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North Americas Energy Infrastructure Renaissance TD London Energy - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

North Americas Energy Infrastructure Renaissance TD London Energy Conference January 13, 2014 J. Richard Bird Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Corporate Development Legal Notice This presentation includes certain


  1. North America’s Energy Infrastructure Renaissance TD London Energy Conference January 13, 2014 J. Richard Bird Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Corporate Development

  2. Legal Notice This presentation includes certain forward looking information (FLI) to provide Enbridge shareholders and potential investors with information about Enbridge and management’s assessment of its future plans and operations, which may not be appropriate for other purposes. FLI is typically identified by words such as “anticipate”, “expect”, “project”, “estimate”, “forecast”, “plan”, “intend”, “target”, “believe” and similar words suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an outlook. Although we believe that our FLI is reasonable based on the information available today and processes used to prepare it, such statements are not guarantees of future performance and you are cautioned against placing undue reliance on FLI. By its nature, FLI involves a variety of assumptions, risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause actual results, levels of activity and achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied in our FLI. Material assumptions include assumptions about: the expected supply and demand for crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids; prices of crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids; expected exchange rates; inflation; interest rates; the availability and price of labour and pipeline construction materials; operational reliability; anticipated in-service dates and weather. Our FLI is subject to risks and uncertainties pertaining to operating performance, regulatory parameters, weather, economic conditions, exchange rates, interest rates and commodity prices, including but not limited to those discussed more extensively in our filings with Canadian and US securities regulators. The impact of any one risk, uncertainty or factor on any particular FLI is not determinable with certainty as these are interdependent and our future course of action depends on management’s assessment of all information available at the relevant time. Except to the extent required by law, we assume no obligation to publicly update or revise any FLI, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All FLI in this presentation is expressly qualified in its entirety by these cautionary statements. This presentation will make reference to certain financial measures, such as adjusted net income, which are not recognized under GAAP. Reconciliations to the most closely related GAAP measures are included in the earnings release and also in the Management Discussion and Analysis posted to the website. 2

  3. Enbridge Infrastructure Asset Base Norman Wells Zama Fort St. John Fort McMurray Edmonton Edmonton Hardisty Clearbrook Montreal Portland Superior Toronto Sarnia Casper Chicago Salt Lake City Chicago Patoka Cushing 15% Houston Houston Gas Liquids Pipelines Wind Power Generation 2012 Adjusted Earnings Solar Power Generation Waste Heat Recovery Edmonton Geothermal Power Generation Power Transmission Gas 26% Toronto Liquids Pipelines 7% 67% Power, International & Power, International, & 3 Energy Services Energy Services

  4. Value Creation Track Record Significant Value Creation As at December 31, 2013 25% 22% Total Shareholder Return (CAGR %) 20% 17% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 5% 0% 1 Year 5 Year 10 Year Enbridge Inc. S&P/TSX Composite Index 4

  5. $36 Billion Growth Investment Plan 2013 – 2017 Enterprise Wide Growth Capital In Service - Unsecured - Commercially Secured $36 B $36 B $7 B $10 B $29 B $26 B Enbridge Day Current (October 2013) 5

  6. North American Crude Oil Supply Growth: 2013 – 2025 + 7 MMbpd by 2025 MMbpd 4.0 Cardium, Viking, Duvernay 3.5 Niobrara 3.0 Other 2.5 Permian Basin 2.0 Oil Sands Eagle Ford 1.5 1.0 Bakken 0.5 0.0 Heavy Light Sources: Enbridge Internal Forecast and External Forecasts 6

  7. North American Regional Pricing Disparities Pricing Based on Q4 2013 - Daily Average (USD per barrel) Alberta Asia Light $83 $117 $107 WCS $66 Bakken Light $86 Brent * $111 WTI $98 Light Crude LLS Maya Heavy Crude $101 $89 *Brent price is a landed price on US East Coast/ US Gulf 7 Coast. Assumed tanker freight cost of US$2.00 per bbl.

  8. Western Canada/Bakken Pipeline Takeaway Capacity: Available Versus Required MMbpd 9.0 • Keystone XL • ENB Northern Gateway 8.0 • TransMountain Expansion • Energy East 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 ENB 2.0 OTHER 1.0 0.0 2013-Q1 2014-Q1 2015-Q1 2016-Q1 2017-Q1 2018-Q1 2019-Q1 2020-Q1 2021-Q1 2022-Q1 2013 Enbridge Forecast 2013 Enbridge Upside Forecast Optimal Pipeline Capacity Sources: Enbridge Internal Forecast 8

