SET OPPORTUNITY DAY 2Q19 RESULTS PRESENTATION 13 SEPTEMBER 2019
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SET OPPORTUNITY DAY 2Q19 RESULTS PRESENTATION 13 SEPTEMBER 2019 1 Disclaimer Certain forward looking statements may be made in the course of the presentation. These forward-looking statements generally can be identified by use of statements
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1974 1978 1996 1983 2004 2003 2008 2007 2006 2009 2011 2013 -2019
1974 Bangkok Edible Oil was founded 1978 Established Vegetable Oil Refinery at Bang Poo Industrial Estate 1983 Lam Soon (Thailand) Co,. Ltd was established 1996 LST was listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand 2003 Became a major shareholder of “UPOIC” 2004 Acquisition of “UFC” 2008
(RSPO)
2012 1974 1978 1996 1983 2004 2003 2008 2007 2006 2009 2011 2013 -2019
2012 2006 Launched new product targeted at health conscious consumers under the brand “Naturel” 2007 Implemented Electricity power project under Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and Carbon Credit Program 2009 “Jade” palm cooking oil was the first cooking oil awarded “Carbon Label” 2011 Launched soy milk products under the “UFC HomeSoy” 2012 UFC Launched Coconut water 2013 - 2019 LST & UFC launched various new products to serve customer needs In 2019, LST launched Yok Extra 100% Coconut Oil
98.83% 69.96% 100.00% 50.00% 99.98%
100.00% 50.00% 99.98% 99.99% 99.99%
Raw Material Acquisition Production Sales & Marketing Nursery Plant Oil Palm Plantation Crushing Mill Value Adding and Diversify Refinery Distribution Channel Start from 2 locations in Oil palm Total Diversifying Germinated Seeds JV with Start from nursery plant to ensure product quality 2 locations in Trang and Krabi with combined capacity 120 tons FFB / hr. Oil palm planted area Total capacity 255,500 tons /year Diversifying into food related businesses Cost saving from integrated distribution channel
JV with investment arm of CIRAD to develop
seeds species
Seedling
Germinated Seeds
Crude Palm Oil Crude Palm Kernel Oil Electricity Power from Biogas
Frozen Dough
Symbol LST Share Price ( 11 SEP 2019) 4.56 THB Historical price :
5.10 THB
3.86 THB
820 Million Par value : 1 THB/Share Market Capitalization : THB 3,739.2 mn. Stock Information
Source: www.setsmart.com
Top 10 Shareholders (As of May 8, 2019) Percentage of Paid-up Capital (1) Lam Soon Holding Co., Ltd. 42.11 (2) Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad 20.00 (3) Lam Soon Cannery Pte Ltd. 7.48 (4) CGS-CIMB Securities (Singapore) Pte 6.47 (5) LGT Bank (Singapore) Ltd 4.65 (6) Mr. Suwit Laohapolwattana 2.88 (7) CGS-CIMB Securities (Hong Kong) Ltd 1.62 (8) Ms. Supaporn Smittinun 1.20 (9) Thai NVDR Co.,Ltd. 0.99 (10) Ms. Nalin Chongsawadchai 0.65 3 years share price performance (%) Dividend Payout Policy
The Company’ s policy is to pay dividends to shareholders of an amount not less than 40% of its net earnings after tax subject to the Company’s future investment and funding requirements.
Source: www.setsmart.com
0.34 0.25 0.17 0.29 0.41 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.18 0.25 58.8% 60.0% 59.4% 61.4% 60.3% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0%
0.40 0.60 0.80 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
EPS (Baht/Share) DPS (Baht/Share) Dividend Payout Ratio (Based on operational year)
(10) Ms. Nalin Chongsawadchai 0.65
0.0% 40.0% 80.0% 120.0% 160.0% LST Food SET
business so as to be competitive and recognizing in the future
high yield and adaptable to a range of cultivation area to fulfill grower requirements as well as providing the best services.
taking care of the environment, biodiversity, communities, and society.
grower/suppliers and generate return to shareholders and other stakeholders appropriately.
