February / March 2012
February / March 2012 Overview The Experian investment case Market - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
February / March 2012 Overview The Experian investment case Market - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
February / March 2012 Overview The Experian investment case Market leading global information company Unique proprietary data, coupled with value-added analytics Scalable business model Strong market positions No. 1 or 2 position
2
Overview
The Experian investment case
Focus on data & analytics | Drive profitable growth | Use cash wisely
Market leading global information company
- Unique proprietary data, coupled with value-added analytics
- Scalable business model
Strong market positions
- No. 1 or 2 position across our largest markets
- High barriers to entry
Global growth potential
- By expanding geographically, in new customer
segments and through innovation
Strong financial track record
- High quality, recurring revenues
- Highly cash generative with low capital intensity
3
Overview
Experian business segments
- Large databases
- f information,
used to manage risk
- 19 consumer
credit bureaux
- 13 business
credit bureaux
- Automotive
information
Credit Services
- Value-added
products
- Used to convert
data into valuable decisions for businesses
- Provides software,
scores and analytics
Decision Analytics
- Sophisticated
targeted marketing
- Sell across c.30
countries
- Segmented
- ver 2.3bn
consumers
- Delivery over
email, mobile, social
Marketing Services
- Direct to
consumer credit monitoring services
- Identity theft
products
- Online lead
generation
Interactive
19% 10% 43% 28%
Business segment percentages are proportion of global revenue for the year to 31 March 2011
4 4
Revenue for the year to 31 March 2011
Overview
Global revenue FY11
Diverse portfolio by geography, business line and customer segment
By customer segment
Financial services 33% Direct to consumer 20% Retail 15% Other 11% Public Sector/Education Automotive Insurance Telecoms/Utilities Media 2%
6% 4% 4% 5%
By business line
Credit Services 43% Decision Analytics 10% Marketing Services 19% Interactive 28%
By geography
North America 54% UK & Ireland 17% Latin America 17% EMEA/Asia Pacific 12%
5 5
*US only Source: Latest full year revenue, company SEC filings
Overview
Market leader with unparalleled global reach and range
More than double the size of nearest competitor, broader range
1 Year ended 31 March 2011 2 Year ended 31 December 2011 3 Year ended 31 December 2010 4 Year ended 30 September 2011
55% 67%* 33% 77%* 23% 80% 86%*
3,000 500 3,500 2,000 4,000 2,500 1,000 1,500
Global revenue US$m
Other regions North America Experian Equifax 54% 46% D&B Acxiom FICO 1,1601 6204 63%* 37% 71% 1,7592 29% 4,2141 81% 1,9602 19% 86%* 14% 9573 20% 80%* TransUnion
4,500
6 6
Financial overview
Seven year revenue performance trend
Global continuing sales and EBIT only. EBIT margin excluding FARES. Operating cash conversion adjusted to exclude FARES. FY05 to FY10 EBIT adjusted to exclude FARES (discontinued operation). FY06 and FY07 sales and EBIT adjusted to exclude MetaReward. FY07 and FY08 sales and EBIT adjusted to exclude Loyalty Solutions. FY08 and FY09 sales and EBIT adjusted to exclude French Transaction Processing business and other smaller discontinuing activities. FY10 and FY11 sales and EBIT adjusted to exclude small discontinuing activities. Sales and EBIT growth shown at constant FX rates.
