ELEVATE LAS CRUCES COMPREHENSIVE PLAN CITY COUNCIL/COMPREHENSIVE - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

ELEVATE LAS CRUCES COMPREHENSIVE PLAN

JOINT WORK SESSION FEBRUARY 26, 2019

CITY COUNCIL/COMPREHENSIVE PLAN ADVISORY COMMITTEE (CPAC) WORK SESSION

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ELEVATE LAS CRUCES COMPREHENSIVE PLAN

• COMPREHENSIVE PLAN

BACKGROUND

• SCENARIO PLANNING PROCESS
• ALTERNATIVE GROWTH SCENARIOS
• FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS

TOPICS:

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LAS CRUCES CONTEXT

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CU CULTURAL CRO ROSSRO SSROADS

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LIVABL ABLE E COMMUNITY NITY

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VIBR VIBRAN ANT NEIG NEIGHBO BORHOODS

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BALANC NCED ED DEVEL VELOPMENT ENT

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NATU NATURAL AL SET ETTING NG

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ECONOMI MIC C PRO PROSPE SPERI RITY

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SO SOCI CIAL PA PART RTNERSH SHIPS PS

COMPREHENSIVE PLAN OVERVIEW

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• VISION FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT

AND REDEVELOPMENT IN A COMMUNITY

• A POLICY DOCUMENT TO GUIDE

CHANGES TO REGULATORY TOOLS SUCH AS THE ZONING ORDINANCE AND SUBDIVISION REGULATIONS.

• LAND USE IS AT THE CORE OF THE

PLAN, BUT IT ALSO CONSIDERS TRANSPORTATION, COMMUNITY INFRASTRUCTURE, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, HOUSING, PARKS AND TRAILS, AND COMMUNITY DESIGN.

COM OMPREH EHENSI NSIVE PLAN AN BAC ACKGROUND ND

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COM OMPREH EHENSI NSIVE PLAN AN BAC ACKGROUND ND

1. COMMUNITY VISION

• 2. CONSISTENT WITH “SMART GROWTH” PRINCIPLES
• 3. “SYSTEMS-THINKING” PLANNING APPROACH
• 4. GROWTH SCENARIO MODELING
• 5. FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS
• 6. PUBLIC OUTREACH

COM OMPREH EHENSI NSIVE PLAN AN UPDAT ATE E FEAT EATURES

TREND DISTRICT INFILL

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PROJECT WEBSITE PUBLIC SURVEY PUBLIC WORKSHOPS

PU PUBLIC IC ENGAGEME MENT T ACTIV CTIVITI ITIES

SCENARIO PLANNING PROCESS

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Our role is to empower

• thers to make more

informed decisions about their future.

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PRINCIPLE DRIVEN

PR PRIN INCIPL CIPLE & DATA TA APPR PPROACH CHES

ECONOMIC PROSPERITY SOCIAL PARTNERSHIPS BALANCED DEVELOPMENT VIBRANT NEIGHBORHOODS LIVABLE COMMUNITY CULTURAL CROSSROADS ENVIRONMENTAL STEWARDSHIP

DATA DRIVEN

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GENER GENERAL FRAM AMEW EWORK

FUTURE LAND USE CONSERVATION MEASURES SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE COMMUNITY CHARACTER

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DESCRIBE.

PLANNI ANNING NG WI WITH H PER ERFOR ORMAN ANCE MEASU EASURES

IMPACTS. PERFORMANCE.

Land Use Profile Development Status Population Employment Dwelling Units Square Feet Water Sewer Transportation Home Choices Conservation Impacts Sustainability Fiscal Impacts Quality-of-Life Economic Vitality

ALTERNATIVE GROWTH SCENARIOS

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COMPACT GROWTH CENTERS STRATEGIC CENTERS & CORRIDORS CPAC/CITY COUNCIL WORK SESSION

TREND DEVELOPMENT SCENARIO

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HOW ARE THE SCENARIOS THE SAME?

