TransAlta Corporation Investor Presentation April 2017 1 Forward - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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TransAlta Corporation Investor Presentation April 2017 1 Forward - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TransAlta Corporation Investor Presentation April 2017 1 Forward Looking Statements This presentation may include forward-looking statements or information (collectively referred to herein as forward -looking statements) within the meaning


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TransAlta Corporation

Investor Presentation April 2017

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This presentation may include forward-looking statements or information (collectively referred to herein as “forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable securities

  • legislation. All forward-looking statements are based on our beliefs as well as assumptions based on information available at the time the assumptions were made and on

management’s experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions, and expected future developments, as well as other factors deemed appropriate in the

  • circumstances. Forward-looking statements are not facts, but only predictions and generally can be identified by the use of statements that include phrases such as “may”, “will”,

“believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “plan”, “project”, “forecast”, “foresee”, “potential”, “enable”, “continue”, or other comparable terminology. These statements are not guarantees of our future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and other important factors that could cause our actual performance to be materially different from that

  • projected. In particular, this presentation contains forward-looking statements pertaining to our business strategy and goals, including our strategy and position to grow gas-fired and

renewable generation; the anticipated benefits of shifting to a capacity market structure; the repositioning of our capital structure by pursuing project-level debt; anticipated future financial performance, including as it pertains to comparable earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (“EBITDA”), comparable funds from operations (“FFO”), and comparable free cash flow; the timing and the completion and commissioning of projects under development, including the South Hedland power project and its associated costs and benefits; the coal-to-gas conversions, including costs of any such conversions and the anticipated reduction in emissions; development of a pump-storage project at Brazeau, including the anticipated benefits, total investment costs, location of developments, the increase to capacity and the timing of construction; access to low cost growth capital; ability to realize growth opportunities, including brownfield solar and battery sites in Alberta in regard to future growth opportunities and targeted gas and renewable acquisitions in Australia, the United States and Canada; ability to further hedge at prices higher than the current market in Alberta; estimated regulatory environment, including anticipated cost/tonne for carbon emissions; ability to monetize the off-coal transition payment; the generation supply mix in Alberta by 2030; attributes of coal-to-gas conversions, including the anticipated capital costs, investment life, reduction in emissions and operating costs; expectations related to future earnings and cash flow from operating and contracting activities; expectations in respect of financial ratios and targets, including dividend payout ratio; the Corporation’s plans and strategies relating to repositioning its capital structure and strengthening its balance sheet, including the allocation of debt between the Corporation and TransAlta Renewables Inc. as well as the debt reductions that are expected to occur; the potential drop-down candidates from TransAlta Corporation to TransAlta Renewables Inc.; and the Corporation’s ownership level of TransAlta Renewables Inc. Factors that may adversely impact our forward-looking statements include risks relating to: fluctuations in market prices and the availability of fuel supplies required to generate electricity; our ability to contract our generation for prices that will provide expected returns; the regulatory and political environments in the jurisdictions in which we operate; adverse regulatory developments, including unanticipated impacts on existing generation and coal-to-gas conversions; environmental requirements and changes in, or liabilities under, these requirements; changes in general economic conditions including interest rates; operational risks involving our facilities, including unplanned outages at such facilities; disruptions in the transmission and distribution of electricity; the effects of weather; disruptions in the source of fuels, water, or wind required to operate our facilities; natural or man-made disasters; the threat of domestic terrorism and cyberattacks; equipment failure and our ability to carry out, or have completed, repairs in a cost-effective manner or timely manner; commodity risk management; industry risk and competition; fluctuations in the value of foreign currencies and foreign political risks; the need for additional financing; structural subordination of securities; counterparty credit risk; insurance coverage; our provision for income taxes; legal, regulatory, and contractual proceedings involving the Corporation;

  • utcomes of investigations and disputes; reliance on key personnel; labour relations matters; risks associated with development projects and acquisitions, including delays in the

construction of or increased costs associated with the South Hedland power project; and any market disruption, including any actions taken by the Balancing Pool as the buyer under the power purchase arrangements. The foregoing risk factors, among others, are described in further detail in the Risk Management section of our Management Discussion and Analysis and under the heading “Risk Factors” in our Annual Information Form. Readers are urged to consider these factors carefully in evaluating the forward-looking statements and are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements included in this document are made only as of the date hereof and we do not undertake to publicly update these forward-looking statements to reflect new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable laws. In light of these risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, the forward-looking events might occur to a different extent or at a different time than we have described, or might not occur. We cannot assure that projected results or events will be achieved. Certain financial information contained in this presentation, including comparable FFO and comparable FCF, may not be standard measures defined under International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other entities. These measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures prepared in accordance with IFRS. For further information on non-IFRS financial measures we use, see the section entitled “Non-IFRS Measures” contained in our Management Discussion and Analysis, filed with Canadian securities regulators on www.sedar.com. Unless otherwise specified, all dollar amounts are expressed in Canadian dollars.

