Huntsville International Airport Master Plan Update Technical - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Huntsville International Airport Master Plan Update Technical - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Huntsville International Airport Master Plan Update Technical Advisory Committee Meeting March 1 4, 201 7 Agenda Welcome and introductions Master planning process Preliminary inventory of existing conditions Forecasts of


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SLIDE 1

Technical Advisory Committee Meeting March 1 4, 201 7

Huntsville International Airport Master Plan Update

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SLIDE 2

Agenda

  • Welcome and introductions
  • Master planning process
  • Preliminary inventory of existing

conditions

  • Forecasts of aviation demand
  • Project schedule
  • Public meeting preparation
  • Next steps/ action items
  • Your thoughts

3/1 4/201 7 2

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SLIDE 3

Master Planning Process

3/1 4/201 7 3

HMCAA AA Brief efing ng HMCAA AA Brief efing ng HMCAA AA Brief efing ng HMC MCAA AA Brief efing ng

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SLIDE 4

Inventory of Existing Conditions

Huntsville International Airport

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SLIDE 5

Inventory of Existing Conditions

  • Airport characteristics and local profile
  • Airport access, transportation, and parking
  • Landside facilities
  • Airfield facilities
  • Operational characteristics
  • Support facilities
  • Security and airspace
  • Utilities and infrastructure
  • Environmental factors

3/1 4/201 7 5

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SLIDE 6

Project Study Area

3/1 4/201 7 6

  • Small-Hub Commercial

Service Airport

  • 7,000 acres
  • Parallel runway system

capable of handling large commercial aircraft

  • Interstate access
  • Jetplex Industrial Park
  • Over 2,882 acres available for

immediate development

  • Foreign Trade Zone #83
  • International Intermodal

Center

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SLIDE 7

Existing Airfield Facilties

3/1 4/201 7 7

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SLIDE 8

Terminal Area

Huntsville International Airport

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SLIDE 9

HSV Terminal Developments

  • 201

2- $25.9 million baggage claim expansion opens

  • 201

0-201 2 AirTran service

  • SWA/ AirTran merger and

loss of service to HSV

  • GLO service start Fall 201

6

  • Mergers have not impacted

direct flight destinations of remaining carriers

  • Flights decreased
  • Total seats available

increased

Source: HMCAA Financial Statements

3/1 4/201 7 9

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SLIDE 10

HSV Terminal Area

  • Robust and

flexible terminal area

  • Land

availability

  • Landside/

highway access

  • Airfield and

apron capacity

  • Airspace

clearances and ATCT views

3/1 4/201 7 1

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SLIDE 11

Terminal Area

3/1 4/201 7 1 1

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SLIDE 12

Terminal Building Ground Floor

3/1 4/201 7 1 2

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SLIDE 13

Terminal Building Upper Floor

3/1 4/201 7 1 3

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SLIDE 14

Terminal Building

3/1 4/201 7 1 4

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SLIDE 15

HSV Terminal Analysis

  • Review and Model Level
  • f Service
  • Review for Chokepoints

and Activity Triggers

  • Curbfront use
  • Parking expansion
  • Rental return

queuing/ parking

  • Terminal deliveries
  • Checked bag screen

implementation

  • Vertical circulation
  • Gates/ holdrooms
  • Wayfinding
  • Other issues as

identified in demand/ capacity analysis

3/1 4/201 7 1 5

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SLIDE 16

Eastside Facilities

3/1 4/201 7 1 6

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SLIDE 17

General Aviation Facilities

3/1 4/201 7 1 7

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SLIDE 18

Pavement Conditions

3/1 4/201 7 1 8

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SLIDE 19

Environmental Overview

3/1 4/201 7 1 9

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SLIDE 20

Forecasts of Aviation Demand

Huntsville International Airport

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SLIDE 21

Importance of Forecasts

  • Develop a realistic assessment of market

conditions and market performance

  • Address unique local conditions not fully

considered in national and macro level forecast efforts

  • Provide a benchmark for comparing current

facilities against a reasonable estimate of future demand to define future facility needs

