Polyplex (Thailand) Public Limited Company Polyplex (Thailand) Public Limited Company
Presentation at the SET Opportunity Day Friday, 3rd December 2010 Website : www.polyplexthailand.com
Polyplex (Thailand) Public Limited Company Polyplex (Thailand) Public - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Polyplex (Thailand) Public Limited Company Polyplex (Thailand) Public Limited Company Presentation at the SET Opportunity Day Friday, 3 rd December 2010 Website : www.polyplexthailand.com Contents BOPET Film Industry Polyplex group
Presentation at the SET Opportunity Day Friday, 3rd December 2010 Website : www.polyplexthailand.com
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Polyplex’s area of operation
PTA Supplier
P E T
Industrial Industrial Buyers Buyers
R E S
MEG Supplier
B A S
Buyers Buyers
S I N
Supplier
S E F I L M S
Converters Converters FMCG FMCG
S
Companies Companies
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– Thin Film : 50 Micron & Under (75% of total BOPET) – Thick Film : Over 50 Micron (25% of total BOPET) Thick Film : Over 50 Micron (25% of total BOPET)
100µ 100µ
– Imaging & Graphics – Magnetic Tape – Packaging & Metalizing : Main Segment for POLYPLEX – Electronics / Electricals / – Other Industrial
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COST DRIVEN FACTORS
CRUDEOIL PRICE IMPACT ON POLYESTER
MARKET DRIVEN FACTORS
CRUDE OIL PRICE IMPACT ON POLYESTER FILM (60%)
PTA MEG ENERGY COST (FUEL / POWER) ENERGY COST (FUEL / POWER) LOGISTICS COST
CURRENCY VOLATILITY DEMAND – SUPPLY BALANCE
COUNTRY EXPORT COMPETITIVENESS IMPORT INTENSITY CURRENCY WAR
TRADE AGREEMENTS AND BARRIERS
PROTECTIONISM, ANTI‐DUMPING BILATERALISM & REGIONAL TRADE
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BOPET Thin Film "KMT" 2004 2009 2014 E BOPET Thick Film "KMT" 2004 2009 2014 E Capacity 1,388 2,171 3,166 Capacity 626 847 1,137 Production 1,235 1,806 2,781 Production 479 587 829 Capacity Utilisation % 89% 83% 88% Capacity Utilisation % 77% 69% 73% Demand 1,235 1,806 2,843 Demand 479 587 829 Imaging & Graphics 8 6 4 Imaging & Graphics 203 161 133 Magnetic Tape 94 22 7 Magnetic Tape ‐ ‐ ‐ Packaging & Metallising 730 1,232 1,998 Packaging & Metallising 4 17 32
f f
Electrical / Electronics 59 90 187 Electrical / Electronics 142 248 443 Other Industrial 344 456 647 Other Industrial 131 161 221 *Source: Industry Sources
total Thin Film used.
expected to grow at CAGR of 9 5% (2010 2014) expected to grow at CAGR of 9.5% (2010‐2014).
expected to grow at CAGR of 7.2% (2010‐2014). Th b CUF i b d “N Pl t ” C it A hi bl k CUF i 85%
90% for Thin Film and 70% ‐ 75% for Thick Film against Name Plate Capacity.
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World GDP Growth rates World GDP Growth rates.
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4000 575 630 147 140 137 15 11 9 7 3000 3500 710 766 820 868 293 333 338 389 444 508 575 181 178 172 167 160 154 55 42 32 28 22 17 2000 2500 1698 1863 2030 474 524 568 616 638 617 659 710 201 222 255 293 211 198 181 94 1000 1500 734 842 951 1046 1149 1249 1392 1545 1698 500
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E
Packaging Other Industrial Electrical Imaging Magnetic Tape
( ) p g @
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3500 4000
17% 4%
segment to continue to grow at robust rate
2500 3000
7% 1% 24%
segment to witness highest growth rate of 13%.
