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Ecosystem Services and Economics David Lewis, Professor, Department of Applied Economics Randy Rosenberger, Assoc. Dean, College of Forestry Background Presentation to Oregon Board of Forestry 11/7/18 AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 1 of 22


  1. Ecosystem Services and Economics David Lewis, Professor, Department of Applied Economics Randy Rosenberger, Assoc. Dean, College of Forestry Background Presentation to Oregon Board of Forestry 11/7/18 AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 1 of 22

  2. Ecosystem Services • Ecosystem services – benefits that people derive from functioning ecosystems – Provisioning services: raw materials, such as timber products or food production. – Regulating services: pollination, soil formation, climate regulation. – Cultural services: a place for recreation, aesthetics. – Supporting services: habitat for wildlife. AGENDA ITEM B Costanza, R., de Groot, R., Braat, L., Kubiszewski, I., Fioramonti, L., Sutton, P., Farber, S. and Grasso, M., 2017. Twenty years of Attachment 14 ecosystem services: how far have we come and how far do we still need to go?. Ecosystem Services , 28 , pp.1-16. Page 2 of 22

  3. Ecosystem Services Examples on Oregon Ex/ Starker Forest Timberland, west of Corvallis timberland/ • Provisioning: Douglas-fir trees for timber. • Regulating: carbon sequestration. • Cultural: mountain biking trails. • Supporting: habitat for birds. AGENDA ITEM B Photo: David Lewis Attachment 14 Page 3 of 22

  4. Ecosystem Services What does the market Ex/ Starker Forest Timberland, west of Corvallis pay Starker to provide? • Provisioning: Douglas-fir trees for timber. • Regulating: carbon sequestration. • Cultural: mountain biking trails. • Supporting: habitat for birds. AGENDA ITEM B Photo: David Lewis Attachment 14 Page 4 of 22

  5. Ecosystem Services Rival in consumption? Yes No Private goods Club goods • • Fiber (Timber) Patentable Yes • Food (Crops) information Excludable? Common resources Public goods • • No Harvestable Wildlife existence • species (e.g. fish) Water quality Private markets are better at providing excludable rather than non- AGENDA ITEM B excludable goods and services. Attachment 14 Page 5 of 22

  6. Decisions, ecosystem services, and values Decision-Making Human actions Information & Incentives Value of ecosystem Ecosystems services Economic valuation Ecological production methods function Ecosystem services AGENDA ITEM B Credit for figure: Stephen Polasky, Attachment 14 Page 6 of 22 University of Minnesota

  7. Land-use change is a human action that alters ecosystem service provision Policy and Net Returns to Land Use Market Land Change Scenarios Land Use Transitions Food Timber Wildlife Carbon Production Production Habitat Sequestration Provisioning Regulating Supporting Service Service Service AGENDA ITEM B Lawler, J.J., Lewis, D.J., Nelson, E., Plantinga, A.J., Polasky, S., Withey, J.C., Helmers, D.P., Martinuzzi, S., Pennington, D. and Radeloff, V.C., Attachment 14 2014. Projected land-use change impacts on ecosystem services in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , Page 7 of 22 p.201405557.

  8. Land-use change is a human action that alters ecosystem service provision • Ex/ Modeled land-use change impacts on U.S. ecosystem services out to 2050 AGENDA ITEM B Lawler, J.J., Lewis, D.J., Nelson, E., Plantinga, A.J., Polasky, S., Withey, J.C., Helmers, D.P., Martinuzzi, S., Pennington, D. and Radeloff, V.C., Attachment 14 2014. Projected land-use change impacts on ecosystem services in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , Page 8 of 22 p.201405557.

  9. Land-use change is a human action that alters ecosystem service provision • Ex/ Modeled land-use change impacts on U.S. ecosystem services out to 2050 AGENDA ITEM B Lawler, J.J., Lewis, D.J., Nelson, E., Plantinga, A.J., Polasky, S., Withey, J.C., Helmers, D.P., Martinuzzi, S., Pennington, D. and Radeloff, V.C., Attachment 14 2014. Projected land-use change impacts on ecosystem services in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , Page 9 of 22 p.201405557.

  10. Policy can alter ecosystem service provision Policy scenarios Forest incentives : pay for afforestation Natural habitats : conserve forests and rangeland Urban containment : limit development outside of metro regions AGENDA ITEM B Lawler, J.J., Lewis, D.J., Nelson, E., Plantinga, A.J., Polasky, S., Withey, J.C., Helmers, D.P., Martinuzzi, S., Pennington, D. and Radeloff, V.C., Attachment 14 2014. Projected land-use change impacts on ecosystem services in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , Page 10 of 22 p.201405557.

