July / August 2010 July / August 2010 Overview Experian investment - - PDF document
July / August 2010 July / August 2010 Overview Experian investment - - PDF document
July / August 2010 July / August 2010 Overview Experian investment highlights Experian investment highlights Unique combination of data & analytics Global leader with high barriers to entry Global leader with high barriers to entry
Overview
Experian investment highlights Experian investment highlights
Unique combination of data & analytics Global leader with high barriers to entry Global leader with high barriers to entry Significant growth opportunities through: through:
- new products
- new verticals
- new geographies
- new geographies
Strong financials; highly cash generative generative
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Overview
Financial highlights g g
Global continuing sales and EBIT only Global continuing sales and EBIT only Growth at constant exchange rates and for continuing activities EBIT margin excluding FARES FY06 and FY07 sales and EBIT adjusted to exclude MetaReward. FY06, FY07, FY08, FY09 and FY10 sales and EBIT adjusted to exclude UK account processing, FY07 and FY08 sales and EBIT adjusted to exclude Loyalty Solutions, FY08 and FY09 sales and EBIT adjusted to exclude French transaction processing activities and
- ther smaller discontinuing activities, FY10 sales and EBIT exclude small discontinuing activities
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Overview
Highly cash generative g y g
1,200 Operating cash flow as a percentage
- n
800 1,000 percentage
- f EBIT
97% 98% 99% 98%
US$millio
600 800
Free cash flow* Operating cash flow
U
200 400 FY10 FY09 FY08 FY07
US$2.8bn free cash flow generated in past 4 years
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* Free cash flow is defined as operating cash flow less net interest, tax paid and dividends paid to minority shareholders.
Overview
Delivering organic revenue growth
8%
g g g
Lehman collapse
6% 7% 8%
Credit crunch collapse
4% 5%
Organic revenue growth
2% 3%
growth
0% 1% FY09 FY10 FY08 Q1 FY08 Q2 FY08 Q3 FY08 Q4 FY09 Q1 FY09 Q2 FY09 Q3 FY09 Q4 FY10 Q1 FY10 Q2 FY10 Q3 FY10 Q4 FY11 Q1 5
Note: Growth shown is for continuing activities
Overview
Business split p
EMEA /AP
Revenue by geography Revenue by business line
/AP 12% UK and Ireland 20% North America 53% Interactive 27% Credit Services 43% Marketing Latin America 15% g Services 19% Decision Analytics 11% 10% 5% Retail 14%
Other Public Sector/education Telecoms/utilities
Other 9% 2%
Central activities
Revenue by vertical Cost profile
3% 3% 5% 14% Direct to Consumer 19% Financial 5%
Telecoms/utilities Automotive Insurance Media
Labour 52% Data 14% Marketing 16% services 36% IT 7% 14%
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Global continuing revenue to 31 March 2010
Overview
Global market leadership
4 000
1
3 000 3,500 4,000
Other regions North America
3,8591
3,000 2 000 2,500
$m
47% 1 8252 23% 9% 14%
2,000 1,000 1,500
evenue US$
1,0991 1,6872 22% 1,825 19% 14% 8602 55% 67%* 33% 77%* 80% 91%* 9% 86%*
500 ,
Global re
53% 6313 68% * 32% 78% 81% 86% * 14% 90% * 10% 860 Experian Equifax D&B Acxiom Harte- Hanks FICO
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Source: Latest full year revenue, company 10K * US only 1 Year ended 31 March 2010 2 Year ended 31 December 2009 3 Year ended 30 September 2009
Overview
Credit Services – 43% of Group revenue
Snapshot Key points
p
Vital statistics 16 consumer credit bureaux l b ll Credit application and payment history data on consumers and businesses: Overview globally 12 business credit bureaux globally Automotive information in US, UK, Holland and Italy businesses:
- n c. 500m consumers
- n c. 40m businesses
Holland and Italy Business model Financial services, telecoms, utilities, insurance, government, automotive dealers and others Clients Business model Transactional Volume-tiered pricing Habitually recurring revenue Credit reports to target new customers, underwrite new loans, manage account portfolios and collect on
- verdue loans
Products Habitually recurring revenue
- verdue loans
Vehicle history information and accident data
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Overview
Credit Services
Organic growth Year ended 31 March Organic growth
