Sean Rathwell, Merrilees Willemse, Tyler George May 2, 2016 2 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Sean Rathwell, Merrilees Willemse, Tyler George May 2, 2016

2 • What are AV Implications for Dillon’s clients? • Interviewed a selection of municipal and transit clients across Canada http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-8txdA4O4afI/Tdpn_jbIl2I/AAAAAAAAAE8/Rwz2F0kh2uA/s1600/the-future.jpg

3 Individual Ownership https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autonomous_car Individual ownership: • Similar to car ownership today Communal ownership: • Communal fleet of vehicles to serve transportation needs Communal Ownership • Carsharing/ridesharing programs https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Geneva_MotorShow_2013_- _EDAG_car_sharing.jpg

4 • Timeframe until critical market penetration • Adoption rate and growth of AV networks • Issues with mixed traffic Mixed Vehicle Traffic streams https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gridlock#/media/File:401_Gridlock.jpg

5 • Increased single occupancy vehicle use • Loss of public transit users • Reduction in active Increase SOV Mode Share transportation modes https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yonge_Street#/media/File:TTC_bus_836 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Managed_lane#/media/Fil 0_near_St_Clair_TTC_station,_2015_05_21_(1)_(17980185036).jpg e:404HOV_lane.png • Potential negative health impacts

6 • Willingness to commute longer distances • Repurposing land: – Narrower right-of-way Urban Sprawl requirements https://www.flickr.com/photos/msciba/405288958 – Reduced need for parking infrastructure

7 • Willingness to travel longer distances and more often • Deadhead trips: – Decentralized parking – Returning home to park Increased VKT from Longer Commutes – Distance between successive https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interstate_80#/media/File:I-80_Eastshore_Fwy.jpg passengers • Increased carpool opportunities

8 Transit Corridor AV Zone • Competition or complement? • Coordinating transit with AV mobility providers Transit Transit Corridor – First mile, last mile Corridor • Public-private data sharing AV Zone AV for First Mile and Last Mile Trips – Open data platforms https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viva_Rapid_Transit

9 • Technical integration of AV technologies with existing systems • Development and management of data sharing platforms Public/Private Data Sharing • Privacy and security issues https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Img_51614_critical-data-centre-at-uni-of-hertfordshire.jpeg

10 • Loss of on- and off-street parking revenue • Mitigating deadhead parking trips • Mitigating parking in AVs Make Use of Free Residential Parking undesirable areas https://www.flickr.com/photos/vxla/6049860640 https://www.pexels.com/search/parking%20car/

11 • Reallocate resources to high demand routes and corridors • AVs replace conventional transit for low demand areas • AVs replace paratransit and AVs Replace Paratransit? demand responsive services https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paratransit

12 • Uncertainty around fully- automated transit vehicles • HR barriers to adoption • Semi-automated transit technologies: – Blind spot detection Blind Spot Detection – Lane assist https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Buses – Docking assist

13 • Monitor advancements in automotive industry • Adopt AV technologies with strong business cases • Full automation is long term possibility (if ever) Automated Transit Vehicles https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guided_bus#Rubber-tyred_.22trams.22_.28trolleybuses.29

14 Autonomous • Vs Scenario Analysis https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autonomous_cruise_control _system – Ownership model – Degree of automation – Degree of connectivity – Transition period – Anticipated timelines Connected https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abstandsregeltempomat

15 • Transportation Modeling – Huge opportunity – Partnerships with academia – Identify macrosimulation/ microsimulation data needs Macrosimulation and Microsimulation https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transport_in_Chennai https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Book_embedding

16 • Canadian Urban Transit Association (CUTA) – Strategic Direction 7.2: Prepare for Connected and Automated Vehicles • Canadian Urban Transit Research & Innovation Consortium (CUTRIC)

17 Sean Rathwell , P.Eng Dillon Consulting Limited 613.745.6338 ext. 3036 SRathwell@dillon.ca http://www.citymobil2.eu/en/