Planning Area Anticipated Growth Available Place Types

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20 20-YEAR ANTICIPA TICIPATE TED GROWTH TH

• Mesilla Valley MPO projects Dona Ana County to grow by 1.2% per year to 2040

GROWTH RATE

• For Las Cruces, this growth rate translates to 38,350 new residents by 2045

CITY GROWTH

• Assume 5% vacancy factor
• 16,100 new housing units by 2045

NEW HOUSING UNITS

• Doña Ana County employment growth (2005-2017) from 65,000 to 71,100 - 0.7% annual

employment growth

• New Mexico Workforce Commission projects this same growth through 2026

GROWTH RATE

• Projecting this growth rate out to 2045, the County will add 15,880 jobs
• County projections apportioned to City based on recent trends

COUNTY GROWTH

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20 20-YEAR ANTICIPA TICIPATE TED GROWTH TH

New D.U. Growth = 16,100

60,600 76,700 →

New S.F. Growth = 1,103,257 New S.F. Growth = 559,348 New S.F. Growth = 1,464,500

RES ESIDEN ENTIAL AL OFFI FFICE INDUSTR TRIAL RET ETAI AIL INSTI TITU TUTI TIONAL

New S.F. Growth = 2,383,612

19,970,874 25,481,591 → Total New nonresidential S.F. Growth = 5,510,717

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SC SCENAR ENARIO PLANNI ANNING NG ANAL ANALYSI SIS S AR AREA EA

Areas of growth potential…

• A. Municipal Limits
• B. Initial Analysis Area: Extraterritorial Zone (5 miles)
• C. Alternative Growth Scenarios: Focus on 1 – 3 Mile

Buffer (Depicted)

Developed Agriculture Undeveloped Government- Owned Land 12% 7% 36% 45%

DEVELOPMENT STATUS

Rights-of-Way Water Bodies Government- Owned Land Steep Slope Areas

4% 1% 45% 1%

CONSTRAINTS

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EX EXIST STING NG DEVE EVELOPMENT NT ST STAT ATUS S & CO CONSTR TRAIN INTS TS

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FUTURE LAND AND USE SE (P (PLAC ACE E TYPES) ES)

Preserved Open Space Rural Neighborhood Suburban Neighborhood Urban Neighborhood Corridor Commercial Business Park & Industrial Regional Commercial Downtown Rural Reserve Institutional

OPEN SPACE NEIGHBORHOODS MIXED USE CENTERS COMMERCE & INDUSTRY

Conservation Neighborhood Mixed Neighborhood Center Mixed Town Center Urban Corridor

Devel elop

• pmen

ent Types es Devel elop

• pmen

ent Locat ation

• ns

Devel elop

• pmen

ent Patter erns Devel elop

• pmen

ent Inten ensities es Support rting Infra rast stru ruct cture re Conser ervat ation

• n Measures

HOW ARE THE SCENARIOS DIFFERENT?

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• Low-density, single-use

development patterns spread throughout the planning area

• Outward expansion of

infrastructure ― roads, water, sewer, schools, parks, etc. ―to serve newly developed areas

• Reliance on cars for most

trips in the planning area (very little regional bus transit service)

• Loss of the rural

landscape (including farms, orchards, and undeveloped desert land) to accommodate new neighborhoods, commercial centers,

• ffice complexes, and

industrial uses

TREND DEVELOPMENT (SCENARIO #1)

TREND END SC SCENA ENARIO THEMES ES & F FEATURES: ES:

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Developed Areas in 2018 (Generalized) Undeveloped Areas Protected Open Space Las Cruces City Limits Mesilla City Limits Map Legend Major Roads Future Nonresidential Growth (1 dot = 5,000 SF) Future Residential Growth (1 dot = 1 DU)

Single Family Neighborhoods Office Parks Downtown Destinations Industrial Parks Shopping Centers Apartment Buildings

TREND DEVELOPMENT (SCENARIO #1)

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• Strong emphasis on infill

development throughout the entire city

• Minimize development
• utside of the existing city

limit

• New mixed use in 8 centers

within the existing urban context

• Minimal new infrastructure ―

roads, water, sewer, schools, parks, etc. ―to serve newly developed areas

• Improved conservation of the

rural landscape (including farms, orchards, and undeveloped desert land) to accommodate new neighborhoods and nonresidential uses

COMPA MPACT CT GROWTH TH CENTER ERS S SCENAR NARIO O THEMES ES & F FEATURES: ES:

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COMPACT GROWTH CENTERS (SCENARIO #2)

