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Distributions in arithmetic geometry Edgar Costa (Dartmouth College) June 21st, 2018 University of Washington Presented at Communicating Mathematics Effectively Slides available at edgarcosta.org under Research E p for many p , what can we say


  1. Distributions in arithmetic geometry Edgar Costa (Dartmouth College) June 21st, 2018 University of Washington Presented at Communicating Mathematics Effectively Slides available at edgarcosta.org under Research

  2. E p for many p , what can we say about E ? Elliptic curves • Given studying the statistical properties E p . E : y 2 = x 3 + ax + b , a , b ∈ Z Write E p := E mod p • What can we say about # E p for an arbitrary p ?

  3. studying the statistical properties Elliptic curves E p . E : y 2 = x 3 + ax + b , a , b ∈ Z Write E p := E mod p • What can we say about # E p for an arbitrary p ? • Given # E p for many p , what can we say about E ?

  4. Elliptic curves E : y 2 = x 3 + ax + b , a , b ∈ Z Write E p := E mod p • What can we say about # E p for an arbitrary p ? • Given # E p for many p , what can we say about E ? ⇝ studying the statistical properties # E p .

  5. Hasse’s bound Theorem (Hasse, 1930s) In other words, p p 1 E p p 2 2 What can we say about the error term, p , as p ? | p + 1 − # E p | ≤ 2 √ p .

  6. Hasse’s bound Theorem (Hasse, 1930s) In other words, | p + 1 − # E p | ≤ 2 √ p . λ p := p + 1 − # E p √ p ∈ [ − 2 , 2 ] What can we say about the error term, λ p , as p → ∞ ?

  7. Two types of elliptic curves 1 E p 0 p 1 2 0 p p 0 p E E CM non-CM 2 λ p := p + 1 − # E p √ p ∈ [ − 2 , 2 ] There are two limiting distributions for λ p !

  8. Two types of elliptic curves p E p 0 p 1 2 0 p p 1 0 2 non-CM CM E E λ p := p + 1 − # E p √ p ∈ [ − 2 , 2 ] There are two limiting distributions for λ p ! - 2 - 1 1 2 - 2 - 1 0 1 2

  9. Two types of elliptic curves p E p 0 p 1 2 0 p p 1 0 2 non-CM CM λ p := p + 1 − # E p √ p ∈ [ − 2 , 2 ] There are two limiting distributions for λ p ! End E al = Z End E al ̸ = Z - 2 - 1 1 2 - 2 - 1 0 1 2

  10. Two types of elliptic curves CM E p 0 p 2 non-CM λ p := p + 1 − # E p √ p ∈ [ − 2 , 2 ] There are two limiting distributions for λ p ! End E al = Z End E al ̸ = Z - 2 - 1 1 2 - 2 - 1 0 1 2 Prob( λ p = 0 ) ∼ 1 / √ p Prob( λ p = 0 ) ∼ 1 / 2

  11. Two types of elliptic curves non-CM CM λ p := p + 1 − # E p √ p ∈ [ − 2 , 2 ] There are two limiting distributions for λ p ! End E al = Z End E al ̸ = Z - 2 - 1 1 2 - 2 - 1 0 1 2 Prob( λ p = 0 ) ∼ 1 / √ p Prob( λ p = 0 ) ∼ 1 / 2 ⇒ rk End E p al > 2 λ p = 0 ⇐

  12. Two types of elliptic curves non-CM CM q λ p := p + 1 − # E p √ p ∈ [ − 2 , 2 ] There are two limiting distributions for λ p ! End E al = Z End E al ̸ = Z - 2 - 1 1 2 - 2 - 1 0 1 2 Prob( λ p = 0 ) ∼ 1 / √ p Prob( λ p = 0 ) ∼ 1 / 2 ⇒ rk End E p al > 2 = min q rk End E al λ p = 0 ⇐

