UK Centre for Research on Energy Demand: Towards a New Centre Nick Eyre Consultation Meeting London, 28 th September 2017
EUED Champion Grant Objectives: July 2017 to March 2018 To design and develop a bid a new 5-year Centre on energy demand research. Proposal deadline 31 st October 2017 To consult with the energy demand research community and stakeholders on research needs in the context of a changing energy system. To identify new challenges with the research and stakeholder communities. To ensure a smooth transition from the existing EUED Centres to the new Centre.
Process and Timetable Consultation on themes – on-line and face to face July - September August Expressions of interest in theme leadership September/ Centre proposal process: content development and bid October preparation 28 th September Research community and stakeholder meeting 31 st October Bid submission November 2017 Stakeholder interaction to March 2018 Research co-creation Consultation on challenges Planning for knowledge exchange continuity
On line Survey Results
Consensus on the aim of research: enabling the demand side to go ‘further, faster and more flexibly’ Proposed vision for demand side research to go ‘further, …stakeholders express strong support for the faster and more flexibly’ proposed vision What is your opinion of the proposed vision? Aspects of vision Explanation N=201 Strongly agree 52% Beyond low cost technologies Further and minor behavioural changes Agree 43% Increasing the pace of Faster innovation , and more ambitious Neutral 4% policy Disagree 1% Adding fuel switching , demand More flexibly response and storage Strongly disagree 0% SOURCE: Survey ECI | 5
Wide support for a ‘theme and challenge’ structure …stakeholders express support for the proposed The Centre is proposed to be comprised of various inter- structure disciplinary themes and cross-cutting challenges What is your opinion of the thematic structure? N=186 EUED Centre Strongly agree 22% … Theme 1 Theme 2 Theme n Agree 48% Interdisciplinary cross-cutting Neutral 24% research challenges Disagree 5% Strongly disagree 0% SOURCE: Survey ECI | 6
Preferred approach is for themes to be drawn from ‘categories of energy use’ and ‘drivers of change’ …stakeholders prefer to see themes based on a Two approaches are proposed to select the themes of the Centre balanced consideration of both approaches Which approach for organising themes of the Centre would you prefer? Basis for theme Example design N=179 Buildings and thermal comfort Categories of energy use 25% Categories of Energy intensive processes, end-use materials and products Heating and cooling Transport and mobility … Drivers of change 20% Behaviour and social practices Drivers of Demographic/economic changes change Digital revolution Policy design and implementation A combination of both 56% … ECI | 7 SOURCE: Survey
High priority categories of end-use: heating and cooling, transport, buildings, flexibility, ICT and materials What level of priority should be given to each of these following categories of end-use? Very high priority High priority Medium priority Low priority No priority % above high Categories of end-use 100% N= priority (inclusive) 49% 36% 11% Heating and cooling 2%1% 169 85% 2% 2% 53% 31% 12% 3% 169 Transport/ mobility 84% 2% 41% 39% 11% 7% Electricity use and its flexibility 167 80% 2% 50% 29% 19% 1% 167 Buildings/ thermal comfort 79% 1% Information and communication 18% 38% 35% 7% 151 56% systems 3% Energy intensive processes, 3% 29% 24% 36% 9% 161 53% materials and products Devolution, decentralisation and 25% 24% 22% 14% 14% 152 49% localism 23% 21% 28% 13% 15% Others 47 44% 16% 23% 34% 21% 6% Food systems 153 39% ECI | 8 SOURCE: Survey
High priority ‘drivers of change’: Policy, innovation, behavioural change, digital revolution, social practices What level of priority should be given to each of these following drivers of change? Very high priority High priority Medium priority Low priority No priority % above high Drivers of change N= 100% priority (inclusive) 2% 0% Policy design and implementation 161 85% 53% 32% 12% Innovation 45% 27% 19% 6% 3% 161 72% Behavioural change 4% 157 70% 33% 37% 17% 9% 37% 30% 25% 2% Digital revolution 6% 156 67% 2% Changing social practices 41% 24% 26% 7% 167 65% 1% 26% 34% 27% 11% Supply chains and middle actors 157 60% 26% 34% 29% 8% 3% Economic change 148 60% 26% 24% 26% 16% 8% Devolution, decentralisation and localism 160 50% 33% 17% 23% 10% 17% Others 48 50% 13% 29% 35% 21% 3% Demographic change 150 42% SOURCE: Survey ECI | 9
