Regional System Plan Transmission Projects and Asset Condition - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Regional System Plan Transmission Projects and Asset Condition - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

O C T O B E R 2 4 , 2 0 1 9 | W E S T B O R O U G H , M A Regional System Plan Transmission Projects and Asset Condition October 2019 Update Planning Advisory Committee Meeting Brent Oberlin D I R E C T O R , T R A N S M I S S I O N P L


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O C T O B E R 2 4 , 2 0 1 9 | W E S T B O R O U G H , M A

Brent Oberlin

D I R E C T O R , T R A N S M I S S I O N P L A N N I N G

Planning Advisory Committee Meeting

Regional System Plan

Transmission Projects and Asset Condition

October 2019 Update

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Slide Highlights 3 October 2019 Changes 4 – 12 Status of Major Transmission Projects 13 – 14 October Asset Condition Changes 15 – 25 Appendix 26 – 32

2

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Highlights of the RSP Project List Update

  • Major cost estimate changes that occurred between the June 2019 and October 2019 Project List

(MA) Greater Boston – cost increase of $157 million for 8 projects due to actual construction bids coming in higher than estimated costs, lengthy and extensive permitting and restrictive permitting conditions (NH) Seacoast New Hampshire Solution – cost increase of $40 million for 3 projects in Madbury-Portsmouth area due to actual construction bids coming in higher than estimated costs, lengthy and extensive permitting and restrictive permitting conditions

  • New Projects:

None

  • 3 Upgrades on the project list have been placed in-service since the March 2019 update:

(MA) Greater Boston - 2 projects placed in-service (CT) Greater Hartford & Central Connecticut (GHCC) – 1 project placed in-service

3

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October 2019 Changes

4 Project ID # Transmission System Upgrades Cost (in millions $) Improvement/Need

No New Projects

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October 2019 Changes, cont.

5

3 Projects Placed In-Service and Corresponding Needs

Project ID # Transmission System Upgrades Cost (in millions $) Improvement/Need

1587 Replace the normally open 19T breaker at Southington with a 3% series reactor between Southington Ring 1 and Southington Ring 2 and associated substation upgrades (Connecticut) GHCC 8.7 Resolve thermal overloads 1327 69 kV Line reconductoring of W-23W Woodside- Northboro Rd (Massachusetts) Greater Boston – Western Suburbs 7.1 Increase load serving capability of the Western Suburbs of Boston 1550 115 kV Line reconductoring of F-158S Maplewood - Everett (Massachusetts) Greater Boston - North 6.9 Increase load serving capability in Greater Boston

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October 2019 Changes, cont.

6

Cost Estimate Comparisons of Reliability Projects June 2019 vs. October 2019 Update (1)

(1) Transmission Owners provided all estimated costs, which may not meet the guidelines described in Planning Procedure 4, Attachment D (2) May not sum exactly due to rounding (3) The cost estimates for projects in the "Major Projects" category are moved to the "Other Projects" category once they are fully completed.

307 307 327 325

  • 2

179 179 832 989 157 328 369 41 399 399 2372 2568 196 9891 9900 9

12263 12468

205

  • 10915
  • 10939

1348 1529

Aggregate estimate of active projects in the Plan (2) Minus 'in-service' PROJECTS WHOSE COST ESTIMATES WERE PREVIOUSLY REPORTED AS TO BE DETERMINED (TBD) TOTAL (2) NEW PROJECTS SUBTOTAL (2) OTHER PROJECTS Southwest Connecticut (SWCT) Pittsfield/Greenfield Project Greater Boston - North, South, Central, Western Suburbs New Hampshire Solution - Southern, Central, Seacoast, Northern Southeast Massachusetts/Rhode Island Reliability Project

As of Oct 2019 Plan Update (in millions $) Change in Plan Estimate (in millions $)

MAJOR PROJECTS Greater Hartford & Central Connecticut (GHCC)

As of Jun 2019 Plan Update (in millions $)

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$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Cost in millions

Year

Proposed Planned Under Construction In-Service

17 11 30 20 15 3 5 7 1

October 2019 Changes, cont.

7

Note: Numbers shown represent project quantities

Investment of New England Transmission Reliability Projects by Status through 2023

Note: Future total $ are shown at the end of the project. Totals do not reflect or show phasing in over time

  • r the depreciation of prior projects.

Total costs are associated with the year projects are placed in-service as reported in the Project List.

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October 2019 Changes, cont.

Cumulative Investment of New England Transmission Reliability Projects through 2027

Note: Future total $ are shown at the end of the

  • project. Totals do not reflect or show phasing in over

time or the depreciation of prior projects. Total costs are associated with the year projects are placed in- service as reported in the Project List.

