Offshore China 24 May 2012
Future Plans for Offshore Drilling Offshore China 24 May 2012 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Future Plans for Offshore Drilling Offshore China 24 May 2012 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Future Plans for Offshore Drilling Offshore China 24 May 2012 Important information THIS PRESENTATION AND ITS ENCLOSURES AND APPENDICES (HEREINAFTER JOINTLY REFERRED TO AS THE PRESENTATION) HAVE BEEN PREPARED BY SEVAN DRILLING ASA
Important information
THIS PRESENTATION AND ITS ENCLOSURES AND APPENDICES (HEREINAFTER JOINTLY REFERRED TO AS THE “PRESENTATION”) HAVE BEEN PREPARED BY SEVAN DRILLING ASA (”SEVAN DRILLING” OR THE ”COMPANY”) EXCLUSIVELY FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES. THIS PRESENTATION HAS NOT BEEN REVIEWED OR REGISTERED WITH ANY PUBLIC AUTHORITY OR STOCK EXCHANGE. RECIPIENTS OF THIS PRESENTATION MAY NOT REPRODUCE, REDISTRIBUTE OR PASS ON, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, THE PRESENTATION TO ANY OTHER PERSON. THE CONTENTS OF THIS PRESENTATION ARE NOT TO BE CONSTRUED AS LEGAL, BUSINESS, INVESTMENT OR TAX ADVICE. EACH RECIPIENT SHOULD CONSULT WITH ITS OWN LEGAL, BUSINESS, INVESTMENT AND TAX ADVISER AS TO LEGAL, BUSINESS, INVESTMENT AND TAX ADVICE. THERE MAY HAVE BEEN CHANGES IN MATTERS WICH AFFECT THE COMPANY SUBSEQUENT TO THE DATE OF THIS PRESENTATION. NEITHER THE ISSUE NOR DELIVERY OF THIS PRESENTATION SHALL UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCE CREATE ANY IMPLICATION THAT THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS CORRECT AS OF ANY TIME SUBSEQUENT TO THE DATE HEREOF OR THAT THE AFFAIRS OF THE COMPANY HAVE NOT SINCE CHANGED, AND THE COMPANY DOES NOT INTEND, AND DOES NOT ASSUME ANY OBLIGATION, TO UPDATE OR CORRECT ANY INFORMATION INCLUDED IN THIS PRESENTATION. THIS PRESENTATION INCLUDES AND IS BASED ON, AMONG OTHER THINGS, FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION AND STATEMENTS. SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION AND STATEMENTS ARE BASED ON THE CURRENT EXPECTATIONS, ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS OF SEVAN OR ASSUMPTIONS BASED ON INFORMATION AVAILABLE TO THE COMPANY. SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION AND STATEMENTS REFLECT CURRENT VIEWS WITH RESPECT TO FUTURE EVENTS AND ARE SUBJECT TO RISKS, UNCERTAINTIES AND ASSUMPTIONS. SEVAN CANNOT GIVE ANY ASSURANCE AS TO THE CORRECTNESS OF SUCH INFORMATION AND STATEMENTS. AN INVESTMENT IN THE COMPANY INVOLVES RISK, AND SEVERAL FACTORS COULD CAUSE THE ACTUAL RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS OF THE COMPANY TO BE MATERIALLY DIFFERENT FROM ANY FUTURE RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS THAT MAY BE EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED BY STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION IN THIS PRESENTATION, INCLUDING, AMONG OTHERS, RISKS OR UNCERTAINTIES ASSOCIATED WITH THE COMPANY’S BUSINESS, SEGMENTS, DEVELOPMENT, GROWTH MANAGEMENT, FINANCING, MARKET ACCEPTANCE AND RELATIONS WITH CUSTOMERS, AND, MORE GENERALLY, GENERAL ECONOMIC AND BUSINESS CONDITIONS, CHANGES IN DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN LAWS AND REGULATIONS, TAXES, CHANGES IN COMPETITION AND PRICING ENVIRONMENTS, FLUCTUATIONS IN CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES AND INTEREST RATES AND OTHER FACTORS. SHOULD ONE OR MORE OF THESE RISKS OR UNCERTAINTIES MATERIALISE, OR SHOULD UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS PROVE INCORRECT, ACTUAL RESULTS MAY VARY MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DESCRIBED IN THIS DOCUMENT. THE COMPANY DOES NOT INTEND, AND DOES NOT ASSUME ANY OBLIGATION, TO UPDATE OR CORRECT THE INFORMATION INCLUDED IN THIS PRESENTATION. THIS PRESENTATION IS SUBJECT TO NORWEGIAN LAW, AND ANY DISPUTE ARISING IN RESPECT OF THIS PRESENTATION IS SUBJECT TO THE EXCLUSIVE JURISDICTION OF NORWEGIAN COURTS.
