increases in F18  Ongoing focus on cost and efficiencies to protect gross profit margin  Margin pressure in H2 from constrained environment

Gross profit margin history

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SLIDE 14

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

2 250 2 300 2 350 2 400 2 450 2 500 2 550 2 600 2 385 58 39 36 9 40

  • 21

7 2 553 F17 Entyce Snackworks I&J Personal Care Spitz Green Cross Other F18 R million

 Entyce: Margin recovery and cost savings offset by tea and coffee volume decline  Snackworks: Margin recovery and cost savings offset by biscuit volume decline  I&J: Improved fishing, price increases and cost savings offset by stronger Rand  Personal Care: Market share gains by owned brands and lower input costs from the stronger

Rand offset by lower export volumes

 Spitz: Higher sales volumes in H1, margin recovery from the stronger Rand and savings from

restructuring

 Green Cross: Suboptimal ranges in highly competitive mid-priced footwear market and

wholesale decline

Operating profit 7,0% up

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SLIDE 15

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

 Includes advertising and promotions, co-operative expenditure with customers and

marketing department costs

 Total expenditure for F18 of R783m compared to R760m in F17  Spend focused on core brands, new product launches and line extensions  Discounting favoured to support sales volumes in constrained environment

7.9% 7.5% 5.8% 7.6% 8.4% 4.6% 15.5% 1.6% 7.8% 7.1% 5.1% 7.7% 8.5% 4.1% 15.3% 1.8% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% F18 F17

* Excludes Coty

Marketing expenditure

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SLIDE 16

F18 F17 Rm Rm %

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Cash generation and utilisation Cash generated by operations 2 691,9 2 318,6 16,1

Working capital to revenue % 24,5 22,2 10,4

Capital expenditure 419,9 545,6 (23,0) Net debt 1 269,8 1 444,1 Net debt / capital employed % 19,8 22,9

 Strong conversion of earnings to cash  Working capital ratio increased due to debtors payments deferred to first business day in

July

 Net debt / capital employed adjusted for short term debtors build = 16,0%

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SLIDE 17

Dividends

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Interim dividend - cps 175 162 8,0 Final dividend - cps 260 243 7,0 Normal dividend - cps 435 405 7,4

Dividend yield - %* 4,0 4,3

Special dividend - cps 250

  • Total dividend - cps

685 405 69,1

Total dividend yield - %* 6,3 4,3

Normal dividend cover ratio 1,25 1,25 Closing share price - cps 10 820 9 500

* Calculated using the closing share price at 30 June

F18 F17 %

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SLIDE 18

Capital expenditure and depreciation

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

 Sustained investment in manufacturing capacity, efficiency and retail stores  F18 decrease in capex due to timing of approvals

108 101 260 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18

  • 2.00
4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00
  • 100

200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1 000

F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18

R million

Capital expenditure I&J vessel replacement Depreciation charge

532 283 849 308 882 420 394 541 217 347 546 388 567 256

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SLIDE 19

Key capital projects spend summary

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

F18 F19 Actual Planned Rm Rm Tea packaging line replacements and upgrades 2

14

Rooibos upgrade project

  • 73

Biscuit line capacity and process improvements 119

92

I&J wet vessel replacement

  • 40

I&J vessel dry-docks and upgrades 25

46

I&J processing plant replacements and upgrades 13

32

Abalone farm expansion and upgrades 27

12

Indigo distribution centre upgrade 17

29

Retail store additions and refurbishments 36 57 Alternative water supply 25

  • 264

395

Total capital expenditure 420

653

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SLIDE 20

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

September 2018 to December 2018 January 2019 to June 2019 July 2019 to December 2019 % Cover % Cover % Cover USD imports 92% 53% 1% EUR imports 89% 57% 1% EUR exports 59% 62% 17%

Foreign exchange hedges

 Consistent hedging philosophy provides stability to manage gross margins  I&J export rates secured at better levels than F18  Recent Rand weakness will impact import costs in H2 F19