Forward Looking Statements

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TransAlta’s Investment Merits

  • Geographic: Over 8,600 MW’s of net generation capacity in

Canada (75%) , U.S. (18%) and Australia (7%)

  • Fuel: Over 70 facilities including wind, hydro, gas, co-generation,

coal

  • Supporting Stable EBITDA: 70% - 85% contracted generation
  • ver next four years
  • Reliable: Average contract duration of approximately six years
  • Liquidity: $1.7 billion at December 31, 2016
  • Annual Cash Payments: From Alberta government for coal

compensation total more than $500 million

  • Renewables’ skill sets: Alberta’s largest generator with technical,

financial, project management, and operating expertise.

  • Access to low cost growth capital: Via TransAlta Renewables

and internally generated cash.

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Seizing Investment Opportunities in Targeted Markets

Region Opportunity (MW’s) Strategic Considerations

Alberta

5,000

  • ~3,000MW’s of coal-to-gas conversions; extending life
  • f existing depreciated assets
  • 600 – 900MW’s pump storage at Brazeau; grow site

capacity to between 955 – 1,255MW’s

  • Brownfield wind farms shovel ready for upcoming

renewables bid

  • Brownfield solar and battery sites ready for future
  • pportunities

Australia

5,000

  • Wind/solar focus with sites in active development
  • Offtake agreements
  • Targeted gas and renewables acquisitions

Saskatchewan

1,500

  • Wind and Solar sites being developed

Eastern Canada

1,000

  • Ontario RFPs greenfield solar/ small hydro uprates
  • Targeted gas and renewables acquisitions

U.S.

500

  • Renewables expansion at existing facilities
  • Targeted gas and renewables acquisition
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TransAlta’s Global Generation Portfolio

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TransAlta’s Generation Asset Overview

Coal: 4,931MW (~73% in Canada) Wind/Solar: 1,384MW (~84% in Canada) Gas: 1,323MW (~68% in Canada) Hydro: 926MW (~100% in Canada)

TransAlta is Canada’s largest generator of wind power and the largest generator of renewable energy in Alberta

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Gas & Renewables Cash Flow Leading the Way

  • Gas-fired and renewable assets were approximately 70% of total

Cash Flow From Generation

(1) in 2016 and approximately 11% higher

than in 2015.

  • $3.3 billion of assets positioned in markets where public policy is

promoting clean power; Canada, Australia and the US

(1) Cash Flow From Generation = Comparable EBITDA (adjusted for the Keephills 1 force majeure provisions) less sustaining capital.

$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 2014 2015 2016

$ millions

Cash Flow From Generation

Renewables & Gas Coal Total Generation

(1) (1)

11% increase 10% increase

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Contracted Generation Portfolio Supports Stable EBITDA

Stable cashflows underpinned by contract and hedging strategy

Alberta

  • Highly hedged through 2017
  • Market volatility allow opportunity to

further hedge at prices higher than the current market

Pacific Northwest

  • Puget Sound Energy and other long-term

contracts provide base of between ~280MW and 380MW

  • Additional shorter-term hedges managed

dynamically to capture market volatility

Merchant exposure in Alberta and the Pacific NW

2017 Hedge prices AB ~$45 - $50/MWh PacNW ~$45 - $50/MWh 2018 Hedge prices AB ~$45 - $50/MWh PacNW ~$45 - $50/MWh

Total portfolio contractedness(1)

MW 85% 73% 70% 69%

(1) As of Dec. 31, 2016

1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2017 2018 2019 2020

PPAs Long-term contract Short-term contract / Hedges Open Merchant

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Key Growth Drivers in Australian Power Markets

Plant Net MW’s Counterpart

Fortescue River Gas Pipeline

  • n/a

South Hedland(1) 150 Horizon Power, Fortescue Metals Group Solomon 125 Fortescue Metals Group Parkeston 55 Newmont Power Pty Southern Cross 245 BHP Billiton Nickel West

  • 2015 Federal Renewable Energy Target (RET) legislation creates a

driver for new transmission connected to solar and wind projects.

