I N V E S T O R P R E S E N T A T I O N
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I N V E S T O R P R E S E N T A T I O N Q 2 2 0 2 0 2 F O R W A - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
I N V E S T O R P R E S E N T A T I O N Q 2 2 0 2 0 2 F O R W A R D - L O O K I N G S T A T E M E N T S This presentation may include forward looking statements as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
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This presentation may include “forward‐looking statements” as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Although D.R. Horton believes any such statements are based on reasonable assumptions, there is no assurance that actual
expressed by the forward‐looking statements include, but are not limited to: the effects of public health issues such as a major epidemic or pandemic, including the impact of COVID-19 on the economy and our businesses; the cyclical nature of the homebuilding and lot development industries and changes in economic, real estate and other conditions; constriction of the credit and public capital markets, which could limit our ability to access capital and increase our costs of capital; reductions in the availability of mortgage financing provided by government agencies, changes in government financing programs, a decrease in our ability to sell mortgage loans on attractive terms or an increase in mortgage interest rates; the risks associated with our land and lot inventory; our ability to effect our growth strategies, acquisitions or investments successfully; the impact of an inflationary, deflationary or higher interest rate environment; home warranty and construction defect claims; the effects of health and safety incidents; the effects of negative publicity; supply shortages and other risks of acquiring land, building materials and skilled labor; reductions in the availability of performance bonds; increases in the costs of owning a home; the effects of governmental regulations and environmental matters on our homebuilding and land development operations; the effects of governmental regulations on our financial services operations; our ability to manage and service our debt and comply with related debt covenants, restrictions and limitations; competitive conditions within the homebuilding and financial services industries; the effects of the loss of key personnel; and information technology failures and data security breaches. Additional information about issues that could lead to material changes in performance is contained in D.R. Horton’s annual report on Form 10‐K and subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, all of which are or will be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
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impacts of C-19 and the related widespread reductions in economic activity began to negatively affect the Company’s business operations and the demand for its homes across all of its operating markets
in the prior year
essential businesses as part of critical infrastructure, and D.R. Horton has continued its homebuilding, lot development and financial services
standards
due to disruption in the secondary mortgage market, and many purchasers and servicers of mortgages have limited their purchases and tightened their credit standards due to liquidity and operational challenges caused by C-19 and the uncertainty of the impact of the borrower forbearance provisions of the federal CARES Act enacted in late March 2020
spread of C-19 and the impact on D.R. Horton’s customers, trade partners and employees, all of which are highly uncertain and cannot be predicted
liquidity position, and the Company intends to maintain its flexible operational and financial position by generating strong cash flows from its homebuilding operations, limiting land acquisition and land development spending and adjusting its product offerings, incentives, home pricing, sales pace and inventory levels to optimize the return on its inventory investments in each of its communities based on local housing market conditions
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T R A D E D O N N Y S E A S D H I
Consolidated revenues
Stockholders’ equity
Consolidated pre-tax income
Book value per common share
ROI (HB) & ROE, respectively*
Homebuilding leverage*
As of or for the twelve-month period ended March 31, 2020 *See slides 16 and 17 for definitions of ROI [Return on Inventory (Homebuilding)], ROE (Return on Equity) and homebuilding leverage