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SLIDE 21

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

I&J BBBEE shareholding extension

 BBBEE shareholders remain invested through next long term rights application process  Guaranteed minimum value accruing to BBBEE partners of R106,8 million  Based on calculation as at initial maturity date  Opportunity for further value, depending on I&J’s performance  Cash flows:  Part payment of R65 million in F18;  Balance on maturity

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SLIDE 22

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Impact of new accounting standards

 New standards implemented as of 1 July 2018  IFRS 15 – Revenue  Reclassification between revenue, cost of sales and selling and administrative costs  Lower gross profit and gross profit margin %  No impact on operating profit or earnings  IFRS 9 – Financial instruments  No impact on operating profit or earnings  Small increase in debtors impairment loss allowance charged directly to opening

retained earnings in F19

 IFRS 16 – Leases  Estimated increase in operating profit of R40 million and earnings of R7 million in

F19

 Material new items raised on balance sheet – right-of-use assets and lease liabilities  Lease payments change from operating cash flows to financing / interest cash flows

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SLIDE 23

F18 IFRS 15 IFRS 16 F18 Presented Reclassification Adjustments* Revised Rm Rm Rm Rm

GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS

Illustrative impact of new accounting standards

Revenue 13 437,5 (412,2) - 13 025,3 Cost of sales (7 498,0) (63,4) 12,9 (7 548,5) Gross profit 5 939,5 (475,6) 12,9 5 476,8

Gross profit margin % 44,2 42,1

Selling and administrative expenses (3 387,0) 475,6 30,7 (2 880,7) Operating profit 2 552,5 - 43,6 2 596,1

Operating profit margin % 19,0 19,9

Net financing cost (126,7) - (33,2) (159,9) Share of joint ventures 56,3 - - 56,3 Taxation (708,2) - (2,9) (711,1) Headline earnings 1 773,9 - 7,5 1 781,4

* The estimated F19 adjustments relating to the transition to IFRS 16 has been applied to the F18 results for illustrative purposes

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SLIDE 24

Performance for the year ended 30 June 2018

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SLIDE 25

F18 Rm F17 Rm % Revenue 3 834,1 3 757,1 2,1 Operating profit 792,6 735,1 7,8 Operating profit margin % 20,7 19,6 5,6

 Good growth in tea operating profit despite lower volumes  Price inflation from increases implemented in F17 and F18 in

response to accumulated cost pressure

 Continued raw material cost pressure from rooibos and black tea

partly ameliorated by stronger Rand

 Category volumes under pressure from higher price points

  • Volume growth in H2

 Premium Five Roses and Freshpak brands performed well  Savings from restructuring completed in F17

Income statement

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SLIDE 26

 Coffee profit decrease due to pressure on mixed instant volumes  Overall decrease in sales volumes

  • Aggressive competitor discounting on mixed instant coffee
  • Partly offset by continued growth of Hug In A Mug speciality range

 Price inflation from increases implemented in F17, partly offset by

pressure on mixed instant prices

 Raw material cost pressure ameliorated by stronger Rand  Lower recovery of factory fixed costs at lower production volumes  Savings from restructuring completed in F17  Overall profitability remains healthy

Income statement

F18 Rm F17 Rm % Revenue 3 834,1 3 757,1 2,1 Operating profit 792,6 735,1 7,8 Operating profit margin % 20,7 19,6 5,6

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SLIDE 27

Income statement

 Creamer profit growth despite aggressive competition  Growth in volumes, particularly in H2

  • 800 gram pack size distributed nationally

 Selling prices constrained

  • Higher discounting than last year

 Lower raw material costs, including stronger Rand  Savings from restructuring completed in F17

F18 Rm F17 Rm % Revenue 3 834,1 3 757,1 2,1 Operating profit 792,6 735,1 7,8 Operating profit margin % 20,7 19,6 5,6

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SLIDE 28

% Δ F18 vs F17 Comments

Tea revenue growth 5,4 Volume (1,8) Category decline at higher price points and consumer shift to lower priced product

