From Lizard to Wizard 18.11.2017 Drumoland 8 th Annual Tourism - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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From Lizard to Wizard 18.11.2017 Drumoland 8 th Annual Tourism - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

From Lizard to Wizard 18.11.2017 Drumoland 8 th Annual Tourism Policy Workshop Setting the scene By 2020, five of the top seven digital giants will wilfully "self-disrupt" to create their next leadership opportunity. (I


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From Lizard to Wizard

18.11.2017 Drumoland 8th Annual Tourism Policy Workshop

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Setting the scene…

2020

2.3m +

  • 1.8m

2021

30%

2022

Source: Ga rtn

By 2020,

  • five of the top seven digital giants will wilfully "self-disrupt" to create their

next leadership opportunity. (I don’t know who they are…)

  • IoT technology will be in 95% of electronics for new product designs

In 2020,

  • AI becomes a positive net job motivator, creating 2.3 million jobs while only

eliminating 1.8 million jobs.

  • AI-driven creation of "counterfeit reality," or fake, content will outpace AI's

ability to detect it, brewing digital distrust. By year-end 2020,

  • the banking industry will derive $1 billion in business value from the use of

blockchain-based cryptocurrencies. By 2021,

  • websites that support visual and voice search will increase digital

commerce brand revenue by 30%.

  • more than 50% of enterprises will be spending more in the year on bots

and chatbot creation than traditional mobile app development.

  • 40% of IT staff will be versatilists holding multiple roles, most of which will

be business-related rather than technology-related. By 2022,

  • most people in mature economies will consume more false information

than true information….feels like that already!

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1 3 4 5

NEED

2

A FAST CHANGING, UNCERTAIN WORLD A CHANGING CONSUMER & TRAVELLER FROM LIZARD TO WIZARD

OUR CHALLENGES

W H A T ?

6

WHEN IT WORKS AIR TRAVEL & DUBLIN AIRPORT

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Travel is the most aspirational thing in the world

Source: Campaign

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Huge growth in air travel and more geographical diversity

Source: Boeing

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From the Golden Age to LCC’s

1955 map of the international flight services Pan Am offered that year

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Airports across Europe are heading towards record traffic results – with EU airports in particular having expanded passenger traffic by more than 20% over the past 3

  • years. In countries elsewhere in

Europe, Q3 passenger volumes were up 15% (2017)

Source: ACI EUROPE Director General Olivier Jankovec/IATA

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18.5M 21.M 23.3M 23.4M 20.5M 18.4M 18.7M 19.1M 20.1M 21.7M 25.M 28.M +29M

+2% +2% +6% +8% +15% +10% 15,000 17,000 19,000 21,000 23,000 25,000 27,000 29,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Dublin Airport: Six years of consecutive growth to 28 million in 2016, exceeding 2008 peak of 23.4 million. Dublin Airport has a 65% share of total visitors to Ireland

Source: Dublin Airport 2016

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This will have ongoing effects…

Capacity – country and infrastructure, across the board Reputation – quality of service, ‘unspoilt’, pollution

  • Q1. Do we need to have a joined up strategy for managing the

numbers we have before we bring more people in?

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“As long as economic conditions keep defying geopolitical risks, air traffic will continue to grow - spurred by the increasing reliance of businesses and consumers on air connectivity.” ACI EUROPE Director General Olivier Jankovec

A FAST CHANGING, UNCERTAIN WORLD

Looking ahead more than 5 years is futile

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5G before the next Olympics?

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And we can’t fight the future – robot prices are falling compared with labour costs

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Life’s really complicated

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And 24/7 makes it all worse

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A CHANGING CONSUMER AND TRAVELLER

A world without borders

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2 key trends

Source: World Population Ageing 1950-2050, DESA, United Nations/Brookings

Europe 2040: The first continent where more Europeans will be 65+ than <25.

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And then there’s the changing mindset of the young

(whose role models are led by Millennials)

Sports Entertainment

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But smartphone toting Millennials don’t have the disposable income

35.9%

45-54yrs olds specifically have the disposable income and buy a higher than average share of products saved to the digital shopping carts

  • Q2. Have we revised our targeting strategy to make it RELEVANT

and COMMERCIAL for the foreseeable future?

Source: Opinium Research LLP on behalf of Barclays Bank

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Visual Virtual Augmented

When asked what’s the best way to cope during these troubled times the majority of consumers chose humour and optimism over realism

Source: Protein Youth report 2017

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‘Fake news’ as a phenomena – can damage brands – and human tendency to confirmation bias makes counter attack difficult

Source: Gartner 2017

  • Q3. Have we formulated data verification initiatives to combat the

spread of "counterfeit reality" and fake content?

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Data prediction: Loving “any excuse” to have a celebration

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But for those coming through it’s a different type of celebration; attitudes and behaviours are changing rapidly

Source: Gartner/McKinsey/Protein Youth report

63% have never taken, or have stopped taking, non prescription drugs

28% have started drinking less and 26% have never drunk. Just 10% have started drinking more as they get

  • lder

When getting drunk with friends their primary concern was being unproductive the next day 68% say that their mental health is more important than their physical health 52% feel either unloved or anxious if they haven’t had any sort of notification on their smart device all day

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23

The craving for Authenticity + Meaning

= Purpose

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So let’s take a look at how all this has happened

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From lizard to wizard Its not about now it’s always about next No more ‘BRB’ – always connected

AGE OF INFORMATION AGE OF CUSTOMER AGE OF EMPATHY AGE OF EMOTION

1990

ATTENTION ECONOMY BYTE ECONOMY INFLUENCE ECONOMY SHARE ECONOMY

Information addiction 2010 2015 2017 2020 Technological addiction Personalisation Addiction

AGE OF EXPERIENCE

Convenience addiction

Characterised by CPA (continued partial attention) More than 3 screens at any

  • ne time
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How did all this happen?

