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Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation August 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation August 2019 Forwardlooking statements This presentation contains statements that the Company believes to be forwardlooking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation


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Oshkosh Corporation

Investor Presentation

August 2019

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Forward‐looking statements

This presentation contains statements that the Company believes to be “forward‐looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical fact, including, without limitation, statements regarding the Company’s future financial position, business strategy, targets, projected sales, costs, earnings, capital expenditures, debt levels and cash flows, and plans and objectives of management for future operations, are forward‐looking statements. When used in this presentation, words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “should,” “project” or “plan” or the negative thereof or variations thereon or similar terminology are generally intended to identify forward‐looking statements. These forward‐looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors, some of which are beyond the Company’s control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward‐looking statements. These factors include the cyclical nature of the Company’s access equipment, commercial and fire & emergency markets, which are particularly impacted by the strength of U.S. and European economies and construction seasons; the Company’s ability to increase prices or impose surcharges to raise margins or to offset higher input costs, including increased commodity, raw material, labor and freight costs; the Company’s estimates of access equipment demand which, among other factors, is influenced by customer historical buying patterns and rental company fleet replacement strategies; the strength of the U.S. dollar and its impact on Company exports, translation of foreign sales and the cost of purchased materials; the expected level and timing of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) and international defense customer procurement of products and services and acceptance of and funding or payments for such products and services; the Company’s ability to predict the level and timing of orders for indefinite delivery/indefinite quantity contracts with the U.S. federal government; risks related to reductions in government expenditures in light of U.S. defense budget pressures, sequestration and an uncertain DoD tactical wheeled vehicle strategy; the impact of any DoD solicitation for competition for future contracts to produce military vehicles; risks related to facilities expansion, consolidation and alignment, including the amounts of related costs and charges and that anticipated cost savings may not be achieved; projected adoption rates of work at height machinery in emerging markets; the impact of severe weather or natural disasters that may affect the Company, its suppliers or its customers; performance issues with key suppliers or subcontractors; risks related to the collectability of receivables, particularly for those businesses with exposure to construction markets; the cost of any warranty campaigns related to the Company’s products; risks associated with international operations and sales, including compliance with the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act; risks that an escalating trade war and related tariffs could reduce the competitiveness of the Company’s products; the Company’s ability to comply with complex laws and regulations applicable to U.S. government contractors; cybersecurity risks and costs of defending against, mitigating and responding to data security threats and breaches; the Company’s ability to successfully identify, complete and integrate acquisitions and to realize the anticipated benefits associated with the same; and risks related to the Company’s ability to successfully execute on its strategic road map and meet its long‐term financial goals. Additional information concerning these and other factors is contained in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Form 8‐K filed August 1, 2019. All forward‐looking statements speak only as of the date of this

  • presentation. The Company assumes no obligation, and disclaims any obligation, to update information contained in this presentation. Investors should be aware that the Company

may not update such information until the Company’s next quarterly earnings conference call, if at all.

2 Investor Presentation August 2019

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Oshkosh Corporation key messages

  • A different integrated global industrial
  • Positioned for long‐term success
  • Committed to high‐return capital allocation

3 Investor Presentation August 2019

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Oshkosh Corporation profile – FY19 YTD*

Solid demand environment across all business segments Integrated approach drives opportunity/efficiency across enterprise

Access Equipment Defense Fire & Emergency Commercial

Revenue by segment 49% 15% 24% 12%

North America EMEA Rest of world

Revenue by geography 86% 5% 9%

4 Investor Presentation August 2019

*Through fiscal Q3, June 30, 2019

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5 Investor Presentation August 2019

A Different Integrated Global Industrial

Market leader Technology &

  • perational synergies

Diverse end markets Scale Strong financial performance

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Investor Presentation

Strong Brands  Value Creation

(1) Company estimates

6 August 2019

Broad industry leadership

North America Rank (1)

Fire apparatus

#1

Wreckers & carriers Airport products (ARFF/Snow removal)

#1 #1

Refuse collection vehicles

#1 #2

Concrete mixers & batch plants

Global Rank (1)

Aerial work platforms & telehandlers

#1

Military tactical wheel vehicles

#1

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Strong and improving culture

Driving team member engagement

People First

  • Maturing the concept
  • Driving better results
  • Engage. Develop. Connect.
  • Glassdoor Best Places to Work in 2019

7 Investor Presentation August 2019

Industry data says

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Recognized leader in making a difference

Customers

  • Innovation and quality drive market leadership
  • Received Magnus Hendrickson award for innovative achievement in vehicle dynamics

Shareholders

  • Long‐term focus on generating returns
  • Two‐year CAGR of +29% for Adjusted Operating Income* and +42% for Adjusted EPS*

Ethics and Compliance

  • Ethisphere Institute’s 2019 World’s Most Ethical Companies list

(4th consecutive year)

Sustainability

  • #17 in Barron’s “Top 100 Most Sustainable Companies”

(2nd consecutive year in top 20)

  • Earned “Industry Mover” distinction in the RobecoSAM Sustainability Yearbook 2018

8 Investor Presentation August 2019

* FY16 – FY18; Non‐GAAP results. See appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.