Note: UC – Under Construction, PL – Planned, PR – Proposed

$16 $11,051 $11,843 $12,384 $12,469 $12,469 $12,469 $12,469 $12,469 $12,469 $10,940 $11,051 $11,843 $12,384 $12,406 $12,406 $12,406 $12,406 $12,406 $12,406 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 $4,000 $4,500 $5,000 $5,500 $6,000 $6,500 $7,000 $7,500 $8,000 $8,500 $9,000 $9,500 $10,000 $10,500 $11,000 $11,500 $12,000 $12,500 $13,000 $13,500 2002 Oct-19 Dec-19 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Cost in millions Year

In-Service RSP (IS) UC+PL+PR UC+PL

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October 2019 Changes, cont.

Reliability Project Counts and Aggregated Cost Estimates by Project Stage with Applied Accuracy Ranges (1)

(1)

All costs provided by Transmission Owners. The costs in the table reflect all projected in-service dates

(2)

Efforts need to be made to describe projects on a more consistent basis

(3)

All estimates may not yet be at this level of accuracy; many estimates may be -25%/+50%

(4)

Not included here are the costs of reliability projects for which no estimates have been provided. Estimates for these projects are noted as TBD in the Project Listing and are only Concept Projects.

(5) May not add up due to rounding.

Component / Project / Plan Minimum Maximum Count (2) Minimum Maximum 1

  • 25%

25% (3) 63 47 78 33

  • 25%

25% 438 328 547 30

  • 10%

10% 1028 925 1131 64

(5)

1529 1301 1757

(4)

3

  • 10%

10% 21 25 Estimated Range Project Stage Estimate Range Costs (Status) ($millions) ($millions) 23 Proposed Planned Cancelled Under Construction

Total Plan (excluding Concept)

Concept In-Service

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October 2019 Changes, cont.

Note: Future total $ are shown at the end of the

  • project. Totals do not reflect or show phasing in over

time or the depreciation of prior projects. Total costs are associated with the year projects are placed in- service as reported in the Project List.

Project Cost Estimate Tolerances by Status and Year in Millions $

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 +25% 78 Estimate 63

  • 25%

47 25 50 75 100

PROPOSED

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October 2019 Changes, cont.

Project Cost Estimate Tolerances by Status and Year in Millions $

Note: Future total $ are shown at the end of the project. Totals do not reflect or show phasing in over time or the depreciation of prior projects. Total costs are associated with the year projects are placed in-service as reported in the Project List.

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 +25% 97 422 28 Estimate 78 338 23

  • 25%

58 253 17 100 200 300 400

PLANNED

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October 2019 Changes, cont.

Project Cost Estimate Tolerances by Status and Year in Millions $

Note: Future total $ are shown at the end of the project. Totals do not reflect or show phasing in over time or the depreciation of prior projects. Total costs are associated with the year projects are placed in-service as reported in the Project List.

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 +10% 121 786 224 Estimate 110 715 203

  • 10%

99 643 183 200 400 600 800

UNDER CONSTRUCTION

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Status of Major Transmission Projects

PPA TCA Construction

Pittsfield/Greenfield Project

Approved 12/12, 01/16, 05/16 Partial 2/11/16, 7/17/17, 2/15/19 Project completion 2014-2020

Southwest Connecticut (SWCT)

Approved 4/15 Complete 7/16/15, 4/15/16, 5/13/16, 1/3/18, 2/15/19 Project completion 2013-2021

Southeast MA/RI Reliability

Approved 5/17, 4/18 TCA Submitted Project completion 2017-2021

Central/Western MA Reinforcements

Approved 12/07, 3/11 Group 1 2/29/2012 Project completion 2009-2022

Greater Boston – North, South, Central and Suburbs

Approved 4/15, 5/15, 6/16 TCA Submitted Project completion 2013-2021

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Status of Major Transmission Projects, cont.

14

PPA TCA Construction

New Hampshire Solution – Western, Central, Southern and Seacoast

Approved 3/13 Seacoast 11/5/15 Southern 1/7/16 Western 12/17/15 Central 11/25/15 Project completion 2013-2020

Greater Hartford & Central Connecticut (GHCC)

Approved 4/15 TCA Submitted Project completion 2015-2020

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October 2019 Asset Condition

Project ID # Transmission System Upgrades Cost (in millions $)

164 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 310 (Connecticut) 19.9 165 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 321 (Connecticut) 6.5 166 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 330 (Connecticut) 17.1 167 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 348 (Connecticut) 19.4 168 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 352 (Connecticut) 12.5

34 New Projects

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October 2019 Asset Condition

Project ID # Transmission System Upgrades Cost (in millions $)

169 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 362 (Connecticut) 5.1 170 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 364 (Connecticut) 17.3 171 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 368 (Connecticut) 7.3 172 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 383 (Connecticut) 22.2 173 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 387 (Connecticut) 18.2

