FACILITIES ADVISORY COMMITTEE School Board Progress Presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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FACILITIES ADVISORY COMMITTEE School Board Progress Presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

FACILITIES ADVISORY COMMITTEE School Board Progress Presentation March 05, 2019 Facilities Advisory Committee 1. FAC Introduction Agenda 1. FAC Introduction Monty Sabin, NTPS 2. FAC Workshop Series Monty Sabin, NTPS 3. FAC Hot Topics


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FACILITIES ADVISORY COMMITTEE School Board Progress Presentation

March 05, 2019

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Facilities Advisory Committee

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  • 1. FAC Introduction

Agenda

  • 1. FAC Introduction

Monty Sabin, NTPS

  • 2. FAC Workshop Series

Monty Sabin, NTPS

  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Dean Martinolich, NTPS Joel Davis, SES Courtney Schrieve, NTPS Monty Sabin, NTPS

  • 4. Questions?

All

  • 5. Wrap-up

Joel Davis, SES

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Facilities Advisory Committee

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  • 1. FAC Introduction

Introductions

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Thank you to the FAC for their commitment.

  • 1. FAC Introduction
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FAC Volunteers

  • Advisory role, not directive
  • Additional perspectives and input
  • 1. FAC Introduction

Roles and Purpose

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FAC Guidance Committee

  • Monty Sabin, Courtney Schrieve, Dean

Martinolich, Joel Davis, Sam Wright

Säzän Environmental Services

  • FAC workshop facilitators
  • K-12 facilities consultant
  • Pre-bond planning facilitator
  • 1. FAC Introduction

Roles and Purpose

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Facilities Advisory Committee

FAC Information Online: https://www.nthurston.k12.wa.us/fac

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  • 1. FAC Introduction

Information: Previous Workshops

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  • 2. FAC Workshops Series

Phase I – Informational Background Workshops (2017-2018)

Phase I Workshops:

  • October 2017: Overview of the OSPI

School Construction Assistance Program (SCAP)

  • February 2018: FAC Goals and NTPS

District Facts

  • June 2018: Robinson Co. K12

Construction Costs Presentation

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  • 2. FAC Workshops Series

Phase I – Informational Background Workshops (2017-2018)

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  • 2. FAC Workshops Series

Phase II – Technical Background Workshops (2018)

Phase II Workshops:

  • October 2018: FAC Overview/FCA

Findings

  • November 2018: Bond Issue Planning,

Facility Cost Analysis Update, Building Conditions Summary

  • December 2018: Outreach/Needs,

Past Performance

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  • 2. FAC Workshops Series

Phase II – Technical Background Workshops (2018)

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  • 2. FAC Workshops Series

Phase III – Pre-Bond Planning Workshops (2019)

Phase III Workshops to date:

  • January 2019: Security and Safety
  • February 2019: Community Programs,

Education/Demographics, and District- Wide Upgrades

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  • 2. FAC Workshops Series

Phase III – Pre-Bond Planning Workshops (2019)

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  • 2. FAC Workshops Series

Phase III – Pre-Bond Planning Workshops (2019)

Upcoming Phase III Workshops:

  • March 2019: Planning/Visioning and

Facilities Concepts

  • April 2019: Options Analysis/Prioritization
  • May 2019: FAC Recommendation Review
  • June 2019: TBD
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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

WA State SCAP for Priority 1 Facilities

Estimated Available SCAP Funding: River Ridge HS $21.7M Aspire MS $3.2M Komachin MS $12.5M Horizons ES $7.1M Meadows ES $5.8M Seven Oaks ES $7.8M TOTAL $58.2M

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15-YEAR COST PROJECTIONS (2018 – 2033)

  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

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15-YEAR COST PROJECTIONS (2018 – 2033)

  • 3. Facility Cost Analysis Update

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ESTIMATED CAPITAL EXPENDITURES + SAFETY UPGRADES + PROGRAM UPGRADES FOR THE SIX PRIORITY FACILITIES Capital Expenditures: $94.4 Million Safety Upgrades: $5.6 Million Program Upgrades: $80.6 Million TOTAL CapEx + Upgrades $181 Million

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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Capital Levy vs Capitol Bond?

The FAC recommends a capitol bond.

