Our Salem: T Our Salem: Toda day Public W Public Workshop: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Our Salem: T Our Salem: Toda day Public W Public Workshop: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Our Salem: T Our Salem: Toda day Public W Public Workshop: rkshop: May 8, 2019 Meeting Agenda Pr Project U oject Updat date City Pr City Profil ofile Greenhouse Gas (GhG) In Greenhouse Gas (GhG) Invent ntor ory Draf


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SLIDE 1

Our Salem: T Our Salem: Toda day

Public W Public Workshop: rkshop: May 8, 2019

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SLIDE 2

Meeting Agenda

  • Pr

Project U

  • ject Updat

date

  • City Pr

City Profil

  • file
  • Greenhouse Gas (GhG) In

Greenhouse Gas (GhG) Invent ntor

  • ry
  • Draf

Draft Scenarios and Indicat t Scenarios and Indicators rs

  • Re

Report C Card rd

  • What do

What do you think? u think?

  • Board

rds a and Y Your Re Report C Card rd

  • Ne

Next St xt Steps eps

  • Questions and Answ

Questions and Answers ers

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SLIDE 3

What is a Comprehensive Plan?

  • Provide policies and action items to implement the shared vision

Com Comprehensiv rehensive plans… e plans…

  • Are based on residents’ and

stakeholders’ values and dreams

  • Provide a shared vision for

the city to guide future growth and development

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SLIDE 4

Salem’s Comprehensive Plan Update Process

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Phase 1

Existing Conditions + Scenarios

Fall 2018 – Spring 2019 Fall 2018 – Spring 2019

Phase 2

Community Vision

Phase 3

Update Comp Plan

TBD TBD TBD TBD

Phase 1

Existing Conditions + Scenarios

Fall 2018 – Spring 2019

Phase 2

Community Vision

Phase 3

Update Comp Plan

TBD TBD

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SLIDE 5

Process and Schedule

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Review Existing Plans Develop Scenarios Report Card Report Back Choose Indicators

3 5

We are here!

4 1 2

1 2

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SLIDE 6

City Profile

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SLIDE 7

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SLIDE 8

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60,000 more people by 2035

Current Pop. Est. 2035 Pop.

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SLIDE 9

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Salem’s Population is Aging

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SLIDE 10

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Salem has a mix of housing types

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SLIDE 11

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Housing prices are rising following regional and national trends

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SLIDE 12

Community Greenhouse Gas (GhG) Inventory

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SLIDE 13

Why create a Community GhG Inventory?

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  • Human ac tivity release s GhGs into

the atmo sphe re , and is the primary c ause o f glo bal c limate (I PCC).

  • GhG invento ries are a full ac c o unting
  • f the se gase s e mitte d into and

remo ved (sequestered) fro m the atmo sphere.

  • A c o mmunity GhG invento ry trac ks

emissio ns and sequestratio n asso c iated with ac tivities that o c c ur within a c ity, c o unty, o r regio n.

  • Measuring multiple years o f this data

allo ws jurisdic tio ns to trac k pro gress to ward emissio ns reduc tio n go als

Credit: PIXNIO Credit: Flickr / Sheila Sund

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SLIDE 14

Community GhG Inventory Scope

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  • City of Salem AND Salem UGB
  • Annual emissions for 2016
  • Sector-based
  • Does not include emissions occurring
  • utside study area from Salem’s

consumption of goods and services like cars, food, fuels, appliances and clothing.

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SLIDE 15

What sources do we cover?

DIRECT INDIRECT

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SLIDE 16

Inventory Results

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SLIDE 17

Inventory Highlights – Electricity

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Source: Salem Electric and Portland General Electric (2019)

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SLIDE 18

Inventory Highlights - Transportation

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Source: 2012-2016 American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year Estimates

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SLIDE 19

How do other cities compare?

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Note: Comparison inventory years vary (Eugene: 2015, Beaverton: 2013, Bend: 2016, Portland: 2008, Ashland: 2015, Milwaukie: 2016)

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SLIDE 20

How do other cities compare?

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SLIDE 21

What’s next?

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Credit: State of Oregon Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventory (2018)

  • Inventory additional

years of data (backward looking)

  • Look to best practices

for setting emissions reductions targets

  • Consider developing a

climate action plan

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SLIDE 22

Indicators and Scenarios

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SLIDE 23

Indicators Chosen

The indicators are:

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  • 1. Variables that can be

measured on a map

  • 2. Questions for which good

data is available

  • 3. Can be influenced by a

Comprehensive Plan

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SLIDE 24

December Community Workshop

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SLIDE 25

Top 20 Indicators

“Result Areas”

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SLIDE 26

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Salem is Gr Salem is Growing wing

How We Grow Matters

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SLIDE 27

What is Scenario Planning?

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The Future The Present

Conventional Approach: One Possible Future

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SLIDE 28

Scenario Planning Explores Multiple Possible Futures

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SLIDE 29

Two Future Scenarios

These are not alternative growth scenarios used for Visioning

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Bo Both assume th assume current City policies current City policies

Scenario 1 Scenario 1: Current T Current Trends (Most Lik ends (Most Likely) ly)

  • Population: 54,000 more people (Forecast =60,000)
  • Density: Lower than allowed
  • Redevelopment: Some

Scenario 2 Scenario 2: Zoning Buildout (Maximum Density) : Zoning Buildout (Maximum Density)

  • Population: 93,000 more people
  • Density: Maximum allowed (housing)
  • Redevelopment: Much more
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SLIDE 30

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New Households

Current Trends Zoning Buildout

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SLIDE 31

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New Jobs

Current Trends Zoning Buildout

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SLIDE 32

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New Activity = Households + Jobs

Current Trends Zoning Buildout

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SLIDE 33

Many Indicator Results were Different

1.

