Friendswood I.S.D. Friendswood I.S.D.
Demographic Update Demographic Update
Fall, 2017 Fall, 2017
Friendswood I.S.D. Friendswood I.S.D. Demographic Update - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Friendswood I.S.D. Friendswood I.S.D. Demographic Update Demographic Update Fall, 2017 Fall, 2017 Friendswood I.S.D. Projected Demographics Students 2017 2017 Demographic Demographic Students per Update Update Employment Home
Fall, 2017 Fall, 2017
Friendswood I.S.D.
Demographics
Employment
Housing Students per Home Projected Students
Pe Percent Change Change Enrollment Enrollment: : 20 2015-1 15-16 to to 20 2016-1
Numeric Numeric Change Change Enrollment Enrollment: : 20 2015-1 15-16 to to 20 2016-1
5- 5-Year ar Pe Percent C Change Enrollment Enrollment: : 20 2011-1 11-12 to to 20 2016-1
5- 5-Year ar Numeric Change Numeric Change Enrollment Enrollment: : 20 2011-1 11-12 to to 20 2016-1
Demographic Characteristics Demographic Characteristics
41.9
Median Age
Houston Metro 34.1
7.97%
Economically Disadvantaged Student Population
State of Texas 58.95%
Median Household Income
$104,091
Houston Metro $61,465
23%
Population Ages 5–17
Houston Metro 20%
31.7
Mean Travel Time to Work
Houston Metro 30.2 minutes
Friendswood I.S.D.
STAAR Passage Rate
Texas – 71.31%
90.2% 53%
Houston Metro - 32%
Bachelor’s Degree
5,200 5,400 5,600 5,800 6,000 6,200
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Enrollment
2. 2.52% 52%
0.05 0.05%* %*
*2017 Growth Rate is measured from PEIMS 2016 to Sept 2017 2.3 2.37% 0. 0.90% 90% 2.15% 2.15% 0.5 0.57% 2.18% 2.18%
.38% 0% 0% -1
.06% 1.66% 66% 1. 1.10% 0. 0.58% 58% 0. 0.44% 44%
.75%
Kindergar Kindergarten Enr en Enrollment llment
hs
100 200 300 400 500 600 STUDENTS SCHOOL YEAR
Births (Adjusted 5 Years) Kindergarten Enrollment
Friendswood I.S.D.
Demographics
Employment
Housing Students per Home Projected Students
Annual Annual Emplo Employment T ment Trends ends
Au August Februa bruary ry Aug August 6-Mo Mont nth Annua nnual 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 Pc
ChangePc
Change
Cit City of
Frien iendswood
Employment
18,535 18,690 18,762 0.39% 1.22% Unemployment Rate 5. 5.0 5.2 4. 4.0
Cit City of
Pearla land Employment
56,170 56,633 56,895 0.46% 1.29% Unemployment Rate 4. 4.4 4.5 4. 4.0
Ga Galveston C County Employment
149,558 150,781 151,391 0.40% 1.23% Unemployment Rate 5. 5.8 6.0 5. 5.5
Ha Harris C County Employment
2,125,069 2,143,699 2,151,260 0.35% 1.23% Unemployment Rate 5. 5.7 5.9 5. 5.2
Emplo Employment ment & Economic T & Economic Trends ends
Industrial Boom
– Chemical and Chemical and midstream/downstream energy sector midstream/downstream energy sector » Baytown Baytown » Brazoria County Brazoria County – Port of Freeport expansion and Port of Freeport expansion and potential potential
Texas Medical Center
– $3 $3 Billion being invested in Billion being invested in building projects building projects – Texas Children’s, Baylor St. Luke’s, Memorial Hermann, Texas Children’s, Baylor St. Luke’s, Memorial Hermann, and and Methodist are expanding Methodist are expanding
Texas Economy
– Oil/gas industry sluggis Oil/gas industry sluggish but rebound but rebounding ng – Hurricane Harvey/Irma/Maria impacts Hurricane Harvey/Irma/Maria impacts
Population and Survey Analysts 13
Friendswood ISD Employment by Sector Friendswood ISD Employment by Sector
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, and mining 3% Construction 5% Manufacturing 15% Wholesale Trade 4% Retail Trade 8% Transportation and warehousing, and utilities 6% Information 1% Finance and insurance, and real estate and rental and leasing 7% Professional, scientific, and management, and administrative and waste management services 13% Educational services, and health care and social assistance 24% Arts, entertainment, and recreation, and accomodation, and food services 6% Other services, except public administration 4% Public Administration 3%
Friendswood I.S.D.
