July / August 2010 July / August 2010 Overview Experian investment - - PDF document

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July / August 2010 July / August 2010 Overview Experian investment - - PDF document

July / August 2010 July / August 2010 Overview Experian investment highlights Experian investment highlights Unique combination of data & analytics Global leader with high barriers to entry Global leader with high barriers to entry


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SLIDE 1

July / August 2010 July / August 2010

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SLIDE 2

Overview

Experian investment highlights Experian investment highlights

Unique combination of data & analytics Global leader with high barriers to entry Global leader with high barriers to entry Significant growth opportunities through: through:

  • new products
  • new verticals
  • new geographies
  • new geographies

Strong financials; highly cash generative generative

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SLIDE 3

Overview

Financial highlights g g

Global continuing sales and EBIT only Global continuing sales and EBIT only Growth at constant exchange rates and for continuing activities EBIT margin excluding FARES FY06 and FY07 sales and EBIT adjusted to exclude MetaReward. FY06, FY07, FY08, FY09 and FY10 sales and EBIT adjusted to exclude UK account processing, FY07 and FY08 sales and EBIT adjusted to exclude Loyalty Solutions, FY08 and FY09 sales and EBIT adjusted to exclude French transaction processing activities and

  • ther smaller discontinuing activities, FY10 sales and EBIT exclude small discontinuing activities

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SLIDE 4

Overview

Highly cash generative g y g

1,200 Operating cash flow as a percentage

  • n

800 1,000 percentage

  • f EBIT

97% 98% 99% 98%

US$millio

600 800

Free cash flow* Operating cash flow

U

200 400 FY10 FY09 FY08 FY07

US$2.8bn free cash flow generated in past 4 years

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* Free cash flow is defined as operating cash flow less net interest, tax paid and dividends paid to minority shareholders.

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SLIDE 5

Overview

Delivering organic revenue growth

8%

g g g

Lehman collapse

6% 7% 8%

Credit crunch collapse

4% 5%

Organic revenue growth

2% 3%

growth

0% 1% FY09 FY10 FY08 Q1 FY08 Q2 FY08 Q3 FY08 Q4 FY09 Q1 FY09 Q2 FY09 Q3 FY09 Q4 FY10 Q1 FY10 Q2 FY10 Q3 FY10 Q4 FY11 Q1 5

Note: Growth shown is for continuing activities

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SLIDE 6

Overview

Business split p

EMEA /AP

Revenue by geography Revenue by business line

/AP 12% UK and Ireland 20% North America 53% Interactive 27% Credit Services 43% Marketing Latin America 15% g Services 19% Decision Analytics 11% 10% 5% Retail 14%

Other Public Sector/education Telecoms/utilities

Other 9% 2%

Central activities

Revenue by vertical Cost profile

3% 3% 5% 14% Direct to Consumer 19% Financial 5%

Telecoms/utilities Automotive Insurance Media

Labour 52% Data 14% Marketing 16% services 36% IT 7% 14%

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Global continuing revenue to 31 March 2010

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SLIDE 7

Overview

Global market leadership

4 000

1

3 000 3,500 4,000

Other regions North America

3,8591

3,000 2 000 2,500

$m

47% 1 8252 23% 9% 14%

2,000 1,000 1,500

evenue US$

1,0991 1,6872 22% 1,825 19% 14% 8602 55% 67%* 33% 77%* 80% 91%* 9% 86%*

500 ,

Global re

53% 6313 68% * 32% 78% 81% 86% * 14% 90% * 10% 860 Experian Equifax D&B Acxiom Harte- Hanks FICO

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Source: Latest full year revenue, company 10K * US only 1 Year ended 31 March 2010 2 Year ended 31 December 2009 3 Year ended 30 September 2009

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SLIDE 8

Overview

Credit Services – 43% of Group revenue

Snapshot Key points

p

Vital statistics 16 consumer credit bureaux l b ll Credit application and payment history data on consumers and businesses: Overview globally 12 business credit bureaux globally Automotive information in US, UK, Holland and Italy businesses:

  • n c. 500m consumers
  • n c. 40m businesses

Holland and Italy Business model Financial services, telecoms, utilities, insurance, government, automotive dealers and others Clients Business model Transactional Volume-tiered pricing Habitually recurring revenue Credit reports to target new customers, underwrite new loans, manage account portfolios and collect on