  • 1. Af

Affordability (Housing + ability (Housing + Transpo ansportation + En tation + Energy) gy) 2.

  • 2. Housing Af

Housing Affordability ability 3.

  • 3. Com

Complet lete Neighborhoods Neighborhoods 4.

  • 4. Walk and T

lk and Transit F ansit Friendliness iendliness 5.

  • 5. Jo

Jobs/ bs/Housing B

  • using Balance

lance 6.

  • 6. Activ

Active T Transpor ansportation tation 7.

  • 7. Bicy

Bicycle and P cle and Pedestrian Use destrian Use 8.

  • 8. Average W

erage Wage ge 9.

  • 9. Tree Canop

ee Canopy 10.

  • 10. Em

Emplo ploymen ment Mix Mix 11.

  • 11. Access t

Access to Freq equent T uent Transit ansit 12.

  • 12. Pr

Proximity t imity to Parks and T Parks and Trails ails 13.

  • 13. Revenue-t

nue-to-Cost Ratio

  • Cost Ratio

14.

  • 14. Annual Le

Annual Level of l of Ser Service ice 15.

  • 15. Pr

Proper

  • perty T

Tax R x Revenue nue 16.

  • 16. Traf

affic/P c/Pedestrian Accidents destrian Accidents 17.

  • 17. Infill De

Infill Development/ lopment/ Rede development lopment 18.

  • 18. De

Development in Slopes, lopment in Slopes, Floodplain and Riparian Areas Floodplain and Riparian Areas 19.

  • 19. Greenhouse Gas

Greenhouse Gas Emissions Emissions 20.

  • 20. Air P

Air Pollution R llution Reduction duction

Similar: Similar: Dif Different: erent:

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SLIDE 34

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Why Were They Similar?

  • Ne

New homes continue t w homes continue to be built on the edges be built on the edges

  • Ne

New jobs mirr w jobs mirror current jobs

  • r current jobs
  • Current policies remain in

Current policies remain in place place

Current Trends Zoning Buildout

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SLIDE 35

Why Were They Different?

  • More de

More development in lopment in the Zoning Buildout the Zoning Buildout Scenario Scenario

  • Dif

Different types of de rent types of development lopment

  • Re

Redeve velopment

  • Mix

Mixed use Do d use Downt wntown wn

  • Population v

pulation varies betw ries between scenarios (54,000 een scenarios (54,000

  • vs. 93,000)
  • vs. 93,000)
  • Direct im

Direct impact on re pact on revenue, accidents, etc. nue, accidents, etc.

  • Less t

Less to do with where de do with where development occurs lopment occurs

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SLIDE 36

Our Salem Report Card

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SLIDE 37

Are we heading in the right direction?

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We are mo are moving in the wr ving in the wrong direction.

  • ng direction.

Is this the right direction? Is this the right direction? We seem t seem to be heading in the right direction. be heading in the right direction. We are doing w are doing well in some areas, ll in some areas, doing less w doing less well in o ll in others, and hers, and we ha have q questions that w estions that we need the citizens help t need the citizens help to answ answer er.

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SLIDE 38

Indicator Sheets

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Indicat Indicator shee r sheets f ts for each “R r each “Result Area” esult Area”

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SLIDE 39

Jobs/Housing Balance

Having a good balance of housing and jobs is important for many reasons. Salem in general is has many jobs and will continue to in the future.

We seem seem to be be heading in the heading in the right directi right direction. n.

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SLIDE 40

Infill & Redevelopment

About a third of new housing development today is from recent infill or redevelopment. This will increase in the future and that aligns with existing policies that promote infill and redevelopment.

We seem seem to be be heading in the heading in the right directi right direction. n.

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SLIDE 41

Tree Canopy

Trees provide environmental and quality-of-life benefits. We currently don’t meet our target of 23%.

We We a are m moving in the in the wr wrong

  • ng

direction. direction.

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SLIDE 42

Walking & Biking Trips

Salem has adopted targets to increase walking and biking trips by 2020. We are not projected to meet our goal.

We We a are m moving in the in the wr wrong

  • ng

direction. direction.

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SLIDE 43

Proximity to Parks

The percentage of households living within a half-mile

  • f a park drops in the future.

Will we need more parks in the future?

Is this the Is this the right right direction? direction?

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SLIDE 44

Complete Neighborhoods

A “complete neighborhood” means people live within walking distance of parks, schools, grocery stores, businesses, transit. Is this important for the future of Salem?

Is this the Is this the right right direction? direction?

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SLIDE 45

Please Provide Feedback

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  • Take some time to review

the report card and indicator sheets

  • Ask question and share

your thoughts with the staff and consultant team

  • Mark your grades on the

comment form

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SLIDE 46

What’s Next?

Community Community Visioning! Visioning!

  • How d

do we we wa want S Salem to to gr grow and de and develop? lop?

  • What do

What do we v value? lue?

  • What goals do

What goals do we ha have?

  • Ho

How can w w can we im impr prove our e our community? community?

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SLIDE 47

Visit project website for updates

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www.cityofsalem.net/Pages/our-salem.aspx

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SLIDE 48

Our Salem: T Our Salem: Toda day

Public W Public Workshop: rkshop: May 8, 2019