HELCOM indicators options for structure, presentation and causal - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Mar 14, 2023 29 likes •220 views

HELCOM indicators options for structure, presentation and causal framework First draft of ideas Aim to initiate discussion Initial ideas would need to be adjusted once BSAP update finalized (i.e. to make indicators fit updated BSAP

SLIDE 1

HELCOM indicators – options for structure, presentation and causal framework

First draft of ideas Aim – to initiate discussion

SLIDE 2

Initial ideas –would need to be adjusted once BSAP update finalized (i.e. to make indicators fit updated BSAP structure)

SLIDE 3

BSAP

Marne Ecosystem - EBA

ESA Biodiversity

Pollution Maritime Eutrophication

Terrestrial (and atmospheric) Ecosystem – connection to marine environment

SLIDE 4

Marne Ecosystem - EBA

ESA Biodiversity

Pollution Maritime Eutrophication

Terrestrial (and atmospheric) Ecosystem – connection to marine environment

BSAP

+ HELCOM indicators

A B-I

A = Inputs of nutrients B-I = Other eutrophication J-Q = HZ concentration R-T = HZ biological U-AJ = Biodiversity AK = Oil spills AL = NIS AM-AN = Benthic

J-Q R-T U-AJ AK AL AM-AN

SLIDE 5

Marne Ecosystem - EBA

ESA Biodiversity

Pollution Maritime Eutrophication

Terrestrial (and atmospheric) Ecosystem – connection to marine environment

D8 D9 D5 D6 D2 D1 D4 D3 D7 D10 D11

BSAP

+ MSFD Descriptors

A B-I

A = Inputs of nutrients B-I = Other eutrophication J-Q = HZ concentration R-T = HZ biological U-AJ = Biodiversity AK = Oil spills AL = NIS AM-AN = Benthic

J-Q R-T U-AJ AK AL AM-AN

SLIDE 6

Marne Ecosystem - EBA

ESA Biodiversity

Pollution Maritime Eutrophication

Terrestrial (and atmospheric) Ecosystem – connection to marine environment

D8 D9 D5 D6 D2 D1 D4 D3 D7 D10 D11

SDG 2.4 SDG 3.9 SDG 6.3 SDG 6.5 SDG 8.4 SDG 8.9 SDG 9.4 SDG 11..6 SDG 12.2 SDG 13.2 SDG 14.1 SDG 14.2 SDG 14.3 SDG 14.4 and 14.6 SDG 14.5 SDG 14.c, 17.14, 17.16, 17.17, 17.19

BSAP

+ SDGs

A B-I

A = Inputs B-I = Other eutro J-Q = HZ concentration R-T = HZ biological U-AJ = Biodiversity AK = Oil spills AL = NIS AM-AN = Benthic

J-Q R-T U-AJ AK AL

SDG 12.4 SDG 12.5

AM-AN

SDG Indicator 14.5.1 Coverage of protected areas in relation to marine areas SDG Indicator 14.1.1 Index of coastal eutrophication and floating plastic debris

SDG 14.1 SDG 14.5

SLIDE 7

Options to apply a causal framework and adapt the structure

From ToRs of 2nd HELCOM Indicator Workshop

Develop a better understanding of state-pressure aspects (e.g. loads

and state) and the linkages of these components within relevant indicators.

Ensure HELCOM indicators are well adapted to support reporting

needs of HELCOM Contracting Parties that are also EU Member States.

Ensure future development work takes into consideration the DPSIR

(Drivers, Pressures, State, Impact, Response) framework and develops relevant linkages.

SLIDE 8

STATE

DRIVER ACTIVITY PRESSURE IMPACT MEASURE 3

e.g. Population changes e.g. Increased agriculture or changes in types of agriculture e.g. Inputs of nutrients e.g. Nutrient concentrations e.g. Blooms

Option 1: HELCOM DAPIMS

SLIDE 9

STATE

DRIVER ACTIVITY PRESSURE IMPACT MEASURE 3

e.g. Population changes e.g. Increased agriculture or changes in types of agriculture e.g. Inputs of nutrients e.g. Nutrient concentrations e.g. Blooms

Consequences (on society)

Option 1b: HELCOM DAPIMS-C

SLIDE 10

STATE HELCOM DAPIMS-C

DRIVER ACTIVITY PRESSURE IMPACT MEASURE 3 Consequences (on society)