  • verdue loans

Products Habitually recurring revenue

  • verdue loans

Vehicle history information and accident data

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SLIDE 9

Overview

Credit Services

Organic growth Year ended 31 March Organic growth

  • f 1%; small

acquisition contribution

693 (5)% (6)% 730 Revenue North America

US$million Organic growth 2010 2009 Total growth Growth in Latin America offsets market challenges elsewhere

693 234 191 (5)% (6)% 8% (6)% (6)% 0% 30 265 172 538 17% 17% 437 UK and Ireland EMEA/Asia Pacific Latin America

elsewhere Margin up 150 basis points

191 1,656 8% 2% 0% 1% 172 1,604 Total EBIT

di t b i

555 7% 513 EMEA/Asia Pacific Total revenue Total EBIT – direct business FARES Total EBIT 555 56 611 7% 16% 8% 513 48 561

All fi b i i b i

EBIT margin 33.5% 32.0%

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All figures above on continuing basis Growth at constant exchange rates EBIT margin is for continuing business only, excluding FARES 2009 restated to exclude small discontinuing activity in North America

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SLIDE 10

Overview

Decision Analytics – 11% of Group revenue y p

Snapshot Key points

Combines analytics, software, fraud prevention tools and consulting to help Overview Vital statistics Delivered into over 90 countries ld id tools and consulting to help clients better manage risk Financial services, telecoms, utilities government and Clients worldwide Build over 300 scorecards p.a. Over 1,500 systems deployed worldwide utilities, government and

  • thers

Credit risk and fraud analytics (e g scoring) worldwide Clients often standardise lending

  • perations on our software

Business model Products analytics (e.g. scoring) Application processing, customer management and collections software Part transactional revenue Part software licence and implementation fees Fraud and identity solutions Habitually and contractually recurring revenue

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SLIDE 11

Overview

Decision Analytics y

Organic revenue Year ended 31 March Organic revenue decline due to: lower origination volumes

116 (3)% (3)% 119 Revenue North America

US$million Organic growth 2010 2009 Total growth client capex restraints Revenue decline

193 125 ( )% (8)% (5)% ( )% (8)% (5)% 226 131 7 (26)% (26)% 10 UK and Ireland EMEA/Asia Pacific Latin America

Revenue decline is the main driver behind margin movement

EBIT 125 441 (5)% (7)% (5)% (7)% 131 486 119 (11)% 140 EMEA/Asia Pacific Total revenue EBIT margin 27.0% 28.8%

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All figures above on continuing basis Growth at constant exchange rates 2009 restated to exclude small discontinuing activity in UK & Ireland

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SLIDE 12

Overview

Interactive – 27% of Group revenue p

Snapshot Key points

Provision of online credit monitoring services, credit scores and identity theft Consumer Direct Vital statistics c.10m members in US and UK for dit it i i scores and identity theft prevention products to consumers Online lead generation and

  • nline price comparison

credit monitoring services Recent US launch of identity protection services Other

  • nline price comparison

services Consumers for credit reference and identity monitoring products Customers Business model monitoring products Businesses and retailers for lead generation and price comparison Membership subscriptions in consumer direct Pay per lead or referral

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SLIDE 13

Overview

Interactive

Organic revenue Year ended 31 March Organic revenue growth of 11% Continued growth in

922 8% 8% 852 Revenue North America

Organic growth 2010 2009 Total growth US$million g Consumer Direct Strong growth in lead generation

UK and Ireland Total revenue 109 38% 11% 38% 84 936 1,031 11%

EBIT margin up 90 basis points, helped by improved

EBIT EBIT margin 242 23.5% 15% 212 22.6%

p subscriber retention

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All figures above on continuing basis Growth at constant exchange rates 2009 restated to exclude small discontinuing activity in North America

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SLIDE 14

Overview

Marketing Services – 19% of Group revenue g p

Snapshot Key points

Vital statistics Migration from traditional to newer di h l Consumer data: demographic, geographic, purchasing and media Overview media channels

  • ver 50% of revenue derives from

new media activities Global deployment purchasing and media preference data Platforms: technology platforms to enable delivery