Demographics
Employment
Housing Students per Home Projected Students
# % # % Subdivisio sions - s - Bu Built ilt-out
5,277 5,277 5,155 ,155
sions - s - Ac Active vely B Building
311 311 438 438 127 127 41% 41% 91% 91%
Apartm tments ts
108 108 118 118 10 10 9% 9% 7% 7%
Con Condos
/ To Townho wnhomes
75 75 77 77 2 3% 1% 1%
MHP MHP
86 86 77 77
Percent o
Gro Growth th Adde dded S d Stude udents 2016 to 2017 2016 to 2017 Re Reside dent St Students in 2017 2017 Re Reside dent nt St Students in 2016 2016
Planning Units
Planning Units
Local Regulations gulations
Planning Units
Local Regulations gulations
Planned Infrastructure Infrastructure
Natural Hazards
Infrastructure Impr Infrastructure Improvements ements
Transpor ansportation Impr tation Improvements Driv ements Drive Ne e New Housing Construction w Housing Construction
Grand Parkway (SH 99) y (SH 99)
northern suburbs of Houston
completed in 2022
Gulf Free eeway
Sam Houston P n Parkway (Beltw y (Beltway 8) 8)
lanes of Beltway 8 from two to four lanes in each direction between Interstate 10 (East Freeway) and Interstate 45 (Gulf Freeway
Hurricane Hurricane Harvey Harvey Damage Damage Assessment Assessment
5+ acre tracts highlight highlighted
Blue: since 20 since 2014 14
Orange: 20 2012 & & 20 2013 13
Most Most Impactful Impactful Housing Housing De Developments lopments
20 2017-202
BOFYSIL TRACTS (389 acres) BOONE FAMILY (~30 ac. for sale) FRIENDSWOOD TRAILS STERLING CREEK WEST RANCH MULTIPLE OWNERS (97 acres)
Planni anning ng Subd bdivision N n Names o
Projected Un Unit Owner(s) N Names Units 40 40 Frie iendswood T Trails ils 410 38 38 We West R Ranch 269 42 42 Bo Bofysil Tr Tracts 235 39 39 Ster erling C Creek eek 144 38 38 Mu Mult ltip iple le O Owners T Tract 121 27 27 Bo Boone F Family Tr Tracts 48
Multi-Family Developments Multi-Family Developments
Pl Planni anning ng Uni Unit De Deve velopment Se Senior Ho Housing Uni Units
38
West Ranch Village Center
150 4
The Beldon
108 12
Future Mixed Use Building
85 Summary of Largest Multi-Family Developments
Sorted by Projected Housing Occupancies, 2017 to 2027
Pr Project
d Ne New w Housing Housing Occupancies Occupancies Au August 2 st 2017 to to Oct October 2022 ber 2022
Project Projected Ne d New w Housing Housing Occupancies Occupancies Oct October 2022 ber 2022 to to Oct October 202 ber 2027
Pr Project
d Ne New w Housing Housing Occupancies Occupancies Au August 2 st 2017 to to Oct October 202 ber 2027
Pr Project
d Ne New Housing Occupancies w Housing Occupancies
20 2017 – – 202 027
Aug 2017-O g 2017-Oct. 2017
10 10 10 10
Oc
2017-Oct. 2018 2018
106 106 40 40 146 146
Oc
2018-Oct. 2019 2019
143 143 45 45 50 50 238 238
Oc
2019-Oct. 2020 2020
143 143 40 40 18 18 201 201
Oc
2020-Oct. 2021 2021
128 128 25 25 153 153
Oc
2021-Oct. 2022 2022
119 119 25 25 144 144
Oc
2022-Oct. 2023 2023
126 126 50 50 176 176
Oc
2023-Oct. 2024 2024
142 142 25 25 167 167
Oc
2024-Oct. 2025 2025
142 142 25 25 167 167
Oc
2025-Oct. 2026 2026
149 149 149 149
Oc
2026-Oct. 2027 2027
151 151 151 151
Aug 2017-O Aug 2017-Oct 2022 2022
649 649 50 50 85 85 108 108 892 892
Oct 2022-Oc 2022-Oct 2027 2027
710 710 100 100 810 810
Aug 2017-O Aug 2017-Oct 2027 2027
1,359 1,359 150 150 85 85 108 108 1,702 1,702
Tot Total
Ag Age Re Rest strict cted Mult lti- i-Family ly Ho Housin ing T g Total tal Sin Single le-Fam amily ily Ho Housin ing T g Total tal Mi Mixed U Use/ Co Cond ndos
Friendswood I.S.D.
