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DESIGN OF 2014 EXPERIMENTS BO ILING W A TER Pa ve l K o pe le v | Jo hnny Alfo nso INTRODUCTION Intr oduc tion Outline Who a re we ? Ab o ut o ur pro g ra m B.T e c h Ab o ut o ur c o urse Bo iling Wa te r DOE 2 JOHNNY


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SLIDE 1

BO ILING W A TER

DESIGN OF EXPERIMENTS

2014

Pa ve l K

  • pe le v

| Jo hnny Alfo nso

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SLIDE 2

INTRODUCTION

Intr

  • duc tion Outline
  • Who a re we ?
  • Ab o ut o ur pro g ra m B.T

e c h

  • Ab o ut o ur c o urse

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 2

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SLIDE 3

JOHNNY ALFONSO

  • 4th Ye a r B.T

e c h Stude nt – Automotive Stre a m

  • Gra dua te in 646 Ho urs.
  • Coop
  • L

ina ma r (Skyja c k), Gue lph

  • Prog ra m inte re sts
  • Auto mo b ile s & E

ng ine s

  • De sig n
  • Ro b o tic s
  • Pro je c t Ma na g e me nt
  • E

xtra c urric ula r

  • Sno wb o a rding , T

ra ve lling

  • Pro duc t De ve lo pme nt & Busine ss
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SLIDE 4

PAVEL KOPELEV

  • 4th Ye a r B.T

e c h Stude nt – Automotive Stre a m

  • Coop
  • Ma g na Se a ting , Mississa ug a
  • Prog ra m inte re sts
  • Alte rna tive Ve hic le Po we rtra in Syste ms
  • Me c ha tro nic s
  • CAD So ftwa re
  • Busine ss Ma na g e me nt
  • E

xtra c urric ula r

  • Spo rts, Busine ss, T

ra ve lling

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SLIDE 5

BACHELOR OF TECHNOLOGY

  • Prog ra m Stre a ms
  • Auto mo tive & Ve hic le T

e c hno lo g y

  • Bio te c hno lo g y
  • Pro c e ss Auto ma tio n T

e c hno lo g y

  • Diploma s a nd Ce rtific a te s
  • Ba c he lo r o f T

e c hno lo g y De g re e – Mc Maste r

  • Adva nc e d Me c h. E

ng . T e c hno lo g y Diplo ma – Mo hawk Co lle g e

  • Busine ss Ma na g e me nt Ce rtific a te – Mo hawk Co lle g e
  • T

ime line

  • 4 ye a r de g re e with 12 mo nth c o o p pla c e me nt

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 5

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SLIDE 6

BACHELOR OF TECHNOLOGY

  • F
  • c us
  • E

ng ine e ring

  • Busine ss Ma na g e me nt
  • Ha nd-o n L

a b E xpe rie nc e

  • Har

d Skills

  • Ma nufa c turing
  • CAD De sig n
  • Pro g ra mming
  • Soft Skills
  • T

e a m Wo rk

  • Pro b le m So lving
  • Co mmunic a tio n Skills

http:/ / mybte c hde gr e e .c a/ vir tualtour

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 6

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SLIDE 7

STATISTICAL PROCESS CONTROL

  • Instruc tor
  • K

a re n L a wre nc e

  • Course
  • 4A c o urse fo c use d o n Sta tistic a l Pro c e ss Co ntro l & Da ta -Ba se d

De c isio n-Ma king

  • Co ntinuo us impro ve me nt pro c e ss stra te g ie s
  • F
  • c us
  • Sta tistic a l to o ls
  • Co ntro l Cha rts
  • Ca pa b ility Ana lysis
  • De sig n o f E

xpe rime nts (DOE )

  • Pro c e ss Optimiza tio n

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 7

“All e xpe rime nts a re de sig ne d e xpe rime nts, so me a re po o rly de sig ne d, so me a re we ll-de sig ne d”