Challenges: Decarbonisation of heat most widely agreed High support for a large number of others What level of priority should be given to each of these following cross-cutting challenges? Very high priority High priority Medium priority Low priority No priority % above high 100% Cross-cutting challenges N= priority (inclusive) Decarbonisation of heat 169 87% 4% 2% 59% 29% 7% Health and other co-benefits 159 65% 2% 25% 40% 25% 8% Equity and justice in the energy transition 163 64% 37% 27% 24% 9% 3% Decarbonisation of freight, aviation and 156 61% 2% shipping 27% 34% 29% 8% Decarbonisation of industrial processes 162 60% 2% 27% 32% 32% 6% Disruptive business models 164 57% 31% 26% 31% 9% 3% Others* 48 56% 44% 13% 17% 13% 15% Energy use in the circular economy 156 54% 25% 30% 32% 11% 3% Automation (e.g. in transport) 155 52% 1% 23% 29% 33% 13% Energy use in the sharing economy 152 49% 19% 30% 32% 16% 4% Brexit impacts 167 42% 15% 27% 33% 17% 8% Impacts of nano-technology and other new 10% 20% 33% 32% 5% 153 30% materials *Other ideas include customer value of smart technologies/IoT, energy policy compatible with ambitious climate policy, radical policy like banning diesel engines, and non- energy policies’ impact on energy demand SOURCE: Survey ECI | 10
Knowledge exchange is highlighted as a priority skill for the coordination node What level of priority should be given to each of these skills and responsibilities of staff at the Centre HQ? Very high priority High priority Medium priority Low priority No priority % above high N= 100% Skills & responsibilities priority (inclusive) 1% 0% 172 Knowledge exchange with UK policy makers 88% 67% 21% 10% 2% 0% Knowledge exchange with UK industry 163 85% 53% 32% 13% Knowledge exchange within the UK research 4% 1% 164 80% 43% 37% 16% community 4% 0% Knowledge exchange internationally 163 78% 32% 46% 18% Event planning and organisation 156 67% 23% 44% 25% 7% 1% 6% 0% Communications (via traditional media) 156 64% 22% 42% 30% 5% 1% Website 151 61% 23% 38% 34% Secondments to business and policy 154 59% 21% 38% 31% 10% 0% 154 Social media 55% 1% 19% 36% 33% 11% Training (in impact activities) 156 47% 21% 26% 37% 14% 3% Other 26 43% 31% 12% 27% 19% 12% ECI | 11 SOURCE: Survey
Context and Research Priorities Context for energy demand Systemic change to low/zero carbon over a few decades Security and affordability remain political priorities Changes in energy use will be critical to system change Context for research priorities Further – going beyond currently cost effective technologies and minor behavioural changes Faster – increasing the pace of innovation, and using more ambitious policy intervention Flexibly – adding fuel switching and demand response to the demand reduction agenda
The Centre’s Aims • to develop and deliver internationally leading research, focussing on energy demand; • to secure impact for UK energy demand research in businesses and policymaking; and • to champion the importance of energy demand, as part of the strategy for transition to a secure and affordable low carbon energy system.
The Centre’s Structure • Themes • 5-year inter-disciplinary research programmes, each led by a Co-I, • domains of energy demand knowledge and drivers of change, • with research questions around going further, faster and flexibly. • Challenges • Major cross-thematic problems, each led by a Co-I, • Fixed term projects. • Flexible Fund • Co-ordination node • Administration • Knowledge exchange
Proposed Themes and Challenges
Aims for today • This morning: feedback from you to the research team on initial plans for Themes and the first challenge. • This afternoon: more open discussion on energy demand research challenges to help inform future research planning.
This morning’s session • Seven break-out groups. Each led by a theme/challenge leader. • Within each theme challenge: • Brief presentation on current draft work plan • Three questions: • Does this make sense? • What critical questions have we missed? • what collaborations and partners ought we to be considering? • Plenary session for theme/challenge leader feedback
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