3/1 4/201 7 21

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SLIDE 22

Forecast Elements and Purpose

  • Forecasting Limitations
  • Historical and Baseline

Activity Analysis

  • Factors and

Opportunities Affecting Activity Levels (General)

  • Airline Forecasts
  • Cargo Activity
  • Military Forecasts

3/1 4/201 7 22

  • General Aviation

Operations and Based Aircraft Forecasts

  • Instrument Operations

Forecast

  • Peaking Forecasts
  • Forecast Summary
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SLIDE 23

Historical Operations (1 990-201 6)

3/1 4/201 7 23

10, 10,000 000 20, 20,000 000 30, 30,000 000 40, 40,000 000 50, 50,000 000 60, 60,000 000 70, 70,000 000 80, 80,000 000

Iti Itine nerant rant Loc Local al

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SLIDE 24

Historical Air Cargo Activity (201 2-201 6)

3/1 4/201 7 24 33.42 42% 66.58%

Operat ation ions (5-Year ear Averag verage) e)

Panalp analpina ina UPS/Fe FedEx/O x/Other her 97.13% 2.87%

Tota

  • tal

l Po Pounds nds (5-Year ear Ave verage) rage)

Panalp analpina ina UPS/Fe FedEx/O x/Other her 199,225,685 189,034,225 191,022,213 179,9 ,960, 0,08 087 201,461,033 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 2016 2016

Tota

  • tal

l Po Pounds nds (All l Cargo) go)

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SLIDE 25

Historical Activity by User Group (201 2-201 6)

3/1 4/201 7 25

23,4 ,458 20,80 ,800 18,6 ,650 19,132 19,5 ,512 2,994 2,750 2,874 2,724 2,72 724 15,0 ,092 15,9 ,974 14,4 ,432 12,5 ,552 13,5 ,524 24,0 ,098 21,0 ,010 23,3 ,307 24,173 25,2 ,202 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Airline irline Cargo Cargo GA GA Milit Military ary

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SLIDE 26

Factors and Opportunities

  • Sharp fuel price increases after Hurricane Katrina

damaged Gulf Coast refineries (August 2005)

  • Economic Recession (late 2000s)
  • Hurricane Matthew: airline cancellations and

temporary aircraft relocations to HSV (October 201 6)

  • Local trends are important as they provide

airport-specific information that may support the selection of preferred forecasts

  • Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen)

initiatives

3/1 4/201 7 26

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SLIDE 27

Economic Conditions

  • Economic factors
  • Population
  • Unemployment
  • Personal Income
  • Huntsville MSA is projected

to continue growth at a higher AAGR than Alabama and U.S.

  • Unemployment in Madison

County has historically tracked near U.S. and generally lower than state rates

  • Huntsville is considered the

economic center of northern Alabama

3/1 4/201 7 27 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% Jan-06 Aug-06 Mar-07 Oct-07 May-08 Dec-08 Jul-09 Feb-10 Sep-10 Apr-11 Nov-11 Jun-12 Jan-13 Aug-13 Mar-14 Oct-14 May-15 Dec-15 Jul-16

Historic

  • rical

al Unem emplo loymen ent t Rates es (2006-2016)

Madison (Unadjusted) Alabama U.S.

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SLIDE 28

Airline Forecasts

  • Airline Trends
  • Airline Forecast

(Scheduled and Unscheduled)

  • Airline Fleet Mix

Overview

  • Airline Belly Cargo and

Remain-Overnight Considerations

3/1 4/201 7 28

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SLIDE 29

Industry Wide Development Trends

  • Airline Mergers
  • American/ US Airways (201

3)

  • SWA/ AirTran (201

1 )

  • United/ Continental (201

0)

  • Delta/ Northwest (2008)
  • Airlines load factors highest in

history (84.5+% 201 4-201 6)

