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Stud uden ent Ac Access, E Equit quity, a and S Suc ucces ess in in 2020: 0: Data I Insi sights Quarterly Meeting of the T ennessee Board of Regents September 2020 High Impact Practices Supporting Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs


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SLIDE 1

Stud uden ent Ac Access, E Equit quity, a and S Suc ucces ess in in 2020: 0: Data I Insi sights

Quarterly Meeting of the T ennessee Board of Regents September 2020

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SLIDE 2

Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs

K-12 Pipeline Adults Graduates Workforce Training Labor Force Transfers

TN Transfer Pathways SAILS TN Pathways EPSOs

High Impact Practices Learning Support Mindset Beyond Financial Aid Digital Engagement Initiative

Supporting Students

Student Access, Retention, Success, & Equity

Achieving the Dream Academic and Financial Operations Data Science, Analytics & T

  • ols

Strategic Enrollment Management Outcomes-Based Funding Formula

Supporting Colleges

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SLIDE 3

Guiding Questions

Enrollment & Access

What does enrollment look like in an

  • pen access system this fall?

How does enrollment reflect the communities that we serve? How has COVID-19 affected who we serve or how we serve them?

Student Success

What progress have colleges made toward the Drive to 55? How do we measure success? Are those metrics consistent with our mission and the students we serve? What do we know about the causes of student success?

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SLIDE 4

Enrollment & Access

Students at Roane State’s Oak Ridge Campus in 2019

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SLIDE 5

What does enrollment look like in an open access system this fall?

Enrollment & Access

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SLIDE 6

Fall 2020 at Community Colleges

96,780 92,742 90,615 87,064 87,929 86,162 87,220 89,078 88,946 78,753 62,032 58,656 56,392 54,192 57,290 56,511 58,005 58,712 58,207 50,871

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Fall T erms

Headcount FTE

*Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data. Prior years are reported with official end-of-term data. Historically, the end-of-term headcount is 1% higher than census, while end-of-term full-time equivalent (FTE) enrollment is 2% higher than census. Census FTE may not reflect enrollments in courses that begin after the 14th day.

Enrollment in fall 2020 declined 11.5% compared to total enrollment in fall 2019. That’s 10,000 fewer students. Full-time equivalent (FTE) enrollment declined 12.6% from fall 2019 to fall 2020.

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SLIDE 7

Headcount at Community Colleges

*Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data. Prior years are reported with official end-of-term data.

2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 2019 2020

Small Changes

2019 2020

Moderate Changes

2019 2020

Significant Changes

Volunteer Motlow Columbia Dyersburg Nashville Walters Northeast Cleveland Pellissippi Southwest Jackson

  • 4%
  • 7%
  • 8%
  • 7%
  • 12%
  • 9%
  • 12%
  • 9%
  • 14%
  • 24%
  • 15%

Roane

  • 14%

Chattanooga

  • 9%
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SLIDE 8

Fall 2020 at Community Colleges: Summary

Dual enrollment

declined 9% from 2019 to 2020. That’s 1,500 fewer students.

First-time, full- time freshmen

declined 19% from 2019 to 2020. That’s 3,600 fewer students.

Adult enrollment

declined 13% from 2019 to 2020. That’s 3,300 fewer students.

5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000

'11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20

5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000

'11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20

8,000 16,000 24,000 32,000 40,000

'11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20

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SLIDE 9

Community College Enrollment by Type

8,000 16,000 24,000 32,000 40,000 48,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Headcount

Fall T erms

Dual Enrollment Non-Degree Seeking Certificate Seeking Associate Seeking - Freshmen Associate Seeking - Sophomore

  • 22%
  • 7%

Enrollment by dual enrolled high school students declined 9% from fall 2019 to fall 2020. Enrollment by freshmen students seeking an associate degree declined 16% from fall 2019 to fall 2020. Enrollment by associate- seeing sophomores declined by only 6%.

  • 16%
  • 6%
  • 9%

*Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data.

