MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK) Bairds - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK) Bairds - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK) Bairds 2015 Industrial Conference November 10, 2015 Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains statements that the Company believes to be forward-looking statements
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Forward-Looking Statements
2 November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference
This presentation contains statements that the Company believes to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical fact, including, without limitation, statements regarding the Company’s future financial position, business strategy, targets, projected sales, costs, earnings, capital expenditures, debt levels and cash flows, and plans and objectives of management for future operations, are forward-looking
- statements. When used in this presentation, words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “believe,”
“should,” “project” or “plan” or the negative thereof or variations thereon or similar terminology are generally intended to identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors, some of which are beyond the Company’s control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These factors include the cyclical nature of the Company’s access equipment, commercial and fire & emergency markets, which are particularly impacted by the strength of U.S. and European economies; the Company’s estimates of access equipment demand; the strength of the U.S. dollar and its impact on Company exports, translation of foreign sales and purchased materials; the expected level and timing of U.S. Department of Defense (“DoD”) and international defense customer procurement of products and services and funding thereof; risks related to reductions in government expenditures in light of U.S. defense budget pressures, sequestration and an uncertain DoD tactical wheeled vehicle strategy; risks related to the Company’s future defense segment sales as a result of the outcome of a competitor’s protest of the JLTV production contract award to the Company; the Company’s ability to finalize an international contract for more than 1,000 M-ATVs, with the majority of the units sold in fiscal 2016; the Company’s ability to increase prices to raise margins or offset higher input costs; increasing commodity and other raw material costs, particularly in a sustained economic recovery; risks related to facilities expansion, consolidation and alignment, including the amounts of related costs and charges and that anticipated cost savings may not be achieved; global economic uncertainty, which could lead to additional impairment charges related to many of the Company’s intangible assets and/or a slower recovery in the Company’s cyclical businesses than Company or equity market expectations; projected adoption rates of work at height machinery in emerging markets; the impact of severe weather or natural disasters that may affect the Company, its suppliers or its customers; risks related to the collectability of receivables, particularly for those businesses with exposure to construction markets; the cost of any warranty campaigns related to the Company’s products; risks related to production or shipment delays arising from quality or production issues; risks associated with international operations and sales, including compliance with the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act; the Company’s ability to comply with complex laws and regulations applicable to U.S. government contractors; cybersecurity risks and costs of defending against, mitigating and responding to a data security breach; and risks related to the Company’s ability to successfully execute on its strategic road map and meet its long-term financial goals. Additional information concerning these and other factors is contained in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. The Company assumes no obligation, and disclaims any obligation, to update information contained in this presentation. Investors should be aware that the Company may not update such information until the Company’s next quarterly earnings conference call, if at all.
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Oshkosh Corporation
- Leading provider of specialty
vehicles
– Moving the World at Work
- Nearly 100 years in business;
incorporated in 1917
- Serial innovator of game changing
new products
- Market Capitalization(1):$3.3 billion
- FY15 Revenue: $6.1 billion
- Focused on delivering value to
customers and shareholders
3 (1) As of November 2, 2015
Access Equipment Defense Fire & Emergency Commercial
November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Oshkosh Corporation Profile - FY15
4 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference November 10, 2015
56% 15% 13% 16%
Revenue by Segment
Access Equipment Defense Fire & Emergency Commercial 79% 5% 9% 7%
Revenue by Geography
United States Other NA EAME Rest of World
- Continuing to evolve to a more global industrial
− Defense growing faster than other segments
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
FY15 Results Compared with FY14
Net Sales
(billions)
Adjusted EPS**
OSK Full Year Performance
* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.
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$6.1 $6.8 $3.02 $3.62 $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $0.0 $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 FY15 FY14
Net Sales Adjusted EPS*
- Full year results negatively
impacted by:
– Trough in Defense earnings – Mid-cycle dip in Access Equipment demand
- Set foundation for strong
Defense earnings growth
- Sustained margin enhancement
at Fire & Emergency and Commercial
- Repurchased 4.9 million shares
- r 6.1% of outstanding shares
- Announced 12% dividend
increase effective November
- FY16 EPS estimate range of
$3.00 to $3.40
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Expectations for FY16
Additional expectations
- Corporate expenses of $145 - $150 million
- Tax rate of ~ 34%
- CapEx of ~ $100 million
- Free Cash Flow* ~ $350 million
- Assumes share count of ~ 75 million
Segment information
- Revenues of ~ $6.2 - $6.5 billion
- Operating income of $400 million to $440 million
- EPS of $3.00 to $3.40
* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.
