T he 2019 Re c o mme nde d Budg e t Se pte mb e r 4, 2018 1 - - PDF document

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T he 2019 Re c o mme nde d Budg e t Se pte mb e r 4, 2018 1 - - PDF document

9/7/2018 1 T he 2019 Re c o mme nde d Budg e t Se pte mb e r 4, 2018 1 9/7/2018 Stable gr owth in r evenues 2 Sa le s ta x T a x b a se Continuation of c ur r ent and new pr ior ities Pe rfo rma nc e me a sure me


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9/7/2018 1

T he 2019 Re c o mme nde d Budg e t

Se pte mb e r 4, 2018 1

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9/7/2018 2

T he Bo tto m L ine

 Stable gr

  • wth in r

evenues

 Sa le s ta x  T

a x b a se

 Continuation of c ur

r ent and new pr ior ities

 Pe rfo rma nc e me a sure me nt  Wo rkpla c e Clima te Surve y  AT

I ’ s/ Ja il po pula tio n re duc tio n

 Ho using

 L

e vy up 1.43%

 Ra te do wn fo r 5th c o nse c utive ye a r  $3 inc re a se o f so lid wa ste fe e

 $15 impac t for

ave r age home owne r

2

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9/7/2018 3

E c o no mic & F isc a l I ndic a to rs

(F a c to rs Affe c ting the E c o no my) 3

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9/7/2018 4

As o f July ’ 18

T

  • mpkins Co unty - 4.0%

So uthe rn T ie r - 4.5% Ne w Yo rk Sta te – 4.2%

NYS De pt. o f L abo r

4

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9/7/2018 5

July-to -July infla tio n is 2.9%

U .S . De pt. o f L abo r, Bure au o f L abo r S tatistic s

5

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9/7/2018 6

U.S. c o nsume r c o nfide nc e hit a 14-ye a r hig h in Ma rc h 2018

Unive rsity o f Mic higan: Co nsume r S e ntime nt/

6

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9/7/2018 7

Ma rke t still pe rfo rming we ll, de spite dip e a rlie r this ye a r

Do w Jo ne s I ndustrial Ave rage/

7

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9/7/2018 8

E c o no mic & F isc a l I ndic a to rs

(Pro g ra mma tic I ndic a to rs o f Ne e d) 8

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9/7/2018 9

http:/ /

  • tda.ny.go v/

re so urc e s/ c ase lo ad/

  • SNAP (fo o d sta mp)

c a se lo a ds g e ne ra lly de c lining

  • Do wn 14% fro m June 2015
  • Do wn 4% fro m June 2017
  • Still 45% hig he r tha n

Ja nua ry 2008 (pre - re c e ssio n)

9

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9/7/2018 10

http:/ /

  • tda.ny.go v/

re so urc e s/ c ase lo ad /

  • F

a mily Assista nc e (T ANF ) c a se s c o ntinue to de c line

  • Do wn 14% fro m June 2015
  • Do wn 12% fro m June 2017
  • Do wn 28% Ja nua ry 2008 (pre -

re c e ssio n)

  • No lo c a l c o st (o r sa ving s)
  • 5 ye a r life time e lig ibility

10

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9/7/2018 11

http:/ /

  • tda.ny.go v/

re so urc e s/ c ase lo ad /

  • Sa fe ty Ne t c a se s re ma in 24%

a b o ve Ja nua ry 2008 (pre - re c e ssio n)

  • Do wn 1% June 2017-to -June

2018

  • 71% lo c a l funding / 29% NYS

11

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9/7/2018 12

http:/ /

  • tda.ny.go v/

re so urc e s/ c ase lo ad /

  • T
  • ta l a ssista nc e c a se s

re la tive ly fla t fro m pre - re c e ssio n

  • 13% inc re a se in Sa fe ty Ne t to

to ta l a ssista nc e c a se s o ve r pa st 10 ye a rs

  • Cle a r shift o f c a se s fro m T

ANF to Sa fe ty Ne t

  • T

ANF no lo c a l c o st – Sa fe ty Ne t lo c a l c o st

12

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9/7/2018 13

Ma jo r Budg e t Drive rs

 R

e ve nue s

 Sa le s ta x  T

a x b a se

 Ca sino re ve nue

 Mandate s  L

abor Costs

 Capital Inve stme nts

13

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9/7/2018 14

Sa le s T a x

 Ave ra g e a nnua l sa le s ta x g ro wth ha s b e e n

a ppro x. 2.0% fo r pa st de c a de

 2.5% fo r prio r 15 ye a rs

 E

xc e ptio n:

 -6.07% (2009)  -2.17% (2015) & -.55% (2016)