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0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Total New U.S. Single-Family Houses Sold ('000s) DHI Homes Closed as a Percentage of U.S. Single-Family New Home Sales
2011 Closings: 17,176
Source: Company filings, Census Note: Periods represent full calendar year
2019 Closings: 58,434 1992 Closings: 1,231 2006 Closings: 53,410
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0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18%
DFW Houston Atlanta Phoenix Austin
DHI Market Share Next Ranking Competitor Market Share
13 31 38 43 10 20 30 40 50 #1 Top 5 Top 10 Operate In
Source: Builder magazine ‐ 2019 Local Leaders issue, rankings based on homes closed in calendar 2018 and proforma for D.R. Horton’s acquisition of Westport Homes, a top 5 builder in Indianapolis, IN and Columbus, OH, which closed in November 2018
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2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 12,500 15,000 17,500 20,000 Sales Closings
2Q FY 2019 2Q FY 2020 # of Homes
2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 Sales Closings
March 2019 March 2020 # of Homes
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Average employee tenure
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economic conditions
temporarily stopped purchases of raw land in late March and closely managing all finished lot purchases and development spending
market conditions
market conditions and the company’s expected operating results
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8 9 M A R K E T S | 2 9 S T A T E S
As of or for the twelve-month period ended March 31, 2020 Savannah, Georgia is included in the East Region; Atlanta and Augusta, Georgia are included in the Southeast Region
EAST
Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, North and South Carolina, Pennsylvania, Virginia
MIDWEST
Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Ohio
SOUTHEAST
Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, Tennessee
SOUTH CENTRAL
Louisiana Oklahoma Texas
SOUTHWEST
Arizona New Mexico
WEST
California, Hawaii, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Washington
29% 24% 21% 14% 7% 5% 28% 26% 20% 12% 8% 6%
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Represents homes closed & price points for the twelve months ended 3/31/20
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As of or for the twelve months ended March 31, 2020
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credit facility
As of 3/31/2020 unless otherwise noted
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16.6% 20.2% 18.6% 18.1% 20.2% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
FY 2017 FY 2018 TTM 3/31/19 FY 2019 TTM 3/31/20
Homebuilding ROI is calculated as homebuilding pre‐tax income for the year divided by average homebuilding inventory. Average homebuilding inventory in the ROI calculation is the sum of ending homebuilding inventory balances for the trailing five quarters divided by five.
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ROE is calculated as net income divided by average stockholders’ equity. Average stockholders’ equity in the ROE calculation is the sum of ending stockholders’ equity balances for the trailing five quarters divided by five. Leverage is calculated as homebuilding (HB) notes payable divided by stockholders’ equity plus homebuilding notes payable.
14.4% 17.6% 17.6% 17.2% 19.1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% FY 2017 FY 2018 TTM 3/31/19 FY 2019 TTM 3/31/20
ROE Leverage
ROE HB leverage
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$20.66 $23.88 $25.09 $27.20 $28.77
$0.00 $5.00 $10.00 $15.00 $20.00 $25.00 $30.00 9/30/2017 9/30/2018 3/31/2019 9/30/2019 3/31/2020
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$600 $581 $304 $1,002 $1,438
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 Acquisitions Debt Paydown Dividends Share Repurchases HB Cash Flow from Ops
Cash Flow from Homebuilding Operations
Acquisitions
Homebuilding Senior Notes Paydown
Shareholder Return through Dividends and Share Repurchases
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*Based on current market conditions as noted on the Company’s Q2 FY20 conference call on 4/28/20
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Comparisons to prior year quarter
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$ in millions except per share data
