4-9 June Colle sur Loup
- A. Djemaa
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 1/31
Modelling Energy Saving Potential in Industry. Case of the Steel - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Modelling Energy Saving Potential in Industry. Case of the Steel and Paper Industries 4-9 June Colle sur Loup EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer 1/31 A. Djemaa Study 2007 Study optic Modelling the Long range Energy needs and potential
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 1/31
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 2/25
Oil Refining Industry Cement & Lime Industry Graphic Paper Paper board Industrial Paper Paper Processes Mchanical Pulp Chimical Pulp Recycled Pulp Biopulping Pulpr Process Pulp & Paper Industry Iron Processes Steel Processes Iron & Steel Industry Tiles & Briks Industry Ceramics Industry Glass Industry
Energy Intensive Industry
Industry
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 3/25
1: TIMES Documentation, R. Loulou et Al., 2005
The Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System Created by ETSAP members - 1997 Current users: CMA, IER, VTT, Italy…
MARKAL EFOM-ENV TIMES
services and products for demands : variables : d traded consumed, produced, s commoditie
amounts es, technologi
, activities , capacities s, investment : variables decision : x bounds
LB x UB s constraint technical and logical, financial, b Bx emissions
cap e Ex demands
satisfacti
. surplus net
NPV : function
) ( d Ax t s x c dq q p Max
t d d
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 4/25
Cost and emissions balance
GDP Process energy Heating area Population Light Communication Power Person kilometers Freight kilometers
Demand services Coal processing Refineries Power plants and Transportation CHP plants and district heat networks Gas network Industry Commercial and tertiary sector Households Transportation Final energy Primary energy Domestic sources Imports Demands Energy prices, Resource availability Energy flows Emissions Capacities Costs P r i c e s
Project Optic
Source: IER
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 5/25
Demand services Boiler Cogeneration Turbines Iron & Steel Pulp & Paper Ciment Final energy Primary energy Primary Resources Importations Demands Energy flows E m i s s i
s
Energy Prices Study Optic
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 6/25
Residual Capacity Installed Capacity Emissions Demand Energy/ Matter
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 7/25
Coke oven Electricity N Gas Sintring Pelletisation Blast Furnace Coal Oxy Converter SC Metallurg EAFurnace Heat COG Coke Lime Minerai de Fer Sinter Pellet Nitr Oxyg BFG BFHM Scrap Oxyg BOFG Liquid Steel Nitro Oxyg SCM Liquid steel Oxyg DRI C Cast Cold Roll Hot Roll Others Opert° CRP Steel HRP Finished products
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 8/25
COA WOO ELC HTH RCYPPR PLPIMP BLiquor ELC GASNAT FOL HTH
Boiler Plant Cogen Plant Turbine Plant Specials Paper Corrugated Paperboard Domestic & sanitary paper Mechanical Pulp Chimical Pulp
HYD
Demand Sc PRICE SC Recycled Pulp Mi-Chimical Pulp ThermoMecha- nical Pulp Graphic Paper Packaging Paper Corrugated Paper Paper Board
HTH BIO
VCFM Pulp
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 9/25
Residual Capacity Installed Capacity Emissions Demand Energy/ Matter
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 10/25
Ore Sinter/Pellet Coke oven Blast Furnace Pig Iron OH Furnace Oxyge n Oxygen Converter Steel Hot Rolling Cold Rolling Finition Scrap Electric Furnace Continuous Casting Lime Coal Direct Reduction DRI Smelting Reduction SR ELYSIS Products Iron Ore Pellet Iron Ore Alkaline Electrolysis Iron Ore PLYSIS Pyro electrolysis Iron Ore
BF Route EAF Route
DR Route SR Route A-Electrolysis P-Electrolysis Bases Futures
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 11/25
Identified technologies
BF Route EAF Route New Routes Sintering Coke Oven Blast Furnace Comelt EAF Contiarc EAF Direct reduction Smelting Reduction A-Electrolysis Pyroelectrolysis Midrex HYL III Stm Ref Hydrogen Electroly Hydrogen Corex CCF HIsmelt Arex Finmet Dios AISI Romelt EOS Direct Coal Injection CO2 Sequestration & Storage Electric Blast Furnace CDQ Heat recovery
Continuous Casting
Thin Slab Casting Spray Casting Thin Strip Casting
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 12/25
Identified Technologies in the Pulp & Paper Industry
Pulp production Paper Production Chimical Pulp Mecanical Pulp Airless Drying Dry Sheet Forming Press Drying Condebelt Drying Impulse Drying Optimised Chimicalpulp TMPulp CTMPulp BiOPulping Thermopulp Enzyme Aidded Refiner Air Impingement Drying Steam Impingement Drying Optimisation
Ameliored Press Section Enclosing
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 13/25
CO2 Prices
Industrial demand growth
Energy Prices
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 14/25
In the Iron & Steel industry the demand scenario is a final steel product scenario, with stability until 2015 and a 1%/year growth up to 2030.
