FACILITIES ADVISORY COMMITTEE School Board Progress Presentation March 05, 2019
Facilities Advisory Committee 1. FAC Introduction Agenda 1. FAC Introduction Monty Sabin, NTPS 2. FAC Workshop Series Monty Sabin, NTPS 3. FAC Hot Topics Dean Martinolich, NTPS Joel Davis, SES Courtney Schrieve, NTPS Monty Sabin, NTPS 4. Questions? All 5. Wrap-up Joel Davis, SES 2
Facilities Advisory Committee 1. FAC Introduction Introductions 3
Facilities Advisory Committee 1. FAC Introduction Thank you to the FAC for their commitment. 4
Facilities Advisory Committee 1. FAC Introduction Roles and Purpose FAC Volunteers Advisory role, not directive • Additional perspectives and input • 5
Facilities Advisory Committee 1. FAC Introduction Roles and Purpose FAC Guidance Committee Monty Sabin, Courtney Schrieve, Dean • Martinolich, Joel Davis, Sam Wright Säzän Environmental Services FAC workshop facilitators • K-12 facilities consultant • Pre-bond planning facilitator • 6
Facilities Advisory Committee 1. FAC Introduction Information: Previous Workshops FAC Information Online: https://www.nthurston.k12.wa.us/fac 7
Facilities Advisory Committee 2. FAC Workshops Series Phase I – Informational Background Workshops (2017-2018) Phase I Workshops: October 2017: Overview of the OSPI • School Construction Assistance Program (SCAP) February 2018: FAC Goals and NTPS • District Facts June 2018: Robinson Co. K12 • Construction Costs Presentation 8
Facilities Advisory Committee 2. FAC Workshops Series Phase I – Informational Background Workshops (2017-2018) 9
Facilities Advisory Committee 2. FAC Workshops Series Phase II – Technical Background Workshops (2018) Phase II Workshops: October 2018: FAC Overview/FCA • Findings November 2018: Bond Issue Planning, • Facility Cost Analysis Update, Building Conditions Summary December 2018: Outreach/Needs, • Past Performance 10
Facilities Advisory Committee 2. FAC Workshops Series Phase II – Technical Background Workshops (2018) 11
Facilities Advisory Committee 2. FAC Workshops Series Phase III – Pre-Bond Planning Workshops (2019) Phase III Workshops to date: January 2019: Security and Safety • February 2019: Community Programs, • Education/Demographics, and District- Wide Upgrades 12
Facilities Advisory Committee 2. FAC Workshops Series Phase III – Pre-Bond Planning Workshops (2019) 13
Facilities Advisory Committee 2. FAC Workshops Series Phase III – Pre-Bond Planning Workshops (2019) Upcoming Phase III Workshops: March 2019: Planning/Visioning and • Facilities Concepts April 2019: Options Analysis/Prioritization • May 2019: FAC Recommendation Review • June 2019: TBD • 14
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics WA State SCAP for Priority 1 Facilities Estimated Available SCAP Funding: River Ridge HS $21.7M Aspire MS $3.2M Komachin MS $12.5M Horizons ES $7.1M Meadows ES $5.8M Seven Oaks ES $7.8M TOTAL $58.2M 15
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics 15-YEAR COST PROJECTIONS (2018 – 2033) 16
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. Facility Cost Analysis Update 15-YEAR COST PROJECTIONS (2018 – 2033) ESTIMATED CAPITAL EXPENDITURES + SAFETY UPGRADES + PROGRAM UPGRADES FOR THE SIX PRIORITY FACILITIES Capital Expenditures: $94.4 Million Safety Upgrades: $5.6 Million Program Upgrades: $80.6 Million TOTAL CapEx + Upgrades $181 Million 17
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Capital Levy vs Capitol Bond? The FAC recommends a capitol bond. NTPS is making strides to overcome the 15-year capital funding • gap (1991-2006) Goal: maintain low, consistent tax rates (bond only): • 2018 Baseline: $2.12/$1,000 • $100M: $2.14/$1,000 • $200M: $2.52/$1,000 • $300M: $2.84/$1,000 • 18
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Prioritizing District Needs: Outreach Surveys Community Survey: Good Stewardship 19
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Prioritizing District Needs: Outreach Surveys 1.Class Sizes 2.School Safety 3.Mental Health Services 4.Future Growth 20
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Prioritizing District Needs: Outreach Surveys Principal’s Survey Site Safety and Security 1. Site Safety and Security 2. Safety Communications/Playfields Playfields 3. Multi-purpose Areas Safety Communications Multi-Purpose Areas Major System Upgrades Unique Programs / Trends Activities/Fine Arts/Athletics Community Programs 0 20 40 60 80 21
