Santa Ana River Wasteload Allocation Model Update BASIN MONITORING - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Santa Ana River Wasteload Allocation Model Update BASIN MONITORING - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Santa Ana River Wasteload Allocation Model Update BASIN MONITORING PROGRAM TASK FORCE May 15, 2017 Initial Steps for Model Update Existing HSPF Existing WLAM (R4) Gaging Station for Boundary Inflow 1. Compare results for the period from


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SLIDE 1

Santa Ana River Wasteload Allocation Model Update

May 15, 2017

BASIN MONITORING PROGRAM TASK FORCE

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SLIDE 2

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Gaging Station for Boundary Inflow

1. Compare results for the period from WY 1995 to 2006 2. Update both models and compare the modeling results for the period from WY 2007 to 2016 Existing WLAM (R4)

WLAM Update Expanded Area

Existing HSPF

Gaging Station for Model Calibration

Initial Steps for Model Update

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SLIDE 3

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  • 522 subareas were delineated.
  • Each subarea consists of
  • Stream segment,
  • Pervious land area, and
  • Impervious land area.
  • They were delineated based on:
  • Topography
  • Drainage Patterns
  • Types of stream channels, and
  • Location of gaging stations and

recharge basins

Model Development

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SLIDE 4

Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow

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San Timoteo Creek Near Loma Linda

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.72

Good

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016

R2 = 0.75

Good

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SLIDE 5

Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow

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San Timoteo Creek Near Loma Linda

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.84

Good

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016

R2 = 0.77

Good

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SLIDE 6

Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow

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Warm Creek Near San Bernardino

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.62

Fair

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016

R2 = 0.70

Good

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SLIDE 7

Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow

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Warm Creek Near San Bernardino

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.70

Fair

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016

R2 = 0.91

Very Good

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SLIDE 8

Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow

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SAR at E St.

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.72

Good

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

HSPF – WY 2007 to 2014

R2 = 0.95

Very Good

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SLIDE 9

Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow

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SAR at E St.

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.93

Very Good

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016

R2 = 0.97

Very Good

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SLIDE 10

Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow

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SAR at MWD Crossing

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.68

Fair

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016

R2 = 0.88

Very Good

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SLIDE 11

Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow

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SAR at MWD Crossing

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.91

Very Good

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016

R2 = 0.97

Very Good

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SLIDE 12

Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow

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Temescal Creek at Main St.

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.42

Poor

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016

R2 = 0.71

Good

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SLIDE 13

Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow

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Temescal Creek at Main St.

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.77

Good

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016

R2 = 0.83

Good

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SLIDE 14

Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow

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Chino Creek at Schaefer Ave.

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.69

Fair

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016

R2 = 0.29

Poor

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SLIDE 15

Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow

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Chino Creek at Schaefer Ave.

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.84

Good

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

HSPF - WY 2007 to 2016

R2 = 0.37

Poor

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Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow

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Cucamonga Creek Near Mira Loma

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.48

Poor

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016

R2 = 0.46

Poor

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SLIDE 17

Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow

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Cucamonga Creek Near Mira Loma

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.76

Good

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016

R2 = 0.83

Good

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Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow

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SAR into Prado Dam

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.66

Fair

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs

HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016

R2 = 0.88

Very Good

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SLIDE 19

Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow

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SAR into Prado Dam

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

R4 – WY 1995 to 2006

R2 = 0.93

Very Good

0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs

HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016

R2 = 0.90

Very Good

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Summary of Calibration Performance (R2)

Gaging Station Daily Streamflow Monthly Streamflow R4 HSPF R4 HSPF

WY 95-06 WY 07-16 WY 95-06 WY 07-16 San Timoteo Ck near Loma Linda Good Good Good Good Warm Ck near San Bernardino Fair Good Fair Very Good SAR at E St. Good Very Good Very Good Very Good SAR at MWD Crossing Fair Very Good Very Good Very Good Temescal Ck at Main St. Poor Good Good Good Chino Ck at Schaefer Ave. Fair Poor Good Poor Cucamonga Ck near Mira Loma Poor Poor Good Good SAR into Prado Dam Fair Very Good Very Good Very Good

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QUESTIONS?