CTP Demand Scenario by product (%) 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019 2022 2025 2028 Graphic Ppr Corrugated Ppr Special Ppr Packaging Ppr Ppr Board Corrugated Ppr Board Domistic & Sanitary Ppr
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 15/25
CO2 Prices
Industrial demand growth
Energy Prices
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 16/25
Demand scenario key indicators
0.5% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 2.9% 2.0% 1.3% 3.5% 2.2% 8.9 164 090 18 513 8.1 105 930 13 107 6.8 59 524 8 764 6.1 42 224 6 907 5.2 29 880 5 697 Population (Billions) GDP (MEURO) GDP per capita (EURO) 2030/5 2010/30 1990/10 Growth (%/an) 2050 2030 2010 2001 1990 Key Indicators Energy prices Trend SC (/MWh) 0.000 10.000 20.000 30.000 40.000 50.000 60.000 70.000 80.000 2001 2003 2006 2009 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030 Oil N Gas Coal Electricity Biomass
BAU CO2 Taxe in the Trend Scenario (Euro/t) 5 10 15 20 25 2003 2005 2007 2010 2013 2016 2020 2025 2030 BAU
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 17/25
CO2 Prices
Industrial demand growth
Energy Prices
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 18/25
Energy price evolution (/MWh) High SC 0.000 10.000 20.000 30.000 40.000 50.000 60.000 70.000 80.000 90.000 2 1 2 3 2 6 2 9 2 1 2 2 1 6 2 2 2 2 5 2 3 Fioul Gaz Naturel Charbon Electricité Biomasse
Demand scenario key indicators
0.5% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 2.9% 2.0% 1.3% 3.5% 2.2% 8.9 164 090 18 513 8.1 105 930 13 107 6.8 59 524 8 764 6.1 42 224 6 907 5.2 29 880 5 697 Population (Billions) GDP (MEURO) GDP per capita (EURO) 2030/5 2010/30 1990/10 Growth (%/an) 2050 2030 2010 2001 1990 Key Indicators
CO2 Taxe in the High Env Const scenario (Euro/t) 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2003 2006 2009 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 19/25
G raphic paper production profile by technology (Mt) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2001 2003 2006 2009 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030
Impulse Dryer Process Condensing Belt Dryer Process Conv entional Processes
Packaging paper production profile by technology (Mt) 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 2001 2003 2006 2009 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030
Press Drying Process Impulse Dryer Process Condensing Belt Dryer Process Airless Drying Process Conventional Processes
Pulp production profile by technology (Mt) 5 10 15 20 25 2001 2003 2006 2009 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030
Chimical pulp (New) Recycled pulp (New) Thermomechanical pulp (New) Enzym-Aidded Refiner Thermomechanical pulp (Base) Recycled pulp (Base) Mechanical pulp (Base) Chimical pulp (Base) Mi-Chimical pulp
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 20/25
Iron and Steel production profile in the high scenario (Mt) 5 10 15 20 25 30 2003 2005 2007 2010 2013 2016 2020 2025 2030
Blast Furnace Conventional EAF Contiarc EAF Hismelt Process
Iron and Steel production profile in the BAU scenario (Mt) 5 10 15 20 25 30 2003 2005 2007 2010 2013 2016 2020 2025 2030
Blast Furnace Conventional EAF Contiarc EAF Hismelt Process
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 21/25
Energy Consumption ratio in the pulp production 20 40 60 80 100 120 2001 2003 2006 2009 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030 Electricity Heat Energy Consumption ratio in the paper production 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2001 2003 2006 2009 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030 Electricity Heat
Biomass consumption (TWh)
5 10 15 20 2001 2003 2006 2009 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030 SC High SC Trend SC BAU
Hard Coal consumption (TWh)
5 10 15 20 2001 2003 2006 2009 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030 SC High SC Trend SC BAU
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 22/25
Electrcity consumption by scenario (TWh)
10.5 11 11.5 12 12.5 13 13.5 2003 2005 2007 2010 2013 2016 2020 2025 2030 BAU scenario High Env Scenario
Energy consumption ratio in the electric steel route
20 40 60 80 100 120 2003 2005 2007 2010 2013 2016 2020 2025 2030 Electricity Natural Gas
Energy consumption ratio in the blast furnace route
20 40 60 80 100 120 2003 2005 2007 2010 2013 2016 2020 2025 2030 Electricity Coal
Hard Coal consumption by scenario (TWh)
38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 2003 2005 2007 2010 2013 2016 2020 2025 2030 BAU scenario High Env Scenario
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 23/25
Paper CO2 Emissions (Mt)
2 4 6 8 10 12 2001 2003 2006 2009 2012 2016 2020 2025 2030 BAU Scenario High Env Scenario
Iron and steel CO2 Emissions (Mt)
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2003 2005 2007 2010 2013 2016 2020 2025 2030 SC Trend SC High
SC BAU
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 24/25
The results show that:
the mechanical pulp production of about respectively 100kWh/t and 90kWh/t.
increase of about 23% in the electricity consumption and 31% decrease in the heat consumption.
furnace route of about 40%.
permits less CO2 emissions in blast oxygen furnace route.
be justified though such processes emit no CO2.
processes in the iron & steel industry are much more influenced.
4-9 June Colle sur Loup
EDF R&D / CMA, ECEEE Summer Study 2007 25/25