MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK) Bairds - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK) Bairds - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK) Bairds 2015 Industrial Conference November 10, 2015 Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains statements that the Company believes to be forward-looking statements


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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK Oshkosh Corporation

(NYSE:OSK)

Baird’s 2015 Industrial Conference November 10, 2015

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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Forward-Looking Statements

2 November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference

This presentation contains statements that the Company believes to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical fact, including, without limitation, statements regarding the Company’s future financial position, business strategy, targets, projected sales, costs, earnings, capital expenditures, debt levels and cash flows, and plans and objectives of management for future operations, are forward-looking

  • statements. When used in this presentation, words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “believe,”

“should,” “project” or “plan” or the negative thereof or variations thereon or similar terminology are generally intended to identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors, some of which are beyond the Company’s control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These factors include the cyclical nature of the Company’s access equipment, commercial and fire & emergency markets, which are particularly impacted by the strength of U.S. and European economies; the Company’s estimates of access equipment demand; the strength of the U.S. dollar and its impact on Company exports, translation of foreign sales and purchased materials; the expected level and timing of U.S. Department of Defense (“DoD”) and international defense customer procurement of products and services and funding thereof; risks related to reductions in government expenditures in light of U.S. defense budget pressures, sequestration and an uncertain DoD tactical wheeled vehicle strategy; risks related to the Company’s future defense segment sales as a result of the outcome of a competitor’s protest of the JLTV production contract award to the Company; the Company’s ability to finalize an international contract for more than 1,000 M-ATVs, with the majority of the units sold in fiscal 2016; the Company’s ability to increase prices to raise margins or offset higher input costs; increasing commodity and other raw material costs, particularly in a sustained economic recovery; risks related to facilities expansion, consolidation and alignment, including the amounts of related costs and charges and that anticipated cost savings may not be achieved; global economic uncertainty, which could lead to additional impairment charges related to many of the Company’s intangible assets and/or a slower recovery in the Company’s cyclical businesses than Company or equity market expectations; projected adoption rates of work at height machinery in emerging markets; the impact of severe weather or natural disasters that may affect the Company, its suppliers or its customers; risks related to the collectability of receivables, particularly for those businesses with exposure to construction markets; the cost of any warranty campaigns related to the Company’s products; risks related to production or shipment delays arising from quality or production issues; risks associated with international operations and sales, including compliance with the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act; the Company’s ability to comply with complex laws and regulations applicable to U.S. government contractors; cybersecurity risks and costs of defending against, mitigating and responding to a data security breach; and risks related to the Company’s ability to successfully execute on its strategic road map and meet its long-term financial goals. Additional information concerning these and other factors is contained in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. The Company assumes no obligation, and disclaims any obligation, to update information contained in this presentation. Investors should be aware that the Company may not update such information until the Company’s next quarterly earnings conference call, if at all.

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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Oshkosh Corporation

  • Leading provider of specialty

vehicles

– Moving the World at Work

  • Nearly 100 years in business;

incorporated in 1917

  • Serial innovator of game changing

new products

  • Market Capitalization(1):$3.3 billion
  • FY15 Revenue: $6.1 billion
  • Focused on delivering value to

customers and shareholders

3 (1) As of November 2, 2015

Access Equipment Defense Fire & Emergency Commercial

November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference

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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Oshkosh Corporation Profile - FY15

4 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference November 10, 2015

56% 15% 13% 16%

Revenue by Segment

Access Equipment Defense Fire & Emergency Commercial 79% 5% 9% 7%

Revenue by Geography

United States Other NA EAME Rest of World

  • Continuing to evolve to a more global industrial

− Defense growing faster than other segments

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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

FY15 Results Compared with FY14

Net Sales

(billions)

Adjusted EPS**

OSK Full Year Performance

* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.

5 November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference

$6.1 $6.8 $3.02 $3.62 $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $0.0 $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 FY15 FY14

Net Sales Adjusted EPS*

  • Full year results negatively

impacted by:

– Trough in Defense earnings – Mid-cycle dip in Access Equipment demand

  • Set foundation for strong

Defense earnings growth

  • Sustained margin enhancement

at Fire & Emergency and Commercial

  • Repurchased 4.9 million shares
  • r 6.1% of outstanding shares
  • Announced 12% dividend

increase effective November

  • FY16 EPS estimate range of

$3.00 to $3.40

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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Expectations for FY16

Additional expectations

  • Corporate expenses of $145 - $150 million
  • Tax rate of ~ 34%
  • CapEx of ~ $100 million
  • Free Cash Flow* ~ $350 million
  • Assumes share count of ~ 75 million

Segment information

  • Revenues of ~ $6.2 - $6.5 billion
  • Operating income of $400 million to $440 million
  • EPS of $3.00 to $3.40

* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.

