Small European economies weathering the storm of the financial and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Small European economies weathering the storm of the financial and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Small European economies weathering the storm of the financial and economic crisis EFTA parliamentary Committee p y Brussels, 16 November 2011 1 Small European economies a h homogeneous group? ? Inside / outside the EU EEA or not?
Small European economies a h ? homogeneous group?
- Inside / outside the EU EEA or not? (single passport State
- Inside / outside the EU, EEA or not? (single passport, State
Aid)
- Economic structure and GDP per capita
p p
- degree of openness
- Fiscal space
- Link to the Euro
- size of the financial sector
administrative capacity (state supervisors central banks)
- administrative capacity (state, supervisors, central banks)
2
CRD IV core part of Commission response to crisis
CRD IV (incl. corporate governance and ti ) sanctions) CRD II & CRD III EU framework for crisis management and resolution Overhaul of the EU supervisory architecture MIFID and MAD review, short selling Stress test s o t se g AIFM, DGS, Credit Rating Agency Derivatives (EMIR) AIFM, DGS, mortgage credit, FICOD, protection schemes, remuneration… Credit Rating Agency Regulation, External Audit
3
Main Drivers CRD I V proposal Main Drivers CRD I V proposal
- Financial Stability and Sustainable Growth
- Financial Stability and Sustainable Growth
- Unprecedented State Aid to European banks: Euro 3.6 trillion
- Basel 3 agreement: December 2010
Basel 3 agreement: December 2010
- G20 agreement to implement Basel 3
- Single Rule Book European Council Decision: June 2009
- Review of the existing CRD legislation
4
Legislative proposal on CRD IV - what?
REGULATION DIRECTIVE
where interlinkages with national laws are particularly important CAPITAL Increase quantity/Improve quality
+
Backstop LIQUIDITY LEVERAGE RATIO Resilience to funding risks CORPORATE
+
CAPITAL BUFFERS p RATIO COUNTER- PARTY CREDIT RISK SINGLE RULE Higher capital charge - derivatives
+
GOVERNANCE SANCTIONS Maximum harmonisation SINGLE RULE BOOK
+
ENHANCED SUPERVISION
5
I mpact Assessment I mpact Assessment
- Different impact on the RWAs of Big (+25%) and Small Banks
p g ( ) (+4%)
- Phasing in from 2013 to 2019
- Overall funding needs by 2019 about 460 billion
- Overall funding needs by 2019 about 460 billion
- Long-term economic benefits (0.3% to 2% of EU annual GDP)
- Slight increase in loan rates: 0.29% and moderate decrease
i h k f l 1 8% in the stock of loans 1.8%
6
Challenges C a e ges
Legislative process Legislative process Adoption before January 2013 – Council (has started) E P li ( A il 2012 ECON J l Pl ) – European Parliament (vote April 2012 ECON July Plenary) EBA Developing draft regulatory (76) and implementing technical standards (32) and guidelines (20) + Commission ( ) g ( ) has to adopt Interplay crisis (sovereigns, SIFIs?)
7
Specific issues for small economies from CRD I V th CRD I V + other
- Single passport
systemically important branches home
- Single passport - systemically important branches - home
host issues
- Liquidity subgroups host countries
q y g p
- Countercyclical capital buffer (LU)
- Limited supervisory capacity -> high capital and liquidity
i t ? requirements?
- Leverage ratio (if low risk business model)
- Not in CRD IV: Structural measures Bank resolvability
- Not in CRD IV: Structural measures, Bank resolvability