The clinical landscape of managing patients with CKD: Where are we now and what can we expect?
Will Herrington, MD Oxford, UK
June 14, 2019 - Budapest, Hungary
managing patients with CKD: Where are we now and what can we - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The clinical landscape of managing patients with CKD: Where are we now and what can we expect? Will Herrington, MD Oxford, UK June 14, 2019 - Budapest, Hungary The clinical landscape of managing patients with CKD: Where are we now and what
June 14, 2019 - Budapest, Hungary
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CTSU, University of Oxford Honorary Consultant Nephrologist, Oxford Kidney Unit
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66 68 70 72 74 76 78
Adjusted mean (SE) eGFR (mL/min/1.73m2) Week
Placebo Empagliflozin 10 mg Empagliflozin 25 mg
12 0 4 28 52 94 108 80 122 66 136 150 164 178 192 Wanner C et al. N Engl J Med 2016; 375:323-34
66 68 70 72 74 76 78
Adjusted mean (SE) eGFR (mL/min/1.73m2) Week
Placebo Empagliflozin 10 mg Empagliflozin 25 mg
12 0 4 28 52 94 108 80 122 66 136 150 164 178 192 Wanner C et al. N Engl J Med 2016; 375:323-34
4 weeks after stopping treatment
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Events/ participants Rate per 1000 pt years SGLT2i Placebo Hazard ratio (95% CI) SGLT2i better Placebo better
0.5 0.75 1 1.5 2 EMPA-REG OUTCOME† 152/7020 6.3 11.5 0.54 (0.40-0.75)
Wanner NEJM 2016: 375: 323-334; Neal NEJM 2017; 377: 644- 57; Wiviott NEJM 2018; Nov 10; Perkovic NEJM 2019; Apr 14. Outcomes † = Doubling of creatinine or ESRD
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Events/ participants Rate per 1000 pt years SGLT2i Placebo Hazard ratio (95% CI) SGLT2i better Placebo better
0.5 0.75 1 1.5 2 EMPA-REG OUTCOME† 152/7020 6.3 11.5 0.54 (0.40-0.75) CANVAS Program* 249/10142 5.5 9.0 0.60 (0.47-0.77) DECLARE-TIMI58* 365/17160 3.7 7.0 0.53 (0.43-0.66)
Outcomes † = Doubling of creatinine or ESRD * = 40% decline in eGFR or ESRD Wanner NEJM 2016: 375: 323-334; Neal NEJM 2017; 377: 644- 57; Wiviott NEJM 2018; Nov 10; Perkovic NEJM 2019; Apr 14.
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Between trial heterogeneity p=0.50 Events/ participants Rate per 1000 pt years SGLT2i Placebo Hazard ratio (95% CI) SGLT2i better Placebo better
0.5 0.75 1 1.5 2 EMPA-REG OUTCOME† 152/7020 6.3 11.5 0.54 (0.40-0.75) CANVAS Program* 249/10142 5.5 9.0 0.60 (0.47-0.77) DECLARE-TIMI58* 365/17160 3.7 7.0 0.53 (0.43-0.66) CREDENCE† 377/4401 27.0 40.4 0.66 (0.53-0.81)
All 4 trials
0.59 (0.52-0.66)
Outcomes † = Doubling of creatinine or ESRD * = 40% decline in eGFR or ESRD Wanner NEJM 2016: 375: 323-334; Neal NEJM 2017; 377: 644- 57; Wiviott NEJM 2018; Nov 10; Perkovic NEJM 2019; Apr 14.
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Heterogeneity between trials p = 0.68
Events/ participants Rate per 1000 pt years SGLT2i Placebo Hazard ratio (95% CI) SGLT2i better Placebo better
0.5 0.75 1 1.5 2 EMPA-REG OUTCOME 401/7020 16.9 21.4 0.76 (0.62-0.93) CANVAS Program 58/10142 1.6 2.5 0.66 (0.39-1.11) DECLARE-TIMI58 300/17160 3.6 5.0 0.69 (0.55-0.87) CREDENCE 184/4397 16.9 20.0 0.85 (0.64-1.13)
All 4 trials
0.75 (0.66-0.85)
Wanner NEJM 2016: 375: 323-334; Neal NEJM 2017; 377: 644- 57; Wiviott NEJM 2018; Nov 10; Perkovic NEJM 2019; Apr 14.