1500 2000
12% 12% 5% 26% 14%
g
due to new applications
500 1000
43% 28% 52% 55%
K MT
applications.
closely at 10%
2004 2009 2014 E Packaging Other Industrial Electrical Imaging Magnetic Tape
to experience “Negative” growth
11 g g g g g p
Negative growth
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T k Pl t 3
India : Plant 1 & Plant
Thailand: Turkey: Plant 3
India : Plant 1 & Plant 4
Thailand: Plant 2
Factories Warehouses
Manufacturing Locations – India (PCL), Thailand (PTL) & Turkey (PE)
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Distribution Companies – USA (PA) & China (PTSL). Warehouses – 12 in USA, 3 in Mexico, 1 in Poland & 1 in Guangzhou, China
Polyplex (Asia) Pte. Ltd. (PAPL) SINGAPORE Polyplex Corproation Limited (PCL/Polyplex India) INDIA
100%
Private Investor Polyplex (America)
Polyplex (Thailand) Plc.. (PTL/Polyplex Thailand) THAILAND Public/ Institutional Shareholdrers
9.88% 9.88% 16.5%% 43.5% 40% 80.24%
Polyplex (Singapore) Pte. Ltd. (PSPL) SINGAPORE Polyplex Trading (Shenzhen)
100% 100% 40% 80.24%
( )
(PTS ) CHINA l l l l k Outside Interest Investment Company
100%
Polyplex Europa Polyester Film Sanayi Ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (PE/ Polyplex Turkey) TURKEY Manufacturing Company Distribution Company
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More than 1,200 Customers in 80 countries More than 1,200 Customers in 80 countries
services teams (region specific ) & Global Innovation C t
small customers Centre PCL‐ SAARC, GCC and Africa PTL‐ SEA, Far East & Oceania PE ‐ Europe & CIS countries small customers
– Container loads drop‐shipped for cost‐ effectiveness
PA ‐ North and South America, Canada & Mexico PTSL‐China – Local warehousing support for higher flexibility & security
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Turkey Turkey India India Thailand Thailand
We re a fully integrated, global manufacturer of plastic films with Concentric Diversification into BOPP & CPP
h l f l b the plastic film business
like Extrusion lamination, Silicone Coated release films etc.
Earnings.
i f O h Off h d N h
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51000 58000
PET FILM (151,000 TPA) MET FILM (42,500 TPA)
51000 42000 58000 16300 15200 11000
Polyplex :Product Portfolio PET Film 151 KTPA,CPP 10KTPA, BOPP 35 KTPA
INDIA THAILAND TURKEY
151000 35000 10000 INDIA THAILAND TURKEY
Offli C 310 M SQM
77600 57600
PET RESIN 192,200 TPA
160 150
Offline Coater 310 Mn SQM
PET FILM (TPA) BOPP (TPA) CPP (TPA)
57000 INDIA THAILAND TURKEY
SILICONE COATING (Mn Sqm)‐India EXTRUSION COATING (Mn Sqm)‐Thailand
INDIA THAILAND TURKEY
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Polyplex Group Capacity
1200 1400 80,000 90,000 100,000 m) (in tons)
PET BOPP CPP PET Chips Metallizer Silicon Coating Extrusion Coating
35,000 ‐ 10,000 800 1000 50,000 60,000 70,000 city (in Million Sqm erial and Metallizer , 650 400 600 20,000 30,000 40,000 Coating Capa Base Film, Raw Mate 54,600 42,000 89,000 77,600 57,000 85,600 20,400 15,200 19,600 160 ‐ 200 ‐ 10,000
Base Film Raw Material Metallized Film Coated Film Base Film Raw Material Metallized Film Coated Film Base Film Raw Material Metallized Film
B
Mio Sqm
Thin PET film line expansion ( Including Resin + metallized film line) under implementation in Turkey India Thailand Turkey
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in Turkey.