Trends Indicators

SLIDE 11

DRIVER ACTIVITY PRESSURE STATE IMPACT MEASURE

OPTION 2: HELCOM DAPSIM

e.g. Population changes e.g. Increased agriculture or changes in types of agriculture e.g. Inputs of nutrients e.g. Nutrient concentrations and/or algal blooms e.g. On society

SLIDE 12

HELCOM DAPSIM

DRIVER ACTIVITY PRESSURE STATE IMPACT MEASURE

Trends Indicators

SLIDE 13

Reflecting a causal structure in a new structure Out with the old…

SLIDE 14

In with the new - Indicator front page

Harbour Porpoise Birds Coastal Fish Migratory Fish Ringed Seals Harbour Seals Phyto- plankton Zoo- plankton NIS Seabed Benthic species Nitrogen Phosphorus Grey Seals Offshore Fish Commercial Fish Water clarity Oxygen Metals POPs Radioactive substances Biological effects Noise and energy Litter Pharma- ceiticals

CORE INDICATORS

White-tailed sea eagle

Info

Plus bring up to higher ‘level’ on website

Oil spills

SLIDE 15

An inclusive accordion approach

KEY MESSAGE

Overview map
Short key points

Key message Grey seals are….

Point 1
Point 2
Point 3

BSAP summary

Distribution Abundance Bycatch Nutritional etc Conclusions (Significance) Climate change Key message Pressures (incl. inputs) Click here Key message Distribution

Distribution Grey seals are….

This component is comparable to

MSFD D1C4 and…

Point 2
Point 3

Threshold values Results Data

etc

Methodology

Abundance

PRESSURES

Information and targets (e.g. MAI)
Information and text relevant per topic

COMPONENTS

Details and assessment per component
Multiple relevant components

CONCLUSIONS

Significance of the evaluation
Confidence in the assessment
Policy application and relevance

CLIMATE CHANGE

Review of indicator based on EN CLIME

fact sheet

SLIDE 16

Indicator assessments – example data

Key message – i.e. the BSAP summary map (e.g. a OOAO summary of below components, or other agreed approach) and a brief text.

Abundance aka D1C2 Distribution aka D1C4 By-catch aka D1C1 aka D1C3

BSAP summary

Nutritional aka D1C3 Reproductive Parasites aka D1C3

? ? ?

Habitat aka D1C5 aka D1C3 Demographic

Seals by species – e.g. Grey seal

SLIDE 17

Proposal on phytoplankton – example only

Key message – i.e. the BSAP summary map (e.g. a OOAO summary of below components) and a brief text.

BSAP summary

Phytoplankton –

all indicators on one subject should

use same data source (i.e. HELCOM COMBINE)

All should give similar answer on

status? (or needs to be explained why not)

Seasonal succession indicator often

includes diatom, dinofl, cyanob, etc

Should be easier to automate if

data all comes from HELCOM COMBINE

Could encourage cross over

between themes (eutro-biodiv)

Diatom-Dino index Seasonal succession Cyanobacterial bloom index Spring bloom intensity Chlorophyll-a

aka D5C2 aka D1C6 aka D1C6 aka D5C3 aka D5C4

SLIDE 18

Proposal on nitrogen – example only

Key message – 2 maps, inputs (e.g. MAI targets) and concentrations.

BSAP summary

This would provide a better link from inputs/load and concentrations In the sea aka D5C1 aka D5C1 PRESSURE STATE (or IMPACT)* *DAPSIM or DAPIMSC

SLIDE 19

Taking the indicators further

Litter Harbour Porpoise Birds Coastal Fish Migratory Fish Ringed Seals Harbour Seals Phyto- plankton Zoo- plankton NIS Seabed Benthic species Nitrogen Phosphorus Grey Seals Offshore Fish Commercial Fish Water clarity Oxygen Metals POPs Radioactive substances Biological effects Noise and energy Pharma- ceuticals

CORE INDICATORS

White-tailed sea eagle Oil spills

THRESHOLD VALUES APPLIED

Acidification River flow Population trends Agricultural trends Transport trends

DRIVERS & ELEMENTS

Shipping density and trends Industrial trends Temperature

TRENDS TRENDS

ASPIRATION & CONCEPTS

Red listed species Emerging pollutants MPA coverage Shipping emissions Sewage fr. shipping

TRENDS or ‘AGREEMENTS’

SURVEILLANCE (TRENDS)

Info

Ongoing work