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Responsible Capital Allocation

FY19 capital allocation priorities

  • Invest to innovate and grow
  • ~$350 million share repurchase target*
  • Grow dividend
  • Opportunistically evaluate potential acquisitions

9 Investor Presentation August 2019

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 500 1000 1500 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19E

4 year cumulative free cash flow returned to shareholders

% FCF Returned to SH's Dividends Repurchases Target > 50% free cash flow returned to shareholders over the cycle

Maintain strong and flexible balance sheet

* Current as of August 1, 2019

($000s)

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Solid FY19 YTD* Performance

  • YTD net sales and operating income

exceeded expectations

  • Double digit percentage sales growth in

access equipment and fire & emergency segments

  • Operating income higher in access

equipment and fire & emergency segments

  • Higher consolidated backlog
  • Simplification efforts gaining momentum
  • Evolved MOVE strategy drives continued

focus on execution

Net Sales (billions) Adjusted Operating Income**

(millions)

+10% +22%

*Through fiscal Q3, June 30, 2019 **Non‐GAAP results. See appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results

$6.2 $5.6 $593.9 $486.6

FY18 FY19 FY18** FY19

10 Investor Presentation August 2019

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Access Equipment – Recent Highlights

  • Record Q3 sales
  • Higher North American and Asia Pacific sales
  • Product adoption in Asia Pacific remains a strong

market driver

  • Experienced further operational improvements
  • Supply chain stability
  • Orders moderated in the quarter
  • Predominantly in U.S. and Europe (believe weather

contributed to lower U.S. orders)

  • Asia Pacific orders remained strong
  • Believe customers may temper equipment

purchases in FY20

  • Expect replacement demand in North America

to increase in FY21

11 Investor Presentation August 2019

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Defense – Recent Highlights

  • JLTV moved into Full Rate Production phase of

program

  • Configuration changes being incorporated into

production

  • Very positive response from customer on vehicle

performance

  • Work continues on FMTV A2
  • Encouraged by recent announcement of Bipartisan

Budget Act of 2019

  • Agreement sets two year budget framework

12 Investor Presentation August 2019

TWV supplier of record, with deliveries expected through: FHTV 2022 JLTV 2024 FMTV 2026

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JLTV is next‐generation protected mobility for the modern battlefield

13 Investor Presentation August 2019

Global Light TWV Market Potential

Significant international interest / opportunity

Today’s HMMWV Installed Base*

  • 240,000+ HMMWVs
  • 60 countries
  • 30+ configurations

53% 47%

Armor Capable HMMWV

* Source: Government publications, IHS Jane’s, SIPRI, AM General Website

Jeep HMMWV JLTV

The Oshkosh JLTV is shaping the future of light military vehicles

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Fire & Emergency – Recent Highlights

  • Strong execution and financial results
  • Simplification continues to drive performance
  • Increased North American fire truck deliveries
  • Rebound in international shipments
  • North American fire truck market remains healthy

with modest growth expected

  • Dealer network continues investing in service

capabilities

  • Reflects confidence in their businesses and market

14 Investor Presentation August 2019

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Commercial – Recent Highlights

  • Continued recovery from partial roof collapse in Q2
  • Damaged equipment has been replaced
  • Orders and backlog down but inline with long

term averages

  • RCV and IMT backlogs near all‐time highs
  • Focus on market segments that align with simplification

and pricing strategies

  • Showcasing redesigned S‐series concrete mixer
  • Exclusive customer audience in June
  • Conducting demos across the country
  • Strong response, beginning to take orders

15 Investor Presentation August 2019

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  • Targeting revenue & EPS growth
  • Revenue growth 8%
  • Adjusted Operating Income growth of 15%*
  • Adjusted EPS growth 26%*
  • Planned return of over $425 million to shareholders
  • Defense – JLTV full‐rate production milestone

achieved; begin to receive international orders

  • Access equipment – leverage strength in markets and

profitably to build on 25% sales growth in FY18

  • Simplification growing across the company

16 Investor Presentation August 2019

Positive Outlook for FY19*

* At the mid‐point. Current as of August 1, 2019.

