PARKS FORWARD: D EMOGRAPHIC C HANGE IN THE G OLDEN S TATE MANUEL - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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PARKS FORWARD: D EMOGRAPHIC C HANGE IN THE G OLDEN S TATE MANUEL - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

PARKS FORWARD: D EMOGRAPHIC C HANGE IN THE G OLDEN S TATE MANUEL PASTOR, MIRABAI AUER, JARED SANCHEZ September 2013 A Leveling Off: Immigrant Share of Total Population California, Los Angeles, and the U.S. 50% Los Angeles 40% 30% California


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September 2013

MANUEL PASTOR, MIRABAI AUER, JARED SANCHEZ

PARKS FORWARD:

DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE IN THE GOLDEN STATE

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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

A Leveling Off: Immigrant Share of Total Population California, Los Angeles, and the U.S.

Los Angeles United States California

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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% North Dakota South Dakota Wyoming Kentucky Alabama Nebraska Indiana Mississippi Tennessee Iowa Missouri Louisiana Oklahoma Minnesota District of Columbia Delaware Arkansas South Carolina Kansas North Carolina Ohio West Virginia Georgia Virginia Maryland Wisconsin Colorado Utah Pennsylvania Massachusetts Montana Washington Alaska Idaho Oregon Texas Michigan Connecticut New Jersey New Hampshire Florida New Mexico Illinois New York Nevada Hawaii Rhode Island Arizona Maine Vermont California

Percent of Immigrant Population in U.S. Since 1999

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AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE DC FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75%

Percent Share of State That is Foreign-Born Percent Immigrants Arrived Before 2000

Percent Foreign-born by Length of Time in U.S. by State

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  • 4,310,525
  • 248,081

4,788,632 781,946 875,683 White Black Latino API Other

U.S. Change in Youth (<18) Population by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2010

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12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Under 5 years 5 to 9 years 10 to 14 years 15 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 25 to 29 years 30 to 34 years 35 to 39 years 40 to 44 years 45 to 49 years 50 to 54 years 55 to 59 years 60 to 64 years 65 to 69 years 70 to 74 years 75 to 79 years 80 to 84 years 85 years and over

Age by Sex, California, 2005-09

Male Female

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

Prepared by USC PERE | August 2013 | 20

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12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Under 5 years 5 to 9 years 10 to 14 years 15 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 25 to 29 years 30 to 34 years 35 to 39 years 40 to 44 years 45 to 49 years 50 to 54 years 55 to 59 years 60 to 64 years 65 to 69 years 70 to 74 years 75 to 79 years 80 to 84 years 85 years and over

Age by Sex, South Kern BHC Site, 2005-09

Male Female

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

Prepared by USC PERE | April 23, 2013 | 21

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14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% Under 5 years 5 to 9 years 10 to 14 years 15 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 25 to 29 years 30 to 34 years 35 to 39 years 40 to 44 years 45 to 49 years 50 to 54 years 55 to 59 years 60 to 64 years 65 to 69 years 70 to 74 years 75 to 79 years 80 to 84 years 85 years and over

Age by Sex, Fresno BHC Site, 2005-09

Male Female

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

Prepared by USC PERE | April 23, 2013 | 22

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14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% Under 5 years 5 to 9 years 10 to 14 years 15 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 25 to 29 years 30 to 34 years 35 to 39 years 40 to 44 years 45 to 49 years 50 to 54 years 55 to 59 years 60 to 64 years 65 to 69 years 70 to 74 years 75 to 79 years 80 to 84 years 85 years and over

Age by Sex, Coachella Valley BHC Site, 2005-09

Male Female

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

Prepared by USC PERE | April 23, 2013 | 23

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Prepared by USC PERE | March 19, 2013 | 24

12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Under 5 years 5 to 9 years 10 to 14 years 15 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 25 to 29 years 30 to 34 years 35 to 39 years 40 to 44 years 45 to 49 years 50 to 54 years 55 to 59 years 60 to 64 years 65 to 69 years 70 to 74 years 75 to 79 years 80 to 84 years 85 years and over

Age by Sex, Boyle Heights BHC Site, 2005-09

Male Female

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

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12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Under 5 years 5 to 9 years 10 to 14 years 15 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 25 to 29 years 30 to 34 years 35 to 39 years 40 to 44 years 45 to 49 years 50 to 54 years 55 to 59 years 60 to 64 years 65 to 69 years 70 to 74 years 75 to 79 years 80 to 84 years 85 years and over

Age by Sex, East Oakland BHC Site, 2005-09

Male Female

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

Prepared by USC PERE | March 19, 2013 | 25

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12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Under 5 years 5 to 9 years 10 to 14 years 15 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 25 to 29 years 30 to 34 years 35 to 39 years 40 to 44 years 45 to 49 years 50 to 54 years 55 to 59 years 60 to 64 years 65 to 69 years 70 to 74 years 75 to 79 years 80 to 84 years 85 years and over

Age by Sex, Richmond BHC Site, 2005-09

Male Female

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

Prepared by USC PERE | March 19, 2013 | 26

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12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Under 5 years 5 to 9 years 10 to 14 years 15 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 25 to 29 years 30 to 34 years 35 to 39 years 40 to 44 years 45 to 49 years 50 to 54 years 55 to 59 years 60 to 64 years 65 to 69 years 70 to 74 years 75 to 79 years 80 to 84 years 85 years and over

Age by Sex, City Heights BHC Site, 2005-09

Male Female

Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.

Prepared by USC PERE | March 19, 2013 | 27

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WE USED TO BE OPPORUTNITY-RICH . . .

0.40 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 New York Connecticut Louisiana Mississippi Texas Florida California Tennessee Alabama Georgia Illinois Massachusetts Kentucky New Jersey North Carolina South Carolina Arkansas New Mexico Oklahoma Pennsylvania Rhode Island Virginia West Virginia Colorado Arizona Michigan Missouri Ohio North Dakota Oregon Kansas Maryland Montana Washington Minnesota Delaware South Dakota Maine Indiana Nevada Nebraska Idaho Vermont Wyoming Wisconsin Iowa Hawaii New Hampshire Utah Alaska

Gini Index by State

(2007-2009)

Note: The Gini coefficient is a measure

  • f income inequality. A zero coefficient implies that all households in astatehave exactly the same amount of

wealth, while a coefficient of 1.0 means a single household has all the state's income.

Once considered a land of

  • pportunity, California is now one of

the most unequal states in the U.S.

Prepared by USC PERE | April 23, 2013 | 28

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$0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 < high school high school only some college, no degree AA or equivalent BA or better

Changing Returns to Education in California, 1979-2009

1979 2009

Real wage earned at various education points – note that the return has increased for college grads such that the wage premium was about 100 percent in 1979 and is now nearly 200 percent in 2009

Prepared by USC PERE | April 23, 2013 | 29

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How can the state park system help with significant social challenges?

  • Intersecting state

park system with needs of low-income population and communities of color

  • Thanks to Greeninfo

for advice and pioneering techniques

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Zoom to major urban areas

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  • Need to understand whether the

future demographics are being served by park and other systems

  • Need to see the park system as
  • ne part of contributing to
  • pportunity for all residents
  • Need to see how every system

can help with reconnecting Californians across generations and geographies

IMPLICATIONS FOR STATE PARKS

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BUILDING THE FUTURE