  • Ave. selling price

7,3 Price increases in F17 and F18 in response to continuing raw material cost pressure Coffee revenue growth (1,6) Volume (4,2) Decrease in mixed instant volumes partly offset by growth in speciality coffee range (Hug In A Mug)

  • Ave. selling price

2,7 Price increases in F17, partly offset by higher levels

  • f discounting on mixed instant coffee

Creamer revenue growth 1,2 Volume 3,2 New pack size fully implemented and effective promotional activity

  • Ave. selling price

(1,9) Higher levels of discounting in competitive environment

Sales volume and selling prices

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SLIDE 29

Market shares – value

 Market share declines due to competitor discounting and constrained

environment

 Focus on long term profit margin and not just market share

32.6% 59.2% 25.2% 10.6% 44.5% 31.0% 57.3% 21.1% 10.6% 40.7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Five Roses Freshpak Frisco Trinco Ellis Brown F17 F18

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SLIDE 30

Cost impact of raw materials and commodities consumed in the period (F18 vs F17):

Raw material costs

 Rooibos cost increase due to constrained supply and export pricing opportunity  Black tea cost increase due to higher underlying commodity prices offset by stronger Rand

  • 16
  • 7
  • 4
  • 2

4 13 27

  • 20
  • 15
  • 10
  • 5

5 10 15 20 25 30 Glucose Arabica Palm oil Robusta / chicory Casien Black tea Rooibos R million

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SLIDE 31

Performance for the year ended 30 June 2018

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SLIDE 32

F19 Rm F18 Rm % Revenue 3 960,8 3 956,2 0,1 Operating profit 705,0 666,4 5,8 Operating profit margin % 17,8 16,8 6,0

Income statement

 Constrained biscuit performance  Volume decline, particularly in the first semester

  • Category under pressure at higher price points
  • Low income consumer shift to lower priced product

 Bakers Rusks launched in H2  Price inflation from increases implemented in F17  Raw material cost pressure offset by stronger Rand and procurement

savings

 Savings from restructuring completed in F17

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SLIDE 33

Income statement

 Strong snacks performance  Slight increase in sales volume due to improved potato supply  Selling price inflation from increases implemented in F17  Cost pressure abated due to stronger Rand and lower raw material

costs

 Savings from restructuring completed in F17

F19 Rm F18 Rm % Revenue 3 960,8 3 956,2 0,1 Operating profit 705,0 666,4 5,8 Operating profit margin % 17,8 16,8 6,0

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SLIDE 34

Sales volume and selling prices

% Δ F18 vs F17 Comments

Biscuits revenue growth (1,7) Volume growth (5,8) Volume decline due to category pressure at higher price points and consumer shift to lower priced product. Lower decrease in H2.

  • Ave. selling prices

4,3 Price increases in F17 Snacks revenue growth 5,9 Volume growth 0,5 Higher potato chip volume supported by improved potato supply, partly offset by decrease in corn snacks due to competitor discounting

  • Ave. selling prices

5,4 Price increases in F17

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SLIDE 35

 Market shares – value

42.2% 15.7% 19.0% 41.2% 14.3% 18.6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Bakers (Sweet) Bakers (Savoury) Willards F17 F18

 Low income consumers shift to lower priced products  Focus on long term profit margin and not just market share

Market share

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SLIDE 36

Cost impact of raw materials and commodities consumed in the period (F18 vs F17):

Raw material costs

  • 46
  • 16
  • 11
  • 4

56

  • 60
  • 40
  • 20

20 40 60 80 Flour Palm oil Maize Sugar Butter R million

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SLIDE 37

Performance for the year ended 30 June 2018

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SLIDE 38

Income statement Income statement

F18 Rm F17 Rm % Revenue 2 487,6 2 362,7 5,3 Operating profit 425,0 389,1 9,2 Operating profit margin % 17,1 16,5 3,6

 Revenue growth from higher selling prices and sales volumes, partly offset

by lower Rand exchange rates achieved on export sales

 Good demand and prices for Cape Hake in export markets  Improved pricing and contribution in domestic market  Sales volumes benefitted from non-repeat of unprotected strike in August