Developed Areas in 2018 (Generalized) Undeveloped Areas Protected Open Space Las Cruces City Limits Mesilla City Limits Map Legend Major Roads Future Nonresidential Growth (1 dot = 5,000 SF) Future Residential Growth (1 dot = 1 DU)

SPECIF IFIC IC ASSUMPTIO IONS MADE DE FOR THE SCENARIO IO:

Downt ntow

• wn

n Las Cruc uces Amador

• r Prox
• ximo

Apodac aca a Blueprint Aggi ggie Upto ptown & Arrow

• whe

head Park West st Pi Picacho Plus s others: s: Mesilla illa Valley Mall 33

COMPACT GROWTH CENTERS (SCENARIO #2)

Incr Increase Dens nsities to

• Sup

upport Mor

• re Walkable Env

nvironme ments

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COMPACT GROWTH CENTERS (SCENARIO #2)

Incr Increase Dens nsities to

• Sup

upport Mor

• re Walkable Env

nvironme ments

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COMPACT GROWTH CENTERS (SCENARIO #2)

• More emphasis on infill

development than Trend but less than Compact Centers

• Some development
• utside of the existing

city limit

• New mixed use in 15

centers within and near the existing urban context

• Some new infrastructure

required ― roads, water, sewer, schools, parks,

• etc. ―to serve newly

developed areas

• Improved conservation
• f the rural landscape

(including farms,

• rchards, and

undeveloped desert land) to accommodate new neighborhoods and nonresidential uses

Developed Areas in 2018 (Generalized) Undeveloped Areas Protected Open Space Las Cruces City Limits Mesilla City Limits Map Legend Major Roads Future Nonresidential Growth (1 dot = 5,000 SF) Future Residential Growth (1 dot = 1 DU)

STRA TRATE TEGIC CE CENTE TERS & COR ORRIDORS S SC SCENA ENARIO THEMES ES & F FEATURES: ES:

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STRATEGIC CENTERS & CORRIDORS (SCENARIO #3)

SPECIF IFIC IC ASSUMPTIO IONS MADE DE FOR THE SCENARIO IO:

Pl Plus ot

• thers:

: Ama mador Pr Prox

• ximo

Apod

• daca Bl

Bluep eprint Downtown L Las C Cruces Wes est Pi Picacho Arro rrowhead Park ark & Aggie Uptown wn Urb rban Corri rridors: Sola lano Driv ive Val alley Dri rive Telshor D Drive Avenid ida de Mesilla illa New ew East Mes esa Cen enters: : Lohman n & Sonoma Ranch Roadrunner & & Highway 7 70 Thurmon

• nd & Longview

ew Del R Rey & & Engler Mesquite ite distr tric ict Mesilla illa Valle ley Mall

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STRATEGIC CENTERS & CORRIDORS (SCENARIO #3)

Incr Increase Dens nsities to

• Sup

upport Mor

• re Walkable Env

nvironme ments

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STRATEGIC CENTERS & CORRIDORS (SCENARIO #3)

Incr Increase Dens nsities to

• Sup

upport Mor

• re Walkable Env

nvironme ments

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STRATEGIC CENTERS & CORRIDORS (SCENARIO #3)

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GR GROWT OWTH H SC SCENAR ENARIO COM OMPAR ARISO SON

(1) Trend Development (2) Compact growth Centers (3) Strategic Centers & Corridors

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GR GROWT OWTH H SC SCENAR ENARIO COM OMPAR ARISO SON

Base Line Conditions (1) Trend Development (2) Compact growth Centers (3) Strategic Centers & Corridors (4) CPAC/City Council Workshop

New Residential Development Dwelling Units 16,100 16,100 16,100 16,100 New Nonresidential Development Thousand Square Feet 5,511 5,511 5,511 5,511 Added Development Footprint Acres 9,781 1,953 3,370 ? Natural Area Consumed by Development Acres 6,567 714 2,377 ? New Residential as Multifamily Dwelling Units % 30% 67% 26% ? New Residential near Commercial Centers % 28% 84% 66% ? New Residential with Multiple Travel Options % 26% 89% 70% ? New Residential near Existing Utilities % 63% 100% 92% ? New Residential near Existing Destinations such as Schools, Libraries or Health Services % 17% 79% 60% ? New Residential near Federal Open Space % 20% 5% 14% ?

