in culling decisions in seasonal dairy herds M.M. Kelleher, D.P. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
in culling decisions in seasonal dairy herds M.M. Kelleher, D.P. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Cow Own Worth synergising data to provide a new tool to aid in culling decisions in seasonal dairy herds M.M. Kelleher, D.P. Berry, P.R. Amer, A. Cromie, R. Evans Speaker: Margaret Kelleher ICBF Database Farmers Bord Bia Irish Food
ICBF Database
ICBF Database
Farmers
Abattoirs Dept. Agri AI companies Milk recording Teagasc Research Breed Societies Milk Co-ops Marts HerdPlus Vet labs Bord Bia Irish Food Board
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Cow’s Own Worth (COW) Designed to represent more closely the future phenotypic performance of dairy females
A new system to rank females on predicted profit potential
- Spring-calving system
- EBI – Economic Breeding Index
(national breeding index)
- Centralised database
- Reward data recording herds
with an added value service
Question – who would you cull?????
EBI €100 EBI €200
Question – who would you cull?????
EBI €100 Parity 2 EBI €200 Parity 5
Question – who would you cull?????
EBI €100 Parity 2 Calved Feb EBI €200 Parity 5 Calved April
Question – who would you cull?????
EBI €100 Parity 2 Calved Feb Av SCC 210 EBI €200 Parity 5 Calved April Av SCC 120
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Cow’s Own Worth (COW)
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Expected profit from:
Current Lactation Future Lactations Net Culling Cost
- Milk
- Health
- Management
- Maintenance
- Fertility (calving date)
- Milk
- Health
- Beef
- Calving
- Management
- Maintenance
- Fertility
- Descendants
- Cull cow value
- Replacement cost
+ predictions on fertility, survival and SCC performance
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Current lactation profit
Current Lactation
- Milk
- Health
- Management
- Maintenance
- Fertility (calving date)
Current milk price Costs per calving month MDSM Actual calving date
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Expected profit from:
Current Lactation Future Lactations Net Culling Cost
- Milk
- Health
- Management
- Maintenance
- Fertility (calving date)
- Milk
- Health
- Beef
- Calving
- Management
- Maintenance
- Fertility
- Descendants
- Cull cow value
- Replacement cost
+ predictions on fertility, survival and SCC performance
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Future lactations profit
Future Lactations
- Milk
- Health
- Beef
- Calving
- Management
- Maintenance
- Fertility
- Descendants
- Cull cow value
- Replacement cost
+ predictions on fertility, survival and SCC performance
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Future lactations profit
Future Lactations
- Milk
- Health
- Beef
- Calving
- Management
- Maintenance
- Cull cow value
- Replacement cost
Future milk price MDSM
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Future lactations profit
Future Lactations
- Descendants
- Cull cow value
- Replacement cost
EBI times Cumulative Discounted Expression
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Future lactations profit
Future Lactations
- Fertility
- Cull cow value
- Replacement cost
+ predictions on fertility, survival and SCC performance
Actual calving date Next calving date Genetic effects
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Future fertility performance
Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Best Genetics Worst Genetics
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Proportion 0.14 0.53 0.22 0.08 0.03 Cost (€) 0.00 0.00
- 151.00
- 210.00
- 437.00
∑Cost (€)
- 63.13
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Proportion 0.13 0.39 0.25 0.15 0.07 Cost (€) 0.00 0.00
- 151.00
- 210.00
- 437.00
∑Cost (€)
- 99.84
Difference of €36.71
