Safety a y and r rehab abilitation on disru rupted Joanna Horton, Research Analyst
What is strategic foresight? Strategic foresight is an emerging field of research and profession concerned with exploring and describing plausible future events to help people make wiser choices.
Background study and scope definition Our Strategic 1 Understand core Horizon scan to identify trends issues and questions Foresight 2 Identify patterns Geopolitical Social Economic Environmental Technological of change Process trends trends trends trends trends (trends) Screen, classify, validate and prioritise trends 3 Collate and synthesise trends Identify salient patterns of change (megatrends, risks, scenarios) Megatrends Scenarios Risks / Shocks Craft and communicate a 4 narrative Craft and communicate a narrative about the future Inform strategic 5 decision making Inform strategy, planning and decision making
Why is now any different? • Impact of technology on the labour market • Changing employment models • Demographic changes • Industrial diversification (post-mining boom) What will the ‘future of work’ look like?
Industry 4.0 • We are entering the fourth industrial revolution – also known as Industry 4.0 • Convergence of industries and activities that were once considered separate – e.g. construction and manufacturing.
Work 4.0 Work 4.0 is the logical extension of the discussion and thinking around the emerging Industry 4.0. New employment models, job designs, labour markets and social expectations will reshape the requirements and expectations of safety and rehabilitation.
Automation • Robots are becoming better and 300 cheaper 250 • Advances in technology and job Thousands of Robots 200 automation in Australia has already 150 led to declines in routine jobs 100 • The rise of collaborative robots, or 50 ‘co-bots’ 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Estimated worldwide annual sales of robotic devices Data source: International Federation of Robotics
The gig economy The gig economy has grown rapidly worldwide, but its impact in Australia is unclear. There are conflicting 35 statistics: 30 Percentage of Australian freelance workforce • Edelman Berland: 32% of the Australian workforce undertook some kind of freelance 25 work in 2014-15 • Deloitte: 53% of Australians participated in the 20 collaborative economy in 2014-15 15 But … 10 • Grattan Institute: 0.5% of Australian adults work on platforms more than once a month 5 • Australian Economic Review: No significant change in non-standard employment since 2001 0 Independent Moonlighters Distributed Temporary Freelance Although … Contractors Workers Workers Business Owners Types of freelancers in Australia, by percentage of freelance workforce • ABS notes an increase in secondary employment Data source: Edelman Berland
Emerging opportunities Augmented reality • Technology can provide workers with information and guidance in real-time – e.g. mixed reality headsets and glasses • According to Forrester, by 2025 14.4 million US Google Glass Enterprise Edition workers will wear ‘smart glasses’ • Google Glass Enterprise Edition and DAQRI’s Smart Helmet are two examples of AR devices being used to enhance productivity and safety DAQRI Smart Helmet
Emerging opportunities Situational awareness and remote sensing • IoT sensors foster better access to environmental information • Safety Compass: smartphone-based augmented reality app providing real- time safety information and feedback • Integrates with existing and emerging IoT devices, via Bluetooth or WiFi. Safety Compass
Emerging opportunities Situational awareness and remote sensing • Komatsu integrating IoT and other deployed sensors into the operation of their plant and equipment. • Komatsu has begun integrating drones to supply an automated ‘eye in the sky’ • Addressing Japan’s significant and worsening labour market shortages
Emerging opportunities Physical systems • Exoskeletons for workers in highly physical work – e.g. aged care, luggage handling, operating heavy machinery • ‘Active’ and ‘passive’ exoskeletons • Latest iteration of HAL ‘reads’ bioelectric signals in the body which are created by the brain when it wants the body to move. • Designed to address Japan’s ageing workforce Hybrid Assistive Limb (HAL)
Emerging risks Autonomous agency • It is becoming increasingly difficult to understand and predict the behaviour of autonomous systems. • Nvida self-programming car • AI bots spontaneously learning and communicating in their own language • How does autonomous agency fit with or challenge supply chain responsibilities within the Model WHS Act?
Emerging risks Privacy • Link between violations of privacy and psycho-social harms • Monitoring of locations, activities, and health details • Particular difficulties in treatment, diagnosis, and causality attribution of psycho-social harms • Existing and emerging technologies can help protect privacy
Emerging risks Safety culture • ‘Risk compensation’ – behavioural shift around safety perception • Safety features of ICT-EPs may lead to change in attitudes • Advancement of automated safety systems may result in safety deskilling
Emerging risks Cybersecurity • Greater connectivity = greater risk • Some risks include: • hijacked autonomous vehicles (drones, trucks and ships) • WiFi-enabled co-bots interacting in close proximity to humans. • How can cybersecurity be better incorporated into product manufacturing and/or design?
Conclusion • The Australian workforce faces technological, business, demographic, and structural changes • Safety and rehabilitation requirements may need to change accordingly • There are challenges to be addressed and opportunities to be embraced
Qu Question ons? Data61 Joanna Horton – Research Analyst T +61 7 3227 4015 E joanna.horton@data61.csiro.au W www.data61.csiro.au
Recommend
More recommend
