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Comprehensive I ntegrated Comprehensive I ntegrated I nfrastructure Program (CI I P) I nfrastructure Program (CI I P) 2006- -2010 2010 2006 18 August 2006 I nterim Meeting of the Philippines Development Forum Makati Shangri-La Hotel

SLIDE 1

Comprehensive I ntegrated Comprehensive I ntegrated I nfrastructure Program (CI I P) I nfrastructure Program (CI I P) 2006 2006-

2010

2010

NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY

18 August 2006

I nterim Meeting of the Philippines Development Forum

Makati Shangri-La Hotel

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NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY 18 AUGUST 2006

Power and Electrification 21.10% (PhP 361.12 B) Water Resources 14.64% (PhP 250.49 B) Communications 1.25% (PhP 21.44 B) Social I nfrastructure 9.60% (PhP 164.32 B) Support to ARCs 1.44% (PhP 24.64 B)

I nvestment Requirement by Sector I nvestment Requirement by Sector

Total investments = PhP 1,711 billion*

(4.45 % of total GDP for 2006-2010)

* excludes projects with incomplete information Transportation 51.96% (PhP 889.20 B)

Transportation Breakdown

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NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY 18 AUGUST 2006

I nvestment Requirement by Status I nvestment Requirement by Status

f I mplementation
f I mplementation

Ongoing

(PhP 337.40B) 20%

Proposed

(PhP 1,373.81B) 80%

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NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY 18 AUGUST 2006

NG 44% (PhP 775.3 B) Other Sources (PhP 61.2 B) 4% LGUs (PhP 26.1 B) 2% Private (PhP 459.9 B) 27% GOCCs/ GFI s (PhP 388.7 B) 23%

I nvestment Requirement by I nvestment Requirement by Financing Source Financing Source

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NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY 18 AUGUST 2006

2006 2006-

2010 CI I P vs. DBM Proposed Budget

2010 CI I P vs. DBM Proposed Budget Strategy Strategy

200 400 600 800 1000 775.3 CIIP (2006-2010+ ) 617.8 CIIP (2006-2010) 605.0 DBM (2006-2010) 12.8 Deficit (2006-2010) 157.5 2010+ Requirement

I nvestment (in PhP Billion)

2010

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NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY 18 AUGUST 2006

M T P I P M T P I P FI NANCI NG FI NANCI NG FRAMEWORK FRAMEWORK

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NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY 18 AUGUST 2006

With Budget and Off-Budget Financing

ODA

National Savings Pool

P/$

DOF

P/$

GOCC

Funding Repayment (Via AA) Repayment (Via AA) Repayment

NG/Agency LGU Budget

Project

Funding

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NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY 18 AUGUST 2006

Savings and I nvestment (percent of GDP)

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Gross National Savings 23.0 24.5 26.6 28.1 29.6 30.0 Gross Domestic Savings 16.1 17.1 19.1 19.7 21.0 20.7 Foreign Savings 8.8 4.2 7.1 2.4 4.7 4.65 Investment 19.3 19.0 17.7 16.8 16.8 15.1 S-I Gap 3.7 5.5 9.0 11.2 12.8 14.8

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NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY 18 AUGUST 2006

5 10 15 20 25 30 35

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

S I

S-I Gap

Savings and I nvestment (percent of GDP)

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NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY 18 AUGUST 2006

I DENTI FI ED FI NANCI NG SOURCES

CHI NA EXI MBANK

$2 billion/ year for next 3 years

WORLD BANK, ADB, JBI C

27th Yen Loan: at least $1 billion under

negotiation

$200 million each from World Bank and ADB

program loans LAND BANK, DBP

Financing for LGUs

GSI S

P10 billion for Subic/ Clark projects

NDC

Bond Flotation

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NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY 18 AUGUST 2006

GFI s GFI s DBP

P228 billion assets
P30–P40 billion liquid cash

LBP

P330 billion assets
P40 billion free loanable funds

I DENTI FI ED FI NANCI NG SOURCES

(Cont.)

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NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY 18 AUGUST 2006

FI NANCI AL STRENGTH OF GOCC’s

PNOC : P12 billion free cash BCDA : P79 billion in Assets with P68 billion

in equity

NDC : Good rating in local bond market PHI LEXI M: $3.5 billion in potential sovereign

guarantee

NRDC : Potential owner of vast public

lands of DENR

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NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY 18 AUGUST 2006

FUNDS

NATIONAL SAVINGS POOL

GSIS SSS Pag-ibig DBP, LBP Private Banks Equity Mkt. Bond Mkt.

PROJECT FI NANCI NG MODEL

Purely-Off Budget

PROJECT GOCC NDC/PIC

FUNDS

PPA PNOC BCDA ATO, PNR

ODA WB,JBIC ADB, China

FUNDS

Loan Instrument with Real Estate Profit Participation PEA

RECLAMATION/ LAND DEV’T

PIC/ DPWH

ROAD CONSTRUCTION

DENR or Private Land Owners

LAND

PFC NABCOR/ DA/DAR

TECHNICAL/ SOCIAL SERVICES

Legal Experts

RESEARCH/ ADVICE

Private Sector/ Foreign Partner Clientele SOE

FUNDS, CONTRACTOR

DOF/ PHILEXIM GUARANTEE

REPAYMENT REPAYMENT REPAYMENT

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End of Presentation NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY

SLIDE 15

NATIONAL ECONOMIC AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY 18 AUGUST 2006

Water Transport 4% PhP 31.89 B Air Transport 12% PhP 104.53 B

Breakdown of Transport Breakdown of Transport I nvestment Requirement I nvestment Requirement

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Urban/ Rail 41% PhP 364.59 B Roads and Bridges 43% PhP 388.19