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Heterogeneity between trials p = 0.48 0.5 0.75 1 1.5 2 EMPA-REG OUTCOME 772/7020 37.4 43.9 0.86 (0.74-0.99) CANVAS Program 1011/10142 26.9 31.5 0.86 (0.75-0.97) DECLARE-TIMI58 1559/17160 22.6 24.2 0.93 (0.84-1.03) CREDENCE* 486/4401 38.7 48.7 0.80 (0.67-0.95)
All 4 trials
0.88 (0.82-0.94) Events/ participants Rate per 1000 pt years SGLT2i Placebo Hazard ratio (95% CI) SGLT2i better Placebo better
Zinman NEJM 2015: 373: 2117-28; Neal NEJM 2017; 377: 644-57; Wiviott NEJM 2018; Nov 10; Perkovic NEJM 2019; Apr 14.
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Between trial heterogeneity p=0.72
Events/ participants Rate per 1000 pt years SGLT2i Placebo Hazard ratio (95% CI) SGLT2i better Placebo better
0.5 0.75 1 1.5 2 EMPA-REG OUTCOME 221/7020 9.4 14.5 0.65 (0.50-0.85) CANVAS Program 243/10142 5.5 8.7 0.67 (0.52-0.87) DECLARE-TIMI58 498/17160 6.2 8.5 0.73 (0.61-0.88) CREDENCE 230/4401 15.7 25.3 0.61 (0.47-0.80)
All 4 trials
0.68 (0.60-0.76)
Zinman NEJM 2015: 373: 2117-28; Neal NEJM 2017; 377: 644-57; Wiviott NEJM 2018; Nov 10; Perkovic NEJM 2019; Apr 14.
– Cardiovascular death 30 fewer – Dialysis/transplant/renal death 27 fewer – Ketoacidosis 10 extra
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17 Cherney et al. Kidney International 2018; 93: 231-244 17
+0.5% Number of measurements Empagliflozin Placebo %HbA1c difference (95% CI) p value for interaction
%HbA1c
eGFR (mL/min/1.73m2) ≥90 348 343
<0.001 ≥60 to <90 518 516
≥30 to <60 234 239
<30 42 46
– Cardiovascular death 30 fewer – Dialysis/transplant/renal death 27 fewer – Ketoacidosis 10 extra
– Mean eGFR 56 (SD 18) & uACR 929 mg/g – Limited evidence on kidney progression among those with:
– Excluded people with type 1 DM, or prior ketoacidosis, or a recent history of lower limb amputation/ischaemia or foot infections
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Between trial heterogeneity p=0.02 Events/ participants Rate per 1000 pt years SGLT2i Placebo Hazard ratio (95% CI) SGLT2i better Placebo better
0.5 0.75 1 1.5 2 EMPA-REG OUTCOME 131/7020 6.5 6.5 1.01 (0.70-1.44) CANVAS program 187/10142 6.3 3.4 1.97 (1.41-2.75) DECLARE-TIMI58 236/17160 3.6 3.3 1.09 (0.84-1.40) CREDENCE 133/4397 12.3 11.2 1.11 (0.79-1.56)
All 4 trials
1.23 (1.05-1.44)
Zinman NEJM 2015: 373: 2117-28; Neal NEJM 2017; 377: 644-57; Wiviott NEJM 2018; Nov 10; Perkovic NEJM 2019; Apr 14.
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Heterogeneity between trials p = 0.07 †Not collected in CANVAS-R
SGLT2i better Placebo better Events/ participants Rate per 1000 pt years SGLT2i Placebo Hazard ratio (95% CI)
1 1.5 2 4 8 EMPA-REG OUTCOME 343/7020 26.0 7.3 3.55 (2.57-4.91) CANVAS Program (Female) 196/4330 69.0 18.0 4.37 (2.78-6.88) CANVAS Program (Male) 503/10142 35.0 11.0 3.76 (2.91-4.86) DECLARE-TIMI58 85/17160 2.2 0.3 8.36 (4.19-16.68) CREDENCE (Female) 32/1492 12.6 6.1 2.10 (1.00-4.45) CREDENCE (Male) 31/2905 8.4 0.9 9.30 (2.83-30.60)
All 4 trials
3.92 (3.31-4.65)
Zinman NEJM 2015: 373: 2117-28; Neal NEJM 2017; 377: 644-57; Wiviott NEJM 2018; Nov 10; Perkovic NEJM 2019; Apr 14.