  • Recent transmission stability issues in Southern Australia triggering a

review of the need for distributed peak power.

Aging coal fleet in Eastern Australia provides opportunity for alternate fuel sources to replace these assets

(1) South Hedland is expected to be commissioned mid-2017

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South Hedland Power Station

150 MW Combined Cycle Gas Power Station in Western Australia

  • $585 million project

(1) has been funded without increasing TA debt

  • Expected to generate ~$80 million of EBITDA on an annualized basis
  • Commissioning expected on budget in mid-2017

(1) Total estimated project spend is AUD$570 million. Total estimated project spend is stated in CAD$ and includes estimated capital interest costs and may change due to fluctuation in foreign exchange rates.

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Seizing Opportunities in Alberta and Canada’s Transition to an Off-Coal and Carbon Tax Regime

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Rules at the federal and provincial levels are under discussion and costs/tonne are currently estimated to be:

  • Federal: $50/Tonne by 2022
  • Alberta: $30/Tonne starting in 2018

Transitioning Off Carbon.. Removing an Uneconomic Input

“Threading the needle on carbon exposure means transitioning out of carbon sooner rather than later to avoid being subjected to an increasing cost environment.” Dawn Farrell, CEO TransAlta Corporation

Pricing carbon is the new reality, it will become the largest sole input cost to power generation driven by policies of the Federal and Provincial governments.

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Required to eliminate coal emissions by 2030. Will receive annual off-coal transition payments from Alberta government starting in 2017.

1 2

TransAlta’s Off-Coal Transition Agenda in Alberta

TransAlta’s Response to the Changing Environment

  • Working with stakeholders to create new capacity

market

  • Converting coal-fired plants to gas-fired
  • Development of Brazeau pump storage solution
  • Bidding in the AESO REP auctions
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Implementing the Climate Leadership Plan

  • 14 annual cash payments of $37.4 million totaling $542 million
  • Payments expected to occur in third quarter each year until 2030.
  • Opportunity to monetize contracted cash flow stream

(~$400 – $420 million)

  • Compensation will be recognized as ‘net other operating income/

(loss)’

  • Depreciation expense increases by approximately $60 million due

to reductions in useful lives for the Alberta coal assets

Off-Coal Transition Payments Agreement

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Implementing the Climate Leadership Plan

Creating a new Capacity Market Executing coal-to-gas conversions to extend useful lives of coal facilities Supporting Renewable Electricity

  • Fair treatment of existing renewable generation including the

value of renewable energy credits on existing generation

1 2

Memorandum of Understanding Tangible Cooperation and Collaboration with the Alberta Government in terms of:

3

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Alberta’s Climate Leadership Plan

CLP Requires

  • Retirement of 6,200MW of baseload coal-fired generation by 2030

= ~40% of current installed capacity

  • Installation of 5,000MW of intermittent renewable electricity by 2030

= ~2,000MW of reliable generation

Changing the Supply Mix

Issues: Energy-Only Markets

  • System reliability risk; renewables

require backup support (lower reserve margins)

  • Depressed price distorts signal for

new firm generation investment

Solution: Capacity Market

  • System reliability is maintained
  • Provides appropriate price

signals to support new firm generation investment

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Energy Only vs. Capacity Markets

Energy/AS

Energy-Only Market

Capacity Energy/AS

Capacity Market

  • Energy market revenues recover

marginal costs

  • Capacity market revenues recover

fixed operating & capital costs and provide for return

  • All costs and return of capital

must be recovered from energy prices in the power market

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Capacity Market – A Stable Investment Environment

TransAlta is well positioned to compete in a capacity market with highly depreciated coal units that will be converted to gas- fired generation Allows existing and new dispatchable generation to compete for capacity Provides price and cash flow certainty, resulting in access to lower cost of capital Government has committed that non-dispatchable existing renewables will not be economically harmed

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TransAlta advocates for, and supports, a Capacity Market

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  • Biggest market change in two decades.
  • Timelines are aggressive; need to align with the first coal retirements.
  • Schedule risk has been identified by the AESO

Capacity Market Transition Timeline

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Implementation First Procurement First Delivery Schedule risk Design

Legend:

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  • What is the best capacity contract term (e.g. 1 year, up

to 7 years)?

  • Resource eligibility – should demand participation and

renewables be allowed?

