Climate to Prosper Climate to Prosper Bridging the Gap Organising - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Climate to Prosper Climate to Prosper Bridging the Gap Organising - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Climate to Prosper Climate to Prosper Bridging the Gap Organising and Communicating Climate Resilience Prof Chris Rapley CBE London Climate Change Partnership Deltas in Times of Climate Change II Rotterdam 24th September 2014 Climate to Prosper To


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SLIDE 1 Climate to Prosper
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SLIDE 2 Climate to Prosper

Bridging the Gap Organising and Communicating Climate Resilience

Prof Chris Rapley CBE London Climate Change Partnership Deltas in Times of Climate Change II Rotterdam 24th September 2014
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SLIDE 3 Climate to Prosper To tell a complex story make everything as simple as possible, but not simpler
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SLIDE 4 Most Complex Object Functions as Integrated Whole Ecosystem Services Essential for Life Finite - No Spares Warning Signals
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SLIDE 5

400

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SLIDE 7 Climate to Prosper

IPCC AR5 WG1 SPM

The most thoroughly and rigorously reviewed Scientific Document in history
  • 209 lead authors
  • >600 contributing authors from 32
countries
  • 50 review editors from 39
countries
  • >9200 publications cited
  • 54677 comments from 1089
reviewers
  • Approved by 195 governments
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SLIDE 8 Climate to Prosper

John Kerry

Boil down the IPCC report and here’s what you find: Climate change is real, it’s happening now, human beings are the cause of the transformation, and early action by human beings can save the world from its worst impacts
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SLIDE 9 Climate to Prosper

Vast Majority of Climate Professionals Agree

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SLIDE 10 Climate to Prosper

US Citizens’ Concerns

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SLIDE 11 Climate to Prosper

Human Carbon Emissions

2014 emissions are 60% greater than in 1990
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SLIDE 12 Climate to Prosper

Limits to Adaptation

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SLIDE 13 Climate to Prosper

London Assembly Economy Committee Economic Consequences of Climate Change

  • Direct National impacts - flooding overheating, water
shortages, storm damages - affecting businesses: premises, staff, supply chains in UK
  • Direct International impacts - as above but from weather
impacts abroad
  • Indirect impacts - sequences of events affecting business
conditions such as availability of capital, insurance provision, etc
  • Gradual impacts - affecting demand for services of costs of
providing them - costs of protection & increasing resilience
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SLIDE 14 Climate to Prosper

‘Mischievous Demon’

  • Evidence complex and technical
  • Disconnect - ‘not now, not here, not me’
  • ‘Slow Violence’
  • Requires rapid and fundamental transformation
  • f Modern World - energy supply, economics,
politics, infrastructures, behaviours
  • Inertias
  • Vested Interests
  • Inadequate Instruments and Institutions
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SLIDE 15 Climate to Prosper

Roles of Science Community

  • Pure Scientist
  • Science Arbiter
  • Science Communicator
  • Honest Broker of Policy
Alternatives
  • Issue Advocate
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SLIDE 16 Climate to Prosper

Not the Higgs

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SLIDE 17 Climate to Prosper Anxiety, Fear, Loss, Grief, Guilt, Helplessness
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SLIDE 18 Climate to Prosper Challenges strongly held values and beliefs and powerful issues of identity

Threat

Life Support Reducing Harm Collective Action Nature

Hoax

Personal Freedom Regulation State Interference Individuality
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SLIDE 19 Climate to Prosper
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SLIDE 20 Climate to Prosper
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SLIDE 21 Climate to Prosper
  • Assuming others have pieces of the
answer
  • Collaborative
  • About finding common ground
  • Listening to understand
  • Exploring assumptions
  • Discovering new possibilities
  • Seeking constructive progress

Debate Dialogue

Mode of Engagement

  • Assuming there is one right answer
  • Combative
  • About winning
  • Listening for flaws
  • Defending assumptions
  • Pursuing your outcome
  • Asymmetries of engagement
  • Entertainment

× ✓

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SLIDE 22 Climate to Prosper The power of Narrative
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SLIDE 23 Climate to Prosper

London

Irreducible Uncertainties - Decision Pathways
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SLIDE 24 Climate to Prosper Opportunity is missed by most people because it is dressed in overalls and looks like work
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