S22 https://www.fda.gov/Drugs/DrugSafety/ucm617360.htm
Cases Trial(s) Number of participants SGLT2i (n=21266) Placebo (n=17457) EMPA-REG OUTCOME 7,020 CANVAS/CREDENCE 10,142+4,401 2 2 DECLARE-TIMI58 17,160 1 5 Total 3 7
Wiviott NEJM 2018; Nov 10; Perkovic Tweet (16May19:1652); Herrington, CKJ 2018: 749-761 (open access)
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Herrington, CKJ 2018: 749-761 (open access)
Trial Key eligibility Size Primary outcome: ESKD, or death from renal or CV causes + End Dapa-CKD (Dapagliflozin) CKD
uACR 200-5000 ~4000 Sustained ≥50% decline in eGFR Nov 2020 EMPA- KIDNEY (Empagliflozin) CKD
~5000 Sustained ≥40% decline in eGFR June 2022
Heart failure (Diabetes & non-diabetes)
EMPORER-Reduced (Empagliflozin) EMPORER-Preserved (Empagliflozin) Dapa-HF (Dapagliflozin) DELIVER (Dapagliflozin)
Type 2 diabetes VERTIS CV (Ertugliflozin) SCORED* (Sotagliflozin) SOLOIST-WHF (Sotagliflozin)
* Restricted to eGFR 25-60
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– Priority FDA regulatory review of CREDENCE awaited
– Non-diabetic causes of kidney disease (regardless of eGFR/uACR/DM) – Low levels of kidney function (e.g. eGFR <30) typical of renal clinics – Diabetic kidney disease with eGFR<45 + uACR <300 mg/g
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Trial Key eligibility Size Primary outcome(s) End VERTIS CV (Ertugliflozin) Prior CV disease 17,276
Dec 2019 SCORED (Sotagliflozin) eGFR 25-60 ~10,600
Mar 2022 SOLOIST-WHF (Sotagliflozin) Worsening HF ~4000
June 2021
All 3 trials have planned kidney progression outcomes as secondary analyses
Trial Key eligibility Size Primary outcome End EMPORER- Reduced (Empagliflozin) Class II–IV HF (LVEF ≤40%) ~2850
Jun 2020 EMPORER- Preserved (Empagliflozin) Symptomatic HF (LVEF>40% + NT-proBNP>300) ~6000
Oct 2020 Dapa-HF (Dapagliflozin) Symptomatic HF (LVEF ≤40% + NT-proBNP >600) 4,744
Jul 2019 DELIVER (Dapagliflozin) Symptomatic HF (LVEF>40% + NT-proBNP ↑) ~4,700
Jun 2021
* Kidney progression +/- eGFR slope based secondary outcomes also planned
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Zelniker Lancet 2018, Nov 10
Between trial heterogeneity p=0.02
Events/ participants Rate per 1000 pt years SGLT2i Placebo Hazard ratio (95% CI) SGLT2i better Placebo better
0.5 0.75 1 1.5 2 EMPA-REG OUTCOME 309/7020 12.4 20.2 0.62 (0.49-0.77) CANVAS Program 453/10142 11.6 12.8 0.87 (0.72-1.06) DECLARE-TIMI58 494/17160 7.0 7.1 0.98 (0.82-1.17) CREDENCE 250/4401 19.0 24.4 0.78 (0.61-1.00)
All 4 trials
0.83 (0.75-0.92)
Zinman NEJM 2015: 373: 2117-28; Neal NEJM 2017; 377: 644-57; Wiviott NEJM 2018; Nov 10; Perkovic NEJM 2019; Apr 14.
