Our Salem: T Our Salem: Toda day Public W Public Workshop: rkshop: May 8, 2019
Meeting Agenda • Pr Project U oject Updat date • City Pr City Profil ofile • Greenhouse Gas (GhG) In Greenhouse Gas (GhG) Invent ntor ory • Draf Draft Scenarios and Indicat t Scenarios and Indicators rs • Re Report C Card rd • What do What do you think? u think? • Board rds a and Y Your Re Report C Card rd • Ne Next St xt Steps eps • Questions and Answ Questions and Answers ers 2
What is a Comprehensive Plan? Com Comprehensiv rehensive plans… e plans… Are based on residents’ and stakeholders’ values and dreams Provide a shared vision for the city to guide future growth and development Provide policies and action items to implement the shared vision 3
Salem’s Comprehensive Plan Update Process Phase 1 Phase 1 Phase 3 Phase 3 Phase 2 Phase 2 Existing Existing Update Comp Plan Update Comp Plan Community Vision Community Vision Conditions + Conditions + Scenarios Scenarios Fall 2018 – Fall 2018 – Fall 2018 – TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD Spring 2019 Spring 2019 Spring 2019 4
Process and Schedule We are here! 1 2 1 2 3 4 5 Review Report Choose Develop Report Back Existing Card Indicators Scenarios Plans 5
City Profile 6
7
60,000 more people by 2035 Est. Current 2035 Pop. Pop. 8
Salem’s Population is Aging 9
Salem has a mix of housing types 10
Housing prices are rising following regional and national trends 11
Community Greenhouse Gas (GhG) Inventory 12
Why create a Community GhG Inventory? • Human ac tivity release s GhGs into the atmo sphe re , and is the primary c ause o f glo bal c limate (I PCC). • GhG invento ries are a full ac c o unting o f the se gase s e mitte d into and remo ved (sequestered) fro m the atmo sphere. Credit: Flickr / Sheila Sund • A c o mmunity GhG invento ry trac ks emissio ns and sequestratio n asso c iated with ac tivities that o c c ur within a c ity, c o unty, o r regio n. • Measuring multiple years o f this data allo ws jurisdic tio ns to trac k pro gress to ward emissio ns reduc tio n go als Credit: PIXNIO 13
Community GhG Inventory Scope City of Salem AND Salem UGB • Annual emissions for 2016 • Sector-based • Does not include emissions occurring • outside study area from Salem’s consumption of goods and services like cars, food, fuels, appliances and clothing. 14
What sources do we cover? DIRECT INDIRECT
Inventory Results 16
Inventory Highlights – Electricity Source: Salem Electric and Portland General Electric (2019) 17
Inventory Highlights - Transportation Source: 2012-2016 American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year Estimates 18
How do other cities compare? Note: Comparison inventory years vary (Eugene: 2015, Beaverton: 2013, Bend: 2016, Portland: 2008, Ashland: 2015, Milwaukie: 2016) 19
How do other cities compare? 20
What’s next? Inventory additional • years of data (backward looking) Look to best practices • for setting emissions reductions targets Consider developing a • climate action plan Credit: State of Oregon Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventory (2018) 21
Indicators and Scenarios 22
Indicators Chosen The indicators are: 1. V ariables that can be measured on a map 2. Questions for which good data is available 3. Can be influenced by a Comprehensive Plan 23
December Community Workshop 24
Top 20 Indicators “Result Areas” 25
Salem is Growing Salem is Gr wing How We Grow Matters 26
What is Scenario Planning? Conventional Approach: One Possible Future The Future The Present 27
Scenario Planning Explores Multiple Possible Futures 28
Two Future Scenarios These are not alternative growth scenarios used for Visioning Bo Both assume th assume current City policies current City policies Scenario 1 Scenario 1: Current T Current Trends (Most Lik ends (Most Likely) ly) • Population: 54,000 more people (Forecast =60,000) • Density: Lower than allowed • Redevelopment: Some Scenario 2 Scenario 2: Zoning Buildout (Maximum Density) : Zoning Buildout (Maximum Density) • Population: 93,000 more people • Density: Maximum allowed (housing) • Redevelopment: Much more 29
New Households Current Trends Zoning Buildout 30
New Jobs Current Trends Zoning Buildout 31
New Activity = Households + Jobs Current Trends Zoning Buildout 32