  • f marketing programmes

Global deployment Business model Part transactional revenue

  • f marketing programmes

across multiple channels Analytics: predictive modelling Part data license and subscription fees Habitually and contractually recurring revenue Retail, financial services, media, telecoms and other Clients recurring revenue

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SLIDE 15

Overview

Marketing Services

North America

g

Year ended 31 March North America decline due to retail spending contraction

358 329 (8)% (8)% Revenue North America

US$million Organic growth 2010 2009 Total growth Growth in new media; traditional stabilising

358 3 9 243 145 (8)% (4)% 16% (8)% (2)% 8% 268 123 14 (13)% (13)% 15 UK and Ireland EMEA/Asia Pacific Latin America

Margin increase due to cost actions and positive mix;

145 731 16% (3)% 8% (4)% 123 764 86 0% 88 EBIT EMEA/Asia Pacific Total revenue

p ; investment in EMEA/Asia Pacific

11.8% 11.5% EBIT margin

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All figures above on continuing basis Growth at constant exchange rates 2009 restated to exclude small discontinuing activities in UK & Ireland

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SLIDE 16

Strategy

Taking control of growth g g

Focus on data and analytics Expand New Superior Drive profitable Expand global reach New data and analytics Superior sales and

  • perations

profitable growth

Delivery of higher growth

Optimise capital efficiency

Delivery of higher growth in FY11 and beyond…

efficiency

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SLIDE 17

Strategy

Expand global reach: stages of development p g g p

Near term 1-2 years Medium term 2-3 years Long term >3 years 1-2 years 2-3 years >3 years

Launch existing products US public sector US healthcare Bureau builds in India, Russia into new geographies Fraud and identity US healthcare vertical Global telecoms Develop SME and other emerging markets Fraud and identity management, including ProtectMyID Develop SME channel

Expect incremental revenue of over US$300m collectively over 3-5 years

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SLIDE 18

Strategy

Geographic expansion g p p

Latin Emerging Emerging Developed Latin America

33.2

Emerging Europe

45.0

Emerging Asia

110.4

Developed countries

136.8

)

World average = 80.0

t/GDP (%)

45%

Credit

18 Source: Central Banks – 2008. Brazil - 2009

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SLIDE 19

Strategy

Deliver innovative data and analytics

New sources f d t

y

Enhanced analytics d l tf

  • f data

and platforms

Niche data Small business loan New fraud prevention tools loan Mortgage loan Property valuation Voter ID New partnerships for digital advertising Sophisticated risk p tools, e.g. Future Delphi

Investment for growth

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SLIDE 20

Strategy

Superior sales and execution p

2,000 salespeople Invest in high Invest in high performance culture Drive sales excellence Expand specialist vertical market sales teams sales teams

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SLIDE 21

Strategy

Ingredients for medium term growth g g

G

Leverage strong

Growth accretion

Leverage strong market position as markets recover c 1% incremental

Market recovery

Vertical markets Geographic markets

  • c. 1% incremental

revenue growth in FY11 from strategic initiatives

+2%

Gradual recovery in core markets Underpenetrated channels Invest in data

Aim to maintain or improve margins, while investing for th

FY10 organic

2%

core markets Invest in data and analytics Superior execution

growth Supplement with targeted, infill

revenue growth

acquisitions

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SLIDE 22

Capital strategy

Net debt/EBITDA

2.2x

3,500

1.8x 2.1x

3,000 2,500

  • n

2,000 1,500

US$millio

1,000 500

T t dj t d t d bt t EBITDA f 1 75 2 0

Mar 08 Mar 09 Mar 10 Sep 08 Sep 09

Target adjusted net debt to EBITDA of 1.75 - 2.0x Serasa put option value US$661m1

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1 Valuation at 31 March 2010

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SLIDE 23

Capital strategy

Components of capital strategy

Start FY11 at bottom end of target gearing range

F

p p gy

Start FY11 at bottom end of target gearing range Expect further proceeds from FARES Investment needs:

Focus on data and analytics

P&L investment at c. 200 basis points of margin Capital expenditure to rise c.15% in FY11

Drive profitable

Acquisitions, more opportunities Cash flow more than sufficient to fund needs

profitable growth

Raised dividend payout ratio to c.2.5x benchmark EPS cover: H1: 1/3, H2: 2/3 approximately US$300m share buyback programme commenced, plus dditi l US$50 t ti f l h l