  13. X p we study K3 surfaces 4 E p E p This is analogous to studying X p p In this case, instead of studying f K3 surfaces are a possible generalization of elliptic curves x f 0 f x y z w X 3 For example, smooth quartic surfaces in E p

  14. X p we study K3 surfaces K3 surfaces are a possible generalization of elliptic curves In this case, instead of studying p X p This is analogous to studying E p E p E p For example, smooth quartic surfaces in P 3 X : f ( x , y , z , w ) = 0 , f ∈ Z [ x ] , deg f = 4

  15. K3 surfaces K3 surfaces are a possible generalization of elliptic curves This is analogous to studying E p E p E p For example, smooth quartic surfaces in P 3 X : f ( x , y , z , w ) = 0 , f ∈ Z [ x ] , deg f = 4 In this case, instead of studying # X p , we study → rk NS X p al . p �−

  16. K3 surfaces K3 surfaces are a possible generalization of elliptic curves For example, smooth quartic surfaces in P 3 X : f ( x , y , z , w ) = 0 , f ∈ Z [ x ] , deg f = 4 In this case, instead of studying # X p , we study → rk NS X p al . p �− This is analogous to studying rk End E p al = rk NS( E p al × E p al )

  17. Néron–Severi group X p X q q X p For infinitely many p we have Theorem (Charles) 22 2 4 X p X p 20 1 2 X X X . NS • = Néron–Severi group of • ≃ { curves on •} / ∼ ρ ( • ) = rk NS •

  18. Néron–Severi group � X q q X p For infinitely many p we have Theorem (Charles) X p � � � � X . NS • = Néron–Severi group of • ≃ { curves on •} / ∼ ρ ( • ) = rk NS • � ρ ( X al ) NS X al ∈ { 1 , 2 , . . . , 20 } � � ??? � NS X p al � ρ ( X p al ) ∈ { 2 , 4 , . . . 22 }

  19. Néron–Severi group � Theorem (Charles) X p � � � � X NS • = Néron–Severi group of • ≃ { curves on •} / ∼ ρ ( • ) = rk NS • � ρ ( X al ) NS X al ∈ { 1 , 2 , . . . , 20 } � � ??? � NS X p al � ρ ( X p al ) ∈ { 2 , 4 , . . . 22 } For infinitely many p we have ρ ( X p al ) = min q ρ ( X q al ) .

  20. jump X The Problem X as B B p p B p X B • What can we say about the following: Theorem (Charles) Let’s do some numerical experiments! � � � � � X p � ρ ( X al ) NS X al ∈ { 1 , 2 , . . . , 20 } � � ??? � NS X p al � ρ ( X p al ) ∈ { 2 , 4 , . . . 22 } For infinitely many p we have ρ ( X p al ) = min q ρ ( X q al ) . p : ρ ( X p al ) > min q ρ ( X q al ) { } • Π jump ( X ) :=

  21. The Problem � What can we say about the following: Theorem (Charles) X X p � Let’s do some numerical experiments! � � � � ρ ( X al ) NS X al ∈ { 1 , 2 , . . . , 20 } � � ??? � NS X p al � ρ ( X p al ) ∈ { 2 , 4 , . . . 22 } For infinitely many p we have ρ ( X p al ) = min q ρ ( X q al ) . p : ρ ( X p al ) > min q ρ ( X q al ) { } • Π jump ( X ) := • γ ( X , B ) := # { p ≤ B : p ∈ Π jump ( X ) } as B → ∞ # { p ≤ B }

  22. The Problem � What can we say about the following: Theorem (Charles) X X p � Let’s do some numerical experiments! � � � � ρ ( X al ) NS X al ∈ { 1 , 2 , . . . , 20 } � � ??? � NS X p al � ρ ( X p al ) ∈ { 2 , 4 , . . . 22 } For infinitely many p we have ρ ( X p al ) = min q ρ ( X q al ) . p : ρ ( X p al ) > min q ρ ( X q al ) { } • Π jump ( X ) := • γ ( X , B ) := # { p ≤ B : p ∈ Π jump ( X ) } as B → ∞ # { p ≤ B }