2016 (R25 million profit impact)

 Sound fishing and processing performance – overall catch rates better than

last year

 Costs tightly managed, benefitting from cost saving initiatives  Unrealised fuel hedge and forex gains of R22 million vs unrealised losses of

R17 million in F17

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SLIDE 39

Movement in operating profit

  • 50

100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 389

  • 63

3 25 30 41 425 F17 Currency Fuel Unprotected strike Catch rates Price / volume /

  • ther

F18 R million

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SLIDE 40

Profit history

 Simplot profit negatively impacted by constrained retail environment and lower seafood

trading profits

 Abalone decrease due to stronger Rand, impacting revenue and stock fair value

adjustment

174 178 243 309 351 52 53 69 71 67 47 24 70 73 62 50 150 250 350 450 550 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18 R million Fishing Abalone Simplot 273 255 382 453 480

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SLIDE 41

 Early signs of increasing size mix evident, supporting higher catch rates

Fishing performance

9.4 11.0 11.9 11.0 10.2 9.9 8.5 8.3 8.1 9.0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18 Hake tons per sea day I&J catch rate

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SLIDE 42

 2018 quota reduced by 1 888 tons due to lower TAC  Deep sea rights in place to end 2020  Commencement of renewal process announced  BBBEE shareholding extended  Level 1 BBBEE status achieved

Hake fishing quota (calendar year)

5 000 15 000 25 000 35 000 45 000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Deep sea Inshore

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SLIDE 43

% Δ F18 vs F17 Comments

I&J Domestic revenue growth 9,7 Volume 1,5 Higher retail processed fish volumes

  • Ave. selling prices

8,0 Price increases taken to mitigate cost pressure I&J Export revenue growth (5,4) Volume (0,1) Improved freezer vessel volumes offset by quota decline

  • Ave. selling prices

(5,3) Lower Rand exchange rates achieved, partly

  • ffset by good export market demand and

prices

 Local market share increased to 55,1% from 48,5% in F17

Sales volume and selling prices (hake)

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SLIDE 44

Performance for the year ended 30 June 2018

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SLIDE 45

 Income Statement

Income Statement

F18 Rm F17 Rm % Revenue 1 190,6 1 194,5 (0,3) Operating profit 250,3 241,5 3,6 Operating profit margin % 21,2 20,2 5,0

 Revenue from owned brands grew by 2,7%  Volume growth from core ranges and innovation  Price inflation from increases implemented in F17  Export profit decline  Lower launch activity  Currency crisis in Zimbabwe  Higher price points in some markets due to stronger Rand  Costs tightly managed

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SLIDE 46

 Sale volume and selling prices

Sales volume and selling prices

% Δ F18 vs F17 Comments

Personal Care revenue growth* 2,7 Volume growth 1,7 Volume growth from market share gains in key categories

  • Ave. selling price

1,0 Price increases in F17

* Like-for-like comparison excluding Coty

 Body spray market share improved slightly from 32,0% to 32,5%

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SLIDE 47

Performance for the year ended 30 June 2018

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SLIDE 48

 Marginal footwear volume growth in difficult trading environment  No price increases on core ranges in F18  Stock investment to support top selling styles  Increasing utilisation of lay-by mechanism  Record December performance, offset by muted second half  Gross profit margin benefitted from stronger Rand  Limited growth in trading space – trading density improved in Spitz and Kurt

Geiger stores

 Savings from restructuring initiatives implemented in F17  Strong operating profit growth and margin improvement

F18 Rm F17 Rm % Revenue 1 546,4 1 497,4 3,3 Operating profit 379,6 339,9 11,7 Operating profit margin % 24,6 22,7 8,3

Income statement

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SLIDE 49

% Δ F18 vs F17 Comments

Spitz & KG Footwear revenue growth 3,8 Sales volume 0,1 Strong December performance offset by muted second half