1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 300 500 700 900 1,100 1,300 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 3,407 3,712 3,790 3,803 4,214 747 15% 848 13% 896 8% 932 6% 1,046 11%
Total EBIT growth Revenue US$m EBIT
2,930 2,461 616 28% 490 17%
EBIT margin (direct business) Operating cash conversion Organic growth 21.9% 100% 8% 14% 22.8% 99% 4% 14% 23.6% 101% 3% 8% 24.5% 100% 2% 2% 24.8% 98% 8% 10% Revenue growth 21.0% 102% 12% 30% 20.0% 99% 9% 18% EBIT US$m
Financial
- bjectives:
- Mid–high single
digit organic revenue growth
- Maintain or
improve margin
- Convert at least
90% of EBIT into
- perating cash
7 7
Financial overview
Strong H1 performance and full-year outlook
Global continuing revenue and EBIT only. Growth at constant exchange rates and for continuing activities EBIT and EBIT margin exclude FARES. FY10 and FY11 revenue and EBIT adjusted to exclude UK account processing and
- ther small discontinuing activities
EBIT margin
EBIT US$m, growth % and margin % Revenue US$m and
- rganic revenue growth %
483 442 560
24.2% 24.5%
FY10 H1 FY11 H1 FY12 H1 FY10 H1 FY11 H1 FY12 H1
1,830 1,985 2,287
1% 7% 6% 24.3%
Q3 organic revenue growth of 7% Outlook:
- H2 organic
revenue at least as strong as Q3 For full year:
- modest margin
improvement
- strong cash
conversion
7% 8% 12%
8 8
Financial overview
Organic revenue growth contribution
H1 FY12
Credit Services excl. Latin America 4% Interactive excl. NA Lead Gen. 6% Global Decision Analytics 8% Global Marketing Services 10% Latin America Credit Services 19% NA Lead Gen. (30%) NA Lead Gen. 49% Credit Services excl. Latin America (1%) Global Decision Analytics (1%) Interactive excl. NA Lead Gen. 1% Global Marketing Services 10% Latin America Credit Services 22%
H1 FY11
9 9
Strategic overview
Structural growth drivers underpinning growth
10 10
Strategic overview
Global growth programme: key initiatives
- North America
business information products
- Next-generation
bureau
- New Decision
Analytics platform
- New Marketing
Services platforms
- Consumer protection
products
- Credit bureaux:
- Colombia
- India
- Australia
- Positive data
- Marketing Services
product roll-out
- Consumer Direct roll-
- ut
- SME
- Healthcare payments
- Insurance
- Public sector
- Telecommunications
- Utilities
Product innovation Expanding geographically New customer segments
11 11
Become the most trusted consumer brand for credit information and identity protection services Extend our global lead in credit information and analytics Build successful businesses in new customer segments Become global leader in digital marketing services Strategic overview
Strategic objectives: H1 progress
Build large-scale operations in major emerging consumer economies
1 2 3 4 5
1 2 3 4 5
12 12
Bureau data: recently acquired
Data Lab
Extend global lead in credit information and analytics
Data investment
UK Cheque account
- New sources of data in strong demand
- R&D Data Lab drives value
- Integrating client data and Experian data
- US and UK Credit Services benefit from investments
UK Utility data UK Pay day loans US Utility trades US Rental data US Income Insight Mortgage data Transaction data Card data Deposit data 1 2 3 4 5
13 13
Extend global lead in credit information and analytics
Data expansion
Brazil property data Spain positive data Netherlands positive data Denmark positive data India consumer credit Australia consumer credit
- New negative data partnership in Brazil
- Progress towards adding positive data in Brazil
- Competition approval for Australia JV bureau
- Developing plans to add positive data in other markets
Australia business credit Brazil positive data Brazil retail negative data
Bureau data: expansion areas
1 2 3 4 5
14 14
2
Build successful businesses in new customer segments
Progress in H1
About two thirds of revenue is outside Financial Services
SME Public sector Healthcare payments
- Leading in UK SME sector with the acquisition of LM
Group
- Healthy pipeline for fraud and authentication
- Significant recent wins
- MPV brings new addressable market in physician
sector
1 3 4 5
15 15
3
Build large-scale operations in major consumer economies
Update on Computec acquisition
- Acquired 98% stake for
US$380m
- Expect to move to 100%
- wnership in early 2012
- Year ended 31 Dec 2010
- Revenue US$83m
- EBIT1 US$22m
- Underlying revenue
growth c.20%
1 2 4 5
El buró de crédito que administra la base de datos más completa del país
“ ”
1 Consolidated operating income before interest, foreign exchange gains, profit on disposal of business and tax.16 16
Become global leader in digital marketing services
Structured for growth
Strategy:
- Focus on 10 major
markets
- Build multi-channel
capability
- Email in 10 major
markets, signing global client deals
- 8 countries have four
- r more services
Data Email Mobile Social
US UK France Germany Spain Australia China India Japan Brazil
1 2 3 4 5
17 17
Strategy:
- Multi-brand
approach
- Grow in protection
space
- Build loyalty
- Evaluate
geographic expansion
Identity Credit reference Other
Trusted consumer brand for credit information and identity protection
H1 progress
1 2 3 4 5
18 18 0.75 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 FY09 FY10 FY11 H1 FY12
Capital structure
Net debt/EBITDA
1 Valuation at 30 September 2011Net debt Serasa put option Net debt to EBITDA
US$bn Net debt to EBITDA
Target net debt to EBITDA range
- Serasa put
- ption value
US$865m1
- With Computec,
pro-forma net debt to EBITDA at top end of target range
19 19
New customer segments
Summary
Driving premium growth
Creating value now and into the future
Digital experts Big in growing economies The data edge Great consumer brands
Appendix
21
Appendix
Revenue and EBIT by geography
All figures above on continuing basis Growth at constant exchange rates
7% 6%
Six months ended 30 September US$million Total growth 2011 2010
Revenue North America UK and Ireland EMEA/Asia Pacific Total revenue 1,144 399 284 2,287 7% 8% 18% 11% 2% 6% 1,067 349 219 1,985 EBIT – continuing activities 560 12% 483 EBIT margin 24.5% 24.3% Latin America 460 20% 20% 350 Central activities (28) (25) EBIT before central activities 588 12% 508 7% 7% 2% 7% 27%
Organic growth
H1 FY12 Q3 FY12
22
Appendix
Group benchmark earnings
Growth at actual exchange rates.