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SLIDE 10

First-Time Freshmen Enrollment

5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Headcount

Fall T erms

All First-Time Students First-Time, Full-Time First-Time, Full-Time, Recent HS Graduate

15,104 first-time, full-time (FTFT) freshmen enrolled at community colleges in fall 2020. Enrollment by this group declined 19% compared to fall 2019. 13,313 FTFT students in fall 2020 enrolled within one year of high school

  • graduation. This group is

also 19% smaller than in fall 2019.

  • 16%
  • 19%
  • 19%

*Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data.

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SLIDE 11

Community College Enrollment by Age

*Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data.

Enrollment among non-dual enrollment students age 19 or younger declined 10% from fall 2019 to 2020. The number of students age 35 and older declined 17% from fall 2019 to fall 2020. Enrollment by all adults (those 25 and older) declined 13%.

5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Headcount

Fall T erms

Dual Enrollment Age 19 or Younger Age 20-24 Age 25-34 Age 35 or Older

  • 10%
  • 13%
  • 9%
  • 10%
  • 17%
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SLIDE 12

Tennessee Promise and Reconnect

According to preliminary data…

*Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data. Data on Promise and Reconnect students is preliminary and based on the number of applicants, not the number of recipients.

13,000

new T ennessee Promise applicants are enrolled at community colleges this fall.

Down approximately 6% from last fall.

11,800

T ennessee Reconnect applicants are enrolled at community colleges this fall.

Down approximately 15% from last fall.

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SLIDE 13

Fall-to-Fall Retention

30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20*

Fall FTFT Cohort

First-Year Retention Rates for FTFT Students

All Black Hispanic White

*First-year retention rates reflect the number of students in the first-time, full-time freshmen cohort who returned the next fall or earned a certificate or degree anytime during the first year of enrollment. Data for the 2019 cohort is preliminary and based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data for fall 2020.

54% of students who enrolled as first-time, full- time freshmen in fall 2019 were retained in fall 2020. The fall-to-fall retention rate declined 1 point since last year. Among Hispanic students who enrolled in fall 2019, the retention rate declined from 60% to 55%.

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Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs

According to preliminary data…

10,772

students have registered at the T ennessee Colleges of Applied T echnology for fall 2020.

Up 3% from this time last fall.

*Preliminary fall 2020 TCAT data is based on the number of students who registered at TCATs as of the second week of September.

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SLIDE 15

How does enrollment reflect the communities that we serve?

Enrollment & Access

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SLIDE 16

Fall 2020 at Community Colleges: Summary

Black & African American enrollment

declined 19% from 2019 to 2020. That’s 2,680 fewer students.

Black male enrollment

declined 24% from 2019 to 2020. That’s 1,160 fewer students.

Female student enrollment

declined 9% from 2019 to 2020. That’s 4,790 fewer students.

5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000

'11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20

5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000

'11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20

15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000

'11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20

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SLIDE 17

Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs

https://www.tbr.edu/sites/default/files/media/2020/03/TN-Promise_March2020.pdf

Community College Enrollment by Group

*Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data.

Enrollment by Black and African American students declined 19% from fall 2019 to fall 2020. Enrollment by Black and African American male students declined 24% compared to fall 2019. Enrollment by Hispanic students declined only 4% compared to fall 2019.

10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 2019 2020

Headcount by Race/Ethnicity

5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 2019 2020

Headcount By Gender

White Black Hispanic

  • 11%
  • 19%
  • 4%

White Female White Male Black Female Black Male

  • 8%
  • 15%
  • 16%
  • 24%
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SLIDE 18

Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs

https://www.tbr.edu/sites/default/files/media/2020/03/TN-Promise_March2020.pdf

First-Time, Full-Time Freshmen Enrollment by Group

First time, full-time (FTFT) enrollment by Black and African American students declined 31% from fall 2019 to fall 2020. FTFT enrollment by Black male students declined 35% compared to fall 2019. FTFT enrollment by Hispanic students declined 18%.

3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 15,000 2019 2020

FTFT by Race/Ethnicity

2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 2019 2020

FTFT By Gender

White Black Hispanic

  • 17%
  • 31%
  • 18%

White Female White Male Black Female Black Male

  • 14%
  • 20%
  • 27%
  • 35%

*Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data.

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SLIDE 19

Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs

https://www.tbr.edu/sites/default/files/media/2020/03/TN-Promise_March2020.pdf

How does the freshman class compare to the high school graduating class of 2020?