  • Remote check-in options

decrease on-site ticketing

  • Flights decreased in number
  • Total seats per flight higher

3/1 4/201 7 29

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SLIDE 30

Scheduled Airline Destinations

  • Atlanta, GA (ATL)
  • Charlotte, NC (CLT)
  • Chicago, IL (ORD)
  • Dallas, TX (DFW)
  • Denver, CO (DEN)
  • Detroit, MI (DTW)
  • Houston, TX (IAH)
  • New Orleans, LA (MSY)
  • Washington, DC (DCA/ IAD)

3/1 4/201 7 30

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SLIDE 31

Historical Enplanements (1 990-201 6)

3/1 4/201 7 31 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 60 600, 0,00 000 700,000

Unadjust adjusted ed Term rminal inal Area ea Forecas ecast t Enplan anements ements

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SLIDE 32

Enplanement Forecasts (201 6-2036)

3/1 4/201 7 32 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000

Tren rend (19 d (1990) Tren rend (20 d (2013) TAF Target arget

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SLIDE 33

Air Cargo

Huntsville International Airport

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SLIDE 34

3/1 4/201 7

  • Panalpina supports 1

8 operations a week to/ from HSV

  • Occupies an on ramp facility at HSV
  • Huntsville is a closed operation
  • Panalpina does not board freight for
  • ther freight forwarders, with the

Panalpina Overview

34

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SLIDE 35

Top 25 Global Freight Forwarders

Rank ank Pro rovider ider

1 DHL Supply Chain & Global Forwarding 2 Kuehne + Nagel 3 DB Schenker Logistics 4 Sinotrans 5 Panalpina 6 Nippon Express 7 CEVA Logistics 8 Expeditors International of Washington 9 UPS Supply Chain Solutions 1 SDV (Bolloré Group) 1 1 DSV A/ S 1 2 Kintetsu World Express 1 3 Agility

Rank ank Pro rovider ider

1 4 Pantos Logistics 1 5 C.H. Robinson 1 6 Hellmann Worldwide Logistics 1 7 Damco 1 8 Kerry Logistics 1 9 UTi Worldwide 20 Yusen Logistics 21 Toll Holdings 22 Geodis 23 Logwin 24 Sankyu 25 BDP International

3/1 4/201 7 35

Source: Armstrong & Associates, 201 5

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SLIDE 36

Rail Overview

  • HMCAA operates an intermodal

facility for Norfolk Southern Railway at HSV

  • CSX and NS provide a rail link

between east coast ports

  • Interchanges with western rail

carriers (UP and BNSF) providing service from both US coasts

  • FedEx and UPS utilize rail

intermodal today with expectations of expanding use in the future

3/1 4/201 7 36

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SLIDE 37

Closest Intermodal Locations

3/1 4/201 7 37 Norfo folk k Sou Southern thern Intermoda ntermodal Lo Locati tions ns Di Dista stanc nce e from from Huntsvi Huntsville 1 2850 Wall Triana Hwy SW, Huntsville, AL 35824 0 miles 2 71 00 Crescent Way, McCalla, AL 351 1 1 1 1 2 miles 3 3000 Norfolk Southern Way, Collierville, TN 3801 7 1 74 miles 4 6000 Dr. Luke Glenn Garrett, Jr. Mem. Highway, Austell, GA 1 78 miles 5 1 600 Marietta Road NW, Gate 6, Atlanta, GA 1 90 miles 6 2648 Spottswood Avenue, Memphis, TN 381 1 4 1 98 miles 7 4705 Jennings Lane, Louisville, KY 4021 8 293 miles 8 491 3 Heller St., Louisville, KY 4021 8 294 miles CSX CSX Intermoda ntermodal Termi Terminal nals Di Dista stanc nce e from from Huntsvi Huntsville 1 2401 5th Avenue North, Bessemer, AL 35020 1 03 miles 2 3086 Sidco Drive, Nashville, TN 37204 1 1 8 miles 3 1 73 Boulevard SE, Atlanta, GA 3031 2 1 92 miles 4 6700 McLarin Road, Fairburn, GA 3021 3 204 miles 5 3588 Paul Lowry Road, Memphis, TN 381 09 209 miles 6 8021 National Turnpike Road, Louisville, KY 4021 4 289 miles