34 New Projects

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October 2019 Asset Condition

Project ID # Transmission System Upgrades Cost (in millions $)

174 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 3041 (Connecticut) 9.7 175 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 3252 (Connecticut) 7.5 176 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 3419 (Connecticut) 11.9 177 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 3424 (Connecticut) 7.9 178 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 3754 (Connecticut) 8.2

34 New Projects

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October 2019 Asset Condition

Project ID # Transmission System Upgrades Cost (in millions $)

179 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 336 (Massachusetts) 6.6 180 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 3361 (Massachusetts) 6.3 181 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 312 (Massachusetts) 41.3 182 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 354 (Massachusetts) 29.6 183 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 3419 (Massachusetts) 26.0

34 New Projects

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October 2019 Asset Condition

Project ID # Transmission System Upgrades Cost (in millions $)

184 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 393 (Massachusetts) 11.0 185 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 381 (Massachusetts) 12.5 186 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 326 (New Hampshire) 5.2 187 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 367 (New Hampshire) 14.1 188 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 373 (New Hampshire) 10.3

34 New Projects

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October 2019 Asset Condition

Project ID # Transmission System Upgrades Cost (in millions $)

189 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 379 (New Hampshire) 9.7 190 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 381 (New Hampshire) 8.3 191 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 385 (New Hampshire) 14.0 192 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 391 (New Hampshire) 16.4 193 115 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 1470 (Connecticut) 11.1

34 New Projects

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October 2019 Asset Condition

Project ID # Transmission System Upgrades Cost (in millions $)

194 110-510 & 110-511 lines 115 kV HPFF refurbishment (Massachusetts) 95.0 195 Sand Bar Substation - Mitigate several Asset Condition concerns: Control House, P&C, circuit breakers, switches (Vermont) 10.6 196 Berlin Substation - Mitigate several Asset Condition concerns: Control House, P&C, circuit breakers & switches. Install a second protection system (Vermont) 5.9 197 1130 Line OPGW Replacement (Connecticut) 8.2

34 New Projects

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October 2019 Asset Condition, cont.

12 Projects Placed In-Service

Project ID # Transmission System Upgrades Cost (in millions $)

23 Section 388 & 3023 Structure Replacement (Maine) 72.9 169 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 362 (Connecticut) 5.1 174 345 kV Structure Replacement Projects - Line 3041 (Connecticut) 9.7 84 Eversource Laminated Structure Replacement Project - Line 1921 (Connecticut) 10.8 135 Eversource 115 kV Structure Replacement Project - Line 1766 (Connecticut) 5.8

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October 2019 Asset Condition, cont.

12 Projects Placed In-Service

Project ID # Transmission System Upgrades Cost (in millions $)

115 1608 115 kV Line Cable Replacement (Connecticut) 8.2 117 Eversource 115 kV Structure Replacement Project - Line 1050 (Connecticut) 7.2 47 Southern CT Loop Line Structure Replacements - 1342 115 kV (Connecticut) 27.6 66 Laminated Structure Replacement Project - Line 1211/1161 (Massachusetts) 12.6 109 115 kV Structure Replacement Project - Line 1327 (Massachusetts) 3.8

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October 2019 Asset Condition, cont.

12 Projects Placed In-Service

Project ID # Transmission System Upgrades Cost (in millions $)

110 115 kV Structure Replacement Project - Line 1428 (Massachusetts) 12.1 15 Install a new Medway control house which is to be built to BPS standards in a location within the existing station footprint. (Massachusetts) 12.3

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October 2019 Changes, cont.

Cumulative Investment of New England Transmission Reliability Projects and Asset Condition through 2027

Note: Future total $ are shown at the end of the

  • project. Totals do not reflect or show phasing in over

time or the depreciation of prior projects. Total costs are associated with the year projects are placed in- service as reported in the Project and Asset Condition Lists.

Note: RSP - UC – Under Construction, PL – Planned, PR – Proposed, IS – In-service Asset Condition - AUC – Under Construction, APL – Planned, APR – Proposed, AIS – In-service

$10,940 $11,051 $11,843 $12,384 $12,469 $12,469 $12,469 $12,469 $12,469 $12,469 $12,430 $13,532 $14,699 $14,952 $15,223 $15,323 $15,371 $15,481 $15,481 $11,977 $11,977 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 $4,000 $4,500 $5,000 $5,500 $6,000 $6,500 $7,000 $7,500 $8,000 $8,500 $9,000 $9,500 $10,000 $10,500 $11,000 $11,500 $12,000 $12,500 $13,000 $13,500 $14,000 $14,500 $15,000 $15,500 $16,000 $16,500 2002 Oct-19 Dec-19 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Cost in millions Year

In-Service RSP (IS) UC+PL+PR UC+PL+PR+IS+AUC+APL+APR+AIS In-Service: RSP+Asset Condition (AIS)

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Appendix

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Summary: Project Listing Definitions

  • ISO New England Inc. Transmission, Markets and Services Tariff Section II

Attachment K, Regional System Planning Process Project Listing Subcategories

  • Concept: shall include a transmission project that is being considered by its proponent as

a potential solution to meet a need identified by the ISO in a Needs Assessment or the RSP, but for which there is little or no analysis available to support the transmission

  • project. (Project not well-defined, costs not well-defined, solution implementation not

supportable).