64,500+ students

Tennessee High School Class of 2020

13,313 students

Recent HS Grads Enrolled at Community Colleges in Fall 2020

*Data on the Tennessee high school class of 2020 represents graduates from the 2019-20 academic year, based on data from the Tennessee Department of Education. For more about the high school pipeline, visit the TBR Research Library.

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SLIDE 20

Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs

County Unemployment Rate in July 2020 Change in Adult Enrollment (2019 to 2020)

Shelby 14%

  • 23%

Davidson 12%

  • 6%

Lauderdale 12% +16% McNairy 12%

  • 26%

Cocke 11%

  • 21%

Grundy 11% +17% Sevier 10%

  • 11%

How does adult enrollment reflect unemployment rates?

*Data on unemployment rates is provided by the Tennessee Department of Labor and Workforce Development. Adults are defined as students age 25 and older.

Change in Adult Enrollment by County

Fall 2019 to Fall 2020 Most counties saw a decline in adult enrollment. This was true even in counties with higher unemployment rates.

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SLIDE 21

How has COVID-19 affected who we serve or how we serve them?

Enrollment & Access

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SLIDE 22

Dual enrollment decreased systemwide.

400 800 1,200 1,600 2,000 2019 2020 Fall T erms +4%

  • 15%
  • 16%
  • 19%
  • 37%

At community colleges, dual enrollment declined 9% from fall 2019 to fall 2020. That represents 1,500 fewer students compared to last fall.

Dual Enrollment Headcount

Motlow Volunteer Chattanooga Roane Pellissippi Nashville Southwest +1% +7%

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SLIDE 23

Academic preparation increased.

The number of students with ACT scores below 19 declined 25% from fall 2019 to fall 2020. That represents 1,900 fewer students with ACT scores below 19. The average high school GPA also rose. The number of students with GPAs below 3.0 dropped by 30%.

400 800 1,200 1,600

<13 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32+

Percent of Students ACT Composite Scores

ACT Scores among First-Time, Full-Time Freshmen

Fall 2019 Fall 2020

High School GPAs among First-Time, Full-Time Freshmen

1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 2.0 or Less 2.1 to 2.5 2.6 to 3.0 3.1 to 3.5 3.6 to 4.0+ Fall 2019 Fall 2020

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SLIDE 24

Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs The steepest declines among students with lower ACT scores.

This group declined 25%. That’s 753 fewer students (463 fewer Black students). 300 600 900

2019 2020 FTFT Cohort

White Female White Male Black Female Black Male

ACT 15 or Less

600 1,200 1,800

2019 2020 FTFT Cohort

White Female White Male Black Female Black Male

ACT 16-18

1,000 2,000 3,000

2019 2020 FTFT Cohort

White Female White Male Black Female Black Male

ACT 19-23

400 800 1,200

2019 2020 FTFT Cohort

White Female White Male Black Female Black Male

ACT 24+

This group declined 24%. That’s 1,151 fewer students (345 fewer Black students). This group declined 19%. That’s 1,289 fewer students (541 fewer male students). This group declined 16%. That’s 387 fewer students (186 fewer white female students).

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SLIDE 25

Learning support needs decreased.

55% of first-time, full-time freshmen at community colleges in fall 2020 required learning support in at least

  • ne subject area.

This was 3 percentage points lower than in fall 2019.

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Fall T erms

Math LS Reading LS Writing LS Any LS

First-Time, Full-Time Freshmen Requiring Learning Support

*The percent of students requiring learning support is based on students who would require learning support based on their academic preparedness, not actual counts of students enrolled in learning support courses.

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SLIDE 26

Enrollment in

  • nline &

hybrid courses nearly doubled.

The number of community college students enrolled in at least one

  • nline/remote course in fall 2020

increased 70% over fall 2019, and the number of students in hybrid courses doubled.

10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Fall T erm

Headcount by Delivery Method

Conventional Hybrid Online/Remote Other

*Summing the delivery method categories will result in a headcount higher than the total headcount, as students taking classes though multiple delivery methods will be counted multiple times.