GROWTH SCENARIO FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS

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FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS Approach Objective Result

Develop and use a fiscal impact analysis model to:

• Measure ongoing revenues and expenditures expected from future

growth

• Estimate the fiscal impacts of alternative growth scenarios

Identify and quantify the costs and tradeoffs associated with each scenario

• Particularly related to employment, housing, and infill/redevelopment

priorities Net fiscal impact of each scenario, measuring the impact of different development approaches

Revenues: $99.37 Million

$74.78 GRT $11.32 Property Taxes $ 6.12 Licenses and Fees $ 7.15 Other Revenues

Expenditures: $95.63 Million

$15.50 Fire & EMS $11.68 Parks & Recreation $25.86 Police $ 9.24 Public Works $10.22 Administration $16.03 Other Gen. Government $ 7.10

• Comm. & Econ. Dev.

GENERAL FUND: EXISTING CONDITIONS (2019)

Does not include enterprise or special revenue funds that are cost recovery or revenue neutral (revenue sources are designed to match expected cost)

NEXUS TO GROWTH FACTORS

Measure Amount Description Peak Person Served (PPS) 117,587 Population plus one-half of commuters to Las Cruces. Single-Family Units 32,866 The total number of single family housing units in Las Cruces. Multifamily Units 13,506 The total number of multifamily units in Las Cruces Total Housing Units 46,372 The total number of housing units in Las Cruces. Total Industrial Space 3,030,590 The total amount of industrial space in Las Cruces. Total Commercial Space 14,840,344 The total amount of commercial space in Las Cruces. Total Parks Acreage 278 The total acreage maintained by Las Cruces Public Works: Lane Mile Miles Maintained 235 Lane miles maintained by the City of Las Cruces Case Study

• A more specific or customized analysis of the expenditures/revenues of a department is performed.

Cost Recovery - Not Estimated

• A function in which fees for a service are set at a level to recover the cost of the service (e.g. building inspections)
• No revenue or expenditure

No Nexus

• No quantifiable nexus to growth

Not Estimated

• Not estimated or deducted from total expenditures

IMPACT ANALYSIS - REVENUES

Gross Receipts Taxes Property Taxes Other Revenue

• Growth in retail spending (based on population growth and spending patterns)
• Growth in other business activity (based on employment growth and associated growth

in taxable gross receipts)

• Growth in property tax revenue (based on scenario development programs and

associated property values)

• Other revenue sources directly related to growth, as applicable (e.g. Gas Tax)
• One-time charges related to development (e.g. impact fees)

IMPACT ANALYSIS - REVENUES

Revenue Source Nexus Factor % Fixed % Variable Gross Receipts Tax Case Study

• Property Taxes

Case Study

• Franchise Fees

Total Housing Units 50% 50% Licenses, Fees & Permits Peak Person Served (PPS) 90% 10% Other Fees & Charges Peak Person Served (PPS) 90% 10% Charges For Services Peak Person Served (PPS) 90% 10% Miscellaneous Revenues Peak Person Served (PPS) 50% 50% Provision for Uncollectible Accounts Not Estimated

• Investment Income

Not Estimated

• Grant Receipts

Not Estimated

• Sale of Property

Not Estimated

• Proceeds from Debt Issuance

Not Estimated

• Total

Gas Tax Case Study

IMPACT ANALYSIS - EXPENDITURES

Police Public Works Other Expenditures

• Increased costs based on additional demand for service (call volume)
• Increased costs based on additional demand for service (geography and call volume)
• Capital and operating associated with any new or expanded station(s) required
• Other expenditures directly related to growth, as applicable

Fire/EMT

• Increased costs based on additional infrastructure (new lane miles)

Parks & Rec

• Increased costs based on additional infrastructure (new parks)

IMPACT ANALYSIS - EXPENDITURES

Capital costs and Operating costs are funded differently

Expenditure Nexus Factor % Fixed % Variable Administration1 Peak Person Served (PPS) 90% 10% Other General Government2 Peak Person Served (PPS) 90% 10% Community & Economic Development3 Peak Person Served (PPS) 75% 25% Fire & Emergency Services Peak Person Served (PPS) 10% 90% Parks & Recreation Total Parks & OS Acreage 10% 90% Police Peak Person Served (PPS) 10% 90% Public Works Public Works: Lane Mile Miles Maintained 10% 90% Total

• Residential

What is the net impact per residential unit, by type?