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SLIDE 38
  • Automotive
  • Cold Chain
  • Pharmaceutical
  • Aerospace
  • Live Animal Shipments
  • E-Commerce

Key Industry Sectors

3/1 4/201 7 38

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SLIDE 39

3/1 4/201 7

  • Fast Growing Industry Segment
  • According to e-Marketer, 1

5-1 6% year-over- year through 2020

  • Cross border retail volumes will increase at

a rate of 25% between 201 5 and 2020, rising from $300 billion to $900 billion

  • Significant volumes of growth is occurring

between U.S., China and Europe (Panalpina supports these lanes)

  • Establishing an e-commerce strategy will

require a partnership between the airport, Panalpina, and major retailers to align efforts to capture business in HSV

Global E-Commerce

39

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SLIDE 40

3/1 4/201 7

$1 .54 1 .548 $1 .91 1 .91 5 $2. 2.35 352 $2.860 $2.860 $3.4 3.41 8 1 8 $4.05 4.058 25.5% 25.5% 23.7% 23.7% 22. 22.9% 9% 21 .6% 21 .6% 1 9 1 9.5% .5% 1 8 1 8.7% .7% 7.4% 7.4% 8.7% 8.7% 1 0.0% 1 0.0% 1 1 1 1 .5% .5% 1 3.0% 1 3.0% 1 4 1 4.6% .6%

0.0% 1 0.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 1 00.0%

$0.0 0.0 $0.5 0.5 $1 .0 1 .0 $1 .5 1 .5 $2. 2.0 $2. 2.5 $3.0 3.0 $3.5 3.5 $4.0 4.0 $4.5 4.5 201 5 201 5 201 6 201 6 201 7 201 7 201 8 201 8 201 9 201 9 202 2020

World

  • rld E-com

commerce merce Sales Sales (201 5 (201 5-2020 2020)

Reta etail E il Eco comme mmerc rce Sa e Sales les % % Change % % To Total l Reta etail il Sale Sales

In In Trill Trillions ions

Source: Dat ata a from e eMa Marke keter, Au Aug 201 201 6

40

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SLIDE 41

Express Consignment Carrier Facility

  • Unique and distinct value proposition for

Huntsville and Panalpina is to consider the inclusion of an Express Consignment Carrier Facility (ECCF)

  • E-Commerce shippers can access the ECCF

facilities for cost-effective clearance and expedited domestic delivery by postal services (USPS) or regional last-mile carriers

  • An ECCF in Huntsville would position the market as

a significant location for aggregation of new cargo and drive an increase in volumes to Panalpina

3/1 4/201 7 41

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SLIDE 42

Global Cargo Growth Projections

The forecasts continue to favor air cargo growth:

  • The International Air Transport

Association projects 4.1 % CAG (201 5-2020)

  • International market forecast

specialist Sandler Research projects 5.97% growth each year (201 4-201 9)

  • The Boeing Company projects

4.2% CAG (201 5-2035)

  • Leading international market

research firm Technavio projects 4.57% (201 6-2020)

3/1 4/201 7 42

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SLIDE 43

Moderate Growth Cargo Forecast (201 6-2036)