  • NTPS is making strides to overcome the 15-year capital funding

gap (1991-2006)

  • Goal: maintain low, consistent tax rates (bond only):
  • 2018 Baseline: $2.12/$1,000
  • $100M: $2.14/$1,000
  • $200M: $2.52/$1,000
  • $300M: $2.84/$1,000
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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Prioritizing District Needs: Outreach Surveys

Community Survey: Good Stewardship

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1.Class Sizes 2.School Safety 3.Mental Health Services 4.Future Growth

  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Prioritizing District Needs: Outreach Surveys

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20 40 60 80 Community Programs Activities/Fine Arts/Athletics Unique Programs / Trends Major System Upgrades Multi-Purpose Areas Safety Communications Playfields Site Safety and Security

  • 1. Site Safety and Security
  • 2. Safety Communications/Playfields
  • 3. Multi-purpose Areas
  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Prioritizing District Needs: Outreach Surveys

Principal’s Survey

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20 40 60 80 Community Programs Multi-Purpose Areas Unique Programs / Trends Activities/Fine Arts/Athletics Safety Communications Playfields Major System Upgrades Site Safety and Security

  • 1. Safety & Security
  • 2. Major Systems Upgrades
  • 3. Safety Communications /

Playfields

  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Prioritizing District Needs: Outreach Surveys

FAC Survey

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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Prioritizing District Needs: Outreach Surveys

Primary Issues Secondary Issues

  • 1. Safety & Security
  • 1. ADA
  • 2. Future Growth
  • 2. Class Sizes
  • 3. Playfields
  • 3. Major Systems Upgrades
  • 4. Sustainability/Energy

Efficiency

  • 5. Mental Health
  • 6. Multi-purpose Areas
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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Community Programs

Key Takeaways, City of Lacey:

  • 2017 Comp Plan, Identified Needs:
  • More fields (4 softball, 4 soccer)
  • RAC Phase 3 – Baseball/Soccer

Stadium

  • Indoor Sports Arena feasibility
  • RAC Phase 4
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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Community Programs

Key Takeaways, City of Lacey:

  • NTPS Field Use increased 50% 2017 to

2018

  • NTPS Indoor Facility Use decreased

36% 2017 to 2018

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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Demographics

Recent Enrollment Trends

  • Expected to remain at elevated levels through 2020.
  • Back to average growth rate for subsequent 20 years.
  • Supports minimal student growth by the end of 2024-2025.
  • Increases in elementary grades, followed by middle and high school,

through 2020.

Projected Student Enrollment

  • Assumption – Past trends predict future trends.
  • NTPS enrollment models are consistent with the projected

enrollment increase since 2002.

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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Demographics

Recent Residential Development

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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Demographics

Recent Residential Development (cont.)

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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Demographics

OSPI Projection

  • Six year forecast period.
  • Previous six year enrollment trends continue through the next six

years.

  • Wa He Lut Indian School starts in 2011, deleted in 2016.
  • Distorts OSPI estimate and may underestimate the number
  • f students expected in NTPS.
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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Demographics

NTPS Projections

  • Uses OSPI October head count data
  • NTPS also utilizes:
  • Residential construction
  • Probability of students in residences (Demographic census

data)

  • Average family size data (TRPC)
  • Birth rate assumptions (Washington State population data)
  • Population projections by Office of Financial Management

(OFM)

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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Demographics

Projection 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Actual Change ‘18-’25 Percent Change ‘18-25

OSPI 14,779 14,912 15,084 15,171 15,305 15,461 15,579 15,631 852 5.8% NTPS 14,779 14,955 15,170 15,221 15,349 15,475 15,551 15,550 771 5.2%

Comparison of Student Enrollment Projections North Thurston Public Schools 2018-2025

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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Demographics

Projected Student Headcount Enrollment by Grade Span North Thurston Public Schools 2018-2025

Grade Span 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Elementary (K-5) 7053 7111 7199 7257 7315 7344 7358 7375 Middle School (6- 8) 3395 3519 3569 3504 3470 3486 3537 3565 High School (9-12) 4331 4325 4401 4460 4564 4645 4657 4609 14,779 14,955 15,170 15,221 15,349 15,475 15,551 15,550

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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Demographics

Zones – South Bay, Mountain View, Pleasant Glade

2381 Units & 170 Units 55+ Existing Portable Classrooms: 37

Zones – Olympic View, Lacey, Meadows

880 Units and 0 units 55+ Existing Portable Classrooms: 34

Zones – Lydia Hawk, Evergreen Forest, Woodland, Seven Oaks

1823 Units & 1295 Units 55+ Existing Portable Classrooms: 36

Zones – Lakes, Horizons, Chambers Prairie

266 Units & 0 Units 55+ Existing Portable Classrooms: 55

North Thurston Public Schools Mitigation: Pre-sub and Permit

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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Demographics

District Wide Portable Classrooms

Year Installed 1970-1999 39 2000-2019 123 Total Portables 162 Total Sq. Ft. 145,000 8-Plex Modular Buildings 8 Total Classrooms 64 Total Sq. Ft. 57,000

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  • 3. FAC Hot Topics

Demographics

Future Sites & Acreage

Location Acreage Drohman Property 72.09 Vicwood Property 10.74 Meridian Campus Property (on Lanyard) 19.13 Meridian Campus Property (on Campus) 10.87 Madrona Park Property 10.00 McAllister Park Property 44.78 Meridian Road Property 11.00 Mullen Road Property 37.39 Nisqually Park 15.82

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  • 4. Wrap up

Questions?

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Thank You!