1978 1991 1997 1994 2003 2006
2008 1978 1991 1997 1994 2003 2006
2008
Stock Information
Symbol UPOIC Share Price ( 11 SEP 2019) 3.68 THB Historical price :
5.95 THB
3.52 THB
324.05 Million Par value : 1 THB/Share Market Capitalization : THB 1,192.5 mn.
Major Shareholders as of May 8,2019 Percentage
Capital (1) Lam Soon (Thailand) Plc. 69.96 (2) Wattanachote Co., Ltd. 5.70 (3) Mr. Somkiat Peetakanonda 1.68 (4) Mr.Thammanoon Sahadithdamrong 1.17 (5) Wattanasophonpanich Co., Ltd. 1.12 (6) Ms.Duangkamol Thanissaranont 0.74 (7) GreenSpot Co., Ltd. 0.73
(8) Mr. Suwit Laohapolwattana
0.73
(9) Ms. Wallada Kritchayada
0.71 (10) Mrs. Nancy Chalermkanjana 0.63
Source: www.setsmart.com Source: www.setsmart.com
Dividend Payout Policy
Remark : Dividend payment for year 2015 and 2017 were paid from retain earning
UPOIC has a policy of paying not less than 50% of net profit after tax as dividend.
3 years share price performance (%)
0.52 (0.02) 0.28 (0.06) 0.12 0.30 0.15 0.15 0.10 0.08 57.7% 54.1% 65.7%
0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% (0.2) 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 EPS (Baht/Share) DPS (Baht/Share) Dividend Payout Ratio (Based on operational year)
0.0% 30.0% 60.0% UPOIC AGRI SET
1.3 1.3 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.0 2.1 1.8 2.6 2.8 3.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0
CPO Production
Million MT CAGR 2009-2018 CPO : 8.39%
8.0 8.0 10.5 11.1 12.4 11.9 12.0 10.5 14.9 15.4 16.8 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0
Harvested Area and FFB Output
CAGR 2009 - 2018 FFB : 7.51% Million MT Million Rai
Source: Internal Trade Department *Forecasted by Office of Agricultural Economics (OAE) as at April 2019
FFB Output (RHS)
Since the late 2016 through 2018, the output of FFB in the Kingdom was improved significantly due to good weather condition with continual raining, and the expansion of harvesting areas. In 2019, the oil palm harvesting areas in the Kingdom is around 5.45 million rai.
15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 200 300 400 500 600 CPO Safety Balance Line at the level 250,000 MT ‘000 MT THB / Kg
10.0
200 ม.ค.-14 เม.ย.-14 ก.ค.-14 ต.ค.-14 ม.ค.-15 เม.ย.-15 ก.ค.-15 ต.ค.-15 ม.ค.-16 เม.ย.-16 ก.ค.-16 ต.ค.-16 ม.ค.-17 เม.ย.-17 ก.ค.-17 ต.ค.-17 ม.ค.-18 เม.ย.-18 ก.ค.-18 ต.ค.-18 ม.ค.-19 เม.ย.-19 CPO Stock (LHS) FFB Price (RHS) CPO Price (RHS) FFB Production Cost Line Oil Palm Production Cost at average 3 THB./Kg.
During 2018 the excess supply caused by the accumulated higher production together with a series of negative news from global market, pushed the FFB and CPO price lower.
Source: Internal Trade Department
1,661 1,865 2,294 2,037 1,955 1,859 2,440 2,800 3,030 31% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 ‘000 MT
B2 (Optional) B3 (Optional) Mar B2 May B3-5 B5 B4 B7 Jan : B3.5 April : B6 Aug : B6.5-7 July: B5 Aug : B3 Nov : B5 May : B6.5-7 Oct : B7 – 7 Plus B7 B20 for large truck
In the past 5-6 years, the Government (c/o the Ministry of Energy) could successfully manage to adjust the palm oil blending in biodiesel from time to time to optimise CPO stock level and balance pricing between palm oil consumption and biodiesel usage. The present the mandate of biodiesel B7 is the maximum warranty level of most automotive groups. However, to enlarge CPO usage for biodiesel, the Energy Ministry promotes B10, replacing the current formula B7, effective on 1 January 2020.