Optimise capital efficiency

additional US$50m to satisfy employee share plans

efficiency

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SLIDE 24

Summary

The Experian model: creating value for shareholders

Strong financial performance Q1 FY11 6% organic revenue growth Hi hl h ti Highly cash generative Global market leader: high barriers to entry Significant growth opportunities Efficient capital management Efficient capital management Investment in long term growth Enhanced distribution policy

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* Continuing activities at constant currency

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SLIDE 25

Appendix

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SLIDE 26

Appendix

Revenue and EBIT by geography

Year ended 31 March

y g g p y

Solid organic US$million Total growth Organic growth 2010 2009

Revenue North America 2,060 0% 0% 2,059

Solid organic revenue growth Direct EBIT growth of 5%

1% UK and Ireland EMEA/Asia Pacific , 779 461 (1)% 6% (1)% , 843 426 Latin America 559 16% 16% 462

g Strong margin performance in Latin America and UK & Ireland

1% 2% EMEA/Asia Pacific Total revenue 461 3,859 6% 2% 426 3,790 EBIT before Central Activities 1,002 6% 953

and UK & Ireland Margins broadly flat elsewhere

EBIT – direct business FARES 940 56 5% 16% 896 48 Central Activities (62) (57) EBIT – continuing activities EBIT margin 996 24.4% 6% 944 23.6%

All fi b i i b i

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All figures above on continuing basis Growth at constant exchange rates EBIT margin is for continuing business only, excluding FARES 2009 restated to exclude small discontinuing activities in North America and UK & Ireland

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SLIDE 27

Appendix

North America financial summary

North America Credit Services

y

North America Total FY10 revenue mix

10% 10% 80%

FY10 revenue mix

45% 33% Credit Services Consumer information 16% 6% Marketing Services Interactive Decision Analytics Automotive Business information

Approximate % of NA Credit Services Pre screen <15%

NA accounts for 53% of group

16%

Pre-screen <15% Mortgage <10% Account management and collections >20%

g p revenue

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SLIDE 28

Appendix

UK and Ireland financial summary

UK Total UK Credit Services UK Total FY10 revenue

30% 14% 12%

UK Credit Services FY10 revenue

30% Consumer information 50% Credit Services 25% 31% Automotive Business information 38% Marketing Services Interactive Decision Analytics

Balanced spread of revenues

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SLIDE 29

Appendix

Strong cash flow performance g p

Year ended 31 March 2010 US$million

Depreciation and amortisation Capital expenditure Working capital (17) Retained 11 Net interest (68) Dividends to minority (314) 275 in associate 11 ( ) Tax (48) to minority interests (42) 25 Sale of fixed assets 991 976

98% i

818

120% i

30

98% conversion

  • f EBIT into
  • perating cash

flow 120% conversion

  • f benchmark

earnings into free cash flow

Free cash flow Operating cash flow EBIT

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SLIDE 30

Appendix

Net debt reconciliation

Year ended 31 March 2010 US$million

(135) (62) Net purchase of shares for equity incentive plans (56) ( ) 161 (206) 818 Foreign exchange and

  • ther

Dividend (114) Acquisitions 118 (52) (2,110) (1,627) (62) (19) Exceptional cash outflow Free cash flow (114) Acquisitions and disposals FARES disposal Net debt at 1 April 2009 Net debt at 31 March 2010

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SLIDE 31

Appendix

Group benchmark earnings p g

2010 2009

Year ended 31 March US$ illi

Growth

6% 939

(96)

991

(81)

2010 2009

US$million

Growth

Total EBIT Net Interest

8% 843

(184)

659

( )

910

(184)

726

( ) Benchmark taxation Benchmark PAT Benchmark PBT1

1,015 1,013 8%

(28)

631

(45)

681

Weighted average number of shares Benchmark minority interest Benchmark earnings

1,015 1,013

Weighted average number of shares Dividend per share, US cents Benchmark EPS, US cents

23.0 67.1 62.3 20.0 8% 15%

p ,

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Growth at actual exchange rates 1 Benchmark PBT is defined as profit before amortisation of acquisition intangibles, goodwill impairments, charges in respect

  • f the demerger-related equity incentive plans, exceptional items, financing fair value remeasurements and tax. It includes

the Group’s share of associates’ pre-tax profit.