  • Will subsidization of renewables distort price formation?
  • Requirement to participate – will it be “must offer”?
  • How will capacity costs be charged to consumers?
  • How will consumers hedge?

Alberta’s Capacity Market Transition - Unknowns

Key Market Design Considerations

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TransAlta’s Coal Fleet – Leveraging Critical Mass

  • ~3,000MW of coal-fired installed capacity eligible for coal-to-gas conversion;

representing ~50% of total coal capacity in Alberta

  • Majority of TransAlta’s coal units are highly depreciated – providing for low-cost

capacity in Capacity Market

  • Federal regulations provide opportunity for conversions; proposed standard of

550 t/GWh is under review

Plant MW (Net) Annual GWh1 Commissioned Retirement Under Exiting Rules2 Retirement Under Federal Gas Regulation

Sundance 3 368 2,740 1976 2026 2036 Sundance 4 406 3,023 1977 2027 2037 Sundance 5 406 3,023 1978 2028 2028 Sundance 6 401 2,986 1980 2029 2038 Keephills 1 & 2 790 6,046 1984 2029 2040 Sheerness 1(3) 98 708 1986 2030 2045 Sheerness 2(3) 98 707 1990 2030 2045 Genesee 3 233 1,675 2005 2030 2045 Keephills 3 232 1,675 2011 2030 2045

1Based on 85% availability 2Sundance & Keephills 1 and 2 retirement dates are based on existing Federal coal legislation; remaining coal units are based on CLP date of 2030 3Sheerness 1 and 2 capacity based on 25% ownership interest

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Coal-to-Gas Conversion Attributes vs. Coal Generation

Lower Operating Cost

  • 40-50% lower operating & sustaining capital
  • 65% lower carbon costs

Conversion & Life Extension Competitive Capital Costs

  • ~60 days required to convert coal burners to gas
  • Potential to add 15 years to Alberta coal fleet
  • Utilizes existing capital, sites and transmission
  • $125 - $150/KW cost for burner conversion

Flexibility

  • Similar ramping and lower minimum stable

requirements Reduced Emissions

  • 40% reduction in CO2 & up to 70% reduction in NOx
  • 100% reduction in Mercury and SOx

Critical path items include: Securing fuel supply and regulatory approval for gas pipeline Technology & Innovation

  • Supports market implementation and development of

renewable generation

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Coal-to-Gas Conversion – A Comparative Analysis

Coal-to-Gas Conversion Reciprocating Engine New CCGT Facility Cost (per KW) $125 to $150 $1,300 to $1,400 $1,500 - $1,700 Carbon Tax Higher Lower Lower Capacity Baseload/Mid-merit Peaking Baseload Ramping Slower Faster Faster Time to Build 60 days 2.5 to 3.5 years 4 to 5 years Unit Size ~400 MW 10 to 20 MW 400 to 800 MW Investment Commitment 15 years 30 years 30 years

Coal-to-Gas conversions provide: higher returns, at lower cost, over a shorter project life with less regulatory risk.

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Plant Owner Conversion Details Harding Street Station Indianapolis Power & Light 2015/16 650MW (Units 5/6/7) Commissioned: 1958 – 1973 Clinch River American Electric Power 2016 476MW (Units 1/2) Commissioned: 1958 Big Sandy American Electric Power 2016 268MW (1 Unit) Commissioned: 1963 Shawville NRG 2015/16 626MW (4 Units) Commissioned: 1954 – 1960 Big Cajun NRG 2015 580MW (1 Unit) Commissioned: 1982

Examples of Executed Coal-to-Gas Conversions

The conversion of coal units to gas-fired generation has been taking place in the United States for a number of years.

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Brazeau Investment Supports System Reliability

600 to 900 MW pumped storage expansion Increases Brazeau’s capacity to 955 - 1,255 MW. Low cost alternative to greenfield build out Investment of ~$1.8 billion to ~$2.5 billion Targeting 2021 commencement of construction, subject to long-term contract 1 2 3

Brazeau

4 5

Large battery storage to support adoption of renewables

Current Capacity of Brazeau is 355MW

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Brazeau Hydro – Looking Forward

1

New Dam New Turbines

1 2 2

Brownfield Expansion Utilizes existing site and infrastructure Reliability Provides system support as wind build-out occurs Flexibility Fast ramping Sustainability Perpetual assets – existing hydro fleet is 100 yrs. old

