Vanderbilt University Poll: 2020 Nashville Edition April 9 th May - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Vanderbilt University Poll: 2020 Nashville Edition

April 9th – May 10th, 2020 John G. Geer & Joshua D. Clinton, Co-Directors 1,036 residents of Nashville/Davidson County, TN MoE: +/- 4.3 percentage points

Approval of Nashville’s Elected Officials, Institutions & President Trump

80% 70% 68% 76% 86% 79% 33% 20% 28% 30% 23% 14% 18% 67% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% John Cooper Metro City Council Metro School Board Jim Cooper Metro Nashville Police Adrienne Battle President Trump Approve Disapprove

Approval of Nashville’s Elected Officials, Institutions & President Trump 2019-2020

80% 70% 68% 76% 86% 79% 33% 66% 57% 37% 62% 75% 33% 29% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% John Cooper/David Briley Metro City Council Metro School Board Jim Cooper Metro Nashville Police Adrienne Battle/Shawn Joseph President Trump

% Approval

2020 2019

Approval of Nashville’s Elected Officials, Institutions & President Trump by Party ID

70% 62% 67% 58% 95% 75% 81% 86% 77% 71% 88% 84% 85% 8% 75% 64% 63% 68% 83% 72% 35% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% John Cooper Metro City Council Metro School Board Jim Cooper Metro Nashville Police Adrienne Battle President Trump

% Approval

Republicans Democrats Independents

Nashville, Right Direction or Wrong Track over Time

Do you think things in the Nashville area are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track?

72% 68% 61% 53% 63% 22% 26% 36% 45% 36% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2015 2017 2018 2019 2020 Right direction Wrong track

Nashville, Right Direction or Wrong Track by party ID

Do you think things in the Nashville area are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track?

63% 36% 60% 40% 68% 31% 56% 44% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Right direction Wrong track Total Republican Democrat Independent

“Top Priorities” For Mayor and City Council

68% 65% 57% 50% 42% 39% 31% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

% Rating as “top priority”

Improving public education Taking steps to ensure the city's long-term financial health Dealing with the problems of low-income people Reducing Crime Increasing the amount of affordable housing in Nashville Improving public transportation systems Bringing new companies and jobs to the city

“Top Priorities” For Mayor and City Council 2019- 2020

68% 81% 65% 65% 57% 55% 50% 72% 42% 55% 39% 51% 31% 36% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

% Rating as top priority 2020 2019

Improving public education Taking steps to ensure the city's long-term financial health Dealing with the problems of low-income people Reducing Crime Increasing the amount of affordable housing in Nashville Improving public transportation systems Bringing new companies and jobs to the city

Opinion on Nashville’s Economy Over Time

83% 86% 86% 82% 62% 15% 12% 12% 18% 38% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2015 2017 2018 2019 2020 Very or fairly good Fairly or very bad

Opinion on Nashville’s Population Growth Over Time

50% 65% 75% 78% 79% 44% 32% 23% 20% 20% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2015 2017 2018 2019 2020 Too quickly About the right amount Not quickly enough

Nashvillians Directly Affected by March Tornado

Were you or a family member directly affected by the tornadoes that hit Nashville in early March of this year?

17% 83% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Yes No

Views on Metro Tornado Response

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Metro Nashville government has responded to the needs of people affected by the tornadoes?

85% 14% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Approve Disapprove Need to wait and see/Too early to tell

Citizen Support for Tornado Victims

Have you or any member of your household contributed time or money to organizations assisting victims

• f the tornadoes?

53% 47% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 49% 50% 51% 52% 53% 54% Yes No

Concern for Contracting Coronavirus

How concerned, if at all, are you that you or someone you know will get sick from the coronavirus?

52% 30% 12% 3% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Very concerned Somewhat concerned Not too concerned Not concerend at all This has already happened

Concern for Contracting Coronavirus by Party ID

How concerned, if at all, are you that you or someone you know will get sick from the coronavirus?

Very concerned Somewhat concerned Not too concerned Not concerned at all This has already happened Total 52% 30% 12% 3% 3% Republican 33% 39% 23% 3% 2% Democrat 61% 28% 8% 1% 3% Independent 56% 29% 8% 5% 3% 52% 30% 12% 3% 3% 33% 39% 23% 3% 2% 61% 28% 8% 1% 3% 56% 29% 8% 5% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Support for Policies to Combat the Spread of the Coronavirus by Party ID

Now think about policies that some communities have used to try to prevent the spread of the coronavirus do you think it is a good or bad idea to: a) close schools b) cancel large gatherings such as concerts and sporting events c) restrict travel d) require Nashville residents to stay home except for essential activities or e) close all non-essential businesses?