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Prioritizing District Needs: Outreach Surveys FAC Survey 1. Safety & Security Site Safety and Security 2. Major Systems Upgrades Major System Upgrades 3. Safety Communications / Playfields Playfields Safety Communications Activities/Fine Arts/Athletics Unique Programs / Trends Multi-Purpose Areas Community Programs 0 20 40 60 80 22
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Prioritizing District Needs: Outreach Surveys Primary Issues Secondary Issues 1. Safety & Security 1. ADA 2. Future Growth 2. Class Sizes 3. Playfields 3. Major Systems Upgrades 4. Sustainability/Energy Efficiency 5. Mental Health 6. Multi-purpose Areas 23
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Community Programs Key Takeaways, City of Lacey: 2017 Comp Plan, Identified Needs: • More fields (4 softball, 4 soccer) • RAC Phase 3 – Baseball/Soccer • Stadium Indoor Sports Arena feasibility • RAC Phase 4 • 24
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Community Programs Key Takeaways, City of Lacey: NTPS Field Use increased 50% 2017 to • 2018 NTPS Indoor Facility Use decreased • 36% 2017 to 2018 25
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Demographics Recent Enrollment Trends • Expected to remain at elevated levels through 2020. • Back to average growth rate for subsequent 20 years. • Supports minimal student growth by the end of 2024-2025. • Increases in elementary grades, followed by middle and high school, through 2020. Projected Student Enrollment Assumption – Past trends predict future trends. • NTPS enrollment models are consistent with the projected • enrollment increase since 2002. 26
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Demographics Recent Residential Development 27
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Demographics Recent Residential Development (cont.) 28
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Demographics OSPI Projection • Six year forecast period. • Previous six year enrollment trends continue through the next six years. • Wa He Lut Indian School starts in 2011, deleted in 2016. ⁃ Distorts OSPI estimate and may underestimate the number of students expected in NTPS. 29
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Demographics NTPS Projections • Uses OSPI October head count data • NTPS also utilizes: • Residential construction • Probability of students in residences (Demographic census data) • Average family size data (TRPC) • Birth rate assumptions (Washington State population data) • Population projections by Office of Financial Management (OFM) 30
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Demographics Comparison of Student Enrollment Projections North Thurston Public Schools 2018-2025 Actual Percent Projection 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Change Change ‘18-’25 ‘18-25 OSPI 14,779 14,912 15,084 15,171 15,305 15,461 15,579 15,631 852 5.8% NTPS 14,779 14,955 15,170 15,221 15,349 15,475 15,551 15,550 771 5.2% 31
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Demographics Projected Student Headcount Enrollment by Grade Span North Thurston Public Schools 2018-2025 Grade Span 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Elementary (K-5) 7053 7111 7199 7257 7315 7344 7358 7375 Middle School (6- 8) 3395 3519 3569 3504 3470 3486 3537 3565 High School (9-12) 4331 4325 4401 4460 4564 4645 4657 4609 14,779 14,955 15,170 15,221 15,349 15,475 15,551 15,550 32
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Demographics North Thurston Public Schools Mitigation: Pre-sub and Permit Zones – South Bay, Mountain View, Pleasant Glade 2381 Units & 170 Units 55+ Existing Portable Classrooms: 37 Zones – Olympic View, Lacey, Meadows 880 Units and 0 units 55+ Existing Portable Classrooms: 34 Zones – Lydia Hawk, Evergreen Forest, Woodland, Seven Oaks 1823 Units & 1295 Units 55+ Existing Portable Classrooms: 36 Zones – Lakes, Horizons, Chambers Prairie 266 Units & 0 Units 55+ Existing Portable Classrooms: 55 33
Facilities Advisory Committee 3. FAC Hot Topics Demographics District Wide Portable Classrooms Year Installed 1970-1999 39 2000-2019 123 Total Portables 162 Total Sq. Ft. 145,000 8-Plex Modular Buildings 8 Total Classrooms 64 Total Sq. Ft. 57,000 34
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