Suncorp Group Lim ited Suncorp Group Lim ited
1
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Suncorp Bank
Debt Investor Presentation
Suncorp Bank Debt Investor Presentation 1 Suncorp Group Lim ited - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Suncorp Group Lim ited Suncorp Group Lim ited Suncorp Bank Debt Investor Presentation 1 Suncorp Group Lim ited Novem ber 20 15 Suncorp Investor Update Agenda 3 Suncorp Group 5 Group Financial Results & Capital Suncorp Bank
Suncorp Group Lim ited Suncorp Group Lim ited
1
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Debt Investor Presentation
2
Suncorp Group Lim ited
3
Suncorp Group
5
Group Financial Results & Capital
19
Suncorp Bank – APS330
Agenda 34
Australian Mortgages
Novem ber 20 15
29
Funding & Liquidity
3
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Leading financial services brands in Australia and New Zealand
Top 15 ASX listed company $16.8 billion market capitalisation* as at 18 November, 2015 $94 billion in group assets 14,500 employees in Australia and New Zealand 9 million customers Issuer Credit Ratings of A+ / A1 / A+ with S&P / Moody’s / Fitch respectively
*Source: Bloomberg
4
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited Surplus assets Suncorp Group GI Life Bank
General Insurance Bank
(Suncorp Metway Ltd)
Life Shareholders
Surplus returned to shareholders Ordinary dividend – 60-80% of cash earnings Distributable earnings Maintain capital targets
5
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
6
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
FY15 FY14 %∆ General Insurance NPAT 756 1,010 (25.1) Bank NPAT 354 228 55.3 Suncorp Life NPAT 125 92 35.9 Business lines NPAT 1,235 1,330 (7.1) Other (44) (26) 69.2 Cash earnings 1,191 1,304 (8.7) Life Insurance write-down
n/a Other profit and acquisition amortisation (58) (78) (25.6) NPAT 1,133 730 55.2
289 289 228 354 146 120 84 113 (263) (632) 493 883 1010 756 105 (60) 8 12
7
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Profit diversification
FY12 FY13 FY14 770 600 1,330 1,235 FY15
Life market adjustments Life underlying NPAT General Insurance Non-core Bank Bank
8
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
$m FY15 %Δ
General Insurance profit after tax 756 (25.1)
Reserve releases of $427 million Natural hazards $473 million above allowance GI CET1 1.40x PCA GWP up 0.1% with positive unit growth in Personal lines Underlying ITR of 14.7% exceeding commitment to ‘meet or beat’ 12% Reported ITR of 11.4%
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Geographic diversification Market Share Diversified by industry class
Home and Motor Insurance Australia - 28% Commercial Insurance Australia - 17% Compulsory Third Party NSW - 27% Compulsory Third Party QLD - 50%
QLD 30% NSW 32% VIC 21% WA 8% Other 9% Gross Written Premium by Geography Motor 33% Home 28% CTP 15% Gross Written Premium by Product Commercial 24%
9
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Differentiated offerings, preserving core elem ents of each brand
10
Lead national brand:
State based brand in NSW and VIC:
more comprehensive cover Suncorp Insurance:
Queensland insurance
connections National life stage brand:
excellence
Personal Insurance market share in each State(1)
WA 15% SA 15% Vic 32% Qld 34% TAS 36% NSW 29% NT 11%
(1) Roy Morgan market shares (Jul 2015)
11
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Individual in-force premiums up 5.6% Claims experience $8 million favourable Lapse experience $7 million favourable Super new business up 23.4% driven by WealthSmart and Everyday Super Strong growth in Direct sales via insurance brands
$m FY15 %Δ
Underlying profit after tax 113 34.5 Market adjustment after tax 12 50.0 Life profit after tax 125 35.9
August 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
12
$m FY15 %Δ
Bank profit after tax 354 55.3 NIM improved to 1.85% Bank CET1 increased to 9.15% Cost to income ratio down to 53.4% Deposit to loan ratio 65.3% Home lending up 7.1% Business lending down 7.3% Non performing loans down 20.1% Gross impaired assets down 34.5%
13
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
1.72% 1.85%
0.21% 0.05% (0.11%) (0.01%) (0.01%) 2014 Bank NIM Lending Mix / Spreads Retail Funding Mix / Spreads Wholesale Funding Mix/Spreads Balance sheet management Earnings on Invested Capital 2015 Bank NIM
14
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
$570 m excess CET1 on a post-dividend basis
$m General Insurance Bank Life NOHC and
Suncorp Group total CET1 3,069 2,802 438 320 6,629 CET1 target 2,298 2,678 334 106 5,416 Excess (pre-div) 771 124 104 214 1,213 Dividend (643) Excess (post-div) 570 CET1 coverage ratio (pre-div) 1.40x 9.13% 1.77x CET1 targets 1.05x 8.75%
Amount equal to sum
excess
15
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
CET1 position relative to peers Capital (CET1 ratio)
8.22% 8.53% 8.70% 8.81% 8.82% 9.13% 8.86% Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15
Note: The Bank’s CET1 ratio decreased from Jun-15 to Sep-15 following the declaration of the Suncorp Group dividend in August.
