Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems Gregory R. Carmichael WMO - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

WMO for UN New Urban Agenda

Urban Integrated Services and Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems

Gregory R. Carmichael

WMO Priority: Urbanization - Research and services for megacities and large urban complexes

Goal: Integrated Urban Weather, Water,

Environment and Climate Services to address Urban Hazards and Risks including:

• poor air quality;
• extreme heat/cold and human thermal stress,
• extreme local winds;
• sand and dust storms;
• wild fires and smog haze;
• urban floods;
• sea-level rise;
• energy and water sustainability;
• climate change - 75% GHG emission
• associated public health problems caused by the

above

• Through research to service actions

across WMO (GAW, WWRP, WCRP) and beyond

WMO

Growing number of applications/services involve atmospheric composition

Simplified impact cascade for heat/air pollution. Blue/green

shows cascade of physical processes and relevant parameters. Beige/brown are 1st & 2nd

• rder socio-economic impacts. Red shows human impacts.

Elements of the Global Atmospheric Watch (GAW) Programme

WMO GAW Urban Research Meteorology and Environment Project (GURME)

• To enhance capabilities of

MeteoServices in providing urban- environmental forecasting and air quality services

• To better define meteorological

and air quality measurements focusing specifically on those that support urban forecasting

• To provide cities with easy access

to information on measurement and modeling techniques

• To promote city pilot projects to

demonstrate successful expanding MeteoServices into urban environment issues

GURME SAG Chair V. Bouchet, ECCC

WMO pilot studies and demonstration cities

United Nations 2012

Mexico City Santiago SAFAR: Indian cities Jakarta TOMACS: Tokyo WISE: Seoul Toronto Shanghai Moscow Hong Kong SURF: Beijing Accra IG3IS: Paris

Priorities in development of Guidelines and demonstration for cities:

• Integrated Urban Weather, Water, Environment and Climate Services
• Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems
• Focus on impact based forecast and risk based warnings

Urban agglomerations at risk of multiple natural hazards (2025)

Cape Town Buenos Aires

METROPOLITAN AIR QUALITY AND WEATHER FORECASTING SERVICES

Air Quality Monitoring Weather Monitoring Emission inventory Development Surface topography & land use study

SERVICES AIR QUALITY FORECAST MODELING WEATHER FORECAST

Health Advisories AIR-Now & AIR-Tomorrow UV Index- Skin Advisory City Pollution Maps Weather -Now & -Tomorrow

Translate Science to Public

Digital Display SMS Alerts E-mail Alerts Web Portal TV /Radio

RESEARCH

• Explore Chemical-Weather
• Improve Weather & AQ Forecasting Skill
• Development of Emission scenario
• Short Term Climate Change

BENEFIT TO END -USER

• Protecting Human Health
• Agricultural yield Benefits to Farmers
• Awareness of impact of AQ & Weather
• Basis for mitigation strategies

PRODUCTS

Supercomputer

SAFAR project, India Beig et al., 2015

MUMBA I

TEMPERATURE , HUMIDITY, WIND SPEED, WIND DIRECTION, SOLAR RADIATION, RAINFALL

SAFAR-PRODUCTS TO SOCIETY

HIGH TIDES/ LOW TIDES, IN COASTAL AREAS SUN’S HARMFUL RADIATION (UVI) & SKIN ADVISORIES

EDUCATIONAL SLOGANS FOR MITIGATION

AIR QUALITY

– TOMORROW

• HEALTH

ADVISORIES WEATHER

• CURRENT

AND TOMORROW LOCATION SPECIFIC EXTREME POLLUTION & WEATHER ALERTS

WMO Sand and Dust Storm Warning Advisory and Assessment System (SDS-WAS)

Objectives:

• To enhance the ability of countries to deliver:
• timely and quality forecasts of sand and dust storms,
• observations of aerosols: sand and dust
• information and knowledge to users

through an international partnership of research and operational experts and users Three Regional Nodes (North Africa, Europe and Middle East Node, (East) Asian Node and Pan-American Node) provide SDS global and regional forecasts for 72 hours.

First Operation Centre opened in Spain: The

Barcelona Dust Forecast Centre was inaugurated in 2014.

Steering Committee: to ensure the global coordination

activity on SDS-WAS and collaboration with other Agencies (UNEP, UNCCD, WHO).

Web: http://www.wmo.int/sdswas

Regional Vegetation Fire and Smoke Pollution Warning and Advisory System (VFSP-WAS)

Interested countries are welcome !

Integrated Service Delivery on Weather and Climate including Supporting Research for Megacity and in Urban Areas, WMO Priority Area as a response action to UN New Urban Agenda

• Cg-17 Resolution 9.8: Establishing

WMO Cross-cutting Urban Focus

• WMO GAW APP, GURME SAGs, IGIS,

WWRP, WCRP

• Guide for Urban Integrated Services
• Input to HABITAT-III conference

DRR, Xu Tang

WMO for Integrated Urban Services

WMO for Integrated Urban Services

Success Requires Collaboration Beyond Our Boundaries!

World Climate Applications and Service (WCAS)

• heat wave health early warning systems
• climate services for renewable energy and

climate-resilient energy systems

• capacity development for implementation of

climate-services.

• Climate Services Information System (CSIS)

including products, operational practices and toolkits including for the urban sector

• Climate risk and sector-specific climate indices
• Guidance on climate risk management
• User interface for climate information
• Tailored climate information
• Regional and national climate outlook forums

with possibility for urban sector Engagement.