Many Indicator Results were Different Similar: Similar: Different: Dif erent: 1. Af 1. Affordability (Housing + ability (Housing + 15. 15. Pr Proper operty T Tax R x Revenue nue Transpo ansportation + En tation + Energy) gy) 16. Traf 16. affic/P c/Pedestrian Accidents destrian Accidents 2. 2. Housing Af Housing Affordability ability 17. Infill De 17. Infill Development/ lopment/ 3. 3. Com Complet lete Neighborhoods Neighborhoods Rede development lopment 4. 4. Walk and T lk and Transit F ansit Friendliness iendliness 18. 18. De Development in Slopes, lopment in Slopes, 5. 5. Jo Jobs/ bs/Housing B ousing Balance lance Floodplain and Riparian Areas Floodplain and Riparian Areas 6. 6. Activ Active T Transpor ansportation tation 19. 19. Greenhouse Gas Greenhouse Gas Emissions Emissions 7. Bicy 7. Bicycle and P cle and Pedestrian Use destrian Use 20. 20. Air P Air Pollution R llution Reduction duction 8. Average W 8. erage Wage ge 9. 9. Tree Canop ee Canopy 10. 10. Em Emplo ploymen ment Mix Mix 11. Access t 11. Access to Freq equent T uent Transit ansit 12. Pr 12. Proximity t imity to Parks and T Parks and Trails ails 13. 13. Revenue-t nue-to-Cost Ratio -Cost Ratio 14. 14. Annual Le Annual Level of l of Ser Service ice
Why Were They Similar? Ne New homes continue t w homes continue to be built on the edges be built on the edges • New jobs mirr Ne w jobs mirror current jobs or current jobs • Current policies remain in Current policies remain in place place • Current Trends Zoning Buildout 34
Why Were They Different? More de More development in lopment in the Zoning Buildout the Zoning Buildout • Scenario Scenario Different types of de Dif rent types of development lopment • Re Redeve velopment • Mixed use Do Mix d use Downt wntown wn • Population v pulation varies betw ries between scenarios (54,000 een scenarios (54,000 • vs. 93,000) vs. 93,000) Direct im Direct impact on re pact on revenue, accidents, etc. nue, accidents, etc. • Less to do with where de Less t do with where development occurs lopment occurs •
Our Salem Report Card 36
Are we heading in the right direction? We seem t seem to be heading in the right direction. be heading in the right direction. Is this the right direction? Is this the right direction? We are mo are moving in the wr ving in the wrong direction. ong direction. We are doing w are doing well in some areas, ll in some areas, doing less w doing less well in o ll in others, and hers, and we ha have q questions that w estions that we need the citizens help t need the citizens help to answ answer er. 37
Indicator Sheets Indicat Indicator shee r sheets f ts for each “R r each “Result Area” esult Area” 38
Jobs/Housing Balance We seem seem to be be heading in the heading in the right directi right direction. n. Having a good balance of housing and jobs is important for many reasons. Salem in general is has many jobs and will continue to in the future.
Infill & Redevelopment We seem seem to be be heading in the heading in the right directi right direction. n. About a third of new housing development today is from recent infill or redevelopment. This will increase in the future and that aligns with existing policies that promote infill and redevelopment.
Tree Canopy We We a are m moving in the in the wr wrong ong direction. direction. Trees provide environmental and quality-of-life benefits. We currently don’t meet our target of 23%.
Walking & Biking Trips We We a are m moving in the in the wr wrong ong direction. direction. Salem has adopted targets to increase walking and biking trips by 2020. We are not projected to meet our goal.
Proximity to Parks Is this the Is this the right right direction? direction? The percentage of households living within a half-mile of a park drops in the future. Will we need more parks in the future?
Complete Neighborhoods A “complete neighborhood” means people live within walking distance of parks, schools, grocery stores, businesses, transit. Is this the Is this the right right direction? direction? Is this important for the future of Salem?
Please Provide Feedback • Take some time to review the report card and indicator sheets • Ask question and share your thoughts with the staff and consultant team • Mark your grades on the comment form 45
Recommend
More recommend