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SLIDE 8

PRESENTATION OUTLINE

  • De sig n o f E

xpe rime nts Ove rvie w

  • Pro je c t Re q uire me nts
  • Co nc e ptua l Pro c e ss
  • F

a c to rs Se le c te d

  • Re spo nse Va ria b le s
  • E

xpe rime nta l Pro c e ss

  • Minita b Ana lysis
  • Pre se nta tio n o f Re sults
  • Co nc lusio ns a nd Co nside ra tio ns

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 8

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SLIDE 9

DESIGN OF EXPERIMENTS

  • What is it?
  • T

he (sta tistic a l) de sig n o f e xpe rime nts (DOE ) is a n e ffic ie nt pro c e dure fo r pla nning e xpe rime nts so tha t the da ta

  • b ta ine d c a n b e a na lyze d to yie ld c e rta in g o a ls
  • DOE

b e g ins with de te rmining the o b je c tive s o f a n e xpe rime nt a nd se le c ting the pro c e ss fa c to rs fo r the study

  • Why do it?
  • T

e st a hypo the sis

  • De te rmine c o rre la tio n b e twe e n fa c to rs a nd re sults
  • Ma ke de c isio ns

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 9

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SLIDE 10

DESIGN OF EXPERIMENTS

  • Compone nts of DOE
  • Outc o me / Hypo the sis
  • T

he hypo the sis va lida te s to purpo se o f the e xpe rime nt

  • I

de ntify fa c to rs tha t a re pre se nt o r ma y ha ve a n e ffe c t o n the re sult

  • Co ntro lle d a nd unc o ntro lle d fa c to rs must b e a c c o unte d fo r.
  • I

de ntify the se tting s/ sta te s o f the fa c to rs

  • On/ o ff, Pre se nt o r re mo ve d, hig h a nd lo w
  • Ra ndo miza tio n
  • Orde r o f e xpe rime nts

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 10

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SLIDE 11

DESIGN OF EXPERIMENTS

  • E

xpe rime nts in E ng ine e ring world

  • Pro c e ss o ptimiza tio n
  • E

va lua tio n o f ma te ria l pro pe rtie s

  • Pro duc t de sig n & de ve lo pme nt
  • Co mpo ne nt & syste m to le ra nc e de te rmina tio n
  • E

xa mple s

  • Ma nufa c turing industry ne e ds to use DOE

re g a rding pro duc tio n pro c e sse s to ide ntify so urc e s o f de fe c tive pa rts

  • E

ng ine e ring de ve lo pme nt c a n use DOE to ide ntify stre ng the ning pro c e sse s with g re a te st impa c t

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 11

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SLIDE 12
  • Cooking
  • F

ac to rs – Ove n T e mpe ra ture , Numb e r o f E g g s, Ba king So da Amo unt

  • Re spo nse – Size o f b a ke d c o o kie
  • Gr
  • wing se e ds
  • F

ac to rs – T ype o f so il, type o f a dditive , a mo unt o f da ily wa te r

  • Re spo nse – Size o f g ro wn pla nt
  • Air

Cannon Pr

  • je c tile
  • F

ac to rs – Air pre ssure , size o f pro je c tile , we ig ht o f pro je c tile

  • Re spo nse – L

e ng th o f pro je c tile tra ve l

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 12

DESIGN OF EXPERIMENTS

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SLIDE 13
  • Wha t a re the ke y fa c to rs in a

pro c e ss?

  • At wha t se tting s wo uld the pro c e ss

de live r a c c e pta b le pe rfo rma nc e ?

  • Wha t a re the ke y, ma in a nd

inte ra c tio n e ffe c ts in the pro c e ss?

  • Wha t se tting s wo uld b ring a b o ut le ss

va ria tio n in the o utput?