1 Benchmark PBT is defined as profit before amortisation of acquisition intangibles, acquisition expenses, goodwill impairments,charges in respect of the demerger-related equity incentive plans, exceptional items, financing fair value remeasurements and
- tax. It includes the Group’s share of associates’ pre-tax profit.
2011 2010 Growth
(25) (38) Benchmark non-controlling interest (98) (122) Benchmark taxation 352 417 Benchmark PAT 20% 450 539 Benchmark PBT1 16% 327 379 Benchmark earnings 16% 484 560 Total EBIT (34) (21) Net Interest Dividend per share, US cents Benchmark EPS, US cents 10.25 38.3 32.4 9.00 18% 14%
Six months ended 30 September US$million
989 1,008 Weighted average number of shares 986 1,002 Closing number of shares 21.8% 22.6% Benchmark taxation rate
23
Appendix
FY12 modelling considerations
Net interest
- Net interest in the region of US$50m to US$55m, after a net
pension credit of US$11m, at current rates
Capital expenditure
- Capital expenditure expected to be approximately
US$450m, reflecting investment in acquisitions and the impact of foreign exchange movements
Tax
- Benchmark tax rate of c.24%
- Cash tax rate in the range of 12% to 15%
Acquisition contribution
- c.4% revenue contribution from acquisitions in H2 FY12
Foreign exchange
- Modest FX impact in H2 if current rates prevail
24
Appendix
Cash flow performance
Six months ended 30 September 2011 US$million
560 (201) 155 (81) 436 326 (24)
EBIT Retained in associate Operating cash flow Working capital Capital expenditure Sale of fixed assets Depreciation and amortisation Dividends to NCIs Free cash flow Net interest
78% conversion
- f EBIT into
- perating cash
flow 86% conversion
- f benchmark
earnings into free cash flow
Tax
1 2 (50) (36)
25 25
Appendix
EBIT margin by geography
24.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% (0.3%) 0.1% 24.9% (0.4%) 24.5% H1 FY11 H1 FY12 Acquisitions Mix EMEA/AP UK & Ireland Latin America North America H1 FY12 before acquisitions
26
Appendix
Credit Services: our business and market influences
Market influences Our business
- We build and manage large databases of credit
application and payment histories of consumers and businesses
- We help clients manage the risks associated with
lending money so they can:
- decide who to lend to
- set appropriate lending limits
- take action on overdue accounts
- Competition between lenders for new customers
- Need to monitor risk in lending portfolios
- Growth in demand in new customer segments
- Growth in credit active population in emerging markets
27
Appendix
Credit Services
All figures above on continuing basis Growth at constant exchange rates
377 116 107 1,037 5%
- 3%
10% 348 33.6% 437 8% 2% 11% 12% 12% 19% 19% 349 108 88 880 297 33.8% 335
Six months ended 30 September US$million Total growth 2011 2010
Revenue North America UK and Ireland EMEA/Asia Pacific Total revenue Latin America EBIT EBIT margin 7% 2% 6% 15% 28%
Organic growth
H1 FY12 Q3 FY12
28
Appendix
Decision Analytics: our business and market influences
Market influences Our business
- Need for sophisticated prospecting and risk
management tools
- Standardisation by our clients to create single customer
experience
- Growth in demand for fraud prevention and
authentication tools
- Client willingness to invest in large software platforms
- We provide software, scores and analytics to financial
services clients
- We help clients at all stages of the lending cycle to:
- identify new customers
- segment existing customers
- manage portfolios and optimise collections
- We provide detection and fraud prevention services
29
Six months ended 30 September US$million
Total growth 2011 2010
Revenue North America UK and Ireland EMEA/Asia Pacific Total revenue Latin America
Appendix
Decision Analytics
(4%) 8% 10% 52 (4%) 8% 14% 82 55 194 10% 14% 5 61% 61% (9%) 49 25.3% 96 59 223 59 9 47 21.1% EBIT EBIT margin
All figures above on continuing basis Growth at constant exchange rates
(9%) 3% 4% 9% 60%
Organic growth
H1 FY12 Q3 FY12
30
Appendix
Marketing Services: our business and market influences
Market influences Our business
- Spending by retailers on marketing in US & UK
- Strong growth in emerging markets
- Secular shift from traditional to digital advertising
- Growing demand for intelligent solutions
- Growth in demand for global services