  • Ave. selling price

3,7 Inflation in non core lines and lower volumes sold on end of season sales KG Clothing revenue growth 0,4

Sales volume and selling prices

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SLIDE 50

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18 Margin %

Operating profit % Gross profit %

Gross profit and operating profit margins 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18 R million Operating profit (Rm)

Spitz and Kurt Geiger

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SLIDE 51

5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 55 000 57 500 60 000 62 500 65 000 67 500 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18 m2 R/m2 Trading density (R/m2) Average trading space (m2)

Trading density - Spitz stores

 Opened 1 new Spitz store  Closed 3 Spitz stores in sub-optimal locations  Refurbished 6 Spitz stores

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SLIDE 52

3 600 3 700 3 800 3 900 4 000 4 100 4 200 4 300 10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000 50 000 60 000 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18 m2 R/m2 Trading density (R/m2) Average trading space (m2)

Trading density - Kurt Geiger stores

 No store changes in F18

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SLIDE 53

Performance for the year ended 30 June 2018

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SLIDE 54

 Retail revenue growth of 0,5% from new stores  Like-for-like trading density decreased  Poor performance of Summer 2017 and Winter 2018 range  Increased levels of discounting to move stock  Wholesale revenue decline of 7,5% with continued channel shift to lower

price points and to retail

 Profitability impacted by discounting  Costs tightly managed, savings compared to F17  Trading space  3 new stores in F18  Cash flow positive with material reduction in stock

F18 Rm F17 Rm % Revenue 366,1 371,9 (1,6) Operating profit 6,2 26,8 (76,9) Operating profit margin % 1,7 7,2 (76,4)

Income Statement

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SLIDE 55

INTERNATIONAL

Performance for the year ended 30 June 2018

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SLIDE 56

AVI INTERNATIONAL

 Constrained performance in most markets  Ongoing currency liquidity challenges in Zimbabwe and Angola  Increased competition in Zambia  Price inflation from increases implemented in F17 in response to accumulated

cost pressure

 Profit decline in Biscuits and Personal Care due to aggressive competitor pricing

and less launch activity

 Continued focus on building long-term branded positions

Operating profit history

56 58 76 92 117 129 132 159 194 197 189

  • 50

100 150 200 250 F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 F14 F15 F16 F17 F18 R million

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SLIDE 57

Entyce, Snackworks and Indigo – Non RSA sales

AVI INTERNATIONAL

F18 Rm F17 Rm % International Revenue

992,1 1 016,2 (2,4) % of Grocery and Personal Care brands 11,0 11,4 (3,5)

International Operating Profit

188,6 196,9 (4,2) % of Grocery and Personal Care brands 10,9 12,1 (9,9)

International Operating Profit Margin

19,0 19,4 (2,1) Grocery and Personal Care brands Operating Margin 19,3 18,3 5,5

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SLIDE 58

PROSPECTS FOR F19

 Sustain Entyce, Snackworks and Indigo profit growth in a tough

environment

 Sustain medium term approach through a tough demand cycle  Risk of cost/margin pressure if recent Rand weakness persists  Tactile price/volume management essential

  • Low selling price inflation in constrained environment
  • Potential for continued aggressive discounting by competitors
  • Potential for disruptive consumer pricing by retail partners

 Continued focus on costs and efficiency in flat/declining categories  Innovation to gain market share  Steady building of branded positions in export markets  Continued project activity to improve efficiency and capacity

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SLIDE 59

PROSPECTS FOR F19

 I&J performance dependent on exchange rates and catch rates  Exchange rates hedged at better levels than F18, plus benefits of recent

Rand weakness

 Freezer vessel catch rates showing good improvement  Prospect of continued improvement in size mix  Good demand and prices in export markets  Quota for CY18 down 5% to 36 013 tons  Fuel hedged into H2  Improving abalone sales mix and volumes expected to support revenue

growth

 Water supply risk has been mitigated  Focus on hake long term rights renewal process

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SLIDE 60

PROSPECTS FOR F19

 Spitz Group  Sustain medium term approach through a tough demand cycle  Risk of cost/margin pressure if recent Rand weakness persists  Tactile price/volume management essential