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 13

DESIGN OF EXPERIMENTS

  • We ll-pe rfo rme d e xpe rime nt ma y pro vide a nswe rs to

q ue stio ns suc h a s:

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SLIDE 14

DESIGN OF EXPERIMENTS

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 14

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SLIDE 15

PROJECT REQUIREMENTS

  • 2 le ve l full fa c to ria l e xpe rime nt with 3 o r mo re

fa c to rs (23 F a c to ria l)

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 15

  • Da ta a na lysis using

Minita b

  • ANOVA T

a b le s

  • E

ffe c ts Plo ts

  • Re sidua l Dia g no stic s
  • Suppo rting
  • utputs/ g ra phs
  • Co nduc ting e xpe rime nt
  • F

ull do c ume nta tio n a nd Re po rt

  • F

ina l inte rpre ta tio ns a nd c o nc lusio ns

LEVEL 1 .1 LEVEL 1 .2 FACTOR 1 FACTOR 2 LEVEL 2.1 LEVEL 2.2 FACTOR 3 LEVEL 3.1 LEVEL 3.2

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SLIDE 16

CONCEPTUAL PROCESS

  • Ide as
  • Bo wling , pla ying po o l, da rts
  • Pr
  • s
  • I

nte re sting a nd fun

  • Co mpa re two se ts o f re sults
  • Co uld c ha ng e b o wling fa c to rs
  • Cons
  • Use r de pe nde nt, sub je c tive
  • No t a pplic a b le to e ve ryda y life

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 16

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SLIDE 17

CONCEPTUAL PROCESS

  • Ide a s
  • Co unting c a rs: Wha t a nd whe n
  • Ove r a hig hwa y
  • Va rio us da y time s, we e k time s & we a the r c o nditio ns
  • Purpose
  • De te rmine flo w ra te s o f tra ffic a t va rio us time s in diffe re nt

we a the r c o nditio ns

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 17

  • Pros
  • Ob je c tive
  • I

nte re sting

  • Ra ndo m
  • Cons
  • Sc he duling
  • Co lde r We a the r (Mid-Ma rc h)
  • T
  • o ls
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SLIDE 18

CONCEPT: BOILING WATER

  • F

inal pr

  • je c t ide a
  • De sig n a n e xpe rime nt to de te rmine the q uic ke st wa y to b o il

wa te r

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 18

  • Why it was c hose n
  • Applie s to re a l-wo rld a pplic a tio ns

a nd wo uld b e use ful info rma tio n fo r the pub lic

  • Co o king is a n e ve ryda y a c tivity

tha t ma ny pe o ple pa rtic ipa te in

  • T

e st a the o ry – po ssib ly b ust a myth

  • “Adding sa lt to wa te r wo uld ma ke it

b o il fa ste r”

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SLIDE 19

CONCEPT: BOILING WATER

  • Pr
  • s
  • Curio sity fa c to r
  • On-ha nd a va ila b le ma te ria ls to pe rfo rm e xpe rime nta tio n
  • L
  • w-le ve l te c hno lo g y with le sso r c o mple xity
  • Ove ra ll de sig n a llo we d to a pply a dditio na l a na lysis
  • Ce nte r po ints, Blo c ks, Re pe titio n
  • Cons
  • Re stric te d ma te ria ls
  • L
  • ng e r tria l runs

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 19

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SLIDE 20

EXPERIMENTAL FACTORS

  • Mate r

ial T ype

  • Me ta l vs Gla ss
  • Mo st c o mmo n c ho ic e o f ma te ria l to b o il wa te r
  • Additive
  • 0ml sa lt vs 5ml sa lt
  • T

e st the o ry a nd pro ve a myth

  • Use d c e nte r po ints a t 2.5ml sa lt
  • Wate r
  • T

a p wa te r vs Distille d wa te r

  • Curio sity fa c to r o f “pure ” wa te r

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 20

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SLIDE 21

RESPONSE VARIABLES

  • T

ime

  • Cruc ia l re spo nse va ria b le whe n de te rmining whic h fa c to rs

e ffe c t b o iling wa te r to ha ppe n fa ste r, ve rsus the fa c to rs tha t slo w it do wn

  • E

sse ntia l to c o rre c tly time sa mple s o f b o iling wa te r to de te rmine re sults