- f 1%; small
acquisition contribution
693 (5)% (6)% 730 Revenue North America
US$million Organic growth 2010 2009 Total growth Growth in Latin America offsets market challenges elsewhere
693 234 191 (5)% (6)% 8% (6)% (6)% 0% 30 265 172 538 17% 17% 437 UK and Ireland EMEA/Asia Pacific Latin America
elsewhere Margin up 150 basis points
191 1,656 8% 2% 0% 1% 172 1,604 Total EBIT
di t b i
555 7% 513 EMEA/Asia Pacific Total revenue Total EBIT – direct business FARES Total EBIT 555 56 611 7% 16% 8% 513 48 561
All fi b i i b i
EBIT margin 33.5% 32.0%
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All figures above on continuing basis Growth at constant exchange rates EBIT margin is for continuing business only, excluding FARES 2009 restated to exclude small discontinuing activity in North America
Overview
Decision Analytics – 11% of Group revenue y p
Snapshot Key points
Combines analytics, software, fraud prevention tools and consulting to help Overview Vital statistics Delivered into over 90 countries ld id tools and consulting to help clients better manage risk Financial services, telecoms, utilities government and Clients worldwide Build over 300 scorecards p.a. Over 1,500 systems deployed worldwide utilities, government and
- thers
Credit risk and fraud analytics (e g scoring) worldwide Clients often standardise lending
- perations on our software
Business model Products analytics (e.g. scoring) Application processing, customer management and collections software Part transactional revenue Part software licence and implementation fees Fraud and identity solutions Habitually and contractually recurring revenue
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Overview
Decision Analytics y
Organic revenue Year ended 31 March Organic revenue decline due to: lower origination volumes
116 (3)% (3)% 119 Revenue North America
US$million Organic growth 2010 2009 Total growth client capex restraints Revenue decline
193 125 ( )% (8)% (5)% ( )% (8)% (5)% 226 131 7 (26)% (26)% 10 UK and Ireland EMEA/Asia Pacific Latin America
Revenue decline is the main driver behind margin movement
EBIT 125 441 (5)% (7)% (5)% (7)% 131 486 119 (11)% 140 EMEA/Asia Pacific Total revenue EBIT margin 27.0% 28.8%
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All figures above on continuing basis Growth at constant exchange rates 2009 restated to exclude small discontinuing activity in UK & Ireland
Overview
Interactive – 27% of Group revenue p
Snapshot Key points
Provision of online credit monitoring services, credit scores and identity theft Consumer Direct Vital statistics c.10m members in US and UK for dit it i i scores and identity theft prevention products to consumers Online lead generation and
- nline price comparison
credit monitoring services Recent US launch of identity protection services Other
- nline price comparison
services Consumers for credit reference and identity monitoring products Customers Business model monitoring products Businesses and retailers for lead generation and price comparison Membership subscriptions in consumer direct Pay per lead or referral
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Overview
Interactive
Organic revenue Year ended 31 March Organic revenue growth of 11% Continued growth in
922 8% 8% 852 Revenue North America
Organic growth 2010 2009 Total growth US$million g Consumer Direct Strong growth in lead generation
UK and Ireland Total revenue 109 38% 11% 38% 84 936 1,031 11%
EBIT margin up 90 basis points, helped by improved
EBIT EBIT margin 242 23.5% 15% 212 22.6%
p subscriber retention
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All figures above on continuing basis Growth at constant exchange rates 2009 restated to exclude small discontinuing activity in North America
Overview
Marketing Services – 19% of Group revenue g p
Snapshot Key points
Vital statistics Migration from traditional to newer di h l Consumer data: demographic, geographic, purchasing and media Overview media channels
- ver 50% of revenue derives from
new media activities Global deployment purchasing and media preference data Platforms: technology platforms to enable delivery
- f marketing programmes
Global deployment Business model Part transactional revenue
- f marketing programmes
