Sea Level Rise A Grid Submerged November 3, 2015 Seth Mullendore - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Sea Level Rise A Grid Submerged November 3, 2015 Seth Mullendore - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Sea Level Rise A Grid Submerged November 3, 2015 Seth Mullendore Project Manager Clean Energy Group Housekeeping Who We Are www.cleanegroup.org www.resilient-power.org 3 Resilient Power Project Increase public/private investment in

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Sea Level Rise – A Grid Submerged

November 3, 2015 Seth Mullendore Project Manager Clean Energy Group

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Housekeeping

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Who We Are

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www.cleanegroup.org www.resilient-power.org

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Resilient Power Project

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  • Increase public/private investment in clean, resilient power systems
  • Engage city officials to develop resilient power policies/programs
  • Protect low-income and vulnerable communities
  • Focus on affordable housing and critical public facilities
  • Advocate for state and federal supportive policies and programs
  • Technical assistance for pre-development costs to help agencies/project

developers get deals done

  • See www.resilient-power.org for reports, newsletters, webinar recordings
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Today’s Speakers

  • Steve Clemmer, Director of Energy Research &

Analysis, Union of Concerned Scientists

  • Julie McNamara, Energy Research Associate,

Climate and Energy Program, Union of Concerned Scientists

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Lights Out?

Storm Surge, Blackouts, and How Clean Energy Can Help

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Hurricane Sandy was a wake up call

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Storm surge and coastal flooding: A major cause of power outages

Electric facilities less than 4 feet above local high tide

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10 20 30 40 50 60

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Number of Electric Disturbance Events

Electric Disturbance Event Date

All Events Weather-related Events Linear (All Events) Linear (Weather-related Events) Hurricane Ike Hurricanes Katrina and Rita Hurricanes Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne Hurricane Irene Hurricane Sandy

Outages from severe weather are rising

U.S. Electric Grid Disruptions, 2000-2014

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Costs are also rising

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Number of Events

Wildfire Drought Winter Storm Freeze Flooding Tropical Cyclone Severe Storm

Billion-dollar Disaster Events by Year, 1980-2014

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The impacts can be devastating

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The centralized grid is vulnerable

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Power plants, substations, and flooding

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Mapping flooding in five regions

* Delaware Valley *Southeastern Virginia *South Carolina Lowcountry

*Central Gulf

Coast *Southeastern Florida

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Delaware Valley

Substations

Unexposed Exposed

Power Plants

Exposed >0 – 20 MW >20 – 200 MW >200 MW Unexposed

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Delaware Valley

10 20 30 40 2012 2030 2050 2070

2050

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Southeastern Virginia

2050

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South Carolina Lowcountry

2050

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Southeastern Florida

2050

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Central Gulf Coast

2050

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So: What Can We Do?

So, How Can We Keep the Lights On?

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Protect, Accommodate, Retreat

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Back-up generators are prone to failure

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Renewables can increase electricity resilience

Atlantic City, NJ

New Orleans

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Wind and solar costs are falling

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Combined heat and power

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Energy efficiency: Reducing the problem by reducing demand

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Microgrids can reduce outages

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Power plants are the largest source of U.S. global warming emissions

31% 27% 20% 12% 9%

Electricity Transportation Industry Commercial & Residential Agriculture

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Recommendations

Prepare grid for current and future impacts Increase the electricity resilience of communities Adopt strong policies to reduce GHG emissions

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Thank You

www.ucsusa.org/LightsOut

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Sign up for the RPP e-Distribution List to get notices of future webinars and the monthly Resilient Power Project Newsletter: http://bit.ly/RPPNews-Sign-UP More information about the Resilient Power Project, its reports, webinar recordings, and other resources can be found at www.resilient-power.org.

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Thank you for attending our webinar

Seth Mullendore Project Manager Clean Energy Group seth@cleanegroup.org Find us online: www.resilient-power.org www.cleanegroup.org www.facebook.com/clean.energy.group @cleanenergygrp on Twitter @Resilient_Power on Twitter

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Extra Slides

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Substation Inundation Charts

10 20 30 2012 2030 2050 2070

South Carolina Lowcountry Southeastern Virginia

20 40 60 2012 2030 2050 2070 10 20 30 40 2012 2030 2050 2070

Delaware Valley

50 100 150 2012 2030 2050 2070

Southeastern Florida Central Gulf Coast

20 40 60 80 2012 2030 2050 2070