3/1 4/201 7 43 HSV HSV 20 20-Yea ear Fo Forec ecast Ba st Base sed o d on n 5% 5% Gr Growth wth Rat Rate e Ac Across ss Al All Ai Air Ca Cargo go Ca Carrier ers Yea ear To Tota tal UPS/ S/ FedEx FedEx (P (Poun unds ds) Panal nalpi pina na (P (Poun unds ds) Non-Per ermi mitted tted Ca Carrier ers (P (Poun unds ds) To Tota tal Al All Ca Carrier ers (P (Poun unds ds) 201 201 6 4,999,796 1 95,699,475 761 ,762 201 ,461 ,033 201 201 7 5,249,786 205,484,449 799,850 21 1 ,534,085 201 201 8 5,51 2,275 21 5,758,671 839,843 222,1 1 0,789 201 201 9 5,787,889 226,546,605 881 ,835 233,21 6,328 2020 2020 6,077,283 237,873,935 925,926 244,877,1 45 2021 2021 6,381 ,1 47 249,767,632 972,223 257,1 21 ,002 2022 2022 6,700,205 262,256,01 3 1 ,020,834 269,977,052 2023 2023 7,035,21 5 275,368,81 4 1 ,071 ,876 283,475,905 2024 2024 7,386,976 289,1 37,255 1 ,1 25,469 297,649,700 2025 2025 7,756,325 303,594,1 1 7 1 ,1 81 ,743 31 2,532,1 85 2026 2026 8,1 44,1 41 31 8,773,823 1 ,240,830 328,1 58,794 2027 2027 8,551 ,348 334,71 2,51 4 1 ,302,872 344,566,734 2028 2028 8,978,91 5 351 ,448,1 40 1 ,368,01 5 361 ,795,071 2029 2029 9,427,861 369,020,547 1 ,436,41 6 379,884,824 203 2030 9,899,254 387,471 ,575 1 ,508,237 398,879,065 203 2031 1 0,394,21 7 406,845,1 53 1 ,583,648 41 8,823,01 9 2032 2032 1 0,91 3,928 427,1 87,41 1 1 ,662,831 439,764,1 69 203 2033 1 1 ,459,624 448,546,781 1 ,745,972 461 ,752,378 203 2034 1 2,032,605 470,974,1 21 1 ,833,271 484,839,997 203 2035 1 2,634,235 494,522,827 1 ,924,935 509,081 ,997 203 2036 1 3,265,947 51 9,248,968 2,021 ,1 81 534,536,097

slide-44
SLIDE 44

High Growth Cargo Forecast (201 6-2036)

3/1 4/201 7 44 HSV HSV 20 20-Yea ear Fo Forec ecast Ba st Base sed o d on n 5% 5% Gr Growth wth Rat Rate e Ac Across ss UPS/ S/ FedEx and Non FedEx and Non-Per ermi mitted tted Ca Carrier ers s and nd 8% 8% Gr Growth wth Rat Rate e fo for Panal nalpi pina na Yea ear To Tota tal UPS/ S/ FedEx FedEx (P (Poun unds ds) Panal nalpi pina na (P (Poun unds ds) Non-Per ermi mitted tted Ca Carrier ers (P (Poun unds ds) To Tota tal Al All Ca Carrier ers (P (Poun unds ds) 201 201 6 4,999,796 1 95,699,475 761 ,762 201 ,461 ,033 201 201 7 5,249,786 21 1 ,355,433 799,850 21 7,405,069 201 201 8 5,51 2,275 228,263,868 839,843 234,61 5,985 201 201 9 5,787,889 246,524,977 881 ,835 253,1 94,701 2020 2020 6,077,283 266,246,975 925,926 273,250,1 85 2021 2021 6,381 ,1 47 287,546,733 972,223 294,900,1 03 2022 2022 6,700,205 31 0,550,472 1 ,020,834 31 8,271 ,51 1 2023 2023 7,035,21 5 335,394,51 1 ,071 ,876 343,501 ,600 2024 2024 7,386,976 362,226,070 1 ,1 25,469 370,738,51 6 2025 2025 7,756,325 391 ,204,1 56 1 ,1 81 ,743 400,1 42,224 2026 2026 8,1 44,1 41 422,500,489 1 ,240,830 431 ,885,459 2027 2027 8,551 ,348 456,300,528 1 ,302,872 466,1 54,747 2028 2028 8,978,91 5 492,804,570 1 ,368,01 5 503,1 51 ,500 2029 2029 9,427,861 532,228,935 1 ,436,41 6 543,093,21 2 203 2030 9,899,254 574,807,250 1 ,508,237 586,21 4,741 203 2031 1 0,394,21 7 620,791 ,830 1 ,583,648 632,769,696 2032 2032 1 0,91 3,928 670,455,1 77 1 ,662,831 683,031 ,935 203 2033 1 1 ,459,624 724,091 ,591 1 ,745,972 737,297,1 87 203 2034 1 2,032,605 782,01 8,91 8 1 ,833,271 795,884,794 203 2035 1 2,634,235 844,580,432 1 ,924,935 859,1 39,602 203 2036 1 3,265,947 91 2,1 46,866 2,021 ,1 81 927,433,995