  • Da ta c o lle c te d in se c o nds
  • Ma in re spo nse va ria b le
  • T

e mpe ra ture

  • Co nc lude if wa te r ha s a c tua lly hit b o iling po int
  • E

a c h sa mple mo nito re d b y the rmo me te r

  • Onc e the wa te r ha s hit 100°C time is sto ppe d a nd re c o rde d

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 21

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SLIDE 22

EXPERIMENT PROCEDURE

  • An e xpe rime nt is a te st o r a se rie s o f te sts in whic h

purpo se ful c ha ng e s a re ma de to input va ria b le s (x) to o b se rve c o rre spo nding c ha ng e s in the o utput re sults(y)

  • Ra ndo mly se le c te d o rde r (Minita b o utput)
  • E

a c h pla te wa s c o o le d do wn to ro o m te mpe ra ture b e fo re b e ing use d a g a in

  • Wa te r wa s ke pt a t ro o m te mpe ra ture in la rg e r

b a tc he s

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 22

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SLIDE 23

EXPERIMENT PROCEDURE

  • Re plic a tion
  • Duplic a ting o ur e xpe rime nt twic e wo uld g ive us a b e tte r

unde rsta nding o f e rro r

  • Go o d to use fo r DOE

to suppo rt the da ta tha t wa s first c o lle c te d a nd c o mpe re d to da ta tha t is c o lle c te d a g a in

  • Use d 2 tria ls to c o mpa re to e a c h o the r
  • F

unc tio n use d to a na lyze una c c o unte d fla w in o rde r to furthe r pro c e e d with e xpe rime nta tio n

  • Bloc ks
  • Whe n ra ndo mizing a fa c to r is impo ssib le o r to o c o stly, b lo c king

le ts yo u re stric t ra ndo miza tio n b y c a rrying o ut a ll o f the tria ls with o ne se tting o f the fa c to r a nd the n a ll the tria ls with the

  • the r se tting
  • Blo c k pla c e d o n ABC fo r diffe re nt da y e xpe rime nta tio n

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 23

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SLIDE 24

EXPERIMENT PROCEDURE

  • Ce nte r

points

  • Curva ture de te c tio n
  • De te rmine whe the r the fa c to rs in the e xpe rime nt ha ve

line a r e ffe c ts

  • Cho se n fo r the c urio sity a spe c t o f the e xpe rime nt to re ve a l

the re ve a l the re la tio nship o f a ll thre e fa c to rs

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 24

  • T

he c e nte r po ints use d ha lf a te a spo o n (2.5 ml), while the full sa lt c o nte nt tria ls use d a full te a spo o n (5 ml)

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SLIDE 25

EXPERIMENT PROCEDURE

  • Mate r

ials

  • 200 ml Gla ss Be a ke rs
  • 200 ml ste e l, nic ke l pla te d c o nta ine r
  • T

a b le sa lt

  • Me a suring Spo o ns
  • Ho tpla te s
  • Distille d wa te r
  • T

a p Wa te r

  • T

he rmo me te rs

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 25

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SLIDE 26

EXPERIMENT PROCEDURE

  • Minita b se tup
  • De sig n wo rkshe e t
  • De sig n runs in ra ndo m o rde r a s we ll a s indic a te d sta nda rd
  • rde r

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 26

Factor Name Type A SaltCont Numeric

  • 1

5 +1 B MatType Text Metal

  • 1

Glass +1 C WatType Text Tap

  • 1

Distilled +1 Low High

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SLIDE 27

EXPERIMENT PROCEDURE

  • E

xpe r ime nts

  • Gla ss- 16
  • Me ta l- 16
  • T

a p- 16

  • Distille d- 16
  • 0 Sa lt- 8
  • 5 Sa lt- 8
  • 2.5 Sa lt- 16
  • DOE
  • 16*2 = 32 e xpe rime nts
  • Da y 1 = 16
  • Da y 2 = 16

