MODARIA II WG4: Working Group 4 Transfer processes and data for - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
MODARIA II WG4: Working Group 4 Transfer processes and data for - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
MODARIA II WG4: Working Group 4 Transfer processes and data for radiological impact assessment WG4 report status First full draft available for the meeting Prioritising data gaps Kd soils, freshwater (marine) Transfer to
WG4 report status
- First full draft available for the meeting
– Prioritising data gaps – Kd – soils, freshwater (marine) – Transfer to animal products – Transfer to wild game in Japan
- Discuss key messages of each section
- Critically evaluate text
Assessing the radiological impact from radioactivity in the environment
We need to adequately quantify the key transfer processes and recognise their limitations in radiological assessments
- improve understanding of key processes
- explore limitations of the models and uncertainty in
model results. The transfer processes and related data will vary depending on the situation considered;
- planned, existing and emergency exposure situations
- characteristics of the environment (terrestrial,
freshwater, marine)
Extended remit
- MODARIA WG4 focus was on temperate climates
and conditions in developed countries.
- Important to consider what differences there are
in the assessment methodology when considering tropical, semi‐tropical or arid environments.
WG4: Objectives
- To identify key transfer processes for radioactivity in the
environment, in the context of the situation under consideration, for use in radiological impact assessment and to provide analysis of key relevant data.
- To consider the impact of the accidental release from the
Fukushima Dai‐ichi site in Japan in 2011 and the applicability of existing models and data to the Japanese situation.
- To provide advice on the applicability of assessment
models to tropical, semi‐tropical and arid environments.
Relevance to regulatory goals of IAEA
Human and environmental radiological protection in situations
- f regular operational activities and in accidental scenarios.
WG4 is working toward:
- Strengthening evaluation of the radiological impact by
improving the data underpinning the models developed for assessing the transfer of RNs in the environment and therefore the radiological impact
- To more appropriately assess exposure levels of the public
and in the environment to ensure an appropriate level of protection from the effects of ionizing radiation, associated with radionuclide releases and from existing radionuclides in the environment
Development of a (smart) database for sorption distribution coefficients, Kd (from MODARIA to MODARIA II)
MODARIA II Programme. First technical meeting. IAEA Headquarters, Vienna Oct‐Nov 2016
Kd variability
It is obvious that:
- for a given radionuclide, there is not a single Kd value
- values may vary within 5‐6 orders of magnitude range for a
specific radionuclide!
MODARIA II Programme. First technical meeting. IAEA Headquarters, Vienna Oct‐Nov 2016
Kd variability
Methodological approach
(e.g., sorption; desorption; in situ)
Characteristics of the solid and liquid phases
(factors governing sorption mechanisms and radionuclide speciation) (e.g., pH; Eh; texture; organic matter content; water column/soil solution composition; particle size)
- The relative weight of each variability source is radionuclide‐dependent!
Kd variability
MODARIA II Programme. First technical meeting. IAEA Headquarters, Vienna Oct‐Nov 2016
Refining Kd best estimates derived from datasets
Sensitivity analyses show that Kd values are one of the most important source
- f uncertainty in some risk calculations:
- Need to refine Kd best estimates to derive them on the basis of site‐specific
information based on mechanisms and factors governing radionuclide interaction
- Need to describe Kd variability of a dataset (use of density functions,
PDF/CDF)
From a simple dataset to a smart database
MODARIA II Programme. First technical meeting. IAEA Headquarters, Vienna Oct‐Nov 2016
Starting point: datasets for soils and freshwater systems
IAEA EMRAS Programme (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety; 2003‐2007): WG1 ‐ Revision of “Handbook of Parameter Values for the Prediction of Radionuclide Transfer in Temperate Environments, TRS 364”.
TRS 472
Dataset Description Best estimates: GM (GSD; (Min‐ Max) PDF/CDF derived Factors to group Kd to derive best estimates based on site‐ specific information Responsible Soil 2900 records ‐ 67 elements Yes No Texture + organic matter; pH; soil solution cationic composition; radiocaesium interception potential; etc. Vidal et al. (UB; SCK‐CEN) Freshwater 2900 records – 15 elements (single values for additional 10 elements) Yes Yes Methodology; suspended matter concentration; contact time; pH; solid‐to‐liquid ratio; Eh Ciffroy et al. (EDF; CEREGE)
MODARIA II Programme. First technical meeting. IAEA Headquarters, Vienna Oct‐Nov 2016
- IAEA MODARIA Programme (Modelling and Data for Radiological Impact
Assessments; 2012‐2015): WG 4 ‐ Analysis of radioecological data in IAEA Technical Reports Series publications to identify key radionuclides and associated parameter values for human and wildlife assessment (led by B. Howard, CEH). TECDOC in progress.
- Creation of critically reviewed Kd datasets of soil and aquatic systems:
- Soil dataset (responsible: Vidal et al., UB)
- Freshwater dataset (responsible: Boyer et al., IRSN)
Update of datasets: MODARIA programme
MODARIA II Programme. First technical meeting. IAEA Headquarters, Vienna Oct‐Nov 2016
- Agreed criteria to accept / reject data (environmental solid matrices;
experimental approaches related to short/long term assessments; requirements for data from stable isotopes; treatment of replicates; etc.).
- > 12,000 Kd entries for more than 80 elements:
- Soil dataset: > 5000 entries for > 80 elements (plus > 2000 entries for 75 elements
from other geological materials, such as subsoils, till and gyttja).
