Sean Rathwell, Merrilees Willemse, Tyler George May 2, 2016 2 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Sean Rathwell, Merrilees Willemse, Tyler George May 2, 2016 2 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Sean Rathwell, Merrilees Willemse, Tyler George May 2, 2016 2 What are AV Implications for Dillons clients? Interviewed a selection of municipal and transit clients across Canada

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May 2, 2016

Sean Rathwell, Merrilees Willemse, Tyler George

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  • What are AV Implications for

Dillon’s clients?

  • Interviewed a selection of

municipal and transit clients across Canada

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-8txdA4O4afI/Tdpn_jbIl2I/AAAAAAAAAE8/Rwz2F0kh2uA/s1600/the-future.jpg

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Individual ownership:

  • Similar to car ownership today

Communal ownership:

  • Communal fleet of vehicles to

serve transportation needs

  • Carsharing/ridesharing programs

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Geneva_MotorShow_2013_- _EDAG_car_sharing.jpg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autonomous_car

Communal Ownership Individual Ownership

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  • Timeframe until critical market

penetration

  • Adoption rate and growth of AV

networks

  • Issues with mixed traffic

streams

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gridlock#/media/File:401_Gridlock.jpg

Mixed Vehicle Traffic

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  • Increased single occupancy

vehicle use

  • Loss of public transit users
  • Reduction in active

transportation modes

  • Potential negative health

impacts

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yonge_Street#/media/File:TTC_bus_836 0_near_St_Clair_TTC_station,_2015_05_21_(1)_(17980185036).jpg

Increase SOV Mode Share

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Managed_lane#/media/Fil e:404HOV_lane.png

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  • Willingness to commute longer

distances

  • Repurposing land:

– Narrower right-of-way requirements – Reduced need for parking infrastructure

https://www.flickr.com/photos/msciba/405288958

Urban Sprawl

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  • Willingness to travel longer

distances and more often

  • Deadhead trips:

– Decentralized parking – Returning home to park – Distance between successive passengers

  • Increased carpool opportunities

Increased VKT from Longer Commutes

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interstate_80#/media/File:I-80_Eastshore_Fwy.jpg

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  • Competition or complement?
  • Coordinating transit with AV

mobility providers – First mile, last mile

  • Public-private data sharing

– Open data platforms

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viva_Rapid_Transit

AV Zone

Transit Corridor Transit Corridor Transit Corridor

AV Zone

AV for First Mile and Last Mile Trips

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  • Technical integration of AV

technologies with existing systems

  • Development and management
  • f data sharing platforms
  • Privacy and security issues

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Img_51614_critical-data-centre-at-uni-of-hertfordshire.jpeg

Public/Private Data Sharing

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  • Loss of on- and off-street

parking revenue

  • Mitigating deadhead parking

trips

  • Mitigating parking in

undesirable areas

https://www.pexels.com/search/parking%20car/

AVs Make Use of Free Residential Parking

https://www.flickr.com/photos/vxla/6049860640

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  • Reallocate resources to high

demand routes and corridors

  • AVs replace conventional transit

for low demand areas

  • AVs replace paratransit and

demand responsive services

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paratransit

AVs Replace Paratransit?

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Blind Spot Detection

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  • Uncertainty around fully-

automated transit vehicles

  • HR barriers to adoption
  • Semi-automated transit

technologies: – Blind spot detection – Lane assist – Docking assist

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Buses

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Automated Transit Vehicles

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  • Monitor advancements in

automotive industry

  • Adopt AV technologies with

strong business cases

  • Full automation is long term

possibility (if ever)

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guided_bus#Rubber-tyred_.22trams.22_.28trolleybuses.29

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  • Scenario Analysis

– Ownership model – Degree of automation – Degree of connectivity – Transition period – Anticipated timelines

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autonomous_cruise_control _system https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abstandsregeltempomat

Vs

Connected Autonomous

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  • Transportation Modeling

– Huge opportunity – Partnerships with academia – Identify macrosimulation/ microsimulation data needs

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transport_in_Chennai

Macrosimulation and Microsimulation

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Book_embedding

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  • Canadian Urban Transit

Association (CUTA) – Strategic Direction 7.2: Prepare for Connected and Automated Vehicles

  • Canadian Urban Transit

Research & Innovation Consortium (CUTRIC)

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Sean Rathwell, P.Eng Dillon Consulting Limited 613.745.6338 ext. 3036 SRathwell@dillon.ca

http://www.citymobil2.eu/en/