8.86% 8.17% 8.91% 9.20% 9.10% 9.00% 9.94% SUN Regional 1 Regional 2 Major 1* Major 2 Major 3 Major 4
CET1 source: regulatory CET1 per latest company disclosures. Majors as at Jun-15, Regional 1 as at Aug-15 and Regional 2 as at May-15. Major 1 is a pro-forma ratio post capital raising.
Strong capital position
Growth opportunities
16
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
#Vero and AAI ^Residential mortgages `In-force individual risk premiums Australia.
Potential to grow to natural market share in targeted segments
Suncorp Bank^
3%
Suncorp Life`
5%
Incremental growth opportunities in markets where we are a leading player
Home and Motor Insurance
29%
QLD CTP
51%
OUR HOW
Growth opportunities from entering new markets and expanding in existing markets
CI Aust
16%
CI NZ
25%
PI NZ#
24%
CTP NSW
21%
17
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
A strengthened custom er franchise
business lines
insurance brands
Strong outcom es across the Group 82 79 87 85 83 88
Motor Home Bank
Industry leading custom er satisfaction 84 82 84
Industry average Jun 14 Jun 15
Unlocking the value of our 9 m illion custom ers
18
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Connected custom ers Sim plified system s Underpinned by Business Intelligence Sitting within a secure and scalable cloud Supported by a unique way of working
SERVICE CULTURE INNOVATION RELENTLESS EXECUTION AGILE/ LEAN PARTNERING BANK LIFE GENERAL INSURANCE CORPORATE
DATA LAKE
SUNCORP DATA SERVICES
CLOUD ENVIRONMENT
19
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
20
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Australia’s leading regional bank
Branch, Business Centres as at Sep 2015. Customer figures at Dec 2014. Mobile Banking App won the QLD iAward, June 2014.