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Brazeau Hydro – Our Action Plan

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Environmental Studies Regulatory Applications Engineering Procurement Construction COD Stakeholder Engagement Secure Contract

Securing long-term contract with AESO is a key stage gate

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Leveraging TransAlta’s Operating Advantage in Alberta

History of developing and operating renewables facilities has lead to:

  • Strong understanding of wind resources and hydrology
  • Long-standing land owner and stakeholder relationships aid future

development plans

  • Trusted developer and supporter of community enhancement projects

(TransAlta Tri Leisure Centre) 300MW’s of development ready wind sites in Alberta

  • Advanced stages of development available for near-term AESO REP
  • Near existing transmission and infrastructure

1 2

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Financial Strategy

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50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018-2020

Comparable FCF Growth

Sufficient FCF to Fund Growth and Strengthen B/S

$280 to $315 million of Comparable FCF

(1) between 2013 and 2016

$M Outlook Range Target

(1) Comparable Free Cash Flow includes dividend payments on preferred shares but not dividend payments on common shares. (2) Allocation between debt and growth shown for illustrative purposes only.

Expect capacity market to deliver similar FCF as current PPA

Growth(2) Debt(2)

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Upcoming Debt Maturities

(1) Debt related to RNW. (2) Includes USD$20 million of debt related to RNW.

$400 $520 $700 $167 $400 $400 $296

$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021-2040 USD CAD

Upcoming Debt Maturities ($ millions)

1 2

$360M of non-recourse debt raised in 2016 will be used to settle 2017 maturities

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Finance & Treasury Overview

Area of Focus Execution

Liquidity

  • Average liquidity of $1.3B since 2014; liquidity of ~$1.7B at

December 31, 2016 including cash of $305 million

Area of Focus Execution

Financial Ratios

  • Ratios expected to improve once South Hedland is operational

Ratio 2013 2014 2015 2016 Target

Comparable FFO before Interest to Adjusted Interest 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 4 – 5x Adjusted FFO to Adjusted Net Debt 15.2 16.9 15.2 17.0 20 – 25% Adjusted Net Debt to Comparable EBITDA 4.6 4.2 5.0 3.8 3 – 3.5

(1) Reduction in Available Liquidity due to reduction in US bilateral credit facility from $300 million to $200 million.

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Outlook and Priorities

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Executing on our 2016 Priorities

Secured a mutually beneficial coal transition arrangement with the Alberta Government Continued to reposition our capital structure Continued to grow TransAlta Renewables Inc. Continued to focus on delivering strong operational, safety and financial performance

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Executing on 2016 Financial Goals

$990 $1,065 $1,100 $- $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 Low 2016 High

Comparable EBITDA

$755 $763 $835 $- $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 Low 2016 High

Comparable FFO

$250 $299 $300 $- $100 $200 $300 $400 Low 2016 High 87% 89% 89% 80% 85% 90% Low 2016 High

Comparable FCF CAD Coal Availability

(1) Includes $80 million provision adjustment related to the Keephills 1 force majeure.

(1)

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2017 Priorities – Positioning for Competition

Work collaboratively with the Government of Alberta

  • Advance our investment in Brazeau by securing long-term contract
  • Contribute to the design of a new capacity market
  • Establish terms and conditions to convert coal plants to gas

Commission South Hedland Grow renewables through RFP’s in Saskatchewan, Alberta and Australia Execute our financing strategy to further strengthen the balance sheet Continue to lead in safety and environment performance while delivering against our 2017 financial targets

1 2 3 4 5

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2017 Outlook Ranges ($M)

Comparable EBITDA $1,025 $1,135 Comparable Funds from Operations $765 $855 Sustaining Capital (260) (280) Pfd Share/Other Distributions (205) (210) Comparable Free Cash Flow $300 $365 Comparable Free Cash Flow Per Share $1.04 $1.27 Annual Dividend $0.16 $0.16 Dividend Payout Ratio 15% 13%

2017 Outlook

Range of Key Assumptions

Power Prices Alberta Spot ($/MWH) $ 24

  • $ 30

Alberta Contracted ($/Mwh) $ 45

  • $ 50

Mid-C Spot (US$/MwH) $ 23

  • $ 28

Mid-C Contracted (US$/MWh) $ 45

  • $ 50

Other Canadian Coal Availability 86%

  • 88%

Hydro / Wind Resource Long term average

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Executing Our Strategic Objectives

2016 2017

Operational Excellence

  • Reduced OM&A costs by $20 million

year over year through improved mine planning and mine methodologies, reduced equipment requirements and optimized contractor usage.