Demographics
Employ- ment
Housing Students per Home Projected Students
2017 2017 Demographic Demographic Update Update
EE- EE- 2nd 2nd 3rd- 3rd- 5t 5th 6t 6th- h- 8t 8th 9t 9th- h- 12t 12th To
Total
No North
( (Westw twood
es)
Sou South
( (Clin line/ e/Windsong)
0. 0.13 13 0. 0.14 14 0.17 0.17 0. 0.23 23 0.67
0.67
0. 0.11 11 0.13 0.13 0. 0.11 11
0.54 0.54
0. 0.19 19
EE- EE- 2nd 2nd 3rd- 3rd- 5t 5th 6t 6th- h- 8t 8th 9t 9th- h- 12t 12th
To Total
Ster Sterling Creek eek
1.02 1.02
0. 0.23 23 0. 0.25 25 0. 0.23 23
0.92 0.92
0.21 0.21 We West R Ranch 0. 0.28 28 0. 0.10 10 0. 0.23 23 0. 0.40 40
2000 2000 2004 2004 2014 2014 2017 2017
Stude Students ts pe per H Home 0.78
0.78 0.7 0.7 0.64 .64 0.62 0.62
Friendswood I.S.D.
Demographics
Employ- ment
Housing Students per Home Projected Students
2017 2017 Demographic Demographic Update Update
Fact ctor
s Impacting Future Student P ture Student Population pulation
New housing construction
Harvey
Economic/employment
Aging of existing student population
Regeneration in older homes
Regeneration in Built-Out Areas Regeneration in Built-Out Areas
Elementary Student Growth/Decline Elementary Student Growth/Decline
2004 to 2004 to 2016 2016
Elem Student Growth/Decline 2004 to 2016
between 2004 and 2012 (8 yrs)
between 2012 and 2016 (4 yrs)
are slowly beginning to regenerate with younger families
Enrollment
Moder Moderate Gr Growth th 2022 – 2022 – 6,32 ,327 202 2027 – 7 – 6,8 ,818 High Gr High Growth th 2022 – 2022 – 6,450 ,450 202 2027 – 7 – 6,96 ,961 Lo Low Gr w Growth th 2022 – 2022 – 6,123 23 202 2027 – 7 – 6,5 ,575 75
5, 5,500 500 5, 5,700 700 5, 5,900 900 6, 6,100 100 6, 6,300 300 6, 6,500 500 6, 6,700 700 6, 6,900 900 2005 2005 2010 2010 2017 2017 2022 2022 2027 2027
Enrollment
2018 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020 2021 2021 2022 2022
Enr Enrollment nt
6, 6,102 102 6,149 49 6, 6,217 217 6,268 68 6, 6,327 327
% G % Grow
0. 0.20% 20% 0.77% 7% 1. 1.11% 11% 0.82% .82% 0. 0.94% 94% Gr Grow
12 12 47 47 68 68 51 51 59 59 2023 2023 2024 2024 2025 2025 2026 2026 2027 2027
Enr Enrollment nt
6, 6,410 410 6,524 24 6, 6,625 625 6,702 02 6, 6,818 818
% G % Grow
1. 1.31% 31% 1.79% 9% 1. 1.54% 54% 1.16% .16% 1. 1.73% 73% Grow
83 83 115 115 100 00 77 77 116 116 Projec ected ted E Enrollmen ent a t at P PEIMS S Snapsh shot Da Date te Projec ected ted E Enrollmen ent a t at P PEIMS S Snapsh shot Da Date te
Projected Student Population Projected Student Population
Moderate Growth Scenario Moderate Growth Scenario
2018 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020 2021 2021 2022 2022 2023 2023 2024 2024 2025 2025 2026 2026 2027 2027
