New Developments In Risk Science And Causality The 1854 Cholera - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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New Developments In Risk Science And Causality The 1854 Cholera - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

New Developments In Risk Science And Causality The 1854 Cholera Epidemic Broad Street Pump Artist rendition c. 1850 Packham SC - New Developments In Risk Science And Causality 3 Map showing the areas within walking distance of the


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New Developments In Risk Science And Causality

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The 1854 Cholera Epidemic

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Broad Street Pump

Artist rendition c. 1850

Packham SC - New Developments In Risk Science And Causality 3

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Map showing the areas within walking distance of the Broad Street pump.

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Spatial distribution

  • f cases.

X

X - Focus of infection

  • St. Like’s Church
  • Workhouse/prison
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Reverend Henry Whitehead

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John Snow

1813 - 1858 Considered one of the fathers

  • f epidemiology
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Broad Street Pump July 2014

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1854 Science of causality was divided

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Science eventually led to supremacy of the Germ Theory

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Other Science of the 19 Century

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Science of the 20th Century

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Wright Brothers

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Jonas E Salk

1914-1995

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Lectures on Science 16

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Helen Keller & Ann Sullivan

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The Importance of Words

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Empirical knowledge:

A body of knowledge of the natural world produced through observations, empirical evidence, and experimentation.

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Theoretical knowledge:

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Practical knowledge:

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John Snow’s investigation of the 1854 Cholera

Epidemic incorporated all three forms of scientific knowledge.

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Cause / Causality

  • Causality is the relationship between causes and effects.
  • It is considered to be fundamental to all natural science,

especially physics.

  • Causality is also a topic studied from the perspectives
  • f philosophy and statistics.
  • Causality means that an effect cannot occur from a cause

which is not in the past.

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Sir Bradford A Hill

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An Antidote for CO Poisoning

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CO transfer from Hg to Ngb

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From the perspective of an environmental toxicologist.

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Sciences relating to human biology are essential in establishing cause.

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Risk, alone, cannot establish “cause” comparable to that achieved by Stone.

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Causation requires a coherence between risk and a knowledge

  • f human biology

mechanism.

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Risk, Science, and Causality

: Empirical, Theoretical and Practical

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SLIDE 29 Packham SC - New Developnts In Risk Science And Causality

Risk Science and Causality Don’t forget the science of the human body