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Well positioned for success

Favorable market dynamics and benefits of MOVE position OSK to deliver strong results

  • Attractive End Markets
  • Defense
  • Access equipment
  • Fire trucks
  • Refuse collection
  • Secular Tailwinds
  • Population growth
  • Urbanization
  • Household formation
  • Strong free cash flow over the cycle
  • Growth optionality
  • Ensures strong balance sheet
  • Integrated approach to cost containment
  • MOVE Strategy
  • Simplification

17 Investor Presentation August 2019

Positive long‐term outlook

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Contacts:

Patrick N. Davidson Senior Vice President, Investor Relations

pdavidson@oshkoshcorp.com 920‐966‐5939

Jeffrey D. Watt Director, Investor Relations

jwatt@oshkoshcorp.com 920‐233‐9406

18 Investor Presentation August 2019

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Appendix: Oshkosh FY19 expectations* ‐ ASC 606 Basis

Revenues of ~$8.3 billion Operating income of $760 to $775 million Adjusted EPS** of $7.90 to $8.10 Additional expectations

  • Corporate expenses of $150 ‐ $155 million
  • Adjusted tax rate** of ~21.5%
  • CapEx of ~$175 million
  • Free Cash Flow** of ~$450 million
  • Assumes share count of ~70.6 million***

Q4 expectations

  • Higher sales, operating income

and EPS vs. FY18

Segment information

Measure

Access Equipment Defense Fire & Emergency Commercial

Sales (billions)

~$4.05 ~$2.0 ~$1.25 ~$1.025

Operating Income Margin

12.0% ‐ 12.25% 9.5% ‐ 9.75% ~14.0% 5.75% ‐ 6.0%

*Current as of August 1, 2019 **Non‐GAAP results. See appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results ***Assumes ~$350 million of share repurchases in FY19 19 Investor Presentation August 2019

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Appendix: Consolidated Q3 results

Q3 comments

  • Sales impacted by:

+ Higher sales in all segments

  • Adjusted EPS* impacted by:

+ Higher operating income in access

equipment and fire & emergency segments

+ Share repurchases ‒ Lower operating income in

defense and commercial segments

*Non‐GAAP results. See appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results Dollars in millions, except per share amounts 20 Investor Presentation August 2019

Third Quarter 2019 2018 Net Sales $ 2,392.7 $ 2,175.8 % Change 10.0% 6.8% Adjusted Operating Income $ 257.8 $ 230.1* % Change 12.0% 2.7% % Margin 10.8% 10.6% Adjusted EPS $ 2.72 $ 2.20* % Change 23.6% 19.6%

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Appendix: Adoption of ASC 606 Q3 FY19 and expected FY19 results

Third quarter FY19 results Segment As reported Without adoption

  • f ASC 606

Effect of change higher/(lower) Estimated full year FY19 impact Access Equipment

  • Sales
  • Operating income
  • Operating income margin

$ 1,249.1 189.9 15.2% $ 1,250.3 190.9 15.3% $ (1.2) (1.0) (10) bp $ ‐ ‐ Defense

  • Sales
  • Operating income
  • Operating income margin

$ 511.1 29.5 5.8% $ 521.5 47.3 9.1% $ (10.4) (17.8) (330) bp $ (10.0) (2.0) Fire & Emergency

  • Sales
  • Operating income
  • Operating income margin

$ 341.0 50.7 14.9% $ 312.9 46.4 14.8% $ 28.1 4.3 10 bp $ 40.0 7.0 ‐ Commercial

  • Sales
  • Operating income
  • Operating income margin

$ 296.1 21.5 7.3% $ 286.4 19.2 6.7% $ 9.7 2.3 60 bp $ ‐ ‐ Consolidated

  • Sales
  • Operating income
  • Operating income margin

$ 2,392.7 257.8 10.8% $ 2,366.5 270.0 11.4% $ 26.2 (12.2) (60) bp $ 30.0 5.0

Dollars in millions 21 Investor Presentation August 2019

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Appendix: Access Equipment Q3 Results

Q3 comments

  • Sales impacted by:

+ Higher volume in all regions,

except EMEA

+ Improved pricing

  • Adjusted operating income*

impacted by:

+ Higher sales volume + Manufacturing efficiencies + Improved price/cost

  • Backlog down 30% vs. prior year

to $854.8 million

*Non‐GAAP results. See appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results Dollars in millions 22 Investor Presentation August 2019