6

Quarterly commentary

  • Earnings weighted to second half

 Increased international M-ATV sales  Seasonality  Cautious construction equipment customers

  • First quarter slightly profitable

Measure Access Equipment Defense Fire & Emergency Commercial

Sales (billions) $2.9 to $3.05 ~ $1.55 ~ $0.9 ~ $1.0 Operating Income Margin ~ 10.5% ~ 8.75% ~ 6.0% ~ 7.0%

November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference

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Positive Near-Term Outlook

Despite Some Short-Term Challenges

  • Access Equipment segment

– Softer Q1/Q2 demand – Actively managing costs and inventory levels – Strong underlying drivers

  • Fire & Emergency and

Commercial segments

– Higher market shares – Higher margin initiatives – Higher backlog at Y/E FY15

  • Defense segment

– Pursuing significant international growth opportunities for FY16 & FY17 – Re-started FHTV production – Aftermarket opportunities growing – Won U.S. DoD JLTV contract

  • Raises Oshkosh profile with DoD
  • Provides strong Defense business base

beginning in FY18

7 November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference

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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Oshkosh L-ATV is JLTV

Anything Else is Something Less

  • Named winner of intensive competition
  • n August 25, 2015
  • Program requirements of ~55,000

vehicles over 20+ years

– Oshkosh contract valued at $6.7B for ~17,000 vehicles over 8 years – Full rate production begins in 3+ years

  • Highly protected, extreme mobility,

affordable

  • Oshkosh viewed in new light by DoD
  • Significant international interest
  • Confident to retain contract following

protest

November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference 8

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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

MOVE Strategy Driving Performance…

  • Focuses on drivers that

create highest shareholder value

  • Supports higher margin

targets across non- defense businesses over the cycle

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…In FY16 and Beyond

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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

70 75 80 85 90 95 09/30/12 09/30/13 09/30/14 09/30/15

# Outstanding Shares

$0.00 $0.10 $0.20 $0.30 $0.40 $0.50 $0.60 $0.70 $0.80 $0.90 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E

Annualized Dividend Payment

  • Aggressively retiring shares at favorable prices; $805 million allocated

to share repurchases in FY13 - FY15

  • Reinstated dividend in December 2013; increased twice in two years

(1.65% yield (2))

(1) Total shareholder return (2) As of October 30, 2015 E = Estimated November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference 10

~21% Reduction ~27% Increase

Capital Allocation Contributing to TSR (1)

Disciples of “The Outsiders”

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What to Expect from Oshkosh?

  • MOVE strategy evolves

– Margin improvement – Launch game-changing new products – Compete vigorously for business around the world

  • Defense driving growth

– Strong demand for international M-ATVs – JLTV award is historic; expect contract award to Oshkosh to be affirmed

  • Attacking costs in Access Equipment

segment; expect strong 2H FY16

  • Continued growth in Fire & Emergency

and Commercial segments results

11 November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference

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What to Expect from Oshkosh?

  • MOVE strategy evolves

– Margin improvement – Launch game-changing new products – Compete vigorously for business around the world

  • Defense driving growth

– Strong demand for international M-ATVs – JLTV award is historic; expect contract award to Oshkosh to be affirmed

  • Attacking costs in Access Equipment

segment; expect strong 2H FY16

  • Continued growth in Fire & Emergency

and Commercial segments results

12 November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference

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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

For information contact:

Patrick N. Davidson Vice President, Investor Relations (920) 966-5939 pdavidson@oshkoshcorp.com

13

Jeffrey D. Watt Director, Investor Relations (920) 233-9406 jwatt@oshkoshcorp.com

November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference 13

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Appendix: Consolidated Results

(Dollars in millions, except per share amounts)

Fiscal Year Comments

Net Sales $6,098.1 $6,808.2 % Change (10.4)% (11.2)% Adjusted Operating Income** $398.1 $512.2 % Change (22.3)% (4.2)% % Margin 6.5% 7.5% Adjusted EPS** $3.02 $3.62 % Change (16.6)% (3.2)% 2015 2014

** Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.

  • Sales impacted by:

 Lower Defense and Access Equipment segment sales  Unfavorable foreign currency  Higher Fire & Emergency and Commercial segment sales

  • EPS impacted by:

 Lower Access Equipment and Defense segment results  Higher tax rate  Higher Fire & Emergency and Commercial segment results  Lower Corporate expenses  Lower share count

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Fiscal Year Comments

Appendix: Access Equipment

(Dollars in millions)

Net Sales $3,400.6 $3,506.5 % Change (3.0)% 12.4% Adjusted Operating Income* $409.5 $501.1 % Change (18.3)% 28.9% % Margin 12.0% 14.3% 2015 2014

* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.

