Community Congress Open House: Comparing Alternative Scenarios for - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Community Congress Open House: Comparing Alternative Scenarios for - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

tow ards a m ore sustainable Buffalo Niagara Community Congress Open House: Comparing Alternative Scenarios for the Future of Buffalo Niagara Where are We in the Process? A Good Place Community Mapping Our Weighs In Future to Start 2013


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tow ards a m ore sustainable Buffalo Niagara

Community Congress Open House: Comparing Alternative Scenarios for the Future of Buffalo Niagara

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A Good Place to Start Community Weighs In Mapping Our Future

Where are We in the Process?

2012 2013 2014

160+

plans from across Erie and Niagara Counties are reviewed and analyzed

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Regional Vision & Values developed from our 160 plans and community feedback

115