 Strong December promotions planned  Extension of core range to stimulate demand  Evolution of store designs  Incremental space growth and in-cycle refurbishments  Continued focus on costs – rental reductions  Green Cross

  • Oversight of key activities by Spitz management team – planning,

merchandising, retail operations

  • Positive cash flow from stock reduction
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SLIDE 61

AVI GROUP

 Ability to adapt to changing macro environment  Actively reviewing business model in F19  Manage our unique brand portfolio to its long term potential  Target real earnings growth in constrained environment  High dividend yield – maintain normal dividend payout ratio of 80%  Sustain high return on capital employed  Effective capital projects  Leverage domestic manufacturing capability to grow export markets  Return excess cash to shareholders efficiently  Replicate our category market leadership in selected regional markets  Acquisition of high quality brand opportunities if available

Investor proposition

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Questions

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Information slides

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Segmental Revenue Segmental Operating Profit Operating Margin F18 Rm F17 Rm Δ % F18 Rm F17 Rm Δ % F18 % F17 % Food & Beverage Brands

10 282,5 10 076,0 2,1 1 922,6 1 790,6 7,4 18,7 17,8

Entyce Beverages 3 834,1 3 757,1 2,1 792,6 735,1 7,8 20,7 19,6 Snackworks 3 960,8 3 956,2 0,1 705,0 666,4 5,8 17,8 16,8 I&J 2 487,6 2 362,7 5,3 425,0 389,1 9,2 17,1 16,5 Fashion Brands

3 155,0 3 108,6 1,5 645,0 607,5 6,2 20,4 19,5

Personal Care 1 190,6 1 194,5 250,3 241,5 3,6 21,0 20,2 Footwear & Apparel 1 964,4 1 914,1 2,6 394,7 366,0 7,8 20,1 19,1 Corporate

  • Group

13 437,5 13 184,6 1,9 2 552,5 2 385,3 7,0 19,0 18,1

INFORMATION SLIDES

Business unit financial results

(0,3) (15,1) (12,8)

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Segmental Revenue Segmental Operating Profit Operating Margin F18 Rm F17 Rm Δ % F18 Rm F17 Rm Δ % F18 % F17 % Footwear & Apparel

1 964,4 1 914,1 2,6 394,7 366,0 7,8 20,1 19,1

Spitz 1 546,4 1 497,4 3,3 379,6 339,9 11,7 24,6 22,7 Green Cross 366,1 371,9 6,2 26,8 1,7 7,2 Gant 51,9 44,8 15,9 8,9 1 371,4 17,2

INFORMATION SLIDES

Footwear & apparel financial results

(1,6) (1,6) (76,9) (0,7)

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INFORMATION SLIDE

13 000 13 100 13 200 13 300 13 400 13 500 13 185 77 5 125

  • 4

49

  • 6

7 13 438 F17 Entyce Snackworks I&J Personal Care Spitz Green Cross Other F18 R million

Revenue 1,9% up

 Entyce: Price increases, mostly in F17, offset by tea and mixed instant coffee volume decline  Snackworks: Price increases in F17 offset by volume decline in biscuits  I&J: Price increases and volume growth due to improved fishing and non-repeat of unprotected strike

in F17, offset by lower Rand exchange rates achieved on exports

 Personal Care: Decline in Coty revenue offset by sound growth in owned brands  Spitz: Higher average selling prices on non-core ranges and favourable sales mix  Green Cross: Lower volumes and increased levels of discounting offset by higher prices

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INFORMATION SLIDE

 Entyce: Revenue growth and benefit of stronger Rand on imports, offset by lower mixed instant coffee

volumes

 Snackworks: Benefit of stronger Rand on imports and benign raw material cost inflation, offset by

lower biscuit volumes

 I&J: Volume growth and higher selling prices offset by lower Rand exchange rates and higher fuel prices  Personal Care: Benefit of stronger Rand on imports and growth in owned brands  Spitz: Revenue growth and benefit of stronger Rand on imports  Green Cross: Lower sales volumes and higher discounting