- Freshwater dataset: > 5000 entries for > 40 elements
Main outputs from MODARIA programme
MODARIA II Programme. First technical meeting. IAEA Headquarters, Vienna Oct‐Nov 2016
- Developed examples to show how to derive Kd best estimates (and density
functions) for a given radionuclide from data grouped according to the values of key properties governing radionuclide interaction:
- For a few radionuclides, Kd could be predicted from linear multivariate correlations
based on key properties
- Various Kd best estimates for a given radionuclide depending on the available
quantitative information on key properties
- PDF/CDF possible for datasets with enough entries
- Percentile ranges remove extraordinarily low or high Kd
values to decrease variability (if required)
- Developed path forward to filling data gaps (e.g., chemical and environmental solid
matrix analogues).
Main outputs from MODARIA programme
MODARIA II Programme. First technical meeting. IAEA Headquarters, Vienna Oct‐Nov 2016
MODARIA programme: key messages
- Work in progress.
- Datasets updates have benefited from inputs by member states.
- Only “informed” Kd are now accepted (excepting when no data is available).
- Significant improvement possible in best estimates Kd values: site‐specific
data improve assessments!
- Kd will be reported for each element: not overall summary in big tables for all
elements anymore
MODARIA II Programme. First technical meeting. IAEA Headquarters, Vienna Oct‐Nov 2016
Kd smart database: so what is it?
- The smart database would calculate the related Kd best
estimate and variability (e.g., in terms of CDF and percentile ranges)
- The end‐user may obtain a Kd best estimate (and associated variability
description) from the database by introducing as much site‐specific information as possible, especially dealing with factors governing radionuclide interaction:
- Environmental scenario (terrestrial? freshwater? marine?)
- Type of solid matrix (soil?; deposited sediment?; suspended sediment?)
- Short‐term assessment? Long‐term assessment? (sorption, desorption or in
situ‐field data?)
- Properties: pH? organic matter content? particle size? contact solution
composition?
MODARIA II Programme. First technical meeting. IAEA Headquarters, Vienna Oct‐Nov 2016
- It should include practical guidance to address variability and limitations of Kd
approach
MODARIA II: Future challenges to create the smart database
- Continue efforts to identifying key factors to group Kd data
for other radionuclides (on the basis of easy‐to‐obtain information!).
- Fill data gaps for prioritized radionuclides and scenarios, and
develop procedures and make recommendations for missing data.
- Include marine Kd data (IAEA’s MARiS) and complete critical review of marine
datasets.
- Select the appropriate software for the smart database, and move towards a
common structure for soil/freshwater/marine systems and export soil/freshwater/marine datasets into the agreed database common structure.
MODARIA II Programme. First technical meeting. IAEA Headquarters, Vienna Oct‐Nov 2016
- Welcome other participants and datasets
WG4 sub‐group Collation of environmental transfer parameters after the Fukushima accident (Fukushima parameters)
Open data sources (Radiation monitoring data, food monitoring data, institute reports) and papers published in journals (peer review) will be used to provide parameters after the Fukushima accident
Japanese data survey
⽇本語データの検索
- Radioactivity measurement has been carried out since 2011.
- Environmental monitoring has been conducted by Nuclear Regulation Authority with
collaboration of other ministries, agency (i.e., Ministry of Environment, Fisheries agency), Fukushima Prefecture, and TEPCO.
Available at http://radioactivity.nsr.go.jp/en/
- Food monitoring has been carried out by Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare with
collaboration of local governments in affected areas. (ca. 30,000 data per months).
Available at http://www.mhlw.go.jp/english/topics/2011eq/index_food_radioactive.html
- Most monitoring data are written in Japanese & English, but ‘Japanese only’ data are
also updated.
- Japanese scientists published their papers in English or in Japanese.
Need Japanese scientists’ collaborations to collect many data as possible.
Sub‐group: Fukushima parameters
Rice (TF) Rice (TF) Agricultural crops Agricultural crops Game animals Game animals Forest Forest River River Marine Biota Marine Biota Fresh water Biota Fresh water Biota
WG 4 WG 4
Parameter database
- Based on TRS 472
- Data collation
- Data analysis
Parameter database
- Based on TRS 472
- Data collation
- Data analysis
Japan side research groups
Corresponding group leaders Agreed are, River: Mr. Seiji Hayashi (NIES) Marine Biota: Mr. Hyoe Takata (MERI) Rice: Mr. Hirofumi Tsukada (Fukushima Univ.) Forest: Mr. Shoji Hashimoto (FFPRI) Game (& farm) animals: Ms. Keiko Tagami (QST) Scientific contributors (world‐wide)
Need your support & cooperation!
Counterpart Supported by Universities and Institutes
Large coverage is expected
- River: Mr. Seiji Hayashi (National Institute of Environmental Sciences)
– Under the Ministry of Environment – Carrying out river water monitoring in Fukushima Prefecture
- Marine Biota: Mr. Hyoe Takata (Marine Ecology Research Institute)
– Under the co‐supervision of the then Environment Agency, Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry and
Fisheries, and Ministry of Trade and Industry since 1975
– This institute has been carried out radioactivity monitoring in marine systems (biota, water, sediment) more than 40 years, and Mr. Takata started measurements after the Fukushima accident
- Rice: Mr. Hirofumi Tsukada (Fukushima Univ.)
- Forest: Mr. Shoji Hashimoto (Forestry and Forest Products Research Institute)
– Under the Forestry Agency, Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries – Studying forest modeling & Cs fate tree body
- Game (& farm) animals: Ms. Keiko Tagami (QST‐NIRS)
Start discussing what parameters should be collated; parameters we need to consider are listed in TRS‐472
Plan
- Discuss activities suggested by MODARIA proposal
- Identify areas of interest to participants
- Form relevant sub groups for each topic area
- Define an initial objective and workplan
- MODARIA report – finalise key messages