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SLIDE 45

General Aviation Fleet Mix Forecast (201 6-2036)

3/1 4/201 7 45

2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 1 0,000 1 2,000 1 4,000 1 6,000 1 8,000

Single-Engine Multi-Engine Turboprop Jet Helicopter Total

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SLIDE 46

Instrument Operations Forecast (201 6-2036)

3/1 4/201 7 46

1 0,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 201 6 2021 2026 2036

Airline Cargo Military GA Total IFR Total Operations

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SLIDE 47

Peaking Forecasts - Operations

3/1 4/201 7 47

Year ar Tot

  • tal

Ope perat ations Av Averag age It Itineran ant Local al Peak Month Peak Day Peak Hour Peak Day Peak Hour Peak Day Peak Hour

201 201 6 60,962 6,020 324 49 1 85 28 1 60 24 201 201 7 62,1 87 6,1 41 331 50 1 89 28 1 63 24 201 201 8 63,1 87 6,240 336 50 1 92 29 1 66 25 201 201 9 64,1 95 6,339 341 51 1 95 29 1 68 25 2020 2020 65,21 3 6,440 347 52 1 98 30 1 71 26 2021 2021 66,242 6,541 352 53 201 30 1 74 26 2022 2022 67,280 6,644 358 54 204 31 1 77 26 2023 2023 68,330 6,748 363 54 207 31 1 79 27 2024 2024 69,393 6,853 369 55 21 1 32 1 82 27 2025 2025 70,468 6,959 375 56 21 4 32 1 85 28 2026 2026 71 ,557 7,066 380 57 21 7 33 1 88 28 2027 2027 72,661 7,1 75 386 58 221 33 1 91 29 2028 2028 73,780 7,286 392 59 224 34 1 94 29 2029 2029 74,91 7 7,398 398 60 227 34 1 97 29 203 2030 76,071 7,51 2 404 61 231 35 200 30 203 2031 77,245 7,628 41 1 62 234 35 203 30 203 2032 78,440 7,746 41 7 63 238 36 206 31 203 2033 79,656 7,866 423 64 242 36 209 31 203 2034 80,897 7,989 430 64 245 37 21 2 32 2035 2035 82,1 62 8,1 1 4 437 66 249 37 21 6 32 203 2036 83,456 8,241 444 67 253 38 21 9 33 AAGR AAGR 201 201 6- 203 2036 1 .58% 1 .58% 1 .58% 1 .58% 1 .58% 1 .58% 1 .58% 1 .58%

Source ce:Mich ichael Baker Inte ternatio tional, l, Inc Inc., 201 7 201 7.

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SLIDE 48

Peaking Forecasts Airline Activity

3/1 4/201 7 48

Year ar Ai Airline Ope perat ations Ai Airline Pa Passengers Total Peak Month Peak Day Peak Hour Total Peak Month Peak Day Peak Hour