1,318 1,355 1,661 3% 23% 12% 23%
31% 15% 8%
0.0% 20.0%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F* Food & Industrial Use Export Bio-Diesel Consumption Growth Source: Internal Trade Department *Forecasted by Office of Agricultural Economics (OAE) as at April 2019
Million MT Million MT Million MT
and 3.3 Million MT. from Malaysia which was the highest record.
Source : USDA
EU heading to “zero palm oil” in transport : In 2016, the EU updated the Renewable Energy Directive for the period from 2020 to 2030 (called as RED II), aimed at keeping the EU a global leader in renewables and achieving its emissions reduction Under this law, the use of palm oil in biofuels will be capped at 2019 level until 2023 and reduced to zero by 2030
India changed import duties on vegetable oils : To protect local farmers in 2018 the Indian central government announced an increase of import tariffs imposed on almost types of vegetable oil, CPO in particular, setting back export sales to India. India currently imposes a 40 % import tax on CPO 50% and refined palm oil while refined palm oil imports from Malaysia were being taxed at 45%. As of 4 September 2019, India has raised the tax on refined palm oil from Malaysia to 50% for six months for safeguard domestic producers. Palm oil imports by China have been declining since 2012 : As the proportion on upper-middle and high incomes population has expanded ,Chinese consumers upgraded consumption behavior and switch to more soft oil and premium oil.
19.4 21.3 20.4 19.0 20.1 23.2 21.6 20.1 19.0 17.9 16.2 16.7 17.0 16.3 14.8 15.4 16.5 19.8
10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 300 400 500 600
CPO Safety Balance Line
Encouraging CPO exports of 300,000 MT by subsidising expenses at 1.75 THB/Kg (May 2018) Encouraging the usage of bio-diesel B20 for large trucks (July 2018) Using 160,000 MT of CPO by EGAT to produce electricity (Nov 2018) ‘000 MT THB/Kg. EGAT to purchase another 200,000 MT (May 2019)*
3.4 4.1 3.7 3.2 3.5 4.3 3.9 3.4 3.3 3.1 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.4 2.2 2.3 3.3
10.0
200 CPO Stock (LHS) FFB Price (RHS) CPO Price (RHS)
FFB Production Cost Line
The Government has taken efforts and launched several measures to reduce pressure on prices and bring the CPO stock to an
Remark : *In May 2019, EGAT has been instructed to purchase and other 200,000 MT but as of August 2019, only 66,250 MT was absorbed.
24.33 29.10 36.59 30.86 25.24 28.57 27.33 31.95 24.88 19.57 16.64 21.96 27.02 32.63 28.89 23.27 24.05 19.24 22.72 22.17 18.05 15.53
20.00 30.00 40.00
THB/Kg.
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H19 CPO Wholesale Price in Bangkok market CPO Wholesale Price in Malaysian market
Source: Internal Trade Department
CPO price gap of Malaysia and Thailand getting narrow for 4 consecutive years, leading to export potential.
FFB, bringing forward measures over the Q4/2019 to bring down the stock volume to a normal level.
inventories.
to zero by 2030
Indonesia.
to support palm oil including to increase domestic demand via biodiesel mandates.
result of the reduction of tariff from 50% to 45% in January 2019 given to Malaysia under the bilateral trade deal. Therefore, India has raised the tax on refined palm oil from Malaysia to 50% from 45% for six months to curb imports and boost local refining.
producer.
price advantage.
60%)
harvest in the next 6-12 months and it may control palm oil production and limit the downward trend.