1,059,000
branches & business centres
Banking App
New South Wales
41 branches 3 business centres
Queensland
124 branches 7 agencies 12 business centres
South Australia
1 branch 1 business centre
Victoria
9 branches 2 business centres
Tasmania
1 branch
ACT
2 branches
Western Australia
12 branches 1 business centre
Home lending up 2.9% Business lending down 1.7% Bank CET1 8.86% comfortably within the 8.50%-9.00% target range Non performing loans down 7.8% Gross impaired assets down 7.3%
21
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Conservative approach to growth
Housing 81% (up 2.9%) Comm/SME 10% (down 1.4%) Agri 8% (down 2.0%) Consumer 1% (down 3.9%)
Lending assets $53 billion 73% business lending exposures <$10 m
< $5m 55% $5-$10m 18% $10-$25m 20% $25-$50m 7%
21
22
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Portfolio Metrics Jun 20 0 9 Sept 20 15 Exposures
121 Impaired assets $1,474m $202m Impairment losses $710m $6m
Jun 20 0 9 Lending portfolio ($54.4 bn) Sep 20 15 Lending portfolio ($53 bn)
Housing 52% Com/ SME 10% Agri 6% Corporate & Property 30% Housing 52% Com/ SME 10% Agri 6%
Corporate
& Property 30% Housing 81% (up 2.9%) Comm/ SME 10% (down 1.4%) Agri 8% (down 2.0%)
Consumer
1% (down 3.9%)
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Retail
FY14 HY15 Sep15
Owner Occupier 69.5% 68.9% 69.1% Investor 30.5% 31.1% 30.9% Interest Only 22.1% 23.7% 24.4% Low Doc 3.2% 2.7% 2.0% Direct 40.3% 39.4% 36.5% Broker 59.7% 60.6% 63.5% Mortgage Insured 47.8% 44.7% 38.4% Not Mortgage Insured 52.2% 55.3% 61.6% Fixed 20.9% 20.8% 19.8% Variable 79.1% 79.2% 80.2% Average Loan size $218,488 $219,800 $224,536 LVR Group (0.00% - 80%) 59.2% 61.7% 65.6% LVR Group (80.01% - 90%) 24.0% 24.8% 23.3% LVR Group (90.01% and above) 16.7% 13.5% 11.0% 90 days+ past due 0.93% 0.78% 0.67%
Impairment losses to Gross Loans
0.06% 0.06% 0.06% Specific Provisions 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% Loss Rate 0.004% 0.001% 0.001%
LVR Distribution
23
Loan Type
Owner Occupier 69.1% Investor 30.9% QLD 51%
NSW/ ACT
28% VIC/SA /Other 13% WA 8%
Geography
Fixed 19.8%
Interest Type
24.2% 14.1% 27.3% 11.3% 12.0% 9.6% 1.5%
0 - 60% 60.01 - 70% 70.01 - 80% 80.01 - 85% 85.01 - 90% 90.01 - 95% 95%+
Variable 80.2%
24
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Im proved LVR m ix
new home lending
grades at origination
toward sub-80% lending New m ortgage originations by LVR
67% 69% 72% 80% 86% 89% 83% 89% 8% 10% 15% 13% 11% 8% 12% 8% 25% 21% 13% 7% 4% 3% 5% 2% Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 <80% 80.01% - 90% 90.01% +
0.92% 0.98% 1.03% 0.93% 0.81% 0.74% 0.77% 0.78% 0.67% 0.06% 0.52% 0.01% Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Total home lending Home lending impaired Past due non-hardship HL Loss Rate
25
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Im paired and non-perform ing loans both down significantly
Gross im paired loans by segm ent ($m )
28 33 38 31 28 163 162 151 125 119 90 67 63 62 55 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Retail lending Agribusiness lending Commercial/SME lending
Past due hom e loans (% gross hom e loans)
Realising benefits from improved lending asset quality underpinned by enhanced risk management capability
26
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Im pairm ents
0.04% 0.13% 0.18% 0.17% 0.15% 0.14% 0.11%
SUN Regional 1 Regional 2 Major 1 Major 2 Major 3 Major 4
0.26% 0.38% 0.27% 0.28% 0.28% 0.29% 0.18%
SUN Regional 1 Regional 2 Major 1 Major 2 Major 3 Major 4
Im pairm ent losses to gross loans Net im paired loans to gross loans
SUN’s target range 10-20bps
Source: Latest peer financial reports
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Com m ercial (SME) asset growth and credit quality
27
$5.3 billion
tolerances with impaired assets declining 12.7%
low-risk, well secured business lending within its target market
towards less than $5 million lending, with 99% of customer groups within this range.
portfolio consists of customer groups with an average exposure
Com m ercial (SME) ($m )
5,297 5,472 5,531 5,553 5,666 5,746 5,772 5,576 5,593 5,447 5,353 5,278
1.56% 1.56% 0.88% 0.88% 1.00% 2.05% 0.88% 0.86% 1.20% 1.16% 1.16% 1.05%
Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14* Mar-15* Jun-15* Sept-15*
Commercial portfolio ($m) Impaired assets/Total portfolio (%)
Note: From Dec-14 the remainder of the Bank’s Non-core Portfolio was included in the Commercial/SME portfolio.