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Quarterly commentary
- Earnings weighted to second half
Increased international M-ATV sales Seasonality Cautious construction equipment customers
- First quarter slightly profitable
Measure Access Equipment Defense Fire & Emergency Commercial
Sales (billions) $2.9 to $3.05 ~ $1.55 ~ $0.9 ~ $1.0 Operating Income Margin ~ 10.5% ~ 8.75% ~ 6.0% ~ 7.0%
November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Positive Near-Term Outlook
Despite Some Short-Term Challenges
- Access Equipment segment
– Softer Q1/Q2 demand – Actively managing costs and inventory levels – Strong underlying drivers
- Fire & Emergency and
Commercial segments
– Higher market shares – Higher margin initiatives – Higher backlog at Y/E FY15
- Defense segment
– Pursuing significant international growth opportunities for FY16 & FY17 – Re-started FHTV production – Aftermarket opportunities growing – Won U.S. DoD JLTV contract
- Raises Oshkosh profile with DoD
- Provides strong Defense business base
beginning in FY18
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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Oshkosh L-ATV is JLTV
Anything Else is Something Less
- Named winner of intensive competition
- n August 25, 2015
- Program requirements of ~55,000
vehicles over 20+ years
– Oshkosh contract valued at $6.7B for ~17,000 vehicles over 8 years – Full rate production begins in 3+ years
- Highly protected, extreme mobility,
affordable
- Oshkosh viewed in new light by DoD
- Significant international interest
- Confident to retain contract following
protest
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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
MOVE Strategy Driving Performance…
- Focuses on drivers that
create highest shareholder value
- Supports higher margin
targets across non- defense businesses over the cycle
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…In FY16 and Beyond
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
70 75 80 85 90 95 09/30/12 09/30/13 09/30/14 09/30/15
# Outstanding Shares
$0.00 $0.10 $0.20 $0.30 $0.40 $0.50 $0.60 $0.70 $0.80 $0.90 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E
Annualized Dividend Payment
- Aggressively retiring shares at favorable prices; $805 million allocated
to share repurchases in FY13 - FY15
- Reinstated dividend in December 2013; increased twice in two years
(1.65% yield (2))
(1) Total shareholder return (2) As of October 30, 2015 E = Estimated November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference 10
~21% Reduction ~27% Increase
Capital Allocation Contributing to TSR (1)
Disciples of “The Outsiders”
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
What to Expect from Oshkosh?
- MOVE strategy evolves
– Margin improvement – Launch game-changing new products – Compete vigorously for business around the world
- Defense driving growth
– Strong demand for international M-ATVs – JLTV award is historic; expect contract award to Oshkosh to be affirmed
- Attacking costs in Access Equipment
segment; expect strong 2H FY16
- Continued growth in Fire & Emergency
and Commercial segments results
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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
What to Expect from Oshkosh?
- MOVE strategy evolves
– Margin improvement – Launch game-changing new products – Compete vigorously for business around the world
- Defense driving growth
– Strong demand for international M-ATVs – JLTV award is historic; expect contract award to Oshkosh to be affirmed
- Attacking costs in Access Equipment
segment; expect strong 2H FY16
- Continued growth in Fire & Emergency
and Commercial segments results
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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
For information contact:
Patrick N. Davidson Vice President, Investor Relations (920) 966-5939 pdavidson@oshkoshcorp.com
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Jeffrey D. Watt Director, Investor Relations (920) 233-9406 jwatt@oshkoshcorp.com
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Appendix: Consolidated Results
(Dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
Fiscal Year Comments
Net Sales $6,098.1 $6,808.2 % Change (10.4)% (11.2)% Adjusted Operating Income** $398.1 $512.2 % Change (22.3)% (4.2)% % Margin 6.5% 7.5% Adjusted EPS** $3.02 $3.62 % Change (16.6)% (3.2)% 2015 2014
** Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.
- Sales impacted by:
Lower Defense and Access Equipment segment sales Unfavorable foreign currency Higher Fire & Emergency and Commercial segment sales
- EPS impacted by:
Lower Access Equipment and Defense segment results Higher tax rate Higher Fire & Emergency and Commercial segment results Lower Corporate expenses Lower share count
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Fiscal Year Comments
Appendix: Access Equipment
(Dollars in millions)
Net Sales $3,400.6 $3,506.5 % Change (3.0)% 12.4% Adjusted Operating Income* $409.5 $501.1 % Change (18.3)% 28.9% % Margin 12.0% 14.3% 2015 2014
* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.