 2017- g ro wth o f 6.55%  2018 - tre nding g ro wth o f 6%

14

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9/7/2018 15

Assume s 2018 finishe s stro ng @ 6% g ro wth

  • ve r 2017

Sa le s T a x Pro je c tio ns

15

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9/7/2018 16

  • 2019 Re c o mme nde d Budg e t

inc lude s 5.44% o ve r prio r ye a r

  • 2019-2022 e xpe rie nc e s the

a ve ra g e a nnua l g ro wth o f 2.0%

  • Annua l b udg e t g ro wth fo r

2020-2022 wo uld b e 5.0%, 4% a nd 3% re spe c tive ly

Sa le s T a x Pro je c tio ns

16

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9/7/2018 17

  • 2019 Re c o mme nde d Budg e t

inc lude s 5.44% o ve r prio r ye a r

  • 2019-2022 e xpe rie nc e s

e c o no mic do wn turn 2019 - 0% 2020 - (2.0%) 2021 - 0% 2022 - 2.0%

  • Annua l b udg e t g ro wth fo r

2020-2022 wo uld b e 1%, 0% a nd 1% re spe c tive ly

Sa le s T a x Pro je c tio ns

17

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9/7/2018 18

 Re c o mme nde d Budg e t pro vide s fo r

g ro wth with e ye o n unkno wn

 2019 b udg e t b a la nc e s po ssib ility o f ne w

b a se line vs. 18-mo nth e rra tic surg e in g ro wth

 Allo ws fo r c o urse c o rre c tio n sho uld

e c o no my re ve rse

Sa le s T a x

18

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9/7/2018 19

  • 4.3% g ro wth in ta x b a se
  • ve r la st ye a r
  • 12.3% g ro wth in ta x b a se
  • ve r pa st thre e ye a rs
  • 22% g ro wth in ta x b a se o ve r

pa st 10 ye a rs

  • Ro b ust g ro wth a llo ws c o st
  • f g o v’ t to b e spre a d a c ro ss

la rg e r b a se

19

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9/7/2018 20

Ca sino Re ve nue

 2018 – 1st time in Budg e t  Re ve nue fro m T

io g a a nd De l L a g o

 F

e b . 2018 De l L a g o e xpe rie nc e d b o nd do wng ra de

 Ja nua ry – July c o lle c tio ns o f $945,000 – 15%

a b o ve 2017

 No tre nding – no re a so n to c ha ng e b udg e t

  • ve r 2017 - $1.2 millio n

20

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9/7/2018 21

L a b o r Co sts

Wa g e Gro wth

 White Co lla r a g re e me nt in pla c e fo r 2019 –

60% o f wo rkfo rc e

 Budg e t a ssume s se ttle me nts within

pa ra me te rs

 Wo rk ite m o f 2019 is to g e t la b o r c o ntra c ts

with o the r units

21

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9/7/2018 22

L a b o r Co sts

Wo rkfo rc e

 T

  • ta l o f 2.5 F

T E ’ s - limite d dura tio n po sitio ns fo r suc c e ssio n pla nning

 I

T S, Huma n Re so urc e s, a nd W&M

 1.5 F

T E ’ s fo r Ra ise the Ag e – Pro b a tio n

 1 F

T E fo r Sc ho o l Re so urc e Offic e r – She riff

 .5 F

T E fo r de pa rtme nt re o rg a niza tio n – DOE R

22

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9/7/2018 23

L a b o r Co sts

F ring e

 He a lthc a re pre miums up 6%  Pe nsio n re ma ins fla t  Ove ra ll fring e is up $493,000

23

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9/7/2018 24

L a b o r Co sts

F ring e

 Sa la ry a nd fring e up 3.4%  $2.2 millio n to ta l  $1.6 millio n lo c a l do lla rs

24

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9/7/2018 25

Ma nda te s

 4th c o nse c utive ye a r lo c a l c o sts a re do wn

in ma nda te d e xpe nse s

 Assig ne d Co unse l do wn $100,000 – L

e ss OT R

 Child c a re do wn $366,500  Sa fe ty ne t up $200,000  I

nc re a se in Me dic a id $222,000

 Ove ra ll ma nda te d c o sts a re do wn .83%

 T

  • ta l de c re a se o f $175,260

25

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9/7/2018 26

Ca pita l Re inve stme nt

 Co unty’ s Ca pita l po lic y inc lude s a le vy inc re a se

  • f 0.5%, o r $245,000, to suppo rt c a pita l

impro ve me nts

 Prima rily suppo rts de b t se rvic e fo r prio r pro je c ts

a nd c a sh fo r c urre nt/ ne w pro je c ts

 Ne w pro je c ts fo r 2019 inc lude :

 $2.4 millio n fo r re no va tio ns to Old Ja il Offic e

Building

 $200,000 fo r sto ra g e b uilding fo r F

a c ilitie s/ T C So il a nd Wa te r

26

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9/7/2018 27

  • Assume s a dditio na l $21

millio n o f ne w de b t fo r Ja il, She riff pa tro l a nd do wnto wn c a mpus in o ut ye a rs