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Market fundamentals
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Key Take away Messages
- Future supply of oil and gas will be adequate to meet demand – just
−
Demand driven by non-OECD Growth
−
All potential sources of supply must be exploited
- Deep and Ultra-Deep Water are key to supply
- Half of demand for Deep Water drilling rigs will be for
development drilling −
Development drilling will require mobile units
−
More specialization in rig designs
- Costs are very critical in this business
−
Low cost, efficient service is an advantage
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Liquids Supply/Demand Balance
- Demand growth projections vary
from 0.7% to 1.0% per annum through 2035
- Supply growth requires new
deepwater projects as well as
- nshore unconventional resources
- By 2035 over 33% of the projected
- il supply is currently not on
production and substantial part is yet to be found
- Production will struggle to keep up
with demand and only in the “high supply” and “low demand” case will there be an oversupply
- A strong base for oil price and
service demands
20 40 60 80 100 120 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Deepwater non- producing Offshore shelf non-producing Offshore producing Unconventional Iraq Onshore conventional (excl Iraq) Million boe/d
Supply 0.8% (CAGR) Population growth 0.9% Demand outlook current policies 1.0%
Demand
IEA 2011 New Policies Scenario IEA 2011 Current Policies Scenario EIA 2011 BP 2011 adj*
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10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Deepwater non-producing Offshore shelf non-producing Offshore producing Shale/Unconv . . Onshore conventional
Gas Supply/Demand Balance
- Demand growth projections vary
from 1.6% to 2.1% per annum through 2035
- Supply growth depends on new
deepwater projects as well as
- nshore unconventional resources
- By 2035 over 33% of the projected
- il supply is currently not on
production and substantial part is yet to be found
- Gas markets are more regional
where US has large domestic unconventional resources, Asia will rely on imports
- As with liquids, this provides a
strong base for oil price and service demands
Million boe/d
Supply 1.6% (CAGR) Population growth 0.9% Demand outlook current policies 1.6-2.1%
Demand
IEA 2011 New Policies Scenario IEA 2011 Current Policies Scenario EIA 2011 BP 2011 adj*
(includes NGLs)
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Global discoveries
Source: Rystad Energy UCube
Global discoveries by water depth
Million boe/decade
Discoveries of oil and gas deeper than 400 ft
Million boe/decade
(much unconventional from 2000s)
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Most deepwater discoveries still not developed
Start-up of oil and gas disc. deeper than 400 ft by current status
Million boe/decade
Discoveries of oil and gas deeper than 400 ft by current status
Million boe/decade
55% of discovered resources not yet put in production – a significant backlog of deepwater discoveries to be developed Resources found, but not yet developed
Source: Rystad Energy UCube
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- 142 Bboe of deepwater resources have
been found and developed globally.
- 50% has been produced
- 174 Bboe have been found but have not
yet been developed.
- Deepwater development backlog amounts
to 55% of volume discovered so far
- Another 590 Bboe of resources are
expected to be discovered.
- 90% higher than what has already been
discovered
- Overall, based purely on resource
numbers, less than 15% of the global deepwater drilling effort that is due to happen in the past and future, has already taken place
Summary of global deepwater drivers – stage set for growth
*Water depths 400-5000 feet
**Water depths exceeding 5000 feet
Global oil and gas deepwater resource inventory
- 3
7 52 107
- 72
59 122 484
- 75
67 174 591 831
Produced Developed Discovered Yet to find Current inventory
Ultra deepwater* Deepwater**
- Exploration wells
- Development wells
- Infill wells
- Intervention
GLOBAL INVENTORY ACTIVITY billion boe
Source: Rystad Energy UCube
Future implications 02
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2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
- The number of exploration
and appraisal wells is expected to rise by 50% within 2020
- Discovered resource
volumes are become increasingly drilling intensive
- Petrobras’ subsalt drilling
requires much more rig capacity per well,
- Leading to a step increase
in rig demand while number of wells are fairly flat from 2008 to 2013.