  • Continued focus on delivering

strong operational, safety and financial performance.

Increase Financial Flexibility

  • Entered into an off-coal agreement

with the Government of Alberta for ~$524 million over the next 14 years.

  • Raised ~$360 million of project debt

and increased liquidity to ~$1.7 billion at year end.

  • Met 2016 guidance for comparable

EBITDA

(1), FFO and FCF; at the high

end of FCF outlook range.

  • Reposition our capital

structure by pursuing $700 to $900 million of project-level debt over the next 18 months.

  • Repayment of maturing debt

in 2017 with existing liquidity.

  • Target FCF of $400 million by

2018 to 2020.

Strategic Growth

  • Plan to participate in the 2017 Alberta

RFP for renewables.

  • Conversion of coal plants to gas.
  • Announced Brazeau pump storage

hydro project development.

  • Longer-term, prepare to

capitalize on opportunities in renewable generation.

  • Continue to seek a long-term

contract for our Brazeau project with the Government

  • f Alberta.

(1) Excluding adjustment to provisions relating mostly to prior years.

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Leveraging TransAlta Renewables Inc.

TransAlta Corporation and TransAlta Renewables are strategically aligned

TransAlta Renewables TransAlta Public

~60-80% ~20-40%

  • TransAlta is the largest

shareholder of TransAlta Renewables Inc. and will maintain ~60-80% ownership

  • Unlocks the value of long-life

contracted assets on attractive terms

  • Provides access to lower cost

funding

  • Strong currency to support

accretive acquisition of third party assets

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TransAlta Renewables (TSX:RNW)

  • Provides stable, consistent returns through the ownership of highly

contracted power generation and other infrastructure assets

Enterprise Value¹ $4.8 Billion Market Cap.2 $3.7 Billion 2017 Comparable EBITDA (guidance) $425 - $450 million 2017 Comparable CAFD (guidance) $235 - $260 million Dividend Yield 6.0% Net Generating Capacity (incl. South Hedland) 2,441 MW TransAlta Corporation’s Ownership 64%

¹ Does not include capital required to complete South Hedland Project

2 Based on closing price as of March 1, 2017 and including Class B shares

Wind Hydro Gas Fired Gas Pipeline

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Significant Drop-Down Inventory

Potential Drop-Down Candidates from TransAlta Corporation Gas Fired Generation

  • ~400 MW in Alberta & Ontario including:
  • 244 MW Poplar Creek facility in AB
  • ~150 MW from 4 facilities through TA Cogen
  • ~$140M EBITDA

Alberta Hydro

  • ~800 MW from 13 units in Alberta, representing

90% of Alberta’s hydro

  • ~$60 - $120M EBITDA

Other Renewables

  • 20 MW wind facility in ON
  • 50 MW wind facility in Minnesota
  • 21 MW solar facilities in

Massachusetts

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Appendix

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Financial Performance by Business Segment

Business Segment 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

(1)

2016

(1)

Comparable EBITDA ($M) Canadian Coal $273 $373 $311 $389 $393 $393 U.S. Coal $211 $148 $67 $65 $67 $41 Gas $275 $312 $332 $312 $330 $372 Wind and Solar $163 $151 $181 $179 $176 $195 Hydro $105 $127 $148 $87 $73 $82 Energy Marketing $101 ($13) $58 $75 $37 $52 Corporate ($84) ($83) ($74) ($71) ($72) ($70)

  • Comp. EBITDA ($M)

$1,044 $1,016 $1,023 $1,036 $1,004 $1,065

  • Comp. FFO ($M)

$812 $788 $729 $762 $740 $763

(1) Canadian Coal is normalized for provision adjustments including $80 million and $59 million in 2016 and 2015, respectively.

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Australia – 20 Years of Investment Experience

100 200 300 400 500 600 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160 $180 $200 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Net Capacity (MW) Australian Revenue (CAD$ millions)

December 2002 Added remaining 15% ownership in Southern Cross January 2006 Gas turbine commissioned at Southern Cross September 2015 Solomon facility, acquired from Fortescue in 2012, commissioned. Mid-2017 150 MW South Hedland facility expected to

  • n-line

Original Investment Parkeston (55 MW net to TransAlta). January 1999 TransAlta acquired a 85% interest in Southern Cross; cash consideration of $187 million.