  • No t c o nside re d – T

CAT fa c ilitie s, T C3 c a pita l pla n

  • 2019 use s a dditio na l

re se rve s fo r Old Ja il re no va tio ns

  • Co unty Ca pita l

I mpro ve me nt Pla n re vie w in 2019

27

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9/7/2018 28

Spo nso re d a nd Pa rtne r Ag e nc ie s

 2% inc re a se in b a se line b udg e ts fo r a ll

spo nso re d a g e nc ie s

 Plus $513,000 in funde d o ne time suppo rt fo r

Ag e nc ie s

 T

C3 fla t

*Spo nso re d Ag e nc ie s: Co rne ll Co o pe ra tive E xte nsio n, T CAD, T CAT , T CPL , Rura l L ib ra rie s, So il & Wa te r, T he Histo ry Ce nte r, Huma n Se rvic e s Co a litio n a nd Ag e nc ie s, T CAc tio n, SPCA, Re c re a tio n Pa rtne rship

28

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9/7/2018 29

Co nting e nc y

 $900,000 – c o nsiste nt with prio r ye a r b a se

line c o nting e nt b udg e t a nd e xpe nditure s

 Se pa ra te $300,000 OT

R fo r po te ntia l ja il b o a rd o uts – do e s no t impa c t le vy

29

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9/7/2018 30

Airpo rt

 Budg e t re c o mme nds 5th ye a r o f wa ive r o f

$126,000 in a dministra tive fe e s to a irpo rt

 $24.7 millio n te rmina l re no va tio n & e xpa nsio n

 $14.2 millio n Sta te g ra nt  $2 millio n F

AA

 $0.5 millio n a irpo rt  $8 millio n – se e king F

AA, Sta te funding o ptio ns

30

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9/7/2018 31

Re c yc ling Ma te ria ls & Ma na g e me nt

 Budg e t re c o mme nds $3 pe r unit inc re a se in

so lid wa ste fe e – fro m $55 to $58

 Due to inc re a se s in e xpe nse s a nd

de c re a se s in re ve nue s

 2020 pre -b udg e t pla nning a prio rity

31

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9/7/2018 32

  • Re c yc ling re ve nue ha s b e e n

a do wnwa rd tre nd with the e xc e ptio n o f 2017.

  • 2019 b udg e t re fle c ts the

e xpe nse fo r c o untywide re c yc ling c o lle c tio n whic h inc re a se d b y $500,000 unde r the ne w 10-ye a r c o ntra c t in 2018.

  • Cha ng e in re c yc ling

re ve nue s & c o ntra c tua l e xpe nse s o ve r pa st two ye a rs a c c o unts fo r a ne t b udg e t impa c t o f a lmo st $1 millio n.

32

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9/7/2018 33

 An a nnua l fe e inc re a se o f $3 pe r unit fro m $55 to $58 to c lo se the g a p.  Budg e t a nd pro g ra mming ne e d to b e e va lua te d fo r 2020 in o rde r to a vo id a no the r, po ssib ly la rg e r fe e inc re a se in 2020.

33

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9/7/2018 34

Ma jo r Ove r T a rg e t Re q ue sts F unde d in Re c o mme nde d Budg e t

 2019 OT

R re q ue sts

 $2,368,076

 2019 OT

R Re c o mme nde d

 $2,315,587

 Mo stly o ne -time ; $306,621 ta rg e t

34

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9/7/2018 35

Ma jo r F unde d OT Rs

(T a rg e t)

 DOE

R - $66,220 fo r re c la ssific a tio ns to re o rg a nize a nd inc re a se c a pa c ity

 Huma n Re so urc e s - $44,643 fo r .75 F

T E E mplo ye e Be ne fits Assista nt

 $15,000 – T

a le nt a c q uisitio n fund (re c ruitme nt)

 Pro b a tio n - $12,000 fo r a dditio na l e le c tro nic mo nito ring  T

CPL

 $10,125 fo r 5-yr c o mpute r re pla c e me nt c yc le  $25,000 – ta rg e t inc re a se to me e t ne e ds

 Yo uth Se rvic e s - $50,000 fo r struc tura l suppo rt &

susta ina b ility

35

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9/7/2018 36

Ma jo r F unde d OT Rs

(One -time )

 Ve hic le Re pla c e me nt

 $206,000 o f o ne -time / ro ll-o ve r to re pla c e 8

ve hic le s with PE V’ s

 $405,000 in ma jo r hig hwa y e q uipme nt (fro m

Hig hwa y fund b a la nc e )