0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.5
Empagliflozin (n=4687) Placebo (n=2333) Hazard ratio (95% CI) p value for interaction
Empagliflozin better Placebo better Cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure
eGFR (mL/min/1.73m2) ≥90 36/1050 (3.4%) 25/488 (5.1%)
0.85
≥60 to <90 117/2423 (4.8%) 96/1238 (7.8%) ≥45 to <60 71/831 (8.5%) 48/418 (11.5%) <45 41/381 (10.8%) 29/189 (15.3%)
All participants 265 (5.7%)
198 (8.5%)
0.66 (0.55-0.79)
EMPA-KIDNEY rational paper in Clinical Kidney Journal (open access):
https://academic.oup.com/ckj/article/11/6/749/5144684
0.2 0.4 0.60.81 1.5
Empagliflozin (n=4687) Placebo (n=2333) Hazard ratio (95% CI) P value for interaction
Empagliflozin better Placebo better
Urinary albumin:creatinine ratio (uACR, mg/g)
<30 22/2766 (0.8%) 26/1376 (1.9%)
0.51
≥30 to ≤300 23/1325 (1.7%) 17/671 (2.5%) >300 33/504 (6.5%) 28/260 (10.8%)
All participants 81 (1.7%) 71 (3.1%) 0.54 (0.40-0.75)
52 participants with missing baseline or post-baseline creatinine data (with no evidence of RRT or renal death) were excluded.
Herrington, CKJ 2018: 749-761 (open access)
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Interaction test
Perkovic NEJM 2019; Apr 14.
Cystic kidney disease Glomerulo- nephritis Diabetic nephropathy Other recorded diagnoses
Urinary albumin:creatinine ratio (mg/g)* <30 (normo-) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 30 to 300 (micro-) 1.18 (0.88, 1.58) 2.39 (1.03, 5.54) 1.64 (0.79, 3.41) 1.39 (1.05, 1.84) >300 (macro-) 1.21 (0.87, 1.69) 7.26 (3.22, 16.36) 5.85 (2.98, 11.49) 3.91 (2.99, 5.10)
*Interactions between albuminuria group and diagnoses of cystic kidney disease, glomerulonephritis and diabetic nephropathy, after adjustment for age, sex, country, race, treatment allocation, prior diseases and medication, lipids, smoking, blood pressure, BMI, phosphate, haemoglobin and eGFR.
Haynes R. et al. AJKD 2014; 64(1):40-8
S36 Bays Obesity (2014) 22, 1042-1049.
37 Cherney et al. Kidney International 2018; 93: 231-244
1 Number of measurements Empagliflozin Placebo Weight difference (95% CI) p value for interaction
Weight, Kg
eGFR (mL/min/1.73m2) ≥90 348 343
0.09 ≥60 to <90 518 516
≥30 to <60 234 239
<30 42 46
38 Cherney et al. Kidney International 2018; 93: 231-244
2 Number of measurements Empagliflozin Placebo SBP difference (95% CI) p value for interaction
SBP, mmHg
eGFR (mL/min/1.73m2) ≥90 348 343
0.26 ≥60 to <90 518 516
≥30 to <60 234 239
<30 42 46
insulin pump
S39 Rosenstock Diabetes Care 2018 41(12): 2560-2569
Placebo n=484 10mg n=491 25mg n=489 Confirmed ketoacidosis 6 (1.2%) 21 (4.3%) 16 (3.3%)
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Between trial heterogeneity p=0.54 Events/ participants Rate per 1000 pt years SGLT2i Placebo Hazard ratio (95% CI) SGLT2i better Placebo better
0.5 0.75 1 1.5 2 4 EMPA-REG OUTCOME 5/7020 0.1 <0.1 1.99 (0.22-17.80) CANVAS Program 18/10142 0.6 0.3 2.33 (0.76-7.17) DECLARE-TIMI58 39/17160 0.9 0.4 2.18 (1.10-4.30) CREDENCE 12/4397 2.2 0.2 10.80 (1.39-83.65)
All 4 trials
2.46 (1.43-4.24)
Zinman NEJM 2015: 373: 2117-28; Neal NEJM 2017; 377: 644-57; Wiviott NEJM 2018; Nov 10; Perkovic NEJM 2019; Apr 14.