  • Sales impacted by:

 Unfavorable foreign currency  Lower North America demand  Higher European demand

  • Operating income impacted by:

 Unfavorable product mix  Unfavorable production variances  Lower incentive compensation expense

  • Backlog down 45% vs. prior

year to $210 million

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November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference 16

Fiscal Year Comments

(Dollars in millions)

2015 2014

Appendix: Defense

Net Sales $939.8 $1,724.5 % Change (45.5)% (43.5)% Adjusted Operating Income* $5.8 $85.3 % Change (93.1)% (62.7)% % Margin 0.6% 4.9%

* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.

  • Sales impacted by:

 Lower FHTV and FMTV sales  M-ATV reset volume  International M-ATV sales

  • Operating income impacted by:

 Lower sales volume  Lower SG&A

  • Backlog up 81% vs. prior year

to $1.4 billion, including $0.1 billion related to JLTV contract award

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Fiscal Year Comments

(Dollars in millions)

2015 2014

Appendix: Fire & Emergency

Net Sales $815.1 $756.5 % Change 7.8% (4.5)% Operating Income $43.8 $26.6 % Change 64.5% 11.7% % Margin 5.4% 3.5%

  • Sales impacted by:

 Higher fire apparatus volume

  • Operating income impacted by:

 Higher sales volume  Higher pricing  Favorable absorption

  • Backlog up 39% vs. prior year

to $790.7 million

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Fiscal Year Comments

(Dollars in millions)

2015 2014

Appendix: Commercial

Net Sales $978.0 $865.9 % Change 12.9% 12.9% Operating Income $64.5 $53.9 % Change 19.7% 30.5% % Margin 6.6% 6.2%

  • Sales impacted by:

 Higher RCV volume  Lower concrete mixer volume

  • Operating income impacted by:

 Higher sales volume  Stronger mix of RCV sales  MOVE investments

  • Backlog up 20.7% vs. prior

year to $193 million

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November 10, 2015 Baird's 2015 Industrial Conference 19

Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation

  • The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented non-GAAP measures to the most directly

comparable GAAP measures (in millions, except per share amounts):

2015 2014 Adjusted earnings per share - diluted (non-GAAP) 3.02 $ 3.62 $ Reduction of valuation allowance on net operating loss carryforward

  • 0.14

Debt extinguishment costs, net of tax (0.12) (0.08) Pension and OPEB curtailment/settlement, net of tax 0.03 0.01 Contract pricing adjustment for OPEB costs, net of tax

  • (0.08)

Workforce reduction charges, net of tax (0.03)

  • Earnings per share - diluted (GAAP)

2.90 $ 3.61 $ Fiscal 2016 Expectations Net cash flows provided by operating activities 475.0 $ Additions to property, plant and equipment (100.0) Net additions to equipment held for rental (25.0) Free cash flow 350.0 $ September 30, Fiscal Year Ended,

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Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation

  • The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented non-GAAP measures to the most directly

comparable GAAP measures (in millions):

2015 2014 Adjusted consolidated operating income (non-GAAP) 398.1 $ 512.2 $ Pension and OPEB curtailment/settlement 3.4 1.8 Contract pricing adjustment for OPEB costs

  • (10.7)

Workforce reduction charges (2.9)

  • Consolidated operating income (GAAP)

398.6 $ 503.3 $ Adjusted access equipment segment operating income (non-GAAP) 409.5 $ 501.1 $ Workforce reduction charges (2.5)

  • Access equipment segment operating income (GAAP)

407.0 $ 501.1 $ Adjusted defense operating income (non-GAAP) 5.8 $ 85.3 $ Pension and OPEB curtailment/settlement 3.4 1.8 Contract pricing adjustment for OPEB costs

  • (10.7)

Defense segment operating income (GAAP) 9.2 $ 76.4 $ Fiscal Year Ended September 30,