  11. Policy can alter ecosystem service provision Policy scenarios Forest incentives : pay for afforestation Natural habitats : conserve forests and rangeland Urban containment : limit development outside of metro regions AGENDA ITEM B Lawler, J.J., Lewis, D.J., Nelson, E., Plantinga, A.J., Polasky, S., Withey, J.C., Helmers, D.P., Martinuzzi, S., Pennington, D. and Radeloff, V.C., Attachment 14 2014. Projected land-use change impacts on ecosystem services in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , Page 11 of 22 p.201405557.

  12. Decisions, ecosystem services, and values Decision-Making Human actions Information & Incentives Value of ecosystem Ecosystems services Economic valuation Ecological production methods function Ecosystem services AGENDA ITEM B Credit for figure: Stephen Polasky, Attachment 14 Page 12 of 22 University of Minnesota

  13. Valuing ecosystem services – market methods • Private goods / services have market prices • Ex/ county-average annualized net economic return to private timberland ($/acre) AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Mihiar, C., and D.J. Lewis (2018). “Climate , adaptation, and the value of forestland: A national Ricardian analysis of the U.S .” Working Paper. Page 13 of 22 Department of Applied Economics, Oregon State University.

  14. Valuing ecosystem services – non- market methods • Revealed preference => measures “use” values – Hedonic approach (e.g. property prices) – Travel cost (e.g. recreation decisions) • Stated preference => measures “use” and/or “non - use” values – Contingent valuation – Choice experiments • These approaches typically used to value a change in an ecosystem service AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 14 of 22

  15. Valuing ecosystem services – non- market methods • Revealed preference example: hedonic pricing – Property values reflect the value of many attributes of the property. • Structure: size of house, age of house, etc. • Local built environment: school quality, neighborhood amenities, etc. • Natural environment: proximity to conserved forest, air quality, etc. – How does a change in the natural environment affect property values? • Ex/ numerous studies find that residential property values are higher when near conserved forest. • Ex/ aquatic species invasions lower lakeshore property values. AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 15 of 22

  16. Valuing ecosystem services – non- market methods • Revealed preference methods – Advantages: values based on revealed behavior of people. – Disadvantages: • Covers a small subset of ecosystem services (e.g. recreation) • Challenging to disentangle environmental attributes from other property attributes. AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 16 of 22

  17. Valuing ecosystem services – non- market methods • Stated preference example: choice experiment – Use surveys to ask people to make choices across bundles of services and prices. – Key task: describe actions that affect a set of ecosystem services. AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Garber-Yonts, B., Kerkvliet, J. and Johnson, R., 2004. Public values for biodiversity Page 17 of 22 conservation policies in the Oregon Coast Range. Forest Science , 50 (5), pp.589-602.

  18. Valuing ecosystem services – non- market methods • Stated preference example: choice experiment – Use surveys to ask people to make choices across bundles of services and prices. – Key task: describe actions that affect a set of ecosystem services. AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Garber-Yonts, B., Kerkvliet, J. and Johnson, R., 2004. Public values for biodiversity Page 18 of 22 conservation policies in the Oregon Coast Range. Forest Science , 50 (5), pp.589-602.

  19. Valuing ecosystem services – non- market methods • Average annual willingness-to-pay (WTP) for 10% increase in: – Salmon habitat: • $60/household; • $79 million statewide. – Old growth management: • $201/household; • $264 million statewide. AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Garber-Yonts, B., Kerkvliet, J. and Johnson, R., 2004. Public values for biodiversity Page 19 of 22 conservation policies in the Oregon Coast Range. Forest Science , 50 (5), pp.589-602.

  20. Valuing ecosystem services – non- market methods • Stated preference methods – Advantages: • Direct questions about values of interest. • Can capture “non - use” values. – Disadvantages: • Hypothetical rather than revealed. • Requires high skill in survey design. AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 20 of 22

  21. Decisions, ecosystem services, and values Decision-Making Human actions Information & Incentives Value of ecosystem Ecosystems services Economic valuation Ecological production methods function Ecosystem services Ideally, valuation of ecosystem services helps AGENDA ITEM B improve decision-making. Credit for figure: Stephen Polasky, Attachment 14 Page 21 of 22 University of Minnesota

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