  • 81%

+70% +101%

  • 21%
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SLIDE 27

Enrollment & Access: Key Takeaways

  • Community college enrollment in fall 2020 is 11.5% lower

than in fall 2019.

  • TCAT registrations have increased 3%.

What does enrollment look like in an open access system this fall?

  • At community colleges, full-time enrollment by recent high

school graduates declined by 19%.

  • Declines were especially pronounced for Black students

and male students.

How does enrollment reflect the communities that we serve?

  • Dual enrollment and adult enrollment decreased.
  • The most significant declines in freshmen enrollment were

among students with ACT scores below 19.

  • Enrollment in online and hybrid courses nearly doubled.

How has COVID-19 affected who we serve or how we serve them?

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SLIDE 28

Student Success

A Classroom at Southwest Tennessee Community College in 2019

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SLIDE 29

What progress have colleges made toward the Drive to 55?

Student Success

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SLIDE 30

Community College Students Set a New Record for Awards in 2019-2020

*Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data. Prior years are reported with official end-of-term data. Awards include degrees and technical certificates for the academic year.

11,044 12,514 12,658 12,762 12,993 13,643 14,136 15,240 14,968 15,874

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Awards

44% increase in awards from 2011 to 2020 96,780 92,742 90,615 87,064 87,929 86,162 87,220 89,078 88,946 78,753

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Enrollment

19% decrease in enrollment from 2011 to 2020

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SLIDE 31

Awards at Community Colleges

*Awards include degrees and technical certificates for the academic year (preceding summer, fall, and spring).

15,874 degrees and certificates were earned by community college students in 2019-20. This is the highest number

  • f awards in TBR history.

At 11 community colleges, awards in 2019-20 increased

  • ver the prior year. At Jackson,

awards increased 21%. At Cleveland, awards increased 32% over the prior year.

Cleveland 853 Columbia 1,040 Jackson 704 Pellissippi 2,189 Volunteer 1,710 Walters 1,323 300 600 900 1,200 1,500 1,800 2,100 2019 2020

Award Increases at Community Colleges

slide-32
SLIDE 32

Graduates at Community Colleges

*Associate degrees designed to transfer include the Associate of Arts, Associate of Science, Associate of Science in Teaching, and Associate of Fine Arts.

19% 32% 26% 16% 6%

Associate Degrees in Tennessee Transfer Pathways Other Associate Degrees Designed to Transfer Associate of Applied Science Short-Term Certificate Long-Term Certificate

Awards in 2019-20 by Type About the Graduates

55%

are female students.

41%

are adult students (25+).

10%

are Black or African American students.

5%

are Hispanic students.

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SLIDE 33

Awards and Success at TCATs

*Awards include diplomas and certificates for the academic year (fall, spring, and trailing summer). Data on completion, job placement, and licensure are based on data reported to the Council on Occupational Education (COE). Awards for the 2019-20 academic year are based on preliminary data. The total number of 2019-20 awards will be revised when final data is available.

TCAT Student Success in 2018-19

89% 89%

Job Placement Rate

95% 95%

Licensure Pass Rate Completion Rate

82% 82%

7,23 ,235 7,03 ,038 7,52 ,528 7,4 ,470 7, 7,70 709 7,21 ,219 7, 7,16 165 7, 7,12 124 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020*

Awards

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SLIDE 34

Progress toward Drive to 55 Goals

*Drive to 55 targets capture the annual number of unique graduates. Since some individuals earn multiple awards, the number of award recipients differs from the number of awards.

6,980 1,543

TCAT Goal

In 2018-19, 6,980 students graduated from TCATs. An additional 1,543 graduates next year will help us reach the target.

T arget: 8,523

14,622 273

Community College Goal

In 2019-20, 14,622 students graduated from community colleges. An additional 273 graduates next year will help us reach the annual target.

T arget: 14,895 Graduates Graduates

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SLIDE 35

How do we measure success?

Are those metrics consistent with our mission and the students we serve?

Student Success

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SLIDE 36

Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs Community College Graduation Rates

*Graduation rates include degrees and technical certificates earned at any TBR community college.