Cancel school Cancel large gatherings Restrict travel Require residents to stay home Close all non- essential business Total 96% 95% 84% 90% 85% Republican 93% 90% 79% 85% 77% Democrat 100% 99% 92% 98% 96% Independent 94% 93% 77% 84% 79% 96% 95% 84% 90% 85% 93% 90% 79% 85% 77% 100% 99% 92% 98% 96% 94% 93% 77% 84% 79% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%

% reporting good idea

Not enough money for emergencies Job loss or pay cut Savings for education/retirement Not enough money for monthly bills Total 31% 30% 30% 26% Republican 21% 20% 19% 16% Democrat 36% 30% 35% 29% Independent 25% 32% 27% 23% 31% 30% 30% 26% 21% 20% 19% 16% 36% 30% 35% 29% 25% 32% 27% 23% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

% Responding Very Worried

Concern over the Economic Impact of the Coronavirus by Party ID

Some people are concerned about the economic impacts of the coronavirus outbreak, while others are not concerned. Based on your total family income, how worried , if at all are you right now that the coronavirus outbreak will a) leave you without enough money to pay for emergencies like medical care or car repairs b) force you or someone in your household to lose a job, take a pay cut, or reduce hours at work c) leave you without enough savings for things like retirement or your or your child’s education d) leave you without enough to pay your normal monthly bills, like housing, food and transportation

Concern over the Economic Impact of the Coronavirus by Income

Some people are concerned about the economic impacts of the coronavirus outbreak, while others are not concerned. Based on your total family income, how worried , if at all are you right now that the coronavirus outbreak will a) leave you without enough money to pay for emergencies like medical care or car repairs b) Force you or someone in your household to lose a job, take a pay cut, or reduce hours at work c) leave you without enough savings for things like retirement or your or your child’s education d) Leave you without enough to pay your normal monthly bills, like housing, food and transportation Not enough money for emergencies Job loss or pay cut Savings for education/retirement Not enough money for monthly bills Below $15K 48% 43% 49% 44% 15K-29.9K 60% 45% 48% 48% 30K - $44.9K 32% 42% 30% 26% 45K - 74.9K 26% 24% 26% 20% 75K-99.9K 11% 11% 21% 13% 100K + 10% 15% 10% 5% 48% 43% 49% 44% 60% 45% 48% 48% 32% 42% 30% 26% 26% 24% 26% 20% 11% 11% 21% 13% 10% 15% 10% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

% Responding Very Worried

Views on How Metro Nashville Should Deal with Budget Crisis by Party ID

Which ONE of the following comes closest to your opinion about how the Metro Nashville Government should deal with the current budget crisis that has resulted from dealing with the coronavirus outbreak? a)temporarily reduce funding for affordable housing in Nashville by 5%. b)increase each of Nashville’s homeowner’s property taxes by 5%. c)temporarily reduce city funding to Nashville Police by 5%. d)temporarily reduce funding to Nashville’s public schools by 5% Reduce money for affordable housing by 5% Increase property taxes by 5% Reduce funding for police department by 5% Reduce funding for public schools by 5% Total 36% 28% 20% 15% Republican 52% 19% 8% 17% Democrat 27% 37% 23% 12% Independent 36% 24% 22% 18% 36% 28% 20% 15% 52% 19% 8% 17% 27% 37% 23% 12% 36% 24% 22% 18% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Views on How Metro Nashville Should Deal with Budget Crisis by Income

Which ONE of the following comes closest to your opinion about how the Metro Nashville government should deal with the current budget crisis that has resulted from dealing with the coronavirus outbreak? a)temporarily reduce funding for affordable housing in Nashville by 5%. b)Increase each of Nashville’s homeowner’s property taxes by 5%. c)temporarily reduce city funding to Nashville Police by 5%. d)temporarily reduce funding to Nashville’s public schools by 5% Reduce money for affordable housing by 5% Increase property taxes by 5% Reduce funding for police department by 5% Reduce funding for public schools by 5% Below $15K 49% 15% 27% 9% 15K-29.9K 40% 19% 26% 15% 30K - $44.9K 32% 18% 26% 22% 45K - 74.9K 32% 33% 19% 14% 75K-99.9K 37% 37% 15% 12% 100K + 29% 44% 10% 17% 49% 15% 27% 9% 40% 19% 26% 15% 32% 18% 26% 22% 32% 33% 19% 14% 37% 37% 15% 12% 29% 44% 10% 17% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Social Distancing Practices by Party ID

Other than buying groceries or supplies or seeking medical care you needed, how consistently, if at all, do you personally practice social distancing because of the coronavirus

• utbreak? Always, or almost always, most of the time, sometimes, rarely or never?

Always or almost always Most of the time Sometimes Rarely Never Total 74% 20% 4% 1% 1% Republican 76% 14% 8% 0% 2% Democrat 74% 22% 3% 0% 0% Independent 72% 21% 4% 3% 0% 74% 20% 4% 1% 1% 76% 14% 8% 0% 2% 74% 22% 3% 0% 0% 72% 21% 4% 3% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%