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Heterogeneity between trials p = 0.54 †Not collected in CANVAS-R
Events/ participants Rate per 1000 pt years SGLT2i Placebo Hazard ratio (95% CI) SGLT2i better Placebo better
0.5 0.75 1 1.5 2 EMPA-REG OUTCOME 1265/7020 82.0 79.0 0.96 (0.85-1.08) CANVAS Program 440/4330 40.0 37.0 1.09 (0.89-1.34) DECLARE-TIMI58 260/17160 3.6 3.8 0.93 (0.73-1.18) CREDENCE 466/4397 48.3 45.1 1.08 (0.90-1.29)
All 4 trials
1.00 (0.92-1.09)
Zinman NEJM 2015: 373: 2117-28; Neal NEJM 2017; 377: 644-57; Wiviott NEJM 2018; Nov 10; Perkovic NEJM 2019; Apr 14.
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Between trial heterogeneity p= 0.29 Events/ participants Rate per 1000 pt years SGLT2i Placebo Hazard ratio (95% CI) SGLT2i better Placebo better
0.5 0.75 1 1.5 2 EMPA-REG OUTCOME 270/7020 15.2 16.1 0.98 (0.76-1.25) CANVAS Program NA/10142 15.4 11.9 1.26 (1.04-1.52) DECLARE-TIMI58 897/17160 13.6 13.2 1.04 (0.91-1.18) CREDENCE 135/4397 11.8 12.1 0.98 (0.70-1.37)
All 4 trials
1.08 (0.98-1.18)
Zinman NEJM 2015: 373: 2117-28; Neal NEJM 2017; 377: 644-57; Wiviott NEJM 2018; Nov 10; Perkovic NEJM 2019; Apr 14.
0.2 0.4 1 2 4 8
Empagliflozin (n=4687) Placebo (n=2333) Hazard ratio (95% CI) p value for interaction
Empagliflozin better Placebo better
Hyperkalaemia
≥60 46/3473 (1.3%) 36/1726 (2.1%) ≥45 to <60 33/831 (4.0%) 29/418 (6.9%) <45 14/381 (3.7%) 13/189 (6.9%)
0.72
All participants93 (2.0%)
78 (3.3%)
0.57 (0.42-0.77)
eGFR (mL/min/1.73m2)
Number of participants with an event, n Canagliflozin (N = 2200) Placebo (N = 2197) Hazard ratio (95% CI) All renal-related AEs 290 388 0.71 (0.61–0.82) Hyperkalemia 151 181 0.80 (0.65–1.00) Acute kidney injury 86 98 0.85 (0.64–1.13) Favors Canagliflozin Favors Placebo
0.5 1.0 2.0
Includes all treated participants through 30 days after last dose.
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Zelniker Lancet 2018, Nov 10
standard het test p=0.07)
0.5 0.75 1 1.5 2 Prior CV disease 2588/20650 0.86 (0.80-0.93) No prior CV disease 754/13672 1.00 (0.87-1.16)
All participants in all 3 trials
0.89 (0.83-0.96)
Events/ participants
Hazard ratio (95% CI) SGLT2i better Placebo better
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Zelniker Lancet 2018, Nov 10
Standard Het test p=0.08
0.5 0.75 1 1.5 2 Prior CV disease 987/20650 0.80 (0.71-0.91) No prior CV disease 269/13672 1.02 (0.80-1.30)
All participants in all 3 trials
0.84 (0.75-0.94)
Events/ participants
Hazard ratio (95% CI) SGLT2i better Placebo better
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Primary composite outcome
↓14% (HR 0.86, 95%CI 0.75-0.97)
Neal NEJM 2017; 377: 644-57
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Primary composite outcomes
NS (HR 0.93, 95%CI 0.84-1.03)
↓17% (HR 0.83, 95%CI 0.73-0.95)
Wiviott NEJM 2018; Nov 10
Placebo Empagliflozin 10mg Empagliflozin 25mg (n=2333) (n=2345) (n=2342) Acute kidney injury report* 16 (0.7%) 20 (0.9%) 21 (0.9%)
* Any MedDRA Preferred Term which relates to acute renal failure