14% 16% 17% 20% 22% 24% 25% 25%

2010-13 2011-14 2012-15 2013-16 2014-17 2015-18 2016-19 2017-20

Three-Year Graduation Rate

25.3% of students from the 2017 cohort graduated within three years. Graduation rates have nearly doubled since 2010. At four community colleges, 2017-20 graduation rates exceeded 30%: Motlow 33% Northeast 32% Walters 31% Roane 31%

For more about graduation rates, visit the TBR Research Library.

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SLIDE 37

Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs Gaps in Graduation Rates by Race

*Graduation rates include degrees and technical certificates earned at any TBR community college.

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

2010-13 2011-14 2012-15 2013-16 2014-17 2015-18 2016-19 2017-20

Three-Year Graduation Rate by Race and Ethnicity

Black and African American Hispanic White

23% of Hispanic students graduated within three years. 11% of Black students from the 2017 cohort graduated within three years. T

  • close the gap between

white and Black students in 2017, community colleges would have needed to graduate 614 additional Black students.

For more about graduation rates, visit the TBR Research Library.

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SLIDE 38

Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs Equity Gaps Persist in Graduation Rates

*Graduation rates include degrees and technical certificates earned at any TBR community college.

One third (32%) of white students in the 2017 cohort had ACT scores below 19. By 2020, 17% of these students graduated. Nearly three-quarters (71%) of Black students in the 2017 cohort had ACT scores below 19. By 2020, 9% of these students graduated.

24% 34% 30% 27% 17% 12% 41% 29% 9% 17% 12% 11% 9% 6% 28% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Three-Year Graduation Rate for the 2017 Cohort

White Students Black and African American Students

Pell Not Pell Recent HS Adult ACT HS GPA HS GPA All 2017 Grad (25+) <19 <3.0 3.0+ Cohort

2017 FTFT Cohort

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SLIDE 39

Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs Graduation Rates by Academic Preparation

*Graduation rates include degrees and technical certificates earned at any TBR community college.

4% 6% 8% 9% 14% 18% 22% 26% 30% 34% 39% 40% 41% 46% 49% 49%

<= 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 >= 27

ACT Composite Score

Three-Year Graduation Rate for the 2017 Cohort By ACT Score

4% 11% 39%

Below 2.0 2.0-3.0 3.0 or Above

High School GPA

By High School GPA

Median ACT

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SLIDE 40

Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs Early Indicators of Success Rates

Early indicators suggested that graduation rates increases might plateau with the 2017 cohort:

*Data for gateway course completion includes first-time-ever-in-college students. The 2019 cohort does not yet include courses completed in summer 2020. First-year retention rates reflect the number of students in the first-time, full-time freshmen cohort who returned the next fall or earned a certificate or degree anytime during the first year. Data for the 2019 cohort is preliminary and based on census enrollment for fall 2020.

0% 15% 30% 45% 60%

'11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19*

Cohort

Completed Gateway Math in First Year

0% 15% 30% 45% 60%

'11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19*

Cohort

Completed Gateway English in First Year

0% 15% 30% 45% 60%

'11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19*

Cohort

Returned for Second Year Gateway math completion declined 3 points from 2016 to 2017. Gateway English completion declined 1.3 points from 2016 to 2017. First-year retention rates declined 3 points from 2016 to 2017.

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SLIDE 41

Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs Graduation Rates Beyond Three Years

*The cumulative graduation rate reflects the cumulative number of students in a cohort who earned a technical certificate or degree from any TBR community in each semester, beginning with the student’s first semester

  • f enrollment as a first-time, full-time freshman.

16% 25% 29% 30% 31% 30% 29% 26% 25% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

Cumulative Graduation Rate Number of Semesters Since First Enrollment

2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009

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SLIDE 42

Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs Unpacking Student Success:

Tennessee Promise Students

22% 23% 23%

2015 Cohort 2016 Cohort 2017 Cohort

T ennessee Promise Students

Within five semesters of initial enrollment, 49% of students who enrolled in 2017 within a year of high school graduation:

  • earned a credential,
  • transferred, or
  • were still enrolled at a

community college. Among Promise students who enrolled in 2017, 51% had succeeded in 5 semesters.

For more about Tennessee Promise students’ success, visit the TBR Research Library.

