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Stud uden ent Ac Access, E Equit quity, a and S Suc ucces ess in in 2020: 0: Data I Insi sights Quarterly Meeting of the T ennessee Board of Regents September 2020 High Impact Practices Supporting Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs


  1. Stud uden ent Ac Access, E Equit quity, a and S Suc ucces ess in in 2020: 0: Data I Insi sights Quarterly Meeting of the T ennessee Board of Regents September 2020

  2. High Impact Practices Supporting Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs Learning Support Students Mindset Beyond Financial Aid Digital Engagement Initiative Labor Force Adults Student Access, Retention, Transfers Graduates Success, & TN Transfer Pathways Equity K-12 Pipeline Workforce SAILS Training TN Pathways Achieving the Dream EPSOs Academic and Financial Operations Supporting Data Science, Analytics & T ools Colleges Strategic Enrollment Management Outcomes-Based Funding Formula

  3. Guiding Questions Enrollment & Access Student Success What does enrollment look like in an What progress have colleges made open access system this fall? toward the Drive to 55? How do we measure success? Are those How does enrollment reflect the metrics consistent with our mission and communities that we serve? the students we serve? How has COVID-19 affected who we What do we know about the causes of serve or how we serve them? student success?

  4. Enrollment & Access Students at Roane State’s Oak Ridge Campus in 2019

  5. What does enrollment look like in an open access system this fall? Enrollment & Access

  6. Fall 2020 at Community Colleges 96,780 92,742 90,615 89,078 88,946 87,929 87,220 87,064 86,162 Enrollment in fall 2020 78,753 declined 11.5% compared to total 62,032 58,656 58,712 58,005 58,207 57,290 56,392 56,511 enrollment in fall 2019. 54,192 50,871 That’s 10,000 fewer students. Full-time equivalent (FTE) enrollment declined 12.6% from fall 2019 to 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 fall 2020. Fall T erms Headcount FTE *Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data. Prior years are reported with official end-of-term data. Historically, the end-of-term headcount is 1% higher than census, while end-of-term full-time equivalent (FTE) enrollment is 2% higher than census. Census FTE may not reflect enrollments in courses that begin after the 14 th day.

  7. Headcount at Community Colleges Small Changes Significant Changes Moderate Changes Pellissippi 10,000 Southwest Volunteer -14% -4% Chattanooga 8,000 Nashville -9% -24% Motlow -12% Walters Columbia -7% Roane Northeast 6,000 -9% -8% -14% -12% Jackson -15% 4,000 Cleveland -9% Dyersburg -7% 2,000 0 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 *Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data. Prior years are reported with official end-of-term data.

  8. Fall 2020 at Community Colleges: Summary Dual First-time, full- Adult enrollment enrollment time freshmen declined 13% from 2019 to 2020. declined 9% from 2019 to 2020. declined 19% from 2019 to 2020. That’s 3,300 fewer students. That’s 1,500 fewer students. That’s 3,600 fewer students. 25,000 25,000 40,000 20,000 20,000 32,000 15,000 15,000 24,000 10,000 10,000 16,000 5,000 5,000 8,000 0 0 0 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20

  9. Community College Enrollment by Type 48,000 40,000 Enrollment by dual enrolled high school students 32,000 -16% declined 9% from fall 2019 Headcount -6% to fall 2020. 24,000 Enrollment by freshmen 16,000 -9% students seeking an associate degree 8,000 declined 16% -22% from fall 2019 to fall 2020. -7% 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Enrollment by associate- Fall T erms seeing sophomores declined by only 6%. Dual Enrollment Non-Degree Seeking Certificate Seeking Associate Seeking - Freshmen Associate Seeking - Sophomore *Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data.

  10. First-Time Freshmen Enrollment 25,000 20,000 15,104 first-time, full-time -16% (FTFT) freshmen enrolled 15,000 -19% at community colleges in Headcount -19% fall 2020. Enrollment by this group declined 19% 10,000 compared to fall 2019. 5,000 13,313 FTFT students in fall 2020 enrolled within one year of high school 0 graduation. This group is 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 also 19% smaller than in Fall T erms fall 2019. All First-Time Students First-Time, Full-Time First-Time, Full-Time, Recent HS Graduate *Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data.

