FORECASTING IN RIO GRANDE BASIN Nathan Coombs Manager Conejos - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

forecasting in rio grande
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FORECASTING IN RIO GRANDE BASIN Nathan Coombs Manager Conejos - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

DATA COLLECTION TO IMPROVE FORECASTING IN RIO GRANDE BASIN Nathan Coombs Manager Conejos Water Conservancy District 235,000 66,000 Annual obligation 78,400 255,000 Annual Obligation In order to asses the possibility of changing a


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DATA COLLECTION TO IMPROVE FORECASTING IN RIO GRANDE BASIN

Nathan Coombs Manager Conejos Water Conservancy District

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Annual obligation 66,000 235,000

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255,000 78,400 Annual Obligation

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  • -compared to same day’s historical avg flows.

lower water higher water

Reasons :

just cold

OR

hotter temps water is not up there

OR

more water than expected

In order to asses the possibility of changing a compact curtailment:

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Gaps in understanding

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How do you collect better data?

Manual collection is time and labor intensive and not possible in wilderness or remote areas

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Planned river stage Planned met. station Existing met. station

Ground Validation & Streamflow Measurement Sites

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NSSL: Alamosa

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Project in a Nutshell

  • Deploy more instrumentation where possible
  • ASO creates a 3D model of entire basin’s topography
  • Use truck mounted radar to “see” and measure a winter’s worth of

snow events

  • UCAR integrates data into WRF Hydro model
  • DWR can more accurately answer;
  • “Why is stream flow today below or above historical

averages,..hotter, colder, more water, or less water?”

  • Is an adjustment to curtailment and forecast necessary?
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“It’s all related…….

Thank You!!