105.1 409.5 76.5 278.5 Gross Profit Sales revenue
50.6 63.4 (4.1) (0.6) Net Income EBIT 1H19 1H18
43% 43% 57% 61% 57% 60% 80% 100% 43% 58% 57% 60% 80% 100%
43% 39% 43% 0% 20% 40% 2016 2017 2018 Own Estates Out-grower 42% 43% 0% 20% 40% 1H18 1H19 Own Estates Out-grower
Other income
(Million baht) 30-Jun-19 % to total assets 30-Jun-18 % to total assets Change Cash and cash equivalents 54.02 3.7% 64.97 4.3%
Trade and other receivables 35.55 2.4% 85.39 5.6%
Inventories 166.77 11.3% 146.86 9.7%
Other current assets 94.57 6.4% 87.95 5.8%
Fixed assets 851.87 57.8% 855.17 56.4%
Other non-current assets 271.77 18.4% 274.93 18.1%
Consolidated 36 Total assets 1,474.55 100.0% 1,515.26 100.0%
Bank overdrafts and short-term loans 385.00 26.1% 370.00 24.4% 4.1% Trade and other payables 46.86 3.2% 32.21 2.1% 45.5% Other current liabilities 3.87 0.3% 8.91 0.6%
Other non-current liabilities 18.57 1.3% 17.36 1.1% 7.0% Total liabilities 454.30 30.8% 428.47 28.3% 6.0% Paid-up capital 324.05 22.0% 324.05 21.4% 0.0% Paid-in surplus 321.55 21.8% 321.55 21.2% 0.0% Retained earnings 374.66 25.4% 441.19 29.1%
Total shareholders' equity 1,020.25 69.2% 1,086.79 71.7%
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity 1,474.55 100.0% 1,515.26 100.0%
12.1% (0.8%) 4.7% (1.2%) 1.0% (0.3%) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H19
(1.2%) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H19 16.8% (1.1%) 6.3% (1.7%) 1.3% (0.4%) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H19
Total Asset (Million Baht)
Million Baht
383 273 307 351 231 351 919 976 921 879 851 852 258 332 319 290 280 272 1,560 1,582 1,547 1,520 1,361 1,475
1,000 1,500 2,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H19
Total Debt & D/E Ratio Interest Coverage Ratio (Times)
Million Baht
Times
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H19 Current Asset PP&E Other Asset
431 520 397 452 311 454 0.38 0.49 0.35 0.42 0.30 0.45
0.40 0.60
400 600 800 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H19 Debt (Mil.Baht) D/E Ratio (times) 42 9 24 7 13 8 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H19
623 3,800 644 3,260 Gross Profit Sales revenue
Consolidated
+21 mTHB (+3.4) 297 2,636 425 2,249 Gross Profit Sales revenue
LST
+128 mTHB (+43.2%)
217 279 217 274 Net Profit EBIT 1H19 1H18
0 mTHB (0.0%) 193 213 271 310 Net Profit EBIT 1H19 1H18 +78 mTHB (+41.0%) +97 mTHB (+46.1%)
(Million Baht) 1H19 % to Sales 1H18 % to Sales Change Sales 3,260.16 100.0% 3,799.50 100.00%
Cost of sales (2,615.99)
(3,177.27)
Gross profit 644.17 19.8% 622.23 16.38% 3.5% SG&A expense (361.25)
(367.79)
Other income 35.63 1.1% 37.79 0.99%
Gain / (Loss) from change in fair value of biological assets (40.56)
3.07 0.08%
Loss arising from impairment of assets 0.0% (28.54)
Consolidated
Loss arising from impairment of assets 0.0% (28.54)
Share of loss from investment in joint venture (3.66)
12.29 0.32%
EBIT 274.33 8.4% 279.06 7.34%
Finance Cost (7.42)
(13.36)
EBT 266.91 8.2% 265.70 6.99% 0.5% Tax (50.21)
(48.36)
3.8% Profit for the period 216.70 6.6% 217.34 5.72%
Net income (Loss) attribute to : Equity holder of the Company 221.89 6.8% 205.29 5.40% 8.1% Non-Controlling interests of the subsidiaries (5.19)
12.05 0.32%
Earnings per share 0.27 0.25 8.1%
(Million Baht) 30-Jun-19 % to total assets 30-Jun-18 % to total assets Change Cash and cash equivalents 349.14 6.6% 271.89 4.9% 28.4% Trade and other receivables 883.12 16.6% 891.23 16.2%