EE- EE-5th
2,563 2,563 2,613 13 2, 2,718 718 2,788 88 2, 2,867 867 2,895 895 2, 2,921 921 2,932 ,932 2,922 2,922 2,909 ,909
6t 6th-8t 8th
1,419 1,419 1,426 26 1, 1,425 425 1,451 51 1, 1,445 445 1,532 532 1, 1,579 579 1,650 ,650 1,685 1,685 1,719 ,719
9t 9th-12t 12th 2,120
2,120 2,110 10 2, 2,074 074 2,030 30 2, 2,015 015 1,983 983 2, 2,024 024 2,043 ,043 2,095 2,095 2,189 ,189
To Total
6,102 6,102 6,149 49 6, 6,217 217 6,268 68 6, 6,327 327 6,410 410 6, 6,524 524 6,625 ,625 6,702 6,702 6,818 ,818
Projected Student Population Projected Student Population
Moderate Growth Scenario Moderate Growth Scenario By Grade Group By Grade Group
2017 to 2017 to 2027 2027
EE-5th Student Growth
< -10+415 Elementary students
focused in the south
Westw stwood
EE-2 EE-2nd
ndBales Bales 3rd
rd-5Windson Windsong 3rd
rd-5Cline Cline EE-3 EE-3rd
rdWe Westwood
EE-2 ndBa Bales
3 rd-5thCl Cline
EE-3 rdWind ndsong ng
3 rd-5th(98% 98%) (67% 67%) (77% 77%) (130% 130%) (120% 120%)
93 934 990 90 1,107 63 637 45 457 46 467 475 75 45 459 479 79 63 638 780 80
(6 (64%) (132% 32%)
Cu Current
(7 (72%) (110% 10%) (9 (98%)
85 858 43 434 50 500 485 1, 1,133
(65% 65%) (73% 73%) (116% 116%)
Re Reside dent S Stude udents ts
20 2018 18-19
(6 (61%) (7 (75%) (133% 33%)
20 2027 27-28
20 2022 22-2
West stwood
Ba Bales
3 rd-5thCl Cline
EE-3 rdWinds ndsong ng
3 rd-5th(97% 97%) (73% 73%) (82% 82%) (122% 122%) (119% 119%)
86 868 924 1, 1,041 62 629 49 496 50 502 510 49 498 518 18 63 630 772 72
(70% 70%) (131% 131%)
Curre rrent
(77% 77%) (102 102%) (97% 97%)
85 850 47 473 53 535 520 20 1, 1,06 067
(70% 70%) (78% 78%) (109 109%)
Resi sident S Students +/- T Transf sfers
20 2018 18-19
(67% 67%) (80% 80%) (126% 126%)
20 2027 27-28
20 2022 22-23
Current Attendance Zones Current Attendance Zones
Rezone Students from South to North Rezone Students from South to North
Option 1a Option 1a
**Planning document only** No decisions have been made regarding attendance zones and/or school sites.West stwood
Ba Bales
3 rd-5thCl Cline
EE-3 rdWinds ndsong ng
3 rd-5thRe Reside dent S Stude udents
20 2018 18-19
(73% 73%) (88% 88%) (121% 121%)
20 2027 27-28 20 2022 22-2
(123% 123%)
Curre rrent
(87% 87%) (95% 95%) (87% 87%)
80 801 51 516 58 588 569 1, 1,026
(77% 77%) (90% 90%) (101 101%)
804 861 61 99 993 56 566 55 559 56 566 585 54 549 567 67 56 567 720 20
(79% 79%) (87% 87%) (80% 80%) (90% 90%) (117% 117%) (111% 111%)
Westw stwood
EE-2 EE-2nd
ndBales Bales 3rd
rd-5Windson Windsong 3rd
rd-5Cline Cline EE-3 EE-3rd
rdRezone Students from South to North Rezone Students from South to North