1990 2010 2020 T H E D I G I T A L E C O N O M I C R E V O L U T I O N An economic era of production to distribution From intelligence internal to humans to externally used by machines

From information housed internally to available to everyone

PRINTING REVOLUTION DIGITAL REVOLUTION

  • Q4. How are we planning for the changing/new distribution

economy?

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In the short term what’s happened? Digitisation is having a phenomenal economic effect

Source: McKinsey The economic essentials of digital strategy/Forbes Insights

‘The digitization of processes and interfaces is itself a source of worry. But the feeling of not knowing when, or from which direction, an effective attack on a business might come creates a whole different level of concern’.

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BTW: Hence the rise of the activist customer! I won’t promote – I’ll actively use my voice, fuelled by social media and using social capital. This is the stage at which brands started to really worry!

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CHANGING MINDSETS MORE EFFICIENT WAYS TO MEET DEMAND - COLLATERAL DAMAGE

  • Q5. As digitization reduces transaction costs, it becomes economic for companies to

contract out more activities, and a richer set of more specialized ecosystem relationships is facilitated. How can we ‘upskill the tourism industry to manage this?

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From WOW to Why Not? Moving From RoI to RoE

  • Q6. Majority of Ireland’s tourism businesses employ less than 10

people – how will they cope with the imperative of digitisation and the effect of the ‘big players’?

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From WOW to Why Not? Moving From RoI to RoE

  • Q7. How can we help them work with platforms such as ‘Uber’,

‘AirBnB’ and ‘Lyft’ to maximise their commercial success?

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From WOW to Why Not? Moving From RoI to RoE

  • Q8. How can we help our tourism industry meet escalating

expectations?

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Think mobility AS WELL AS mobile specific Mobile droves growth of on line bookings

Source: Gartner/eMarketer

Mobile will account for 40% of US digital travel sales

2017

52% of US smartphone users will use their phone to make travel plans 28.5% will book a trip on their phone

2020

More than one- third of smart- phone users will book travel using their device.

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3.6

BILLION

mobiles accessing the internet in

2016*

What’s next? The travel industry could do better on mobile

Source: Statista 2016 95% of airlines intend to invest more in mobile in 2017*

268

MILLION

mobiles accessing the internet in

2007

  • Q10. Are we thinking creatively? How can travel and tourism get ahead of mobile?
  • Q9. The travel industry has not yet sufficiently adopted mobile or understood mobile – how can we change this QUICKLY?
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Digitisation also means sustaining customers’ trust is harder

  • Q11. How is the tourism industry going to maintain or re-establish

trust?

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  • Q12. Are we using storytelling in the most relevant way for today’s

travellers?

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Moving from Lizard to wizard

Individualism Privacy invasion Curated lives Drowning in data Machine takeover Intelligent personalisation Smart boredom Authenticity & purpose Community Effortlessness Experience economy Curating our own lives Visual storytelling Wizard conundrums Wizard commercial success

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But in the Wizard era businesses are drowning in data but starving for insights.

  • Q13. As an industry are we treating insight as a business asset?

Are we clear in the difference between a piece of data and an insight?

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FROM SERVICE TO EXPERIENCE CREATING ENGAGEMENT

The biggest insight currently: It’s all about Customer engagement

SEAMLESS CONNECTION PERSONALISATION (HYPER) EFFORTLESS CONVENIENCE EMOTIONAL RELEVANCE DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION

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CX maturity yields big results

  • Q14. Poor Service comes at a high cost. Are we placing enough

emphasis on ‘experience’ and ‘service’ in our industry – or are we sitting on our perceived (arrogant?) ‘craic’ laurels?

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Don’t automate the person out of the experience. Understand where the personal touch is important

‘To understand your multi-dimensional modern customers, you must be relentless in your quest to recognize them as complicated humans….honour humanity.’

Kerry Bodine, Co-Author of Outside In

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The need for curation and personalization Travel is a high anxiety purchase

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Humans vs machines

  • Q15. Do we really understand the emotional relationship &

connection people have with technology & the affect this will have

  • n the kinds of breaks and holidays we want to take?
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The realities of the distributive era: The need for ‘human’ in travel best places the travel industry to take advantage of the distribution era

Source: McKinsey 2017

  • Q16. Have we ‘connected’ our tourism and science/technology functions so

that these crucial questions can be solved ‘cross functionally’ – what’s the responsibility of the private and public sectors? How can they complement each other?

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And understand what makes people tick!

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Travel & Tourism are brilliantly placed for the future If we keep up with a changing world

  • Q17. Lastly, Are we focusing enough on our people to deliver an

innovative, differentiated experience for Ireland? Do they “believe”? If they don’t our visitors won’t get the authenticity they crave.

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Thank you!