Industrial Emissions & Climate Protection European Parliament - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Industrial Emissions & Climate Protection

European Parliament Brussels, 3 March 2009

Source: IPCC 2007 AR4, Figure SPM-11

Climate policy and science are diverging

1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 20 40 60 80 100

2009 2020 2050

• 20%
• 30%
• 40%
• 40%
• 60%
• 80%

EU27 2006 emissions only 7.7% below 1990 baseline

ETS 'linear factor' only -1.74% p.a.

2 1 3 2 1 6 2 1 9 2 2 2 2 2 5 2 2 8 2 3 1 2 3 4 2 3 7 2 4 2 4 3 2 4 6 2 4 9 2 5 2 2 5 5 2 5 8 2 6 1 2 6 4 2 6 7 2 7 2 7 3 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

2050 2070 2020 2013

“phase 3”

? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?

• Antwerp Port, E.ON, 1100 mw
• Port of Gent 1-2 projects

CANCELLED?

• Agios Nikolaos, Viotia, 600 mw
• Florina II, PPC, 450 mw
• Astakos, Etoloakarnania, Edison, 600 mw
• Island of Evia, PPC, 800 mw
• Fiumesanto, Endesa,410 mw
• Porto Tolle, ENEL, 2640 mw
• Vado Ligure, Tirreno Power
• Saline Joniche, SEI,1300 mw
• Piombino, ENEL
• Sulcis
• Rossano Calabro, ENEL, 1700 mw
• Cairomontenotte, Ferrania Tech., 800 mw
• Maasvlakte, nr Rotterdam, 1100MW, E.ON
• Also near Rotterdam, 800MW, Electrabel
• Eemshaven, Groningen, 1600MW, RWE
• Nuon Magnum coal gasification plant, 1200 mw

70+ new coal-fired power plants

• RWE + KW, Śląsk/Silesia region, 800mw
• Vattenfall, Pomorze (Opalenie), 1600mw
• EdF, Rybnik, new block, 700mw
• EdF, new plant, 900-1000mw
• Vatenfall, Siekierki

new block, 480mw

• Energa Group, Ostrołęka, 1000mw
• Electrabel, new block, 460mw
• RWE, 800mw
• Enea Group, Kozienice, 2000mw
• PGE Group, Bełchatów, new block, 800mw
• Tauron Group, Będzin, new block, 460mw
• Tauron Group, new blocks, 2000-2500mw
• PKE + ZAK, ?~330mw
• KHW Holding, Niwka-Modrzejów, 800mw
• Kingsnorth, E.ON, 1600 mw
• Tilbury, RWE, 1600 mw
• Blyth, RWE, 2400 mw
• Ferrybridge, SSE, 800 mw
• Hunterston, Dong, 1600 mw
• Tilbury, RWE, 1600 mw
• High Marnham, E.ON, 1600 mw
• Mátrai Erőmű, Visonta, MVM, 440 mw
• Boxberg, Vattenfall, 670 mw
• Datteln, E.on, 1050 mw
• Duisburg-Walsum

Evonik, 750 mw

• Hamm / Westfalen, RWE, 1640 mw
• Neurath, RWE, 2200 mw
• Hamburg-Moorburg

Vattenfall, 1640 mw

• Karlsruhe

EnBW, 910 mw

• Lünen, Trianel, 750 mw
• Wilhelmshaven, Electrabel, 750 mw
• Brunsbüttel, Electrabel, 800 mw
• Krefeld-Uerdingen, Trianel + Bayer, 750 mw
• Lubmin (Greifswald), DONG Energy, 1600

mw

• Mainz, KMW AG (joint venture), 820 mw
• Mannheim, GKM AG (JV), 911 mw
• Stade, Electrabel, 1800 mw
• Staudinger, E.on, 1100 mw
• Dörpen, BKW FMB Energie (JV), 900 mw
• Düsseldorf, Stadtwerke Düsseldorf, 400 mw
• Lünen, Evonik, 900 mw
• Niederaußem (Bergheim), RWE, 2200 mw
• Stade, Dow Chemical & EnBW, 900 mw
• Stade, E.on, 1100 mw
• Wilhelmshaven, E.on, 500 mw
• Brunsbüttel, GETEC, 800 mw
• Brunsbüttel, Südweststrom/Iberdrola,

1800mw

• Emden, DONG Energy, 800 mw
• Germersheim, EnBW, 900 mw
• Kiel, E.ON, 800 mw
• Klingenberg, Berlin, Vattenfall, 800 mw
• Profen, MIBRAG, 660 mw

Lock-in to new coal puts ETS at risk

2 1 3 2 1 6 2 1 9 2 2 2 2 2 5 2 2 8 2 3 1 2 3 4 2 3 7 2 4 2 4 3 2 4 6 2 4 9 2 5 2 2 5 5 2 5 8 2 6 1 2 6 4 2 6 7 2 7 2 7 3 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

2050 2070 2020 2013

“phase 3”

? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?

Approximate potential 'life-time' EUA demand of sixty new 1GW unabated coal, each emitting 6MT CO2 = 360MT/pa

Impacts of sample CO2 EPS/ELV

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200

350 g CO2/kwh 150 g CO2/kwh

Article 33a §1 Example limit value due to 2014 review clause in §4

L i g n i t e H a r d c o a l N a t u r a l G a s

e.g. natural gas + 90%CCS e.g. hard coal + 90% CCS

IPPC ETS LCP LCP >500MWth LCP Power LCP Power >500MWth

5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000

52,000 11,000 3,000 600 1,000 500

Far fewer installations affected

Bełchatów

Question/proposition

If, by Copenhagen, Europe If, by Copenhagen, Europe commits, from a given date, not commits, from a given date, not to build another regular coal-fired to build another regular coal-fired power station, what commitments power station, what commitments by others and what overall by others and what overall ambition could result? ambition could result?