across multiple channels Analytics: predictive modelling Part data license and subscription fees Habitually and contractually recurring revenue Retail, financial services, media, telecoms and other Clients recurring revenue
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Overview
Marketing Services
North America
g
Year ended 31 March North America decline due to retail spending contraction
358 329 (8)% (8)% Revenue North America
US$million Organic growth 2010 2009 Total growth Growth in new media; traditional stabilising
358 3 9 243 145 (8)% (4)% 16% (8)% (2)% 8% 268 123 14 (13)% (13)% 15 UK and Ireland EMEA/Asia Pacific Latin America
Margin increase due to cost actions and positive mix;
145 731 16% (3)% 8% (4)% 123 764 86 0% 88 EBIT EMEA/Asia Pacific Total revenue
p ; investment in EMEA/Asia Pacific
11.8% 11.5% EBIT margin
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All figures above on continuing basis Growth at constant exchange rates 2009 restated to exclude small discontinuing activities in UK & Ireland
Strategy
Taking control of growth g g
Focus on data and analytics Expand New Superior Drive profitable Expand global reach New data and analytics Superior sales and
- perations
profitable growth
Delivery of higher growth
Optimise capital efficiency
Delivery of higher growth in FY11 and beyond…
efficiency
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Strategy
Expand global reach: stages of development p g g p
Near term 1-2 years Medium term 2-3 years Long term >3 years 1-2 years 2-3 years >3 years
Launch existing products US public sector US healthcare Bureau builds in India, Russia into new geographies Fraud and identity US healthcare vertical Global telecoms Develop SME and other emerging markets Fraud and identity management, including ProtectMyID Develop SME channel
Expect incremental revenue of over US$300m collectively over 3-5 years
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Strategy
Geographic expansion g p p
Latin Emerging Emerging Developed Latin America
33.2
Emerging Europe
45.0
Emerging Asia
110.4
Developed countries
136.8
)
World average = 80.0
t/GDP (%)
45%
Credit
18 Source: Central Banks – 2008. Brazil - 2009
Strategy
Deliver innovative data and analytics
New sources f d t
y
Enhanced analytics d l tf
- f data
and platforms
Niche data Small business loan New fraud prevention tools loan Mortgage loan Property valuation Voter ID New partnerships for digital advertising Sophisticated risk p tools, e.g. Future Delphi
Investment for growth
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Strategy
Superior sales and execution p
2,000 salespeople Invest in high Invest in high performance culture Drive sales excellence Expand specialist vertical market sales teams sales teams
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Strategy
Ingredients for medium term growth g g
G
Leverage strong
Growth accretion
Leverage strong market position as markets recover c 1% incremental
Market recovery
Vertical markets Geographic markets
- c. 1% incremental
revenue growth in FY11 from strategic initiatives
+2%
Gradual recovery in core markets Underpenetrated channels Invest in data
Aim to maintain or improve margins, while investing for th
FY10 organic
2%
core markets Invest in data and analytics Superior execution
growth Supplement with targeted, infill
revenue growth
acquisitions
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Capital strategy
Net debt/EBITDA
2.2x
3,500
1.8x 2.1x
3,000 2,500
- n
2,000 1,500
US$millio
1,000 500
T t dj t d t d bt t EBITDA f 1 75 2 0
Mar 08 Mar 09 Mar 10 Sep 08 Sep 09
Target adjusted net debt to EBITDA of 1.75 - 2.0x Serasa put option value US$661m1
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1 Valuation at 31 March 2010
Capital strategy
Components of capital strategy
Start FY11 at bottom end of target gearing range
F
p p gy
Start FY11 at bottom end of target gearing range Expect further proceeds from FARES Investment needs:
Focus on data and analytics
P&L investment at c. 200 basis points of margin Capital expenditure to rise c.15% in FY11
Drive profitable
Acquisitions, more opportunities Cash flow more than sufficient to fund needs
profitable growth
Raised dividend payout ratio to c.2.5x benchmark EPS cover: H1: 1/3, H2: 2/3 approximately US$300m share buyback programme commenced, plus dditi l US$50 t ti f l h l