  23. jump X p B 1 p Why? Generic K3 surfaces, ρ ( X al ) = 1 √ γ ( X , B ) ∼ c X , B → ∞

  24. Why? B Generic K3 surfaces, ρ ( X al ) = 1 √ γ ( X , B ) ∼ c X , B → ∞ ⇒ Prob( p ∈ Π jump ( X )) ∼ 1 / √ p =

  25. Why? B Generic K3 surfaces, ρ ( X al ) = 1 √ γ ( X , B ) ∼ c X , B → ∞ ⇒ Prob( p ∈ Π jump ( X )) ∼ 1 / √ p =

  26. Could it be related to some integer being a square modulo p ? No obvious trend… Data for ρ ( X al ) = 2

  27. Could it be related to some integer being a square modulo p ? No obvious trend… Data for ρ ( X al ) = 2

  28. Could it be related to some integer being a square modulo p ? No obvious trend… Data for ρ ( X al ) = 2

  29. jump X In general, d X is not a square. If d X is not a square: has infinitely many rational curves. d X • X 1 2 X B B • Corollary p inert in 2 p such that: , then there is a d X X p q X If Theorem (C, C–Elsenhans–Jahnel) Numerical experiments ⇝ Theoretical Results In most cases we can explain the 1 / 2!

  30. If d X is not a square: has infinitely many rational curves. Corollary Theorem (C, C–Elsenhans–Jahnel) • X 1 2 X B B • Numerical experiments ⇝ Theoretical Results In most cases we can explain the 1 / 2! If ρ ( X al ) = min q ρ ( X p al ) , then there is a d X ∈ Z such that: { } √ p > 2 : p inert in Q ( d X ) ⊂ Π jump ( X ) . In general, d X is not a square.

  31. Theorem (C, C–Elsenhans–Jahnel) Corollary Numerical experiments ⇝ Theoretical Results In most cases we can explain the 1 / 2! If ρ ( X al ) = min q ρ ( X p al ) , then there is a d X ∈ Z such that: { } √ p > 2 : p inert in Q ( d X ) ⊂ Π jump ( X ) . In general, d X is not a square. If d X is not a square: • lim inf B →∞ γ ( X , B ) ≥ 1 / 2 • X al has infinitely many rational curves.

  32. γ � � � γ � � � γ � � � ���� � ����� ���� � ����� ���� � ����� if d X is not a square modulo p jump X otherwise p 1 1 p Why?!? What if we ignore B B c B d X X Experimental data for ρ ( X al ) = 2 (again) p > 2 : p inert in Q ( √ d X ) { } ⊂ Π jump ( X ) ?

  33. γ � � � γ � � � γ � � � ���� � ����� ���� � ����� ���� � ����� if d X is not a square modulo p jump X Why?!? What if we ignore otherwise p 1 1 p B c d X Experimental data for ρ ( X al ) = 2 (again) p > 2 : p inert in Q ( √ d X ) { } ⊂ Π jump ( X ) ? ( ) ( √ √ γ ) , B ∼ , B → ∞ X Q

  34. Why?!? d X otherwise 1 1 What if we ignore B c Experimental data for ρ ( X al ) = 2 (again) p > 2 : p inert in Q ( √ d X ) { } ⊂ Π jump ( X ) ? ( ) ( √ √ γ ) , B ∼ , B → ∞ X Q 1 1 1 γ ( � � � ) γ ( � � � ) γ ( � � � ) 0.50 0.50 0.50 ���� � - ����� ���� � - ����� ���� � - ����� 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.05 0.05 0.05 10 4 10 5 10 4 10 5 10 4 10 5 100 1000 1000 100 1000   if d X is not a square modulo p Prob( p ∈ Π jump ( X )) = ∼ √ p 

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