- Sales impacted by:
Unfavorable foreign currency Lower North America demand Higher European demand
- Operating income impacted by:
Unfavorable product mix Unfavorable production variances Lower incentive compensation expense
- Backlog down 45% vs. prior
year to $210 million
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Fiscal Year Comments
(Dollars in millions)
2015 2014
Appendix: Defense
Net Sales $939.8 $1,724.5 % Change (45.5)% (43.5)% Adjusted Operating Income* $5.8 $85.3 % Change (93.1)% (62.7)% % Margin 0.6% 4.9%
* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.
- Sales impacted by:
Lower FHTV and FMTV sales M-ATV reset volume International M-ATV sales
- Operating income impacted by:
Lower sales volume Lower SG&A
- Backlog up 81% vs. prior year
to $1.4 billion, including $0.1 billion related to JLTV contract award
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Fiscal Year Comments
(Dollars in millions)
2015 2014
Appendix: Fire & Emergency
Net Sales $815.1 $756.5 % Change 7.8% (4.5)% Operating Income $43.8 $26.6 % Change 64.5% 11.7% % Margin 5.4% 3.5%
- Sales impacted by:
Higher fire apparatus volume
- Operating income impacted by:
Higher sales volume Higher pricing Favorable absorption
- Backlog up 39% vs. prior year
to $790.7 million
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Fiscal Year Comments
(Dollars in millions)
2015 2014
Appendix: Commercial
Net Sales $978.0 $865.9 % Change 12.9% 12.9% Operating Income $64.5 $53.9 % Change 19.7% 30.5% % Margin 6.6% 6.2%
- Sales impacted by:
Higher RCV volume Lower concrete mixer volume
- Operating income impacted by:
Higher sales volume Stronger mix of RCV sales MOVE investments
- Backlog up 20.7% vs. prior
year to $193 million
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Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation
- The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented non-GAAP measures to the most directly
comparable GAAP measures (in millions, except per share amounts):
2015 2014 Adjusted earnings per share - diluted (non-GAAP) 3.02 $ 3.62 $ Reduction of valuation allowance on net operating loss carryforward
- 0.14
Debt extinguishment costs, net of tax (0.12) (0.08) Pension and OPEB curtailment/settlement, net of tax 0.03 0.01 Contract pricing adjustment for OPEB costs, net of tax
- (0.08)
Workforce reduction charges, net of tax (0.03)
- Earnings per share - diluted (GAAP)
2.90 $ 3.61 $ Fiscal 2016 Expectations Net cash flows provided by operating activities 475.0 $ Additions to property, plant and equipment (100.0) Net additions to equipment held for rental (25.0) Free cash flow 350.0 $ September 30, Fiscal Year Ended,
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
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Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation
- The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented non-GAAP measures to the most directly
comparable GAAP measures (in millions):
2015 2014 Adjusted consolidated operating income (non-GAAP) 398.1 $ 512.2 $ Pension and OPEB curtailment/settlement 3.4 1.8 Contract pricing adjustment for OPEB costs
- (10.7)
Workforce reduction charges (2.9)
- Consolidated operating income (GAAP)
398.6 $ 503.3 $ Adjusted access equipment segment operating income (non-GAAP) 409.5 $ 501.1 $ Workforce reduction charges (2.5)
- Access equipment segment operating income (GAAP)
407.0 $ 501.1 $ Adjusted defense operating income (non-GAAP) 5.8 $ 85.3 $ Pension and OPEB curtailment/settlement 3.4 1.8 Contract pricing adjustment for OPEB costs
- (10.7)
Defense segment operating income (GAAP) 9.2 $ 76.4 $ Fiscal Year Ended September 30,