Optimise capital efficiency
additional US$50m to satisfy employee share plans
efficiency
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Summary
The Experian model: creating value for shareholders
Strong financial performance Q1 FY11 6% organic revenue growth Hi hl h ti Highly cash generative Global market leader: high barriers to entry Significant growth opportunities Efficient capital management Efficient capital management Investment in long term growth Enhanced distribution policy
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* Continuing activities at constant currency
Appendix
Appendix
Revenue and EBIT by geography
Year ended 31 March
y g g p y
Solid organic US$million Total growth Organic growth 2010 2009
Revenue North America 2,060 0% 0% 2,059
Solid organic revenue growth Direct EBIT growth of 5%
1% UK and Ireland EMEA/Asia Pacific , 779 461 (1)% 6% (1)% , 843 426 Latin America 559 16% 16% 462
g Strong margin performance in Latin America and UK & Ireland
1% 2% EMEA/Asia Pacific Total revenue 461 3,859 6% 2% 426 3,790 EBIT before Central Activities 1,002 6% 953
and UK & Ireland Margins broadly flat elsewhere
EBIT – direct business FARES 940 56 5% 16% 896 48 Central Activities (62) (57) EBIT – continuing activities EBIT margin 996 24.4% 6% 944 23.6%
All fi b i i b i
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All figures above on continuing basis Growth at constant exchange rates EBIT margin is for continuing business only, excluding FARES 2009 restated to exclude small discontinuing activities in North America and UK & Ireland
Appendix
North America financial summary
North America Credit Services
y
North America Total FY10 revenue mix
10% 10% 80%
FY10 revenue mix
45% 33% Credit Services Consumer information 16% 6% Marketing Services Interactive Decision Analytics Automotive Business information
Approximate % of NA Credit Services Pre screen <15%
NA accounts for 53% of group
16%
Pre-screen <15% Mortgage <10% Account management and collections >20%
g p revenue
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Appendix
UK and Ireland financial summary
UK Total UK Credit Services UK Total FY10 revenue
30% 14% 12%
UK Credit Services FY10 revenue
30% Consumer information 50% Credit Services 25% 31% Automotive Business information 38% Marketing Services Interactive Decision Analytics
Balanced spread of revenues
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Appendix
Strong cash flow performance g p
Year ended 31 March 2010 US$million
Depreciation and amortisation Capital expenditure Working capital (17) Retained 11 Net interest (68) Dividends to minority (314) 275 in associate 11 ( ) Tax (48) to minority interests (42) 25 Sale of fixed assets 991 976
98% i
818
120% i
30
98% conversion
- f EBIT into
- perating cash
flow 120% conversion
- f benchmark
earnings into free cash flow
Free cash flow Operating cash flow EBIT
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Appendix
Net debt reconciliation
Year ended 31 March 2010 US$million
(135) (62) Net purchase of shares for equity incentive plans (56) ( ) 161 (206) 818 Foreign exchange and
- ther
Dividend (114) Acquisitions 118 (52) (2,110) (1,627) (62) (19) Exceptional cash outflow Free cash flow (114) Acquisitions and disposals FARES disposal Net debt at 1 April 2009 Net debt at 31 March 2010
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Appendix
Group benchmark earnings p g
2010 2009
Year ended 31 March US$ illi
Growth
6% 939
(96)
991
(81)
2010 2009
US$million
Growth
Total EBIT Net Interest
8% 843
(184)
659
( )
910
(184)
726
( ) Benchmark taxation Benchmark PAT Benchmark PBT1
1,015 1,013 8%
(28)
631
(45)
681
Weighted average number of shares Benchmark minority interest Benchmark earnings
1,015 1,013
Weighted average number of shares Dividend per share, US cents Benchmark EPS, US cents
23.0 67.1 62.3 20.0 8% 15%
p ,
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Growth at actual exchange rates 1 Benchmark PBT is defined as profit before amortisation of acquisition intangibles, goodwill impairments, charges in respect
- f the demerger-related equity incentive plans, exceptional items, financing fair value remeasurements and tax. It includes
the Group’s share of associates’ pre-tax profit.