YEAR ENDED 3/31/2020 3/31/2019 3/31/2020 3/31/2019 9/30/2019 Homes closed 14,539 13,480 27,498 24,980 56,975 Homebuilding Revenues: Home sales $ 4,363.3 $ 3,980.5 $ 8,226.6 $ 7,391.2 $ 16,925.0 Land/lot sales 15.5 14.9 35.2 21.7 91.9 4,378.8 3,995.4 8,261.8 7,412.9 17,016.9 Gross profit: Home sales 927.8 766.3 1,739.6 1,447.8 3,417.9 Land/lot sales and other 4.2 5.6 10.5 7.2 16.8 Inventory and land option charges (8.8) (13.8) (12.4) (21.8) (53.2) 923.2 758.1 1,737.7 1,433.2 3,381.5 SG&A 361.8 359.3 720.2 683.9 1,482.3 Interest and other (income) (4.1) (1.6) (9.6) (5.5) (11.5) Homebuilding pre-tax income 565.5 400.4 1,027.1 754.8 1,910.7 Financial services, Forestar and other pre-tax income 55.8 62.4 117.4 83.7 214.6 Pre-tax income 621.3 462.8 1,144.5 838.5 2,125.3 Income tax expense 137.3 108.4 228.1 197.4 506.7 Net income 484.0 354.4 916.4 641.1 1,618.6 Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests 1.3 3.1 2.4 2.7 0.1 Net income attributable to D.R. Horton, Inc. $ 482.7 $ 351.3 $ 914.0 $ 638.4 $ 1,618.5 Net income per diluted share $ 1.30 $ 0.93 $ 2.46 $ 1.68 $ 4.29 3 MONTHS ENDED 6 MONTHS ENDED
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20.0% 21.3% 20.0% 19.3% 20.3% 21.0% 20.2% 21.0% 21.3% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% FY 2017 FY 2018 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 FY 2019 1Q20 2Q20
Shown as a % of the Company’s homebuilding segment’s home sales revenues Includes interest amortized to cost of sales Refer to slide 4 of the Company’s Q2 FY20 Supplementary Data presentation for detailed components of home sales gross margin
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9.2% 8.7%
7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% $0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000 $14,000 2019 2020 HB Rev $ SG&A %
9.0% 8.3%
7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% $0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000 $14,000 Q2 FY19 Q2 FY20 HB Rev $ SG&A % HB Rev $ SG&A % HB Rev $ SG&A %
$ in millions Shown as a % of homebuilding revenues
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$838.5 $1,144.5 $0 $250 $500 $750 $1,000 $1,250 $1,500 $1,750 $2,000 $2,250 2019 2020 11.0% 13.4%
$462.8 $621.3 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 Q2 FY19 Q2 FY20 11.2% 13.8% PTI $ PTI $
$ in millions Shown as a % of consolidated revenues
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$ in millions except per share metrics Homebuilding cash and cash equivalents presented above includes $7.8 million, $8.0 million, and $9.4 million of restricted cash for the periods ended 3/31/20, 9/30/19 and 3/31/19, respectively.
3/31/2020 9/30/2019 3/31/2019 Homebuilding $ 1,020.4 $ 1,051.0 $ 566.7 Construction in progress and finished homes 6,003.8 5,249.0 6,086.1 Land inventories 5,084.6 5,036.6 4,990.7 11,088.4 10,285.6 11,076.8 Other assets 1,353.0 1,232.9 1,087.3 Deferred income taxes, net 149.5 163.1 171.9 Financial services, Forestar and other assets 3,518.7 2,874.0 2,104.3 Total assets $ 17,130.0 $ 15,606.6 $ 15,007.0 Homebuilding Notes payable $ 2,480.0 $ 2,047.6 $ 2,777.2 Other liabilities 1,836.3 1,751.1 1,733.9 Financial services, Forestar and other liabilities 2,078.9 1,512.8 961.9 Stockholders’ equity 10,458.0 10,020.9 9,360.3 Noncontrolling interests 276.8 274.2 173.7 Total equity 10,734.8 10,295.1 9,534.0 Total liabilities and equity $ 17,130.0 $ 15,606.6 $ 15,007.0 Debt to total capital – consolidated 29.2% 25.3% 27.9% Debt to total capital – homebuilding 19.2% 17.0% 22.9% Common shares outstanding 363.54 368.43 373.13 Book value per common share $ 28.77 $ 27.20 $ 25.09 Cash and cash equivalents
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24,600 27,900 32,100 27,700 33,400
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 9/30/17 9/30/18 3/31/19 9/30/19 3/31/20
Sold Specs
Homes in inventory excluding model homes
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125,000 124,300 120,900 121,400 118,700 124,000 164,200* 195,500* 185,900* 210,600* 249,000 288,500 316,400 307,300 329,300 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 9/30/17 9/30/18 3/31/19 9/30/19 3/31/20
Owned Controlled
*Includes lots owned or controlled by FOR that DHI has under contract or the right of first offer to purchase of 28,600, 23,400, 21,700 and 13,600 at 3/31/20, 9/30/19, 3/31/19 and 9/30/18, respectively
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H O M E B U I L D I N G P U B L I C D E B T M A T U R I T I E S B Y Y E A R $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 FY 21 FY 22 FY 23 FY 24 FY 25
4.750%
$350
4.375% 5.750%
$700
$ in millions
$400
2.550%
$500
2.500%