201 201 6 1 9,51 2 1 ,731 64 8 1 ,079,028 1 00,673 3,729 466 201 201 7 20,476 1 ,81 6 67 8 1 ,1 34,561 1 05,855 3,921 490 201 201 8 21 ,206 1 ,881 70 9 1 ,1 76,755 1 09,791 4,066 508 201 201 9 21 ,936 1 ,946 72 9 1 ,21 8,949 1 1 3,728 4,21 2 527 2020 2020 22,666 2,01 74 9 1 ,261 ,1 43 1 1 7,665 4,358 545 2021 2021 23,396 2,075 77 1 1 ,303,337 1 21 ,601 4,504 563 2022 2022 24,1 26 2,1 40 79 1 1 ,345,531 1 25,538 4,650 581 2023 2023 24,856 2,205 82 1 1 ,387,725 1 29,475 4,795 599 2024 2024 25,586 2,269 84 1 1 1 ,429,91 9 1 33,41 1 4,941 61 8 2025 2025 26,31 6 2,334 86 1 1 1 ,472,1 1 3 1 37,348 5,087 636 2026 2026 27,046 2,399 89 1 1 1 ,51 4,307 1 41 ,285 5,233 654 2027 2027 27,776 2,464 91 1 1 1 ,556,501 1 45,222 5,379 672 2028 2028 28,506 2,528 94 1 2 1 ,598,695 1 49,1 58 5,524 691 2029 2029 29,236 2,593 96 1 2 1 ,640,889 1 53,095 5,670 709 203 2030 29,966 2,658 98 1 2 1 ,683,082 1 57,032 5,81 6 727 203 2031 30,696 2,723 1 01 1 3 1 ,725,276 1 60,968 5,962 745 203 2032 31 ,426 2,787 1 03 1 3 1 ,767,470 1 64,905 6,1 08 763 203 2033 32,1 56 2,852 1 06 1 3 1 ,809,664 1 68,842 6,253 782 203 2034 32,886 2,91 7 1 08 1 4 1 ,851 ,858 1 72,778 6,399 800 203 2035 33,61 6 2,982 1 1 1 4 1 ,894,052 1 76,71 5 6,545 81 8 203 2036 34,346 3,046 1 1 3 1 4 1 ,936,246 1 80,652 6,691 836 AA AAGR GR 201 6 201 6- 203 2036 2.87% 2.87% 2.87% 2.87% 2.97% 2.97% 2.97% 2.97%

Source ce:Mich ichael Baker Inte ternatio tional, l, Inc Inc., 201 7 201 7.

slide-49
SLIDE 49

Forecast Summary

3/1 4/201 7 49

Year Year Enplan anements s Fo Forecast ast Op Operat ations s Fo Forecast ast Base ased Ai Aircraft aft Fo Forecast ast Total Adjusted TAF % Difference Airline Cargo Military GA Total Adjusted TAF % Difference Total Adjusted TAF % Difference 201 201 6 540,1 38 540,1 38 0.00% 1 9,51 2 2,886 25,202 1 3,362 60,962 60,962 0.00% 74 74 0.00% 2021 2021 651 ,669 604,640 7.78% 23,396 3,460 25,202 1 4,1 83 66,242 62,992 5.1 6% 78 79

  • 0.29%

2026 2026 757,1 53 669,502 1 3.09% 27,046 4,254 25,202 1 5,055 71 ,557 64,965 1 0.1 5% 82 83

  • 1

.73% 203 2036 968,1 23 820,846 1 7.94% 34,346 6,945 25,202 1 6,962 83,456 69,099 20.78% 90 94

  • 4.40%

AAGR AAGR 201 201 6- 203 2036 2.96% 2.1 1 % N/ A 2.87% 4.49% 0.00% 1 .20% 1 .58% 0.63% N/ A 0.99% 1 .21 % N/ A

Source: Michael Baker International, Inc., 201 7.

slide-50
SLIDE 50

Schedule

  • Public Information Meeting 1

April 1 1

th

  • FAA Review of Forecast April to June
  • Facility Requirements June
  • TAC Meeting #3 June 27th

3/1 4/201 7 50

slide-51
SLIDE 51

Next Steps

  • Public information

meeting #1 (April 1 1

th)

  • TAC working paper 1

comments (March 31

st)

  • Key leader interviews
  • Aerial survey/ airports GIS
  • FAA forecast review
  • Capacity assessment and

facility requirements

  • TAC meeting #3

(June 27th)

  • TAC meeting #4

(August 9th)

3/1 4/201 7 51

slide-52
SLIDE 52

Your thoughts . . .

3/1 4/201 7 52