Transition matrices
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Expected profit from:
Current Lactation Future Lactations Net Culling Cost
- Milk
- Health
- Management
- Maintenance
- Fertility (calving date)
- Milk
- Health
- Beef
- Calving
- Management
- Maintenance
- Fertility
- Descendants
- Cull cow value
- Replacement cost
+ predictions on fertility, survival and SCC performance
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Net culling cost
Net Culling Cost
- Cull cow value
- Replacement cost
Cull value
Salvage value + GeneticsCWT
Replacement cost Long term replacement requirement
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Group Milk (kg) Fat (g/100g) Protein (g/100g)
COW EBI COW EBI COW EBI
Best
(Top 25%)
6965 (6.17) 6674 (6.32) 4.07 (0.003) 4.11 (0.003) 3.57 (0.001) 3.57 (0.003)
Good
6695 (6.45) 6580 (6.38) 4.03 (0.003) 4.04 (0.003) 3.52 (0.001) 3.52 (0.003)
Poor
6512 (6.18) 6530 (6.27) 4.01 (0.003) 4.00 (0.003) 3.49 (0.001) 3.49 (0.003)
Worst
(Bottom 25%)
6164 (6.08) 6467 (6.24) 3.97 (0.003) 3.93 (0.003) 3.44 (0.001) 3.44 (0.003)
Results: Milk production
€360 more value per cow per lactation for cows in top 25% versus bottom 25%
€9000
7. 7. My My mi milk lk recor
- rdin
ing g infor
- rmatio
ion ha has s mor more valu lue no now w th that I ca can rece ceiv ive a COW irepor
- rt.
8. 8. I wou
- uld like the
the COW to
- be
be gen enerated for
- r my
y her herd fr from
- m no
now w on.
- n.
9. 9. I wou
- uld
ld rec ecommend the the na natio ional l extensio ion of
- f the
the COW to
- al
all dairy dairy mi milk lk recor
- rdin
ing g her herds in n 2017. 2017.
2% 5% 5% 10% 5% 0% 0% 0% 2%
5% 10% 5% 10% 7% 9% 7% 2% 2%
93% 86% 91% 80% 88% 91% 93% 98% 95%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
COW was able to identify cows performaing well COW was able to identify cows for culling I would use COW to help inform culling decisions if it were available from ICBF The report easy to read The summary tables were useful to highlight specific areas of production The colour coding of the top and bottom 10% on traits was useful My milk recording has more value now that I can receive COW I would like COW to be generated for my herd from now on I would recommend the national extension of the COW in 2017
Percentage
Question Agree Neither Disagree
1. 1. COW was as able able to
- ide
dentify ify cows per perfor
- rmin
ing well ell wi within in my y her herd. 2. 2. COW was as abl able to
- ide
dentify fy cows for
- r
cul ulli ling g wi within in my y her herd. 3. 3. I wou
- uld
ld use use the the COW to
- help
help infor
- rm my
y cul ullin ing g deci decisio ions if f it t wer ere to
- be
become a a rou
- utin
tine ser ervic ice fr from
- m ICBF
CBF. 4. 4. I fou
- und
nd the the rep epor
- rt ea
easy to
- read
ead. 5. 5. Th The e sum ummary ry tab able les wer ere use useful l to
- hi
high ghlig ight spe pecifi ific ar areas of
- f
pr prod
- ductio
ion (E (EG: Top
- p 10 and
and bo bottom 10 on
- n COW, Top
- p 10 an
and bo bottom 10 on
- n mi
milk lk soli
- lids, High
High SC SCC C cows). ). 6. 6. The he colo
- lour cod
- din
ing g of
- f the
the top
- p 10%
% and and bo bottom 10% % on
- n imp
mportant tr trait its use usefu ful. l.
Survey results 2016 pilot
Profile development 2017
- Development
underway
- Pilot phase
scheduled July
- Farmers testing
screens and accuracy of COW rank
- Potential to
encourage more data recording with data completeness dash bars
Current data recording
Conclusions
- Complimentary to the EBI (national breeding index)
- Added value service
- Prospects to improve herd profitability
- Multiple sources of data available
- Live system
- Maximise COW accuracy by;
- Recording MORE data
- Recording ACCURATE data
- Pilot phase of on-line service July 2017
- Commercial roll-out September pending results of pilot phase