Thailand
250 000 35,000 10,000 10,000 200,000 250,000 C A P
196K MT 231K MT
35,000 10,000 150,000 A C I T
120K MT
120 000 151,000 185,600 100,000 Y I N
62K MT 91K MT
20,000 62,000 91,000 120,000 50,000 M T
20K MT
From 20 KMT capacity in 2002, we have become a TOP 5 Manufacturer of Thin BOPET Fil ith it f 151 KMT d ddi f th 31KMT b 2012 I
2002 2003 2005 2007 2010 2012 BOPET BOPP CPP
BOPET Film with capacity of 151 KMT and adding further 31KMT by 2012. In addition existing BOPP capacity of 35 KMT and CPP Capacity of 10 KMT
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Thailand
Apr/ Nov 2003 PET Film – Line 1 & 2 Sep 2004 Feb 2005 July 2005 Chip Plant –Batch /Continuous Metallizer-1
Turkey
April 2008 May 2008 Metallizer -2 Extrusion Coated Film PET Film – Line 1 December 2005 y Metallizer - 1 Chip Plant March 2006 December 2006 March 2010 Cast Polypropylene Film Expected H1 FY 2011-12 Silicone Coating line Metallizer -2 PET Film - Line 2 May 2008 May 2008 FY 2011 12
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PET Film Line-3, Metalliser + Chips line Expected Q4 FY 2011-12
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integration into metalized film
, p
within Q4 of FY 2010‐11 Q
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Year Capacity (MT) Product Market Space/Focus Source of Competitive Advantage ( ) p / g Pre‐2002 20,000
Operational Excellence
customer base
C t S i 2003‐07 90,000
Emotional Integration
2009 + 200,000
Scale
Concentric diversification
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H1 2009-10 H1 2010-11 YoY % Production (PF+MF)-MT 53,705 55,886 4% Total Revenues 3,558 4,670 31% EBITDA 687 1 445 110% EBITDA 687 1,445 110% Profit before Tax 445 1,223 175% Profit after Tax (excl.minority int) 431 1,175 172%
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Financial Figs in Mn THB Production Qty includes only BOPET Film.
Q2 2009-10 Q1 2010-11 Q2 2010-11 QoQ% YoY% Production (PF+MF)-MT 26,917 28,267 27,619
3% Total Revenues 1,747 2,133 2,561 20% 47% EBITDA 327 543 902 66% 176% EBITDA 327 543 902 66% 176% Profit before Tax 211 431 792 84% 275% Profit after Tax (excl.minority int) 200 412 762 85% 280%
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Financial Figs in Mn THB Production Qty includes only BOPET Film.
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0.60 0.70 0.80 5 00 6.00 7.00 0.30 0.40 0.50 3.00 4.00 5.00 ‐ 0.10 0.20 0.30 ‐ 1.00 2.00 2005‐06 2006‐07 2007‐08 2008‐09 2009‐10 H1 2010‐ 11 DSCR C R i D/E
D/E DSCR &
DSCR Current Ratio D/E
INDICATOR 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 H1 2010-11 DSCR 2.46 2.76 3.35 3.14 2.69 5.73
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D/E 0.44 0.46 0.69 0.72 0.57 0.42 Current Ratio 2.03 1.55 1.81 4.11 2.11 2.60
42,000 42,000 42,000 42,000 42,000 120% 42 000 48,000 88% 95% 90% 97% 99% 71% 91% 67% 74% 81% 60% 80% 100% 24 000 30,000 36,000 42,000 5,000 5,000 10,250 11,000 11,000 20% 40% 60% 6 000 12,000 18,000 24,000 0%
Financial Year
Plain Film Metallized Film Plain Film Metallized Film
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54,375 58,000 58,000 92% 89% 91% 90% 100% 54,000 60,000 29 000 29 000 81% 74% 83% 57% 72% 78% 60% 70% 80% 36,000 42,000 48,000 , 29,000 29,000 10,250 11,000 11,000 50% 20% 30% 40% 50% 12 000 18,000 24,000 30,000 5,000 5,000 0% 10% 20%
12,000
Financial Year
Plain Film Metallized Film Plain Film Metallized Film
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EUROPE 39% THAILAND 9% ROW 2%
39% ASIA 24% North America 26%
Note: Above region wise break up is based on Sales Value for H1 2010 - 11 at Polyplex (Thailand) Consolidated level
EUROPE North America ASIA THAILAND ROW
strategy to set up manufacturing facility in Turkey and acquire the distribution company in the US - Judicious mix of On-shore Off-shore and Near-shore strategy
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US - Judicious mix of On-shore, Off-shore and Near-shore strategy
* Value added films include Chemically Coated films Metallized Film (PET + CPP)
Note: Above data is for PTL (standalone) based on Sales quantity
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Value added films include Chemically Coated films, Metallized Film (PET + CPP) and Thermal Laminated film which have higher value addition as compared with normal plain film.