  9. New Market Access – Western U.S. Gulf Coast Access 600 Thousand Barrels Per Day Associated Mainline Expansions ($1.2B) 1 1 • Albert Clipper to 800 kbpd (2014/2015) • Southern Access to 560 kbpd (2014) Chicago/ Flanagan South Pipeline ($2.8B) 2 Flanagan • Enbridge Inc. 100% • Twin Spearhead Pipeline (36-inch pipeline, 591 miles) 2 • Initial capacity 600 kbpd, expandable to 800 kbpd • In-service mid-2014 Seaway Pipeline Twin + Lateral ($1.1B) 4 Cushing • Enbridge Inc. and Enterprise JV • Twin Seaway Pipeline (515 miles) 3 • Initial capacity 450 kbpd, In-service Q1 2014 Seaway Pipeline Acquisition + Reversal ($1.3B) 3 • Connectivity to Port Arthur (85 miles) 4 • Enbridge Inc. and Enterprise JV • Reversal completed May 2012 and expansion to 400 kbpd completed Q1 2013 • Connectivity to ECHO Terminal in 2013 (65 miles) Port Arthur Houston Total Secured Capital = $6.4 B* 9 * Including Associated Mainline Expansions

  10. New Market Access – Eastern Access Hardisty 400 Thousand Barrels Per Day Montreal Clearbrook Superior 1 5 Westover 4 ENB funded Sarnia EEP/ENB joint funded Chicago 3 6 Toledo Flanagan 1. Line 5 Expansion +50 kbpd (In-Service) 1 2 2. Spearhead North Expansion +105 kbpd (2013) 2 Patoka 3. Line 6B Replacement +260 kbpd (2014) 3 4. Line 9A Reversal +240 kbpd (In-Service) 4 5. Line 9B Reversal +240 kbpd (2014) 5 Cushing 6. Toledo Pipeline Twin +80 kbpd (In-Service) 6 Total Secured Capital = $2.7 B 10

  11. New Market Access – Light Oil Market Access Hardisty 400 Thousand Barrels Per Day Cromer 1 Gretna Montreal Clearbrook 2 5 ENB funded EEP/ENB joint funded Westover EEP funded Stockbridge Sarnia 1. Associated Mainline Expansions 1 4 Chicago Toledo – Canadian Mainline Terminal Capability (2013/2015) 3 Flanagan – Southern Access to 1,200 kbpd (2015) 2. Sandpiper Pipeline +225-375 kbpd (2016) 2 6 Patoka 3. Line 62 Twin +570 kbpd (2015) 3 4. Line 6B Expansion (2016) 4 5. Line 9 Expansion +60 kbpd (2014) 5 6. Southern Access Extension +300 kbpd (2015) 6 Total Secured Capital = $6.3 B* 11 * Including Associated Mainline Expansions

  12. New Market Access – Under Development Fort McMurray Canadian/U.S. East Coast Edmonton Refinery Markets Hardisty Ontario/Quebec Kerrobert Refinery Markets Regina Cromer Gretna Asia Pacific/West Coast Montreal Clearbrook Refinery Markets Buffalo Sarnia Chicago/ Toledo Flanagan Wood Patoka River Cushing Eastern U.S. Gulf Coast Refinery Markets Port Arthur St. James Houston Western U.S. Gulf Coast Refinery Markets 12

  13. Regional Infrastructure – Alberta Oil Sands FHELP Husky Imperial Oil (Fort Hills) (Sunrise) (Kearl) Suncor Suncor (MacKay River) (Firebag) Norealis Terminal JACOS Athabasca Alberta (Hangingstone) Terminal Nexen (Long Lake) AOC Cheecham (Hangingstone) Terminal Cenovus (Christina Lake) ConocoPhillips (Surmont) Kirby Lake Terminal Statoil (Leismer) Wood Buffalo Pipeline Waupisoo Pipeline Athabasca Pipeline Woodland Pipeline Norealis Pipeline Edmonton Athabasca Twin Pipeline Woodland Pipeline Extension Hardisty Wood Buffalo Extension Norlite Diluent Pipeline NTD: Secured capital does not align with LRP (2013 – 2017) - Fort Hills and Norlite should be classified as unsecured? Total Secured Capital = $6.0 B* 13 * Excluding ~$1B of projects that came into service in 2012

  14. Regional Infrastructure – Bakken Enbridge Mainline Saskatchewan System (ENF) North Dakota System Saskatchewan Bakken Expansion Project • 145 kbpd (In-service) Bakken Access Program (well connections) • 100 kbpd (2013) Berthold Rail • 80 kbpd (In-service) Weyburn Cromer Steelman Lignite Gretna Tioga Stanley Minot Berthold Clearbrook Total Secured Capital = $0.7 B 14 14

  15. Canadian Midstream Gas Gathering & Processing • Commercially Secured: $1.1B – Cabin Phases 1 & 2 – Peace River Arch Gathering • Potential Opportunities: $4.5B – Cabin expansion phases (3–6) – Peace River Arch expansion – Montney, Duvernay and other Deep Basin infrastructure – Regional condensate & NGL pipelines & processing infrastructure Montney Duvernay Horn River 15

  16. U.S. Offshore Gulf Coast of Mexico Gathering & Processing • Legacy Investment $0.6B • Commercially Secured : $1.0B – Venice Expansion (Q4/13) – Walker Ridge Gathering (Q3/14) – Big Foot Oil Pipeline (Q4/14) – Heidelberg Oil Lateral (2016) Offshore Earnings • Potential Opportunities: $1.5B $60 $50 $40 $ millions $30 $20 $10 $0 ($10) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 16

  17. Gas Distribution System Reinforcement Project Total Secured Capital = $0.7 B 17

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