Small European economies weathering the storm of the financial and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Small European economies weathering the storm of the financial and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Small European economies weathering the storm of the financial and economic crisis EFTA parliamentary Committee p y Brussels, 16 November 2011 1 Small European economies a h homogeneous group? ? Inside / outside the EU EEA or not?


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Small European economies weathering the storm of the financial and economic crisis

EFTA parliamentary Committee p y Brussels, 16 November 2011

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SLIDE 2

Small European economies a h ? homogeneous group?

  • Inside / outside the EU EEA or not? (single passport State
  • Inside / outside the EU, EEA or not? (single passport, State

Aid)

  • Economic structure and GDP per capita

p p

  • degree of openness
  • Fiscal space
  • Link to the Euro
  • size of the financial sector

administrative capacity (state supervisors central banks)

  • administrative capacity (state, supervisors, central banks)

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SLIDE 3

CRD IV core part of Commission response to crisis

CRD IV (incl. corporate governance and ti ) sanctions) CRD II & CRD III EU framework for crisis management and resolution Overhaul of the EU supervisory architecture MIFID and MAD review, short selling Stress test s o t se g AIFM, DGS, Credit Rating Agency Derivatives (EMIR) AIFM, DGS, mortgage credit, FICOD, protection schemes, remuneration… Credit Rating Agency Regulation, External Audit

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Main Drivers CRD I V proposal Main Drivers CRD I V proposal

  • Financial Stability and Sustainable Growth
  • Financial Stability and Sustainable Growth
  • Unprecedented State Aid to European banks: Euro 3.6 trillion
  • Basel 3 agreement: December 2010

Basel 3 agreement: December 2010

  • G20 agreement to implement Basel 3
  • Single Rule Book European Council Decision: June 2009
  • Review of the existing CRD legislation

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Legislative proposal on CRD IV - what?

REGULATION DIRECTIVE

where interlinkages with national laws are particularly important CAPITAL Increase quantity/Improve quality

+

Backstop LIQUIDITY LEVERAGE RATIO Resilience to funding risks CORPORATE

+

CAPITAL BUFFERS p RATIO COUNTER- PARTY CREDIT RISK SINGLE RULE Higher capital charge - derivatives

+

GOVERNANCE SANCTIONS Maximum harmonisation SINGLE RULE BOOK

+

ENHANCED SUPERVISION

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I mpact Assessment I mpact Assessment

  • Different impact on the RWAs of Big (+25%) and Small Banks

p g ( ) (+4%)

  • Phasing in from 2013 to 2019
  • Overall funding needs by 2019 about 460 billion
  • Overall funding needs by 2019 about 460 billion
  • Long-term economic benefits (0.3% to 2% of EU annual GDP)
  • Slight increase in loan rates: 0.29% and moderate decrease

i h k f l 1 8% in the stock of loans 1.8%

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Challenges C a e ges

Legislative process Legislative process Adoption before January 2013 – Council (has started) E P li ( A il 2012 ECON J l Pl ) – European Parliament (vote April 2012 ECON July Plenary) EBA Developing draft regulatory (76) and implementing technical standards (32) and guidelines (20) + Commission ( ) g ( ) has to adopt Interplay crisis (sovereigns, SIFIs?)

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Specific issues for small economies from CRD I V th CRD I V + other

  • Single passport

systemically important branches home

  • Single passport - systemically important branches - home

host issues

  • Liquidity subgroups host countries

q y g p

  • Countercyclical capital buffer (LU)
  • Limited supervisory capacity -> high capital and liquidity

i t ? requirements?

  • Leverage ratio (if low risk business model)
  • Not in CRD IV: Structural measures Bank resolvability
  • Not in CRD IV: Structural measures, Bank resolvability

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