Modelling Energy Saving Potential in Industry. Case of the Steel - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Modelling Energy Saving Potential in Industry. Case of the Steel and Paper Industries 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 1/31 A. Djemaa Study 2007

…Study optic • Modelling the Long range Energy needs and potential energy savings in European industry • EDF R&D / CMA Program Industry other industries Energy Intensive Industry Oil Refining Cement & Lime Pulp & Paper Iron & Steel Tiles & Briks Ceramics Glass Industry Industry Industry Industry Industry Industry Industry Paper Processes Pulpr Process Iron Processes Steel Processes Graphic Paper Mchanical Pulp Paper board Chimical Pulp Industrial Paper Recycled Pulp Biopulping • TIMES Model tools 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 2/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

…TIMES Model EFOM-ENV MARKAL T he I ntegrated M ARKAL- E FOM S ystem Created by ETSAP members - 1997 Current users: CMA, IER, VTT, Italy… TIMES d � � � � t Max p ( q ) dq c x objective function : NPV of net surplus � � � � � � � � d � 0 s . t . Ax d 0 satisfacti on of demands � � Ex e cap on emissions � Bx b financial, logical, and technical constraint s � UB x LB optional bounds � � x : decision variables : investment s, capacities , activities , of technologi es, amounts of commoditie s produced, consumed, traded d : variables : demands for products and services 1: TIMES Documentation, R. Loulou et Al., 2005 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 3/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

…TIMES Reference Energy System (RES) Project Optic Energy flows Emissions Cost and emissions balance s e c i r P Coal processing GDP Domestic Energy prices, Resource availability sources Process energy Industry Refineries Heating area Commercial and Population Power plants tertiary sector Light and Transportation Communication Households Demands Power CHP plants and district Person heat networks kilometers Transportation Freight Imports kilometers Gas network Costs Capacities Primary energy Final energy Demand services Source: IER 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 4/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

…RES Industry Energy flows s n o Study Optic i s s i m E Iron & Steel Primary Resources Boiler Pulp & Paper Energy Prices Cogeneration Ciment Demands Turbines Importations Demand services Primary energy Final energy 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 5/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

…RES Emissions Demand Energy/ Matter Residual Capacity Existing Technologies Installed Capacity New Technologies 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 6/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

…RES Steel Industry Scrap COG Coal Electricity Coke Sinter BFG Minerai de Fer Pellet N Gas Heat Oxyg BFHM Lime Nitr Sintring BOFG Coke oven Oxyg Blast Furnace Liquid Steel Pelletisation Oxy Converter Oxyg Nitro Oxyg DRI EAFurnace SC Metallurg SCM Liquid steel Steel C Cast HRP Hot Roll CRP Cold Roll Others Opert° Finished products 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 7/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

…RES Paper Industry GASNAT BIO ELC RCYPPR HTH HYD HTH PLPIMP WOO ELC HTH FOL BLiquor COA Demand Sc ThermoMecha- VCFM nical Pulp PRICE SC Graphic Mi-Chimical Paper Boiler Pulp Plant Packaging Mechanical Pulp Paper Turbine Pulp Corrugated Plant Chimical Paper Pulp Cogen Paper Recycled Plant Board Pulp Specials Paper Corrugated Paperboard Domestic & sanitary paper 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 8/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

RES Emissions Demand Energy/ Matter Residual Capacity Existing Technologies Installed Capacity New Technologies 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 9/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

…Steel Routes Production DR Route SR Route A-Electrolysis P-Electrolysis EAF Route BF Route Ore Coal Lime Iron Ore Iron Ore Iron Ore Iron Ore Sinter/Pellet Coke oven Pellet Scrap Direct Smelting Alkaline Pyro Blast Furnace Reduction Reduction Electrolysis electrolysis DRI Pig Iron Electric Furnace ELYSIS SR Oxyge OH Oxygen n Furnace Converter Steel PLYSIS Continuous Casting Hot Rolling Cold Rolling Finition Bases Futures Products 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 10/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

… Steel Industry Available Technologies Identified technologies BF Route EAF Route New Routes Comelt EAF Direct reduction Smelting Reduction A-Electrolysis Pyroelectrolysis Sintering Coke Oven Blast Furnace Contiarc EAF Direct Coal Midrex Corex EOS CDQ Injection CO2 Sequestration HYL III CCF Heat recovery & Storage Stm Ref Electric Blast HIsmelt Hydrogen Furnace Electroly Dios Hydrogen Arex AISI Finmet Romelt Continuous Casting Thin Strip Casting Spray Casting Thin Slab Casting 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 11/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