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SLIDE 32

Appendix

FARES joint venture: cash proceeds from sale j p

Cash flow Date of receipt FARES will be US$million FARES will be treated as discontinued in FY11 Sale of First American shares 70 H2 Sale of FARES assets 48 H2 Residual interest 314 Net cash flow 118 FY10 FARES contribution to be excluded from benchmark items H2 Residual interest Tax 314 (62) benchmark items H2 H2 Gross proceeds to Experian 432 Net cash flow 252 FY11 Net proceeds to Experian 370

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SLIDE 33

Appendix

Spotlight on Latin America p g

Acquired 70% stake in Serasa for 2009 market share1 Latin America: c.US$1.1bn Acquired 70% stake in Serasa for US$1.3bn in 2007 Market leading credit bureau in Brazil; fourth largest globally

Experian

15% 17%

; g g y Attractive market dynamics:

  • Low credit penetration
  • Young demographic

Experian Equifax

19% 49% 17%

  • Upward social mobility

Mid-teens revenue growth; EBIT exceeding buy-plan Brazil: c.US$800m

ACSP Other

5%

Put and call options over minority exercisable for 5 years from June 2012

11% 22% 62%

Serasa put option valued at $661m (Mar 2010)

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1 Share of credit reference market Source: Serasa Experian estimates

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SLIDE 34

Appendix

Financial Services revenues (Consumer Information) ( )

Total group revenue FY10 $3.9bn

<10%

NA & UK Financial Services revenue in Consumer Information Rest of Experian global revenue

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Based on total revenues for year ended 31 March 2010

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SLIDE 35

Appendix

Debt funding

Successful €500m Eurobond issue in February 2010 P t f 18 th t fi d Part of 18 month programme to refinance and spread maturity of debt Further bond issue expected in next 12 months Further bond issue expected in next 12 months US$2,530m revolving credit facilities repayable July 2012 July 2012 Incremental interest charge of US$10 to US$20m including share buyback funding including share buyback funding

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SLIDE 36

Appendix

FY11 modelling considerations g

Net interest

Net interest in the region of US$90m to US$100m, after a nominal net pension charge, at current rates

Tax

Benchmark tax rate of c.22.0%. Cash tax of c.10%

Exceptional

US$10m residual charge due to cost efficiency programme

Capital expenditure

Capital expenditure expected to be between US$340m and US$370m, reflecting investment spend

p

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SLIDE 37

Contacts

Experian Cardinal Place 80 Victoria Street London London SW1E 5JL Tel: +44 (0)203 042 4200 Website: www.experianplc.com Website: www.experianplc.com Paul Brooks Nadia Ridout-Jamieson Chief Financial Officer Director of Investor Relations Email: paul.brooks@experian.com Email: nadia.rjamieson@experian.com Email: paul.brooks@experian.com Email: nadia.rjamieson@experian.com Peg Smith Sarah Schibli Executive Vice-President Investor Relations Analyst Executive Vice President Investor Relations Analyst Email: peg.smith@experian.com Email: sarah.schibli@experian.com

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SLIDE 38

Event calendar

21 July 2010 Annual General Meeting 21 July 2010 Annual General Meeting 17 November 2010 Half-yearly results announcement 18 January 2011 Interim management statement, third quarter 18 May 2011 Preliminary results announcement y y

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SLIDE 39

Disclaimer

  • This presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom this

presentation may lawfully be communicated (“relevant persons”). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents.

  • Information in this presentation relating to the price at which relevant investments have been

bo ght or sold in the past or the ield on s ch in estments cannot be relied pon as a g ide to bought or sold in the past or the yield on such investments cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments.

  • This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an
  • ffering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation, inducement or recommendation to any

person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in any company within the E i (th “G ”) Experian group (the “Group”).

  • Certain statements made in this presentation are forward looking statements. Such statements

are based on current expectations and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from any expected future events or results expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements p p g g speak only as of the date of this presentation.

  • This presentation contains certain non-GAAP financial information. The Group’s management

believes that these measures provide valuable additional information in understanding the performance of the Group or the Group’s businesses because they provide measures used by the Group to assess performance. Although these measures are important in the management of the Group to assess performance. Although these measures are important in the management of the business, they should not be viewed as replacements for, but rather as complementary to, the GAAP measures.

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