Appendix
FARES joint venture: cash proceeds from sale j p
Cash flow Date of receipt FARES will be US$million FARES will be treated as discontinued in FY11 Sale of First American shares 70 H2 Sale of FARES assets 48 H2 Residual interest 314 Net cash flow 118 FY10 FARES contribution to be excluded from benchmark items H2 Residual interest Tax 314 (62) benchmark items H2 H2 Gross proceeds to Experian 432 Net cash flow 252 FY11 Net proceeds to Experian 370
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Appendix
Spotlight on Latin America p g
Acquired 70% stake in Serasa for 2009 market share1 Latin America: c.US$1.1bn Acquired 70% stake in Serasa for US$1.3bn in 2007 Market leading credit bureau in Brazil; fourth largest globally
Experian
15% 17%
; g g y Attractive market dynamics:
- Low credit penetration
- Young demographic
Experian Equifax
19% 49% 17%
- Upward social mobility
Mid-teens revenue growth; EBIT exceeding buy-plan Brazil: c.US$800m
ACSP Other
5%
Put and call options over minority exercisable for 5 years from June 2012
11% 22% 62%
Serasa put option valued at $661m (Mar 2010)
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1 Share of credit reference market Source: Serasa Experian estimates
Appendix
Financial Services revenues (Consumer Information) ( )
Total group revenue FY10 $3.9bn
<10%
NA & UK Financial Services revenue in Consumer Information Rest of Experian global revenue
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Based on total revenues for year ended 31 March 2010
Appendix
Debt funding
Successful €500m Eurobond issue in February 2010 P t f 18 th t fi d Part of 18 month programme to refinance and spread maturity of debt Further bond issue expected in next 12 months Further bond issue expected in next 12 months US$2,530m revolving credit facilities repayable July 2012 July 2012 Incremental interest charge of US$10 to US$20m including share buyback funding including share buyback funding
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Appendix
FY11 modelling considerations g
Net interest
Net interest in the region of US$90m to US$100m, after a nominal net pension charge, at current rates
Tax
Benchmark tax rate of c.22.0%. Cash tax of c.10%
Exceptional
US$10m residual charge due to cost efficiency programme
Capital expenditure
Capital expenditure expected to be between US$340m and US$370m, reflecting investment spend
p
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Contacts
Experian Cardinal Place 80 Victoria Street London London SW1E 5JL Tel: +44 (0)203 042 4200 Website: www.experianplc.com Website: www.experianplc.com Paul Brooks Nadia Ridout-Jamieson Chief Financial Officer Director of Investor Relations Email: paul.brooks@experian.com Email: nadia.rjamieson@experian.com Email: paul.brooks@experian.com Email: nadia.rjamieson@experian.com Peg Smith Sarah Schibli Executive Vice-President Investor Relations Analyst Executive Vice President Investor Relations Analyst Email: peg.smith@experian.com Email: sarah.schibli@experian.com
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Event calendar
21 July 2010 Annual General Meeting 21 July 2010 Annual General Meeting 17 November 2010 Half-yearly results announcement 18 January 2011 Interim management statement, third quarter 18 May 2011 Preliminary results announcement y y
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Disclaimer
- This presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom this
presentation may lawfully be communicated (“relevant persons”). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents.
- Information in this presentation relating to the price at which relevant investments have been
bo ght or sold in the past or the ield on s ch in estments cannot be relied pon as a g ide to bought or sold in the past or the yield on such investments cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments.
- This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an
- ffering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation, inducement or recommendation to any
person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in any company within the E i (th “G ”) Experian group (the “Group”).
- Certain statements made in this presentation are forward looking statements. Such statements
are based on current expectations and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from any expected future events or results expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements p p g g speak only as of the date of this presentation.
- This presentation contains certain non-GAAP financial information. The Group’s management
believes that these measures provide valuable additional information in understanding the performance of the Group or the Group’s businesses because they provide measures used by the Group to assess performance. Although these measures are important in the management of the Group to assess performance. Although these measures are important in the management of the business, they should not be viewed as replacements for, but rather as complementary to, the GAAP measures.
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