Deepwater exploration drilling requirements
*Includes appraisal drilling
2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
Source: Rystad Energy UCube
Global floating rig exploration* drilling demand by asset/license states
By number of wells By number of rigs
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Future Implications
- Half of future demand for mobile units will be for
Development Drilling
- Do we need the same rig designs for development drilling
and exploration?
- Yes, but ……
−
ease of mobility not a driver for development drilling
−
ease of holding station and movements is a driver
−
manage pressure operations more likely
−
costs are a significant driver in developments
- Door is open now for more specialized rig designs and
- perations
The Sevan design 03
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Unique and Cost Efficient Design
- Delivered from COSCO end 2009
- In operation for Petrobras under a six
year contract
- 98 % uptime in Q4 2011
- Over one year without LTI
- Delivered from COSCO February 2012
- Will operate for Petrobras under a six
year contract – start-up in Q2 2012
- COSCO has excellent safety record, over
5 Million Man-hours with no LTI
- Contract with COSCO for two new rigs
- f Sevan 650 design
- Turnkey contract
- Delivery in Q4 2013 and Q2 2014
- Options on two additional rigs (5 & 6)
Sevan Driller Sevan Brasil 2 x UDW new build rigs
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Why is it round?
- Based on a circular design concept
− First developed as an FPSO − 3 FPSO’s − 2 Drilling Rigs (Driller and Brasil) − 1 FPSO under construction (ENI for Goliath Field)
- Significant storage capacity
− On the main deck − Below main deck – either bulk or liquids
- No appreciable pitch or roll
− Heave compensation − Design changes
- Transit speed 6 knots fully loaded
- Easier to keep on station
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Length between pp (= Breadth) 75 m Transit Draft -Operating draft- Max draft 10m- 12,5m - 15 m Variable Deck Load >15 000 metric tonnes Accommodation 150 beds Offshore cranes 2x100 metric tonnes Main hook load, static 907 metric tonnes (1000 short t tonnes) Heave compensated hook/top drive 453 metric tonnes (1000 kips) BOP Cameron 18 ¾ --15.000 psi BOP Safety 5 Rams – 2 Annulars Riser Length Up to 10.000 ft Riser tensioning capacity Stroke 50 ft - 1 450 mt (3,200 kips) at mid stroke Set back capacity for tubulars 40.000 ft Set back capacity, load 986 Metric tonnes Drilling Equipment Top Drive System DP system DP 3 Propulsion-Power 8 x thruster – 3.7 kW each
Main particulars
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Additional rigs under construction
- Firm turnkey construction contracts
for two UDW − COSCO shipyard − Delivery in Q4 2013 and Q2 2014
- Both rigs are on schedule for
delivery according to plan
- Options for another two UDW new
build rigs − Expire December 10 2012
- Drilling control system
- Derrick
- Pipehandling
- Cranes
- BOP
- Control system
- Marine riser system
- Dynamic
positioning systems
- Diesel engines
- Thrusters
- Drilling mud
pumps
- Electrical
- Automation
- Telecom systems
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Sevan Drilling
- Low cost efficient design for
exploration and development drilling
−
High deck loads
−
Stable motion characteristics
- In operation now offshore Brazil with
two rigs and another two on order − Delivery in 4Q 2013 and 2Q 2014
- Designed to operate in deep and
ultra-deep water areas outside of the North Atlantic and North Sea
- A stable work platform for long term
- perations
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Key Take away Messages
- Future supply of oil and gas will be adequate to meet demand – just
−
Demand driven by non-OECD Growth
−
All potential sources of supply must be exploited
- Deep and Ultra-Deep Water are key to supply
- Half of demand for Deep Water drilling rigs will be for
development drilling −
Development drilling will require mobile units
−
More specialization in rig designs
- Costs are very critical in this business
−
Low cost, efficient service is an advantage
The pure-play ultra deepwater drilling company.