Third Quarter 2019 2018 Net Sales $ 1,249.1 $ 1,160.1 % Change 7.7% 18.4% Adjusted Operating Income $ 189.9 $ 156.2* % Change 21.6% 10.9% % Margin 15.2% 13.5%

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Appendix: Defense Q3 Results

Q3 comments

  • Sales impacted by:

+ Ramp up of JLTV program ‒ Impact of ASC 606

  • Operating income impacted by:

‒ Impact of ASC 606 ‒ Adverse product mix ‒ Facility startup costs + Higher sales volume

  • Backlog up 27% vs. prior year to

$2.85 billion

Dollars in millions 23 Investor Presentation August 2019

Third Quarter 2019 2018 Net Sales $ 511.1 $ 442.6 % Change 15.5% (8.3)% Operating Income $ 29.5 $ 48.2 % Change (38.8)% (23.7)% % Margin 5.8% 10.9%

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Appendix: Fire & Emergency Q3 Results

Q3 comments

  • Sales impacted by:

+ Impact of ASC 606 + Higher fire truck deliveries + Improved pricing

  • Operating income impacted by:

+ Higher sales volume + Improved price/cost

  • Backlog down 1% vs. prior year

to $956.4 million

Dollars in millions 24 Investor Presentation August 2019

Third Quarter 2019 2018 Net Sales $ 341.0 $ 283.8 % Change 20.2% 0.3% Operating Income $ 50.7 $ 36.5 % Change 38.9% 15.9% % Margin 14.9% 12.9%

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Appendix: Commercial Q3 Results

Q3 comments

  • Sales impacted by:

+ Impact of ASC 606 + Higher package sales + Improved pricing ‒ Lower deliveries in part due to

roof collapse in Q2

  • Operating income impacted by:

‒ Ongoing impact of partial roof collapse ‒ Warranty campaign ‒ Higher R&D spending

  • Backlog down 12% vs. prior year

to $335.3 million

Dollars in millions 25 Investor Presentation August 2019

Third Quarter 2019 2018 Net Sales $ 296.1 $ 295.2 % Change 0.3% 0.0% Operating Income $ 21.5 $ 25.1 % Change (14.3)% 16.2% % Margin 7.3% 8.5%

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Three months ending June 30

2019 2018

  • Access equipment segment operating income (GAAP)
  • Costs and inefficiencies related to restructuring actions
  • Adjusted access equipment segment operating income (non‐GAAP)

$ 189.9 ‐ $ 189.9 $ 149.3 6.9 $ 156.2

  • Consolidated operating income (GAAP)
  • Costs and inefficiencies related to restructuring actions
  • Adjusted consolidated operating income (non‐GAAP)

$ 257.8 ‐ $ 257.8 $ 223.2 6.9 $ 230.1

  • Earnings per share‐diluted (GAAP)
  • Costs and inefficiencies related to restructuring actions, net of tax
  • Debt extinguishment costs, net of tax
  • Revaluation of net deferred tax liabilities
  • Repatriation tax
  • Adjusted earnings per share‐diluted (non‐GAAP)

$ 2.72 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ $ 2.72 $ 2.05 0.07 0.10 (0.08) 0.06 $ 2.20

Appendix: GAAP to Non‐GAAP reconciliation

The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented GAAP measures to the most directly comparable non‐GAAP measures (in millions, except per share amounts):

26 Investor Presentation August 2019

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Fiscal Year ended September 30,

2018 2017 2016

  • Consolidated operating income (GAAP)*
  • Costs and inefficiencies related to restructuring actions
  • Litigation settlement
  • Business interruption insurance proceeds
  • Loss on sale of a small product line
  • Long‐lived asset impairment charge
  • Adjusted consolidated operating income (non‐GAAP)

$ 654.7 35.4 (19.0) (6.6) 1.4 ‐ $ 665.9 $ 470.6 43.3 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ $ 513.9 $ 369.5 0.9 ‐ ‐ ‐ 26.9 $ 397.3

Appendix: GAAP to Non‐GAAP reconciliation

The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented GAAP measures to the most directly comparable non‐GAAP measures (in millions):

27 Investor Presentation August 2019 *As restated for the adoption of ASU 2017‐07

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Fiscal Year ended September 30,