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Agribusiness asset growth and credit quality
$4.3 billion
tolerances with impaired assets declining 21.2%
care and caution with its approach to risk selection in the agribusiness sector
towards less than $5 million lending, with 93% of customer groups within this range.
Agribusiness
4,039 4,125 4,311 4,389 4,484 4,560 4,624 4,575 4,534 4,498 4,400 4,312
2.46% 2.20% 3.22% 3.77% 4.06% 4.58% 4.50% 3.56% 3.58% 3.36% 2.83% 2.75%
Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Agribusiness portfolio ($m) Gross impaired assets/Total portfolio (%)
28
29
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
30
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Dec 15 Jan 16 Mar 16 Apr 16 May 16 Aug-16 Sep 16 Dec 16 Feb-17 Mar 17 Apr 17 Oct 17 Nov 17 Dec 17 Apr 19 Aug 19 Nov 19 Apr 20 Oct-20 Covered Senior Unsecured (Domestic) Senior Unsecured (Offshore)
31
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Diverse access to funding m arkets
Deposit to loan ratio
Issue Date Am ount Tenor
Covered Bond Oct 2014 A$950m 5yr FRN/5yr Fixed Nov 2012 A$600m 5yr Fixed Jun 2012 A$1.1bn 4.5yr Fixed Senior Unsecured (Benchmark) Oct 2015 A$750m 5yr FRN/Fixed Apr 2015 US$600m 5yr Fixed Sep 2014 GBP250m 3yr FRN Apr 2014 A$750m 5yr FRN Mar 2014 US$850 3yr FRN/Fixed Apr 2013 A$750m 3yr FRN Private Placements Nov 2015 Outstandings US$290m Offshore Private Placements Nov 2015 Outstandings A$1.38bn Domestic Private Placements RMBS Mar 2015 A$1.25bn 4yrs weighted average May 2013 A$1.15bn 4yrs weighted average
genuine competitive advantage to other regional banks
lengthen and diversify term funding from established, well recognised domestic and offshore programmes
domestic fund appetite with diversity into offshore CP markets
bond and senior unsecured transactions in the A$, GBP and USD markets.
EUR, GBP, JPY & Asian currencies with all funds swapped into A$
32
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Novem ber 20 15
* Charts do not include Preference Shares
Domestic, $3,630, 28% Offshore, $2,462, 19% Covered, $2,650, 21% RMBS, $3,366, 26% Sub Debt, $742 , 6%
Asset Class
AUD, 81% USD, 15% GBP & EUR, 4%
Currency Class
23% 26% 10% 15% 26% 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr and
Remaining Tenor
33
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Com ponents of Liquid Assets ($bn) Com ponents of LCR ($bn)
1.2 1.6 1.9 3.6 2.8 9.7 7.7 6.2 5.3 5.0 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.0 4.3 01-Jan-00 02-Jan-00 03-Jan-00 04-Jan-00 05-Jan-00 Cash, Govt, Semi-govt Bank, NCD, Bills, RMBS, Supra, Covered Bonds Internal RMBS Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14 Dec 14 Jun 15 15.1 13.5 12.3 12.9 12.1 3.6 7.1 2.8 6.3 4.8 1.3 4.8 1.3 1 2 3 4 5 HQLA assets CLF Required LCR qualifying liquid assets Buffer 31 Dec 14 30 Jun 15
100% LCR 100% LCR 119% LCR 118% LCR
The Bank’s transition to Basel III APS210 Liquidity standards has changed the composition of the Bank’s liquid assets. The median LCR since implementation from 1 January to 30 June 2015 was 120%. The LCR at 30 June 2015 was 118%.