Performance
35.64% 22.61% 6.69%
EBI TDA Margin
PTL* (July-Sept-2010) AJ* (July-Sept-2010) TFI * (July-Sept-2010)
30.85% 17.54% 0.08% 23.73% 24.99% 0.07%
Net Profit Margin ROA g
Financial Position
33.36% 66.01% 0.21%
ROE
1.89 0.61 0.48 0.41 1.64 1.92 41.25 18.73 0.02
Current Ratio Debt to Equity I nterest Coverage Ratio
6.79 2.39 0.72
I nterest Coverage Ratio DSCR
Note : Interest Coverage Ratio = EBIT / Interest 36 DSCR = EBITDA / (Interest + Current Portion of Long Term Loan(prorated for the quarter period) *From SET filings (unconsolidated)
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Stock Price related trends
10 15 5 10
Q4 ‐2008 Q1 ‐2009 Q2 ‐2009 Q3 ‐2009 Q4 ‐2009 Q1 ‐2010 Q2 ‐2010 Q3 ‐2010 Annualized EPS 1.35 1.3 1.16 1.08 1.15 1.30 2.08 3.80 Share Price ‐THB per share * 3.42 3.98 4.84 6.60 6.25 6.85 8.60 22.00 Book Value of share THB/Share 5 98 5 72 6 09 6 29 6 52 6 24 6 43 7 41
‐
Book Value of share ‐THB/Share 5.98 5.72 6.09 6.29 6.52 6.24 6.43 7.41 P/E(times) ‐ based on trailing 4 qtr EPS (excl current qtr) 3.13 3.40 3.90 5.12 5.12 5.85 7.34 15.70
* Stock price of PTL as at 2nd December 2010 is 40 Baht per share.
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M k D l Market Developments
Crisis in 2008‐09.
Structural changes : g
with a clear preference for onshore/ near shore suppliers. N li i New applications
The above Factors have resulted in a tight supply situation of BOPET Films in 2010.
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Consumer Staples
Packaging of food &
Consumer Discretionary
Automotive
I ndustrial Segments
g g personal products 2008 Q4 -- -- 2009 + Electronics & Consumer durables 2008 Q4 -- -- 2009 Existing 2008 Q4 -- -- New 2008 Q4 -- -- 2009 + 2010 + + 2009 -- 2010 + + 2009 -- 2010 + + 2009 + 2010 + + +
Consumer staples: Less susceptible to economic cycles. Cash crunch during 2008 crisis & Consumer staples: Less susceptible to economic cycles. Cash crunch during 2008 crisis & destocking in supply chain led to exaggerated “apparent” reduction in demand. Consumer discretionary: Demand dependant on consumer confidence. Grew steadily in pre recession period, slowed down in 2008‐09, revived rapidly in 2010 with revival of consumer recession period, slowed down in 2008 09, revived rapidly in 2010 with revival of consumer confidence especially in the emerging economies. Further aided by pent up demand Industrial Segments: Economic recovery & increased business confidence led to robust demand in 2010 . Boosted by new applications especially PV with 30% + growth demand in 2010 . Boosted by new applications especially PV with 30% + growth
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visibility of polyester film demand.
demand, cash crunch, risk aversion & low business confidence
the industry leaders away from packaging film to other emerging application
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P ti l / Y 2010 2011 2012 2013 Particulars / Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 Demand 1,810 1,975 2,155 2,350 Capacity 1 810 1 890 2 100 2 390 Capacity 1,810 1,890 2,100 2,390 Growth in Demand 165 180 195 210 Net Capacity Addition 80 210 290 180 Net Capacity Addition 80 210 290 180 Supply - Demand Situation (85) (55) 40 10 Shortage Shortage Excess Balanced
42 Calendar Year
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The views expressed here contain information derived from publicly available sources that have not b i d d tl ifi d N t ti t i d t th
Disclaimer
been independently verified. No representation
warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. Any forward looking information in this presentation has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove to be
(Thailand) Public Co., Ltd. Nothing in this release should be construed as either an offer to sell or a
Disclaimer
( ) , g solicitation to buy or sell shares in any jurisdiction.
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