… Paper Industry Available Technologies Identified Technologies in the Pulp & Paper Industry Pulp production Paper Production Airless Drying Chimical Pulp Mecanical Pulp Air Impingement Dry Sheet Optimised Drying TMPulp Forming Chimicalpulp Steam Impingement Press Drying Drying CTMPulp Optimisation Condebelt Drying of Drying BiOPulping Ameliored Press Impulse Drying Section Thermopulp Enclosing Enzyme Aidded of Hoods Refiner 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 12/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

…Scenarios CO 2 Prices High Environmental Constraints Industrial demand growth Energy Prices Business as usual 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 13/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

…Demand Scenario CTP Demand Scenario by product (%) 5 4.5 Graphic Ppr 4 Corrugated Ppr 3.5 3 Special Ppr 2.5 Packaging Ppr 2 Ppr Board 1.5 1 Corrugated Ppr Board 0.5 Domistic & Sanitary Ppr 0 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019 2022 2025 2028 In the Iron & Steel industry the demand scenario is a final steel product scenario, with stability until 2015 and a 1%/year growth up to 2030 . 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 14/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

…Scenarios CO 2 Prices High Environmental Constraints Industrial demand growth Energy Prices Business as usual (BAU) 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 15/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

…Price Scenario BAU Demand scenario key indicators 1990 2001 2010 2030 2050 Growth (%/an) Key Indicators 1990/10 2010/30 2030/5 0 Population (Billions) 5.2 6.1 6.8 8.1 8.9 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% GDP (MEURO) 29 42 59 105 930 164 090 3.5% 2.9% 2.2% GDP per capita (EURO) 880 224 524 8 13 107 18 513 2.2% 2.0% 1.7% 5 697 6 907 764 CO2 Taxe in the Trend Scenario (Euro/t) BAU Energy prices Trend SC ( � /MWh) BAU 80.000 25 70.000 20 60.000 50.000 15 40.000 10 30.000 20.000 5 10.000 0 0.000 2003 2005 2007 2010 2013 2016 2020 2025 2030 2001 2003 2006 2009 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030 Oil N Gas Coal Electricity Biomass 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 16/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

…Scenarios CO 2 Prices High Environmental Constraints Industrial demand growth Energy Prices Business as usual (BAU) 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 17/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

…Price Scenario High Env Const Demand scenario key indicators 1990 2001 2010 2030 2050 Growth (%/an) Key Indicators 1990/10 2010/30 2030/5 0 Population (Billions) 5.2 6.1 6.8 8.1 8.9 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% GDP (MEURO) 29 42 59 105 930 164 090 3.5% 2.9% 2.2% GDP per capita (EURO) 880 224 524 8 13 107 18 513 2.2% 2.0% 1.7% 5 697 6 907 764 CO2 Taxe in the High Env Const scenario (Euro/t) Energy price evolution ( � /MWh) High SC 100 90.000 90 80.000 80 70.000 70 60.000 60 50.000 50 40.000 40 30.000 30 20.000 20 10.000 10 0.000 0 1 3 6 9 2 6 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 2003 2006 2009 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Fioul Gaz Naturel Charbon Electricité Biomasse 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 18/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007

…Paper production by technology in the BAU Sc Packaging paper production profile by technology (Mt) G raphic paper production profile by technology (Mt) 0.45 Press Drying 10 0.4 Process 9 0.35 Impulse Dryer 8 0.3 Process Impulse Dryer 7 Condensing Belt 0.25 Process 6 0.2 Dryer Process 5 Condensing Belt Airless Drying 0.15 4 Dryer Process Process 0.1 3 Conventional Conv entional 0.05 2 Processes Processes 0 1 2001 2003 2006 2009 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030 0 2001 2003 2006 2009 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030 Pulp production profile by technology (Mt) 25 Chimical pulp (New) Recycled pulp (New) 20 Thermomechanical pulp (New) Enzym-Aidded Refiner 15 Thermomechanical pulp (Base) Recycled pulp (Base) 10 Mechanical pulp (Base) Chimical pulp (Base) 5 Mi-Chimical pulp 0 2001 2003 2006 2009 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 19/25 A. Djemaa Study 2007