2018 2017 2016

  • Earnings per share‐diluted (GAAP)
  • Costs and inefficiencies related to restructuring actions, net of tax
  • Impairment charge, net of tax
  • Litigation settlement gain, net of tax
  • Business interruption insurance proceeds, net of tax
  • Loss on sale of a small product line, net of tax
  • Debt extinguishment costs, net of tax
  • Revaluation of net deferred tax liabilities
  • Repatriation tax
  • Adjusted earnings per share‐diluted (non‐GAAP)

$ 6.29 0.37 ‐ (0.21) (0.07) 0.01 0.10 (0.39) 0.26 $ 6.36 $ 3.77 0.48 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ $ 4.25 $ 2.91 0.01 0.22 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ $ 3.14

Appendix: GAAP to Non‐GAAP reconciliation

The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented GAAP measures to the most directly comparable non‐GAAP measures (in millions, except per share amounts):

28 Investor Presentation August 2019

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Fiscal Year ended September 30,

2019E 2018 2017 2016

  • Net cash flows provided by operating activities
  • Additions to property, plant and equipment
  • Proceeds from sale of equipment held for rental
  • Free cash flow

$ 625.0 (175.0) ‐ $ 450.0 $ 436.3 (95.3) 1.0 $ 342.0 $ 246.5 (85.8) 22.1 $ 182.8 $ 583.9 (92.5) 5.4 $ 496.8

Appendix: GAAP to Non‐GAAP reconciliation

The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented GAAP measures to the most directly comparable non‐GAAP measures (in millions, except per share amounts):

29 Investor Presentation August 2019

Nine months ended June 30,

2019 2018

  • Consolidated operating income (GAAP)
  • Costs and inefficiencies related to restructuring actions
  • Adjusted consolidated operating income (non‐GAAP)

$ 593.9 ‐ $ 593.9 $ 454.1 32.5 $ 486.6

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FY19 expectations

Low High

  • Earnings per share‐diluted (GAAP)
  • Repatriation tax adjustment
  • Adjusted earnings per share‐diluted (non‐GAAP)

$ 7.80 .10 $ 7.90 $ 8.00 .10 $ 8.10

Appendix: GAAP to Non‐GAAP reconciliation

The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented GAAP measures to the most directly comparable non‐GAAP measures (in millions, except per share amounts):

FY19 expectations

  • Effective income tax rate (GAAP)
  • Repatriation tax adjustment
  • Adjusted effective income tax rate (non‐GAAP)

22.5% (1.0%) 21.5%

30 Investor Presentation August 2019

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Appendix: Commonly used acronyms

ARFF Aircraft Rescue and Firefighting AWP Aerial Work Platform AMPS Aftermarket Parts & Service ASC Accounting Standards Codification CapEx Capital Expenditures CNG Compressed Natural Gas DGE Diesel Gallon Equivalent DoD Department of Defense EMD Engineering & Manufacturing Development EMEA Europe, Middle East & Africa EPS Diluted Earnings Per Share FAST Act Fixing America’s Surface Transportation Act FDIC Fire Department Instructors Conference FHTV Family of Heavy Tactical Vehicles FMS Foreign Military Sales FMTV Family of Medium Tactical Vehicles FRP Full Rate Production FYDP Future Years Defense Program GAAP U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles GAO Government Accountability Office HEMTT Heavy Expanded Mobility Tactical Truck HET Heavy Equipment Transporter HMMWV High Mobility Multi‐Purpose Wheeled Vehicle IRC Independent Rental Company IT Information Technology JLTV Joint Light Tactical Vehicle JPO Joint Program Office JROC Joint Requirements Oversight Council JUONS Joint Urgent Operational Needs Statement L‐ATV Light Combat Tactical All‐Terrain Vehicle LRIP Low Rate Initial Production LVSR Logistic Vehicle System Replacement M‐ATV MRAP All‐Terrain Vehicle MRAP Mine Resistant Ambush Protected MSVS Medium Support Vehicle System (Canada) NDAA National Defense Authorization Act NOL Net Operating Loss NPD New Product Development NRC National Rental Company OCO Overseas Contingency Operations OH Overhead OI Operating Income OPEB Other Post‐Employment Benefits PLS Palletized Load System PUC Pierce Ultimate Configuration R&D Research & Development RCV Refuse Collection Vehicle RFP Request for Proposal ROW Rest of World SMP Standard Military Pattern (Canadian MSVS) TACOM Tank‐automotive and Armaments Command TDP Technical Data Package TPV Tactical Protector Vehicle TWV Tactical Wheeled Vehicle UCA Undefinitized Contract Action UIK Underbody Improvement Kit (for M‐ATV) UK United Kingdom ZR Zero Radius 3PL Third Party Logistics

31 Investor Presentation August 2019