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Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture Presentation by Stéphane Jost, Master in Human Development & Food Security Università Roma 3 - 18 May 2017

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture Early Warning Systems activities: Three main steps 1) Data collection 2) Data analysis 3) Dissemination of information

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection Meteorological Cropped areas conditions cropping conditions Transports and Pests, storage diseases Prices Consumption Governmental Trade, markets agricultural policies

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection Main sources of information come from national services (agrométéorology, hydrology, plant protection, statistics, ...).

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection Crop and Food Supply Assessment Missions can also be organised

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection Three main components of FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Missions Crop Production and Food Supply Assessment (FAO) Macroeconomic Vulnerability and Context Affecting Food Needs Food Supply, Demand Assessment (FAO) (WFP/FAO)

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection Collected information is included in databases a) Agroclimatic and agronomic data and statistics at national and sub-national levels

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection b) maps of boundaries, roads, rivers,...

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection c) Cropping zones. crop calendars

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection d) Satellite imagery: Vegetation coverage

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection d) Satellite imagery: Cold Cloud Duration from METEOSAT

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection d) Satellite imagery: creation of animated sequences For example, evolution of monthly CCD images during growing season in West Africa :

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection d) Satellite imagery: Creation of difference images Vegetation Index in the Sahel – September, reference year Vegetation Index in the Sahel - September (mean) Vegetation Index in the Sahel - September (diff. - mean)

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection NDVI Difference image NDVI Difference SPOT-4 VEGETATION difference image

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection d) Satellite imagery: Precipitation Last dekad of April 2017

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection d) Satellite imagery: Precipitation anomaly Last dekad of April 2017

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data collection d) Satellite imagery: Vegetation coverage – NDVI anomaly Last dekad of April 2017

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data analysis 2) Tools for data Analysis Main tools for analysis of the information a) Windisp (Windows Display) b) CCBS (Country Cereal Balance Sheets) c) National Food Prices Utility

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data analysis a) WinDisp For example : Cereal production WinDisp is a map in Burkina Faso and image display module used for CCD dekadal the analysis and image integration of satellite images, digital map Crop zones for and associated Sorghum tabular data. Maps of roads, railways, cities,…

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data analysis a) WinDisp Other example of WinDisp display : - Vegetation images (a and b) (a) (b) - Difference image indicating drought affected areas (c) - And reference provincial wheat (d) production map (d). (c)

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data analysis b) Country Cereal Balance Sheets (CCBS)

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data analysis

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data analysis c) National Food Prices database http://www.fao.org/giews/pricetool2/

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Data analysis

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information 3) Dissemination of information

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information COUNTRIES WITH UNFAVOURABLE PROSPECTS FOR CURRENT CROPS in March 2017 (total: 2 countries)

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information COUNTRIES REQUIRING EXTERNAL ASSISTANCE FOR FOOD in March 2017 (total: 37 countries)

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture : Dissemination of information

Early Warning Systems on Food and Agriculture Master in Human Development & Food Security Università Roma 3 18 May 2017 Thank you for your attention