 $83,000 in F

a c ilitie s ve hic le re pla c e me nt

 Org a niza tio na l Pe rfo rma nc e / Sta b ility

 $22,500 – Clima te Surve y Ac tio n I

mple me nta tio n

 $24,300 – Co unty-wide Pe rfo rma nc e

Me a sure me nts

 $25,000 – E

ng ine e ring suppo rt fo r c a pita l pla n upda te

 $50,000 – OHR re lo c a tio n to Huma n Se rvic e s

Anne x

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9/7/2018 37

Ma jo r F unde d OT Rs

(One -time )

 Ho using

 $50,000 – Co C T

ra nsitio na l Ho using Pla n

 $45,000 – Munic ipa l Co nsulta nt Ma tc hing F

und – Affo rda b le Ho using

 $65,000 – Amic i Ho use - T

ra ining a nd Co mmunity Spa c e  Ja il/ AT

I s/ Re -e ntry

 $300,000 – Co nting e nc y fo r b o a rd-o uts  $114,500 – CJC po sitio n  $88,000 – Co lle g e I

nitia tive Upsta te

 $50,000 – OAR pa ro le e / ho using c a se ma na g e r

37

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9/7/2018 38

Ma jo r F unde d OT Rs

(One -time )

 Wo rkfo rc e

 $83,500 – ST

OP-DWI a c tivitie s in DA Offic e

 $153,500 – suc c e ssio n tra nsitio n – W&M, I

T S a nd HR

 $50,000 – Busine ss E

ne rg y Na vig a to r - Pla nning

 $24,000 – Sc ho o l Re so urc e Offic e r/ T

ST BOCE S – She riff  Othe r Ag e nc y Re q ue sts

 $96,000 – CCE

– 4-H Re pa irs

 $14,700 – Rura l L

ib ra rie s – AE D’ s/ Na rc a n

 $40,000 – T

CPL – Re mo ving b a rrie rs pilo t pro je c t

 Ma ny o the rs

38

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9/7/2018 39

Ove r T a rg e t Re q ue sts

T

  • tal

R e se r ve s L e vy R e que ste d

$2.37 mil. $1.88 mil. $.48 mil.

R e c omme nde d

$2.32 mil. $2.01 mil. $.31 mil.

Diffe r e nc e

  • $.05 mil.

$.13 mil.

  • $.17 mil.

39

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9/7/2018 40

Risks

 So lid Wa ste F

e e

 Sa le s T

a x

 Ra ise the Ag e  Ja il Co sts

40

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9/7/2018 41

T a x Ca p F

  • rmula

41

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9/7/2018 42

T a x Ca p

(Assumptio ns)

 T

a x Ca p E stima te d a t 4.78% ($2.4M)

 “Unusua l” c irc umsta nc e with T

  • wn o f Dryde n ta king

sa le s ta x c re dit

 L

  • we rs c o unty ta x ra te in T
  • wn, inc re a se s T
  • wn ta x ra te

 Ga in a dditio na l T

  • wn a nd Sc ho o l ta x pa yme nts o n Sta te -
  • wne d la nd

 Re sults in ne t de c re a se in T

  • wn a nd Co unty ta xe s

 Co nse q ue nc e : 2019 ta x c a p is a c tua lly 9.76% due

to sa le s ta x c re dit

 2020 – c a p will g o b a c k to b e ing “no rma l”

42

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9/7/2018 43

Appro a c h to 2019 Budg e t Re vie w

 1.43% le vy inc re a se

 Unde r fina nc ia l g o a l o f 2.2% se t b y L

e g isla ture

 Unde r ta x c a p

 Suppo rts c urre nt o ps, 2% fo r a g e nc ie s,

c o ntinue s c a pita l inve stme nt

 Ca pture s sa le s ta x g ro wth with c a utio n

43

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9/7/2018 44

T

  • ta l Budg e t

(Millio ns)

2019 $186.5 2018 $181.8 $ Cha ng e $ 4.7 % Cha ng e 2.57%

44

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9/7/2018 45

L

  • c a l Budg e t

(Millio ns)

2019 $89.9 2018 $88.1 $ Cha ng e $ 1.8 % Cha ng e 2.05%

45

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9/7/2018 46

T a x L e vy

(Millio ns)

2019 $49.8 2018 $49.1 $ Cha ng e $ .70 % Cha ng e 1.43%

46

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9/7/2018 47

T a x Ra te

(Millio ns)

2019 $6.39 2018 $6.58 $ Cha ng e ($ .18) % Cha ng e (2.76%)

47

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9/7/2018 48

Ave ra g e T a x Bill

($185,000 me dia n in 2019, $178,000 in 2018)

2019 $1,183 2018 $1,171 $ Cha ng e $12 % Cha ng e 1.1% So lid Wa ste F e e $3 I mpa c t o n ho me o wne r: $15

48

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9/7/2018 49

T he 2019 Re c o mme nde d Budg e t

T

  • mpkins Co unty, NY

www.T

  • mpkinsCo untyny.g o v

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