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 27

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SLIDE 28

StdOrder RunOrder CenterPt Blocks SaltCont(ml) MatType WatType Time(s) 1 19 1 1 0 Metal Tap 682 2 31 1 1 5 Glass Tap 537 3 21 1 1 5 Metal Distilled 714 4 22 1 1 0 Glass Distilled 650 5 32 1 1 0 Metal Tap 733 6 18 1 1 5 Glass Tap 555 7 26 1 1 5 Metal Distilled 684 8 24 1 1 0 Glass Distilled 670 9 17 1 2.5 Metal Tap 662 10 30 1 2.5 Glass Tap 567 11 28 1 2.5 Metal Distilled 781 12 25 1 2.5 Glass Distilled 580 13 20 1 2.5 Metal Tap 757 14 29 1 2.5 Glass Tap 598 15 27 1 2.5 Metal Distilled 674 16 23 1 2.5 Glass Distilled 583 17 5 1 2 5 Metal Tap 641 18 11 1 2 0 Glass Tap 554 19 9 1 2 0 Metal Distilled 695 20 15 1 2 5 Glass Distilled 573 21 10 1 2 5 Metal Tap 669 22 16 1 2 0 Glass Tap 675 23 4 1 2 0 Metal Distilled 774 24 7 1 2 5 Glass Distilled 561 25 14 2 2.5 Metal Tap 712 26 1 2 2.5 Glass Tap 564 27 12 2 2.5 Metal Distilled 736 28 8 2 2.5 Glass Distilled 560 29 13 2 2.5 Metal Tap 716 30 3 2 2.5 Glass Tap 594 31 2 2 2.5 Metal Distilled 733 32 6 2 2.5 Glass Distilled 569

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SLIDE 29

StdOrder RunOrder CenterPt Blocks SaltCont(ml) MatType WatType Time(s) 26 1 2 2.5 Glass Tap 564 31 2 2 2.5 Metal Distilled 733 30 3 2 2.5 Glass Tap 594 23 4 1 2 0 Metal Distilled 774 17 5 1 2 5 Metal Tap 641 32 6 2 2.5 Glass Distilled 569 24 7 1 2 5 Glass Distilled 561 28 8 2 2.5 Glass Distilled 560 19 9 1 2 0 Metal Distilled 695 21 10 1 2 5 Metal Tap 669 18 11 1 2 0 Glass Tap 554 27 12 2 2.5 Metal Distilled 736 29 13 2 2.5 Metal Tap 716 25 14 2 2.5 Metal Tap 712 20 15 1 2 5 Glass Distilled 573 22 16 1 2 0 Glass Tap 675 9 17 1 2.5 Metal Tap 662 6 18 1 1 5 Glass Tap 555 1 19 1 1 0 Metal Tap 682 13 20 1 2.5 Metal Tap 757 3 21 1 1 5 Metal Distilled 714 4 22 1 1 0 Glass Distilled 650 16 23 1 2.5 Glass Distilled 583 8 24 1 1 0 Glass Distilled 670 12 25 1 2.5 Glass Distilled 580 7 26 1 1 5 Metal Distilled 684 15 27 1 2.5 Metal Distilled 674 11 28 1 2.5 Metal Distilled 781 14 29 1 2.5 Glass Tap 598 10 30 1 2.5 Glass Tap 567 2 31 1 1 5 Glass Tap 537 5 32 1 1 0 Metal Tap 733

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SLIDE 30

MINITAB RESULTS

  • Re sidual Analysis
  • Da ta no rma l & ra ndo m
  • Par

e to c har t of the standar dize d e ffe c ts

  • Ma in e ffe c ts
  • Half Nor

mal Plot of standar dize d e ffe c ts

  • Ma in e ffe c ts
  • Main E

ffe c ts Plots

  • E

ffe c ts o f c ha ng e in se tting s

  • Inte r

ac tion Plots

  • E

ffe c ts o f va ria b le s a g a inst

  • the r fa c to rs
  • Cube Plot
  • Optima l Se tting s Cha rt

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 30

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SLIDE 31

RESULTS

  • Re sidual Plot
  • T

e st Assumptio ns 1. No rma lly Distrib ute d 2. I nde pe nde nt Va ria b le s 3. E q ua l Va ria nc e