Inventories 1,094.33 20.6% 1,339.39 24.4%
Other current assets 127.93 2.4% 115.85 2.1% 10.4% Fixed assets 2,266.73 42.6% 2,284.82 41.6%
Other non-current assets 595.04 11.2% 594.53 10.8% 0.1% Total assets 5,316.29 100.0% 5,497.71 100.0%
Bank overdrafts and short-term loans 550.00 10.3% 650.00 11.8%
Consolidated
Bank overdrafts and short-term loans 550.00 10.3% 650.00 11.8%
Trade and other payables 483.85 9.1% 577.92 10.5%
Current portion of long-term loans 78.29 1.5% 182.05 3.3%
Other current liabilities 81.17 1.5% 82.39 1.5%
Long-Term Borrowings
83.29 1.5%
Other non-current liabilities 168.31 3.2% 132.40 2.4% 27.1% Total liabilities 1,361.62 25.6% 1,708.05 31.1%
Paid-up capital 820.00 15.4% 820.00 14.9% 0.0% Paid-in surplus 240.66 4.5% 240.66 4.4% 0.0% Retained earnings 2,575.24 48.4% 2,391.08 43.5% 7.7% Non-Controlling interests of the subsidiaries 318.78 6.0% 337.92 6.1%
Total shareholders' equity 3,954.68 74.4% 3,789.66 68.9% 2.0% Total liabilities and shareholders'equity 5,316.30 100.0% 5,497.71 100.0%
8.5% 5.6% 6.0% 6.7% 6.9% 4.0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H19
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H19 14.8% 9.8% 10.6% 11.1% 10.1% 5.6% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H19
Total Asset (Million Baht)
591 620 655 612 597 594 2,085 2,425 2,413 2,351 2,240 2,267 2,448 2,826 2,880 3,078 2,316 2,455 5,124 5,871 5,948 6,040 5,153 5,316 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H19
Total Debt & D/E Ratio Interest Coverage Ratio (Times)
Million Baht Times
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H19 Other Asset PP&E Current Asset
2,030 2,648 2,455 2,310 1,192 1,362
0.66 0.82 0.70 0.62 0.30 0.34
0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00
2,000 3,000 4,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H19 Debt (Mil.Baht) D/E Ratio (times) 16.2 14.5 17.0 18.9 31.9 52.1 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H19
Sales Revenue
Million Baht
2,393 2,280 2,042 17.0 % (4.7)% (10.4)% (20.0)% (10.0)% 0.0 % 10.0 % 20.0 % 1,000 2,000 3,000 Y2016 Y2017 Y2018 Sale Sales Growth
Net Profit Gross Profit
Million Baht Million Baht
Sale Sales Growth 647 587 497 27.0 % 25.8 % 24.3 % 0.0 % 10.0 % 20.0 % 30.0 % 200 400 600 800 Y2016 Y2017 Y2018 Gross Profit GP Margin 230 214 138 9.5 % 9.4 % 6.8 % 0.0 % 2.0 % 4.0 % 6.0 % 8.0 % 10.0 % 50 100 150 200 250 Y2016 Y2017 Y2018 Net Profit GP Margin
Total Asset (Million Baht)
70 94 69 68 67 643 679 713 698 710 1,076 888 859 728 665 1,789 1,661 1,641 1,495 1,441 Y2015 Y2016 Y2017 Y2018 1H19
Total Debt & D/E Ratio ROA & ROE
Million Baht Times
Other Asset PP&E Current Asset 1,306 1,012 790 569 543 2.70 1.56 0.93 0.61 0.60 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 500 1,000 1,500 Y2015 Y2016 Y2017 Y2018 1H19 Debt (Mil.Baht) D/E Ratio (times) 15.6% 17.8% 16.5% 11.7% 2.7% 37.1% 40.6% 28.5% 15.5% 3.4% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% Y2015 Y2016 Y2017 Y2018 1H19 ROA ROE
Lam Soon (Thailand) Public Company Limited 64 Soi Bangna - Trad 25, Bangna Nuea, Bangna, Bangkok 10260
For further information & enquiries, please contact us at: Anchalee Suebchantasiri Piyathida Sukchan Managing Director Executive Director Tel: +66-(0)2-361 8959/87 Tel: +66-(0)2-361 8959/87 Email: anchales@lamsoon.co.th Email: piyatida@lamsoon.co.th
Email: secretary@lamsoon.co.th