LCR defined as Liquidity Coverage Ratio. CLF defined as Committed Liquidity Facility
34
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
35
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
system called Sunloans
engine model (scorecard) which reflects the Bank’s risk strategy and underwriting criteria
scorecard is completed by accredited Suncorp staff under a Delegated Credit Authority approved by the Chief Risk Officer *
authority
regularly by the hindsight review team and QBE LMI for LMI loans
Approved Suncorp Central Processing Area SUNCORP CENTRES 211 offices nationwide AGGREGATORS 22 nationwide Automated Credit Scoring Model ‘Sunloans’ 37% 63% Customer Referred Delegated Credit Authority ‘DCA’ Declined 58% 31% 11% Referred Approved Declined Approved 65% 11%
Hom e loan underwriting process
* Delegated by the Chief Risk Officer to Executive Manager Credit Oversight and Assurance for Delegated Credit Authority below Banking Credit.
14 in-branch lenders
* All percentages as at September 2015
36
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Underwriting criteria & valuation requirem ents
Underwriting Criteria Valuation Requirem ents
Overview:
is referred via the scorecard to a higher approval authority for decision
Lending Staff who are achieving benchmark results in Compliance Overview:
sheet Serviceability:
greater of the “floor” rate (5 year BBSW average for the previous quarter + 3% buffer + an overlay of 156bps) or the actual Customer product rate + 2%
required
are higher than the customer’s actual living expenses. These allowances are updated quarterly and align with recognised indices Valuations are required:
which is a fully automated system supplied by Core Logic that links the Bank to the Valuation firms – the selection of a valuer is random and controlled by the system.
which determines the type of valuation to be used for a particular scenario.
** If the LVR is <= 80% and the loan amount is < $1M, a valuation may not be required if the contract of sale is acceptable and the Bank can validate same** Acceptable loan security:
maximum LVR and maximum loan amounts for particular locations
Panel valuers are individually accredited based on:
Novem ber 20 15
37
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Broker Accreditation Requirem ents Overview of Mortgage Brokers
Formal accreditation process:
Representative by a license holder
Finance Brokers Association of Australia (MFAA or FBAA)
Credit Protection (NCCP) training)
Broker responsibilities:
mortgage origination
part of the loan assessment, approval or servicing
Experience and training (administered by Aggregators):
Finance Brokers Association of Australia (MFAA or FBAA) and be personally identified (e.g. 100-point check)
An annual review process is performed by Channel Management on Aggregator relationships and includes:
Mortgage brokers
Novem ber 20 15
38
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Customer Contact Strategy (Collections) Mitigation Strategy (Recoveries) Legal Process and Asset Realisation (Repossessions)
Day 1 – Day 60 Day 60 – Day 90 90 + Days
dialler
inbound calls
Sale 30 days
Collections Team (5 staff)
application basis
days
possession
and complete any capital works as required
strategy (5 staff)
Com prehensive arrears m anagem ent
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
Simon Lewis Adam Parry Katie Taylor-Groth Executive Manager Funding Institutional Relationship Manager Institutional Relationship Manager simon.lewis@suncorp.com.au adam.parry@suncorp.com.au katie.taylor-groth@suncorp.com.au 07 3362 4037 07 3362 4031 07 3362 4049
For further information on Treasury Funding please go to http://www.suncorpbank.com.au/financial- services/treasury/wholesale-funding
Novem ber 20 15
39
Novem ber 20 15
Suncorp Group Lim ited
This presentation contains general information which is current as at 18th November 2015. It is information given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. All amounts are in Australian dollars unless otherwise stated. It is not a recommendation or advice in relation to Suncorp or any product or service offered by Suncorp or any of its
the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. These should be considered, with or without professional advice, when deciding if an investment is appropriate. This report should be read in conjunction with all other information concerning Suncorp filed with the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). The information in this report is for general information only. To the extent that the information may constitute forward-looking statements, the information reflects Suncorp’s intent, belief or current expectations with respect to its business and
management practices at the date of this report. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond Suncorp’s control, which may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied. Suncorp undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this report (subject to ASX stock exchange disclosure requirements).
40