Option 1b Option 1b
West stwood
Ba Bales
3 rd-5thCl Cline
EE-3 rdWinds ndsong ng
3 rd-5thRe Reside dent S Stude udents ts
20 2018 18-19
(72% 72%) (86% 86%) (122% 122%)
202 2027-2 7-28 2022 022-2
(124% 124%)
Cu Current
(8 (89%) (9 (93%) (8 (86%)
807 807 508 508 574 559 559 1,038 1,038
(77% 77%) (93% 93%) (101 101%)
79 792 855 55 1,01 011 55 558 56 567 57 578 604 04 54 546 554 54 55 557 729 29
(8 (80%) (86% 86%) (7 (78%) (8 (88%) (119% 19%) (112% 12%)
Westw stwood
EE-2 EE-2nd
ndBales Bales 3rd
rd-5Windson Windsong 3rd
rd-5Cline Cline EE-3 EE-3rd
rdBuild New School to Replace Cline Build New School to Replace Cline
Option 2a Option 2a
Westw stwood
EE-2 EE-2nd
ndBales Bales 3rd
rd-5Windson Windsong 3rd
rd-5Ne New Schoo School EE-2 EE-2nd
nd
West stwood
Ba Bales
3 rd-5thNe New Sc School
EE-2 ndWinds ndsong ng
3 rd-5th(103% 103%) (85% 85%) (97% 97%) (94% 94%) (128 128%)
638 689 89 79 796 66 664 59 597 59 596 615 58 587 607 07 67 671 834 34
(84% 84%) (141% 141%)
Cu Current
(92% 92%) (75% 75%) (102% 102%)
91 919 55 551 62 629 610 10 83 830
(83% 83%) (95% 95%) (81% 81%)
Re Reside dent S Stude udents
20 2018 18-19
(78% 78%) (94% 94%) (98% 98%)
20 2027 27-28 20 2022 22-23
Build New School to Replace Cline Build New School to Replace Cline
Option 2b Option 2b
West stwood
Ba Bales
3 rd-5thWinds ndsong ng
EE-5thNe New S School
EE-5th(93% 93%)
87 879 (103%
03%)
899 899 (106%
106%)
73 739 (8
(87%)
79 792
(116% 16%)
56 563 59 597 59 596 615 15 58 587 607 07 56 568 751 51
(8 (84%) (131% 131%)
Cu Current
(9 (92%) (8 (87%)
850 850 551 551 629 610 610
(83% 83%) (95% 95%) (87% 87%) (8 (85%) (9 (97%)
Re Reside dent S Stude udents ts
20 2018 18-19
(78% 78%) (94% 94%)
202 2027-2 7-28 2022 022-2
Westw stwood
EE-2 EE-2nd
ndBales Bales 3rd
rd-5Winds Windsong ng EE-5 EE-5th
th
Ne New Schoo School EE-5 EE-5th
th
Build New Elementary #5 Build New Elementary #5
Option 3 Option 3
West stwood
Ba Bales
3 rd-5thCl Cline
EE-2 ndWinds ndsong ng
3 rd-5thNe New S School
EE-5th(73% 73%)
66 667 (8
(83%)
710 710 (89%
89%)
53 538 (6
(67%)
58 585
Re Reside dent S Stude udents ts
20 2018 18-19
(61% 61%) (75% 75%) (71% 71%)
202 2027-2 7-28 2022 022-2
(104% 104%)
Cu Current
(7 (72%) (5 (59%) (8 (82%)
675 675 434 434 500 485 485 606 606
(65% 65%) (73% 73%) (62% 62%)
50 501 528 28 58 585 53 532 45 457 46 467 475 75 45 459 479 79 51 515 635 35
(6 (64%) (79% 79%) (6 (67%) (7 (77%) (6 (69%) (9 (98%)
Westw stwood
EE-2 EE-2nd
ndBales Bales 3rd
rd-5Ne New Schoo School EE-5 EE-5th
th
Winds Windsong ng 3rd
rd-5
th
Cline line EE-2 EE-2nd
nd
Fall, 2017 Fall, 2017