Overcoming Uncertainty with Climate Scenario Planning Dani - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Overcoming Uncertainty with Climate Scenario Planning Dani - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Sep 01, 2022 45 likes •335 views

Overcoming Uncertainty with Climate Scenario Planning Dani Boudreau | Tijuana River NERR Syverine Bentz | Kachemak Bay NERR NERRS Science Collaborative Webinar | Dec 2017 Blooms of Harmful Algae Forest Fire Frequency

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Overcoming Uncertainty with Climate Scenario Planning

Dani Boudreau | Tijuana River NERR Syverine Bentz | Kachemak Bay NERR NERRS Science Collaborative Webinar | Dec 2017

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Blooms of Harmful Algae Growing Season Length Ocean Acidification & Temperature Forest Fire Frequency

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Aligning multiple opportunities

  • NERRS Science

Collaborative Transfer grant

  • NOAA Office for

Coastal Management CACC training

  • Successful

Adaptation Indicators & Metrics (SAIM) project

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Bringing it all together

Framework Vision & Pathways Indicators & Metrics March 2016 October 2016 April 2016

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Low Groundwater Recharge Extreme Surface Flow

Current State

High Groundwater Recharge Steady Surface Flow

Wet & Wetter

Future for salmon uncertain

Drier Landscape & Flashier Floods

Community stability? Change is the new norm

Steady Flow & Dry Below

Sucking Us Dry: Lacking groundwater recharge blamed for economic decline

Sitka (SE Alaska)

Mud slide buries Two Sisters Bakery

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“A real value is that this is cross pollinating. Because we are in the same room we are aware of others”

  • Stream Ecologist
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“I feel 100% more empowered to talk about climate change with a wide variety of people” –Municipal Planning Staff

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“So empowering and beautiful to be able to create art about a challenging topic”

–Parent of art student

Representative Paul Seaton

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Partners: Alaska Sea Grant, Alaska Marine Conservation Council

Fisheries Business Resilience

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Groundwater Resources

Partners: KBNERR Community Council, Project GRAD, Cook Inlet Keeper, Kenai Peninsula Borough Land Management, the Homer Soil and Water District, and University of South Florida

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Case Study: Climate Art + Science Collaborative Case Study: Kenai Lands Forum

Sharing Success Stories

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Vision Element: Maintaining Wild Lands Local Option Zoning Extent of application Habitat created Carbon storage Participation Adapted from NAS, 2015

# of property

  • wners

# of acres Species abundance # of t of C sequestered

Tracking Adaptation Strategies

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Learn more about the SAIM project next month…

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Thank you!

Dani Boudreau

Tijuana River NERR dboudreau@trnerr.org

Syverine Bentz

Kachemak Bay NERR syverine@alaska.edu Additional assistance provided by

Susanne Moser, Susanne Moser Research & Consulting James Arnott, University of Michigan Gwen Shaughnessy, NOAA Office for Coastal Mgmt For more information

  • accs.uaa.alaska.edu/kbnerr/climate-resilience
  • trnerr.org/climate-scenario-planning-alaska/

Thank you to our funder the NERRS Science Collaborative!