ELEVATE LAS CRUCES COMPREHENSIVE PLAN CITY COUNCIL/COMPREHENSIVE PLAN ADVISORY COMMITTEE (CPAC) WORK SESSION JOINT WORK SESSION FEBRUARY 26, 2019 1
ELEVATE LAS CRUCES COMPREHENSIVE PLAN TOPICS: • COMPREHENSIVE PLAN BACKGROUND • SCENARIO PLANNING PROCESS • ALTERNATIVE GROWTH SCENARIOS • FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS 2
LAS CRUCES CONTEXT 3
CULTURAL CRO CU ROSSRO SSROADS 4
LIVABL ABLE E COMMUNITY NITY 5
VIBR VIBRAN ANT NEIG NEIGHBO BORHOODS 6
BALANC NCED ED DEVEL VELOPMENT ENT 7
NATU NATURAL AL SET ETTING NG 8
ECONOMI MIC C PRO PROSPE SPERI RITY 9
SO SOCI CIAL PA PART RTNERSH SHIPS PS 10
COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OVERVIEW 11
COM OMPREH EHENSI NSIVE PLAN AN BAC ACKGROUND ND • VISION FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT AND REDEVELOPMENT IN A COMMUNITY • A POLICY DOCUMENT TO GUIDE CHANGES TO REGULATORY TOOLS SUCH AS THE ZONING ORDINANCE AND SUBDIVISION REGULATIONS. • LAND USE IS AT THE CORE OF THE PLAN, BUT IT ALSO CONSIDERS TRANSPORTATION, COMMUNITY INFRASTRUCTURE, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, HOUSING, PARKS AND TRAILS, AND COMMUNITY DESIGN. 12
COM OMPREH EHENSI NSIVE PLAN AN BAC ACKGROUND ND 13
COM OMPREH EHENSI NSIVE PLAN AN UPDAT ATE E FEAT EATURES 1. COMMUNITY VISION 2. CONSISTENT WITH “SMART GROWTH” PRINCIPLES 3. “SYSTEMS-THINKING” PLANNING APPROACH 4. GROWTH SCENARIO MODELING 5. FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS 6. PUBLIC OUTREACH TREND DISTRICT INFILL 14
PU PUBLIC IC ENGAGEME MENT T ACTIV CTIVITI ITIES PROJECT WEBSITE PUBLIC SURVEY PUBLIC WORKSHOPS 15
SCENARIO PLANNING PROCESS 16
Our role is to empower others to make more informed decisions about their future. 17
PR PRIN INCIPL CIPLE & DATA TA APPR PPROACH CHES DATA DRIVEN PRINCIPLE DRIVEN CULTURAL LIVABLE CROSSROADS COMMUNITY BALANCED VIBRANT ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENT NEIGHBORHOODS STEWARDSHIP ECONOMIC SOCIAL PROSPERITY PARTNERSHIPS 18
GENER GENERAL FRAM AMEW EWORK FUTURE LAND USE SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE CONSERVATION MEASURES COMMUNITY CHARACTER 19
PLANNI ANNING NG WI WITH H PER ERFOR ORMAN ANCE MEASU EASURES DESCRIBE. IMPACTS. PERFORMANCE. Land Use Profile Sustainability Water Development Fiscal Impacts Sewer Status Quality-of-Life Transportation Population Economic Home Choices Employment Vitality Conservation Dwelling Units Impacts Square Feet 20
ALTERNATIVE GROWTH SCENARIOS 21
TREND DEVELOPMENT SCENARIO COMPACT STRATEGIC CPAC/CITY GROWTH CENTERS & COUNCIL CENTERS CORRIDORS WORK SESSION 22
HOW ARE THE Planning Area SCENARIOS THE SAME? Anticipated Growth Available Place Types 23
20-YEAR ANTICIPA 20 TICIPATE TED GROWTH TH GROWTH RATE • Mesilla Valley MPO projects Dona Ana County to grow by 1.2% per year to 2040 CITY GROWTH • For Las Cruces, this growth rate translates to 38,350 new residents by 2045 NEW HOUSING • Assume 5% vacancy factor UNITS • 16,100 new housing units by 2045 • Doña Ana County employment growth (2005-2017) from 65,000 to 71,100 - 0.7% annual GROWTH employment growth RATE • New Mexico Workforce Commission projects this same growth through 2026 COUNTY • Projecting this growth rate out to 2045, the County will add 15,880 jobs GROWTH • County projections apportioned to City based on recent trends 24
20 20-YEAR ANTICIPA TICIPATE TED GROWTH TH RES ESIDEN ENTIAL AL OFFI FFICE INDUSTR TRIAL RET ETAI AIL INSTI TITU TUTI TIONAL New D.U. Growth = 16,100 New S.F. Growth = 1,103,257 New S.F. Growth = 559,348 New S.F. Growth = 1,464,500 New S.F. Growth = 2,383,612 60,600 76,700 → Total New nonresidential S.F. Growth = 5,510,717 → 19,970,874 25,481,591 25
SC SCENAR ENARIO PLANNI ANNING NG ANAL ANALYSI SIS S AR AREA EA Areas of growth potential… A. Municipal Limits B. Initial Analysis Area: Extraterritorial Zone (5 miles) C. Alternative Growth Scenarios: Focus on 1 – 3 Mile Buffer (Depicted) 26
EXIST EX STING NG DEVE EVELOPMENT NT ST STAT ATUS S & CONSTR CO TRAIN INTS TS DEVELOPMENT STATUS Developed 12% Agriculture 7% Undeveloped 36% Government- 45% Owned Land CONSTRAINTS 4% Rights-of-Way 1% Water Bodies Government- 45% Owned Land Steep Slope 1% Areas 27
FUTURE LAND AND USE SE (P (PLAC ACE E TYPES) ES) OPEN SPACE NEIGHBORHOODS COMMERCE & INDUSTRY MIXED USE CENTERS Corridor Commercial Rural Neighborhood Rural Reserve Downtown Mixed Neighborhood Center Regional Commercial Preserved Open Space Suburban Neighborhood Conservation Neighborhood Mixed Town Center Urban Neighborhood Business Park & Industrial Urban Corridor Institutional 28