• Commercial

What is the net impact per commercial square foot, by type?

NET FISCAL IMPACT

Net fiscal impact figures are used to compare alternative growth scenarios relative to each other

REVENUES

Police 2019 General Fund Budget: $25.86 million

• $220 per Peak Person Served

Fire 2019 General Fund Budget: $15.50 million

• $132 per Peak Person Served

Parks & Recreation 2019 General Fund Budget: $11.68 million

• $42,013 per park acre (278 total acres)

Public Works 2019 General Fund Budget: $9.24 million

• $39,335 per lane mile (235 lane miles)

Property Taxes 2019 General Fund: $11.32 million

• Residential Mill Levy: 0.004732
• 69% of taxable value
• 67% of tax revenue
• Non-Residential Mill Levy:

0.005120

• 31% of taxable value
• 33% of tax revenue

Gross Receipts Taxes (GRT) 2019 General Fund Budget: $74.78 million

• Retail (households)
• 32% of tax revenue
• Other Sectors (commercial)
• 68% of tax revenue

Franchise Fees 2019 General Fund Budget: $3.97 million

• $86 per housing unit (46,372 total

units) General Fund (Other) 2019 General Fund Budget: $9.29 million

EXPENDITURES

Other Revenue Sources Gas Tax Impact Fees

• Public Safety
• Parks
• Utilities

General Fund (Other) 2019 General Fund Budget: $33.35 million

Peak Persons Served Population (101,706) + ½ Non-Resident Workforce (15,881) = 117,587 Housing and commercial growth will increase tax revenue and fee revenue through new development and increased spending Housing and commercial growth will require additional service, increasing department expenditures. The magnitude of increase depends

• n new

infrastructure required Balance of increased revenue and increased expenditure is the Net Fiscal Impact of growth

NET FISCAL IMPACT

GROWTH SCENARIO EXERCISE

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Chipset Envelope Work Map Pens Scissors Resource Maps Place Type Summary

DEVELOPMENT CHIP GAME

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TA TABLE MA MATE TERIA IALS

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Particip ipant nt Guid uide Place e Type e Summar aries es

TA TABLE MA MATE TERIA IALS

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Corridor Commercial Conservation Neighborhood Rural Neighborhood Suburban Neighborhood Urban Neighborhood Mixed-Use Neighborhood Center Regional Commercial Business Park & Industrial Urban Corridor Downtown Mixed-Use Town Center Neighborhoods Commerce & Industry Commerce & Industry Mixed-Use Centers

GAM GAME E PIEC ECE E INVENT NVENTOR ORY

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Areas that Should be “Off the Table” for Future Development Areas that Should be Targeted for Future Development New or Improved Roads New or Improved Transit Service New or Improved Parks & Greenways

MARKER ER INVENT NTORY ORY

CH CHIP IP PA PACK CKETS TS

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53 Chips 33 Chips Tre rend Dev evel elopment

Decentralized Growth

Compac act Center ers

Infill & Redevelopment Focus

Stra rategic c Centers s & Corri rridors rs

Compact Growth in a Mix of Corridors and Centers

33 Chips

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REPORTING TING RESUL ULTS TS

SC SCHED HEDULE

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Set Vision & Establish Guiding Principals 10 min Select Starting Development Scenario 5 min Decide Where to Grow 10 min Draw New Infrastructure 15 min Arrange Stickers on Map 40 min Group Presentations 10 min

Srijan ana a Basnyat, at, AICP, CNU-A – Project Manager sbasnyat@las-cruces.org (57 575) 5) 52 528-307 079 Domi

• minic

c Loya

• ya – Planner

dloya@las-cruces.org (575) 528-3271

CONTACT

STAY AY INF NFORMED AT AT:

WWW.EL ELEVA EVATEL ELAS ASCRUCES ES.COM OM WWW.ES ESPANOL ANOL.EL ELEV EVAT ATEL ELASCRUCES ES.COM OM

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