  • Proposed: The project will include a regulated transmission solution that has been

proposed in response to a specific Needs Assessment or the RSP and has been evaluated

  • r further defined and developed in a Solutions Study or in the competitive solutions

process and communicated to PAC. (Project well-defined, cost estimate quality sufficient for comparison of alternatives).

  • Planned: The project will include a Transmission upgrade that has been approved by the

ISO, pursuant to Section I.3.9 (presumes Needs Assessment and Solutions Study have been completed). (Still subject to Schedule 12C review for Transmission Cost Allocation)

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Project Listing

Project Listing Column Definitions for:

  • Reliability Projects
  • Interconnection Projects
  • Market Efficiency Upgrades
  • Elective Projects
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Project Listing – Column Definitions

Part Number (Part #) The Part #’s designate the ‘need’ category of the project. Original categories are not changed when a project is placed ‘In-Service’ or ‘Cancelled’. Part 1 – These projects are Reliability Upgrades.

1a: Planned or Under Construction 1b: Concept or Proposed

Part 2 – These projects are Generator Interconnection Upgrades.

2a: Planned (I.3.9 approval with Generator Interconnection Agreement including FCM related transmission upgrades to meet the Capacity Capability Interconnection Standard), or Under Construction 2b: Concept or Proposed (at a minimum, a completed System Impact Study and I.3.9 approval but no Generator Interconnection Agreement)

Part 3 – These projects are Market Efficiency Upgrades.

3a: Planned or Under Construction 3b: Concept or Proposed

Part 4 – These projects may be promoted by any entity electing to support the cost of transmission changes. The entity sponsoring the changes will have their own justification for their actions.

4a: Planned or Under Construction 4b: Concept or Proposed

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30 Project ID

This number is generated from ISO-NE System Planning

Primary Equipment Owner

The company listed here is the responsible equipment owner / provider designated to design and implement the project.

Other Equipment Owner

For projects that involve multiple Transmission Owners, the company listed here is also a responsible equipment owner / provider designated to design and implement the project.

Projected Month/Year of In-Service

The month/year entered is the date the project is expected to be placed in service.

Major Project

Name given to a project that consists of smaller subprojects.

Project / Project Component

A brief, high-level description of the project is entered here. It will either include major pieces of substation equipment and/or types of line work to be performed.

Project Listing – Column Definitions, cont.

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Status

In Service: The project has been placed in operation. Under Construction: The project has received necessary approvals and a significant level of

engineering or construction is underway.

Planned: The project will include a Transmission upgrade that has been approved by the ISO pursuant to

Section I.3.9 of the Tariff.

Proposed: A regulated transmission solution that has been selected by the ISO in response to a Needs

Assessment and communicated to PAC.

Concept: Shall include a transmission project that is being considered by its proponent as a potential

solution to meet a need identified by the ISO in a Needs Assessment or the RSP, but for which there is little

  • r no analysis available to support the transmission project.

Cancelled: Project has been cancelled.

Project Listing – Column Definitions, cont.

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32 PPA Approval (Review of Market Participant’s Proposed Plans)

A date in this column signifies when the project received approval pursuant to Section I.3.9 of the ISO-New England Tariff. This approval indicates that the project will have no adverse impact on the stability, reliability,

  • r operating characteristics of the system. A ‘no’ indicates that an approval is required, but has not been

received yet. An ‘NR’ indicates that an I.3.9 approval is not required.

TCA Approval (Transmission Cost Allocation)

A date in this column signifies when the project PTF costs were reviewed and approved. This approval indicates that it has been agreed whether, and by how much, the scope of the project and associated costs exceed regional needs. An 'NR' indicates that a TCA approval is not applicable because the project has been cancelled, has no/minimal PTF cost, or is associated with the interconnection of a resource or Elective Transmission Upgrade.

Estimated Costs

The pool-supported project cost estimate presented here should be the best estimate available. It is understood that the estimate accuracy may vary dependent on the maturity of the project. Accuracy tolerances for these estimates are targeted as follows: Concept Project Proposed Project that has been reviewed and approved to proceed by ISO-NE (+50%/-25%), I.3.9-Approved Project (+/-25%), and TCA-Approved Project (+/-10%)

Project Listing – Column Definitions, cont.