14% 18% 20% 21% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

2014 Cohort 2015 Cohort 2016 Cohort 2017 Cohort

Still Enrolled Transferred Graduated

Success after Five Semesters

All Recent High School Graduates

50% 49% 49% 52% 52% 51% 49%

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SLIDE 43

Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs Unpacking Student Success:

Inbound Transfer Students

*Data is from P20 Connect, the Tennessee Longitudinal Data System. For more about inbound transfer students, visit the TBR Research Library.

16% 21% 20% 36% 20% 28% 26% 46% 17% 24% 22% 39%

At TBR Colleges At Any TN Institution At TBR Colleges At Any TN Institution LGIs UTs Total

Graduation Rates for Inbound Transfer Students

Former FTFT Freshman at Tennessee Public Universities

6-Year Graduation Rate (2010-2013 Transfers) 3-Year Graduation Rate (2010-2016 Transfers)

Inbound transfers are students who transfer into a community college from outside of the system. From 2010 to 2016, more than 52,000 students transferred into TBR community colleges. Nearly 15,000 were former FTFT freshmen from T ennessee public universities. Within six years of transferring, 22%

  • f these students graduated from a

community college, and 39% graduated from a community college or a TN public university.

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SLIDE 44

What do we know about the causes of student success?

Student Success

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SLIDE 45

Gateway course completion has doubled since 2011.

Completion of gateway courses, like college-level math, has improved significantly. Completion of gateway math doubled, from 20% in 2011-12 to 40% in 2019-20. But gaps persist.

*Data for the 2019 first-time-ever-in-college cohort does not yet include summer 2020.

Corequisite Remediation 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019* Percent of Students Passing Course in First Year First-Time-Ever-in-College Cohort

Success in Gateway Math

White Black Hispanic All

For more about gateway course completion, visit the TBR Research Library.

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SLIDE 46

Success in

  • nline courses

lags behind in-person courses.

70% 78% 81% 83% 75% 69% 79% 61% 69% 75% 76% 70% 64% 73%

55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90%

Course Success Rates in Fall 2019

In-Person Courses Campus-Based Online Courses Black White Hispanic Age 25+ Pell ACT < 19 All

*Course success rates include the percent of students who earned a grade of A, B, C, D, P, or S in the course. For more about online course success, visit the TBR Research Library.

Many students took online courses prior to 2020. But success rates in

  • nline courses were typically

lower than success rates for in-person courses.

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SLIDE 47

Students’ life circumstances influence their success.

Results from the Community College Survey of Student Engagement (CCSSE)

For more about this study, visit the TBR Research Library.

According to the 2019 CCSSE at TBR colleges:

  • f students worked while enrolled.
  • f students worked more than 20 hours per week.
  • f students are responsible for the care of dependents.
  • f students said caring for dependents made them

likely or very likely to withdraw from college. A 2020 TBR/UT study of CCSSE responses found:

  • Time spent caring for dependents had a negative effect on the

probability of graduation and on students’ grades.

  • Long commutes to school had a negative effect on time to graduation.
  • Student advising increased the likelihood of graduation and was

associated with higher grades. 77% 62% 52% 28%

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SLIDE 48

Student Success: Key Takeaways

  • Community colleges set a record, with 15,874

awards earned in 2019-20.

  • TCAT students earned 7,124 awards.

What progress have colleges made toward the Drive to 55?

  • 25% of students from the 2017 freshman cohort

have graduated.

  • Equity gaps persist, especially between white and

Black students.

How do we measure success? Are those metrics consistent with our mission and the students we serve?

  • Online course success rates lag behind success

rates for in-person courses.

  • Students’ life and personal circumstances play a

significant role in their success.

What do we know about the causes of student success?

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SLIDE 49

Ongoing Research

Adult enrollment declined 13% from 2019 to 2020.

Which strategies promote the enrollment, retention, and success of returning adult students?

Support from Lumina Foundation and Ascendium

25% of incoming students graduate within three years.

How do we improve learning support and promote the use

  • f high impact teaching

practices?

Support from the Education Commission of the States

Nearly 23,000 students graduated from TBR colleges in 2019-20.

How do community college and TCAT graduates perform in the workforce?

Support from the Heckscher Foundation and partnership with the University of Virginia Nudge4 Lab