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 31

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SLIDE 32

RESULTS

  • Par

e to Char t

  • Whic h te rms

c o ntrib ute the mo st to the va ria b ility in the re spo nse

  • Co nfirm with p-

va lue fro m ANOVA ta b le

  • Re fe re nc e line a t

5% sig nific a nc e le ve l indic a te s sig nific a nc e

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 32

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SLIDE 33

RESULTS

  • ANOVA
  • Sho ws whic h te rms c o ntrib ute the mo st to the va ria b ility in

the re spo nse

  • Cle a r to se e tha t the mo st sig nific a nt fa c to rs in this

e xpe rime nt a re the Ma te ria l T ype a nd Sa lt c o nte nt with a p- va lue o f 0.000 a nd 0.002

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SLIDE 34

RESULTS

  • Nor

mal E ffe c ts Plot

  • Suppo rts the

ANOVA ta b le a lo ng with the Pa re to c ha rt to de te rmine whic h fa c to rs a re mo st sig nific a nt in the e xpe rime nt.

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 34

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SLIDE 35

RESULTS

  • Main E

ffe c ts Plot

  • Whic h 2-le ve l

fa c to rs a re mo st sig nific a nt

  • Only c o nc e ntra te
  • n sig nific a nt

fa c to rs a nd e xc lude no n- sig nific a nt

  • Ce nte r po int

use d to de te c t c urva ture

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 35

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SLIDE 36

RESULTS

  • Inte r

ac tion Plot

  • De te rmine
  • ptima l se tting

fo r sig nific a nt fa c to rs

  • Ce nte r po int

use d to de te rmine c urva ture

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 36

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SLIDE 37

RESIDUALS EQUATION

  • Mode l
  • Ma the ma tic a l e q ua tio n use d to pre dic t the re spo nse

[ y = B

  • + (A*B

1) + (B*B 2) + (C*B 3) + Blo c k + Ce nte r Po ints ]

y = 647.94 - (31.19*B

1) - (61.66*B 2)

  • E

xample

y = 647.94 - (31.19*(1)) - (61.66*(1)) y = 555.09

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 37

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SLIDE 38

RESULTS

  • Cube Plot
  • De te rmine
  • ptima l se tting

fo r e xpe rime nt

  • Cub e sha pe due

to 3 fa c to rs

  • Hig h a nd lo w

va ria b le s

  • Ave ra g e s sho wn

fo r c o lle c te d da ta

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 38

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SLIDE 39

CONCLUSIONS

  • I

mme dia te c o nc lusio ns

  • Ra nke d impa c t b y fa c to r:

1) Ma te ria l Se le c tio n 2) Sa lt Co nc e ntra tio n

  • Wa te r type & c o mb ina tio n o f fa c to rs: AB, AC, BC a re no t

sig nific a nt within 95% c o nfide nc e

  • Pe r c ub e plo t b e st o ptimize d se tting s fo r lo we r b o iling time s
  • 5ml salt + T

ap wate r + Glass mate r ial

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 39

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SLIDE 40

CONSIDERATIONS

  • So urc e s o f e rro r
  • Multiple ho tpla te s pro vide d mo re so urc e s o f e rro r
  • T

wo the rmo me te rs inc re a se the e rro r b e twe e n the rmo me te rs.

  • Ho t pla te re se t te mpe ra ture pro c e sse s.
  • I

nitia l te mpe ra ture ma y ha ve va rie d

  • Sha pe o f c o nta ine r a nd g e o me try inc re a se d va ria b ility a nd

ma y ha ve a ffe c te d the re sults

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 40

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SLIDE 41

PRESENTATION REVIEW

  • De sig n o f E

xpe rime nts Ove rvie w

  • Pro je c t re q uire me nts
  • Co nc e ptua l Pro c e ss
  • F

a c to rs Se le c te d

  • Re spo nse Va ria b le s
  • E

xpe rime nta l Pro c e ss

  • Minita b Ana lysis
  • Pre se nta tio n o f Re sults
  • Co nc lusio ns a nd Co nside ra tio ns

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 41

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SLIDE 42

THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME

QUE ST I ONS

Bo iling Wa te r DOE 42