  11. Community College Enrollment by Age 30,000 -10% 25,000 Enrollment among non-dual enrollment 20,000 students age 19 or Headcount younger declined 10% -13% 15,000 -9% from fall 2019 to 2020. -10% 10,000 The number of students -17% age 35 and older 5,000 declined 17% from fall 2019 to fall 2020. 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Enrollment by all adults (those 25 and older) Fall T erms declined 13% . Dual Enrollment Age 19 or Younger Age 20-24 Age 25-34 Age 35 or Older *Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data.

  12. Tennessee Promise and Reconnect According to preliminary data… 13,000 11,800 new T ennessee Promise T ennessee Reconnect applicants are enrolled at applicants are enrolled at community colleges this fall. community colleges this fall. Down Down approximately approximately 6% 15% from last fall. from last fall. *Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data. Data on Promise and Reconnect students is preliminary and based on the number of applicants, not the number of recipients.

  13. Fall-to-Fall Retention First-Year Retention Rates for FTFT Students 70% 54% of students who enrolled as first-time, full- 60% time freshmen in fall 2019 were retained in fall 2020. 50% The fall-to-fall retention rate declined 1 point 40% since last year. Among Hispanic students 30% who enrolled in fall 2019, 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20* the retention rate declined Fall FTFT Cohort from 60% to 55%. All Black Hispanic White *First-year retention rates reflect the number of students in the first-time, full-time freshmen cohort who returned the next fall or earned a certificate or degree anytime during the first year of enrollment. Data for the 2019 cohort is preliminary and based on unedited census (14 th day) enrollment data for fall 2020.

  14. Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs According to preliminary data… 10,772 Up students have 3% registered at the from this time T ennessee Colleges of Applied T echnology for last fall. fall 2020. *Preliminary fall 2020 TCAT data is based on the number of students who registered at TCATs as of the second week of September.

  15. How does enrollment reflect the communities that we serve? Enrollment & Access

  16. Fall 2020 at Community Colleges: Summary Black male Black & African Female student American enrollment enrollment enrollment declined 19% from 2019 to 2020. declined 9% from 2019 to 2020. declined 24% from 2019 to 2020. That’s 2,680 fewer students. That’s 4,790 fewer students. That’s 1,160 fewer students. 20,000 20,000 60,000 15,000 15,000 45,000 10,000 10,000 30,000 5,000 5,000 15,000 0 0 0 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20

  17. Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs Community College Enrollment by Group Headcount by Race/Ethnicity Headcount By Gender 40,000 70,000 White Female White Enrollment by Black and 35,000 60,000 -8% African American students -11% 30,000 declined 19% from fall 50,000 https://www.tbr.edu/sites/default/files/media/2020/03/TN-Promise_March2020.pdf 2019 to fall 2020. White Male 25,000 40,000 -15% Enrollment by Black and 20,000 30,000 African American male 15,000 students declined 24% 20,000 compared to fall 2019. 10,000 Black Female Black -16% -19% Black Male 10,000 5,000 Enrollment by Hispanic Hispanic -24% -4% students declined only 4% 0 0 compared to fall 2019. 2019 2020 2019 2020 *Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data.

  18. First-Time, Full-Time Freshmen Fall 2020 Enrollment at TCATs Enrollment by Group FTFT by Race/Ethnicity FTFT By Gender 10,000 15,000 First time, full-time (FTFT) White enrollment by Black and 12,000 8,000 African American students White Female https://www.tbr.edu/sites/default/files/media/2020/03/TN-Promise_March2020.pdf -17% declined 31% from fall 2019 -14% 9,000 6,000 to fall 2020. White Male FTFT enrollment by Black -20% 6,000 4,000 male students declined 35% compared to fall 2019. Black Female Black 3,000 2,000 -31% -27% Black Male FTFT enrollment by Hispanic Hispanic -35% -18% students declined 18%. 0 0 2019 2020 2019 2020 *Preliminary fall 2020 enrollment is based on unedited census (14th day) enrollment data.

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