Santa Ana River Wasteload Allocation Model Update BASIN MONITORING - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Santa Ana River Wasteload Allocation Model Update BASIN MONITORING - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Santa Ana River Wasteload Allocation Model Update BASIN MONITORING PROGRAM TASK FORCE May 15, 2017 Initial Steps for Model Update Existing HSPF Existing WLAM (R4) Gaging Station for Boundary Inflow 1. Compare results for the period from
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Gaging Station for Boundary Inflow
1. Compare results for the period from WY 1995 to 2006 2. Update both models and compare the modeling results for the period from WY 2007 to 2016 Existing WLAM (R4)
WLAM Update Expanded Area
Existing HSPF
Gaging Station for Model Calibration
Initial Steps for Model Update
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- 522 subareas were delineated.
- Each subarea consists of
- Stream segment,
- Pervious land area, and
- Impervious land area.
- They were delineated based on:
- Topography
- Drainage Patterns
- Types of stream channels, and
- Location of gaging stations and
recharge basins
Model Development
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow
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San Timoteo Creek Near Loma Linda
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.72
Good
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016
R2 = 0.75
Good
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow
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San Timoteo Creek Near Loma Linda
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.84
Good
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016
R2 = 0.77
Good
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow
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Warm Creek Near San Bernardino
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.62
Fair
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016
R2 = 0.70
Good
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow
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Warm Creek Near San Bernardino
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.70
Fair
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016
R2 = 0.91
Very Good
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow
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SAR at E St.
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.72
Good
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
HSPF – WY 2007 to 2014
R2 = 0.95
Very Good
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow
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SAR at E St.
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.93
Very Good
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016
R2 = 0.97
Very Good
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow
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SAR at MWD Crossing
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.68
Fair
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016
R2 = 0.88
Very Good
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow
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SAR at MWD Crossing
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.91
Very Good
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016
R2 = 0.97
Very Good
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow
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Temescal Creek at Main St.
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.42
Poor
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016
R2 = 0.71
Good
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow
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Temescal Creek at Main St.
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.77
Good
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016
R2 = 0.83
Good
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow
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Chino Creek at Schaefer Ave.
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.69
Fair
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016
R2 = 0.29
Poor
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow
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Chino Creek at Schaefer Ave.
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.84
Good
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
HSPF - WY 2007 to 2016
R2 = 0.37
Poor
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow
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Cucamonga Creek Near Mira Loma
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.48
Poor
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016
R2 = 0.46
Poor
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow
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Cucamonga Creek Near Mira Loma
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.76
Good
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016
R2 = 0.83
Good
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Daily Streamflow
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SAR into Prado Dam
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.66
Fair
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Daily Streamflow, cfs Measured Daily Streamflow, cfs
HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016
R2 = 0.88
Very Good
Existing WLAM (R4) WLAM Update (HSPF) Monthly Streamflow
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SAR into Prado Dam
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
R4 – WY 1995 to 2006
R2 = 0.93
Very Good
0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Model-Calculated Monthly Streamflow, cfs Measured Monthly Streamflow, cfs
HSPF – WY 2007 to 2016
R2 = 0.90
Very Good
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Summary of Calibration Performance (R2)
Gaging Station Daily Streamflow Monthly Streamflow R4 HSPF R4 HSPF
WY 95-06 WY 07-16 WY 95-06 WY 07-16 San Timoteo Ck near Loma Linda Good Good Good Good Warm Ck near San Bernardino Fair Good Fair Very Good SAR at E St. Good Very Good Very Good Very Good SAR at MWD Crossing Fair Very Good Very Good Very Good Temescal Ck at Main St. Poor Good Good Good Chino Ck at Schaefer Ave. Fair Poor Good Poor Cucamonga Ck near Mira Loma Poor Poor Good Good SAR into Prado Dam Fair Very Good Very Good Very Good
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