HOW ARE THE Devel elop opmen ent Types es Devel elop opmen ent Locat ation ons SCENARIOS DIFFERENT? Devel elop opmen ent Patter erns Devel elop opmen ent Inten ensities es Support rting Infra rast stru ruct cture re Conser ervat ation on Measures 29
TREND END SC SCENA ENARIO TREND DEVELOPMENT THEMES ES & F FEATURES: ES: • Low-density, single-use (SCENARIO #1) development patterns spread throughout the planning area • Outward expansion of infrastructure ― roads, water, sewer, schools, parks, etc. ― to serve newly developed areas • Reliance on cars for most trips in the planning area (very little regional bus transit service) • Loss of the rural landscape (including farms, orchards, and undeveloped desert land) to accommodate new neighborhoods, commercial centers, Map Legend office complexes, and industrial uses Developed Areas in 2018 (Generalized) Undeveloped Areas Las Cruces City Limits Future Residential Growth (1 dot = 1 DU) 30 Major Roads Future Nonresidential Growth (1 dot = 5,000 SF) Protected Open Space Mesilla City Limits
TREND DEVELOPMENT (SCENARIO #1) Single Family Neighborhoods Industrial Parks Office Parks Shopping Centers 31 Downtown Destinations Apartment Buildings
CENTERS (SCENARIO #2) COMPA MPACT CT GROWTH TH CENTER ERS S SCENAR NARIO O COMPACT GROWTH THEMES ES & F FEATURES: ES: • Strong emphasis on infill development throughout the entire city • Minimize development outside of the existing city limit • New mixed use in 8 centers within the existing urban context • Minimal new infrastructure ― roads, water, sewer, schools, parks, etc. ― to serve newly developed areas • Improved conservation of the rural landscape (including farms, orchards, and undeveloped desert land) to accommodate new neighborhoods and Map Legend nonresidential uses Developed Areas in 2018 (Generalized) Undeveloped Areas Las Cruces City Limits Future Residential Growth (1 dot = 1 DU) Major Roads Future Nonresidential Growth (1 dot = 5,000 SF) Protected Open Space Mesilla City Limits 32
CENTERS (SCENARIO #2) SPECIF IFIC IC ASSUMPTIO IONS MADE DE FOR THE SCENARIO IO: COMPACT GROWTH Downt ntow own n Las Cruc uces Aggi ggie Upto ptown & Apodac aca a Blueprint Arrow owhe head Park Plus s others: s: Mesilla illa Valley Mall Amador or Prox oximo 33 West st Pi Picacho
CENTERS (SCENARIO #2) COMPACT GROWTH Incr Increase Dens nsities to o Sup upport Mor ore Walkable Env nvironme ments 34
CENTERS (SCENARIO #2) COMPACT GROWTH Incr Increase Dens nsities to o Sup upport Mor ore Walkable Env nvironme ments 35
CORRIDORS (SCENARIO #3) STRA TRATE TEGIC CE CENTE TERS & STRATEGIC CENTERS & COR ORRIDORS S SC SCENA ENARIO THEMES ES & F FEATURES: ES: • More emphasis on infill development than Trend but less than Compact Centers • Some development outside of the existing city limit • New mixed use in 15 centers within and near the existing urban context • Some new infrastructure required ― roads, water, sewer, schools, parks, etc. ― to serve newly developed areas • Improved conservation of the rural landscape (including farms, orchards, and Map Legend undeveloped desert Developed Areas in 2018 (Generalized) Undeveloped Areas Las Cruces City Limits Future Residential Growth (1 dot = 1 DU) land) to accommodate new neighborhoods and Major Roads Future Nonresidential Growth (1 dot = 5,000 SF) Protected Open Space Mesilla City Limits nonresidential uses 36
CORRIDORS (SCENARIO #3) SPECIF IFIC IC ASSUMPTIO IONS MADE DE FOR THE SCENARIO IO: STRATEGIC CENTERS & New ew East Mes esa Cen enters: : Lohman n & Sonoma Ranch Mesquite ite distr tric ict Roadrunner & & Highway 7 70 Thurmon ond & Longview ew Del R Rey & & Engler Pl Plus ot others: : Ama mador Pr Prox oximo Apod odaca Bl Bluep eprint Mesilla illa Valle ley Mall Downtown L Las C Cruces Urb rban Corri rridors: Wes est Pi Picacho Sola lano Driv ive Arro rrowhead Park ark & Aggie Val alley Dri rive Uptown wn Telshor D Drive Avenid ida de Mesilla illa 37
CORRIDORS (SCENARIO #3) STRATEGIC CENTERS & Incr Increase Dens nsities to o Sup upport Mor ore Walkable Env nvironme ments 38
CORRIDORS (SCENARIO #3) STRATEGIC CENTERS & Incr Increase Dens nsities to o Sup upport Mor ore Walkable Env nvironme ments 39
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