5 650 5 700 5 750 5 800 5 850 5 900 5 950 5 762 76 36 12 18 46

  • 16

6 5 940 F17 Entyce Snackworks I&J Personal Care Spitz Green Cross Other F18 R million

Gross profit 3,1% up

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INFORMATION SLIDE

Cash flows

  • 500

1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 3 500 3 031

  • 268
  • 621
  • 420
  • 174
  • 127
  • 1 421

Cash from

  • perations

Working capital and other Taxation Capital expenditure Decrease in net debt Net interest paid Dividends paid R million

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Quota (tons)

CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17 CY18 South African Total Allowable Catch (TAC) 144 742 156 088 155 308 147 500 147 500 140 126 133 120 % change in TAC 9,8 7,8 (0,5) (5,0)

  • (5,0)

(5,0) I&J 40 515 43 689 43 471 41 223 41 245 37 901 36 013 % 28,0 28,0 28,0 27,9 28,0 27,1 27,1

INFORMATION SLIDE

 2018 quota reduced by 1 888 tons due to lower TAC

I&J fishing quota

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Like-for-like metrics*

F18 F17 Number of stores 72 72 Turnover (Rm) 1 281 1 258 Average & closing m2 18 716 18 721 Trading Density (R/m2) 68 435 67 183

Spitz

F18 F17 Number of stores 75 77 Turnover (Rm) 1 329 1 287 Average m2 19 841 19 776 Trading Density (R /m2) 66 960 65 071 Closing m2 19 460 20 037

INFORMATION SLIDE

Trading space and trading density

* Based on stores trading for the entire current and prior periods.

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Like-for-like metrics*

F18 F17 Number of stores 31 31 Turnover (Rm) 210 202 Average & closing m2 3 922 3 842 Trading Density (R/m2) 53 584 52 589

Kurt Geiger

F18 F17 Number of stores 33 33 Turnover (Rm) 217 211 Average m2 4 194 4 135 Trading Density (R /m2) 51 640 50 920 Closing m2 4 194 4 115

INFORMATION SLIDE

Trading space and trading density

* Based on stores trading for the entire current and prior periods.

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Like-for-like metrics*

F18 F17 Number of stores # 38 38 Turnover (Rm) 253 270 Average & closing m2 4 752 4 736 Trading Density (R/m2) 53 155 56 948

Green Cross

F18 F17 Number of stores # 45 42 Turnover (Rm) 276 275 Average m2 5 436 4 925 Trading Density (R /m2) 50 804 55 778 Closing m2 5 536 5 218

INFORMATION SLIDE

Trading space and trading density

* Based on stores trading for the entire current and prior periods # including value stores

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Period End Spitz Kurt Geiger Green Cross

# of stores Closing m² # of stores Closing m² # of stores Closing m² December 2008 13 15,448 3 346 June 2009 56 15,595 3 346 December 2009 56 15,220 3 346 June 2010 56 15,012 3 346 December 2010 57 15,124 7 1,047 June 2011 57 14,991 15 1,910 December 2011 59 15,240 22 2,922 29 3,304 June 2012 61 15,662 26 3,507 30 3,382 December 2012 64 16,586 31 4,113 30 3,382 June 2013 64 16,586 30 3,751 30 3,382 December 2013 67 17,156 32 3,960 30 3,382 June 2014 70 17,813 32 3,880 31 3,517 December 2014 72 18,342 33 3,978 30 3,423 June 2015 74 19,144 29 3,677 30 3,529 December 2015 75 19,376 33 4,156 34 4,097 June 2016 76 19,726 34 4,266 38 4,697 December 2016 77 19,544 33 4,087 39 4,896 June 2017 77 20,037 33 4,115 42 5,218 December 2017 77 20,243 33 4,194 45 5,536 June 2018 75 19,460 33 4,194 45 5,536

INFORMATION SLIDE

Closing number of stores and trading space at the end of each period

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