- We own unique data on consumer attributes
- We use sophisticated marketing strategies to help
- rganisations identify, understand, target and engage
their best customers through:
- unrivalled data on consumers
- systems, analytics & platforms that puts data to work
- ability to help clients understand and measure
effectiveness of campaigns
31
EBIT EBIT margin
Six months ended 30 September US$million Total growth 2011 2010
Revenue North America UK and Ireland EMEA/Asia Pacific Total revenue Latin America
Appendix
Marketing Services
175 191 115 118 438 9% 6% 41% 16% 9% 1% 21% 10% 102 76 363 60 13.7% 11% 53 14.6% 14 35% 18% 10
All figures above on continuing basis Growth at constant exchange rates
7% 2% 17% 7% (15%)
Organic growth
H1 FY12 Q3 FY12
32
Appendix
Interactive: our business and market influences
Market influences Our business
- Rising awareness of uses of credit information
and benefits of credit monitoring
- Growth in personal identity theft
- We provide online services directly to consumers via
subscription, including:
- access to their detailed credit history
- access to their credit scores
- credit monitoring for identity protection purposes
- Our online lead generation services help businesses
target offers to consumers e.g. loans or insurance
- We provide online comparison shopping services
33
EBIT EBIT margin
Six months ended 30 September US$million Total growth 2011 2010
Revenue North America UK and Ireland Total revenue
Appendix
Interactive
All figures above on continuing basis Growth at constant exchange rates
517 72 5% 19% 7% (5%) 19% 491 57 548 133 22.6% 21% 109 19.9% 589 (2%) (4%) 29% (1%)
Organic growth
H1 FY12 Q3 FY12
34
Appendix
Experian American Depositary Receipt (ADR) program
Experian ADR shares trade on the OTCQX under the following information:
Symbol EXPGY CUSIP 30215C101 Ratio 1 ADR : 1 ORD Country United Kingdom Effective Date October 11, 2006 Underlying SEDOL B19NLV4 Underlying ISIN GB00B19NLV48 U.S. ISIN US30215C1018 Depositary BNY Mellon
For ADR shareholder enquiries, please contact:
Shareholder Relations Bank of New York Mellon PO Box 358516 Pittsburgh PA 15252 - 8516 United States T: + 1 201 680 6825 (From the US: 1-888-BNY-ADRS, toll free) E: shrrelations@bnymellon.com W: www.adrbnymellon.com
35
Experian Cardinal Place 80 Victoria Street London SW1E 5JL Tel: +44 (0)203 042 4200 Website: www.experianplc.com Nadia Ridout-Jamieson Peg Smith Director of Investor Relations Executive Vice-President Email: nadia.rjamieson@experian.com Email: peg.smith@experian.com Sarah Schibli Investor Relations Analyst Email: sarah.schibli@experian.com
Appendix
Contacts
36
10 May 2012 Preliminary results announcement 13 July 2012 Interim management statement, first quarter 18 July 2012 Annual general meeting 8 November 2012 Interim results announcement
Appendix
Event calendar
37
- This presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom this
presentation may lawfully be communicated (“relevant persons”). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents.
- Information in this presentation relating to the price at which relevant investments have been
bought or sold in the past or the yield on such investments cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments.
- This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an
- ffering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation, inducement or recommendation to any
person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in any company within the Experian group (the “Group”).
- Certain statements made in this presentation are forward looking statements. Such statements
are based on current expectations and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from any expected future events or results expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation.
- This presentation contains certain non-GAAP financial information. The Group’s management
believes that these measures provide valuable additional information in understanding the performance of the Group or the Group’s businesses because they provide measures used by the Group to assess performance. Although these measures are important in the management of the business, they should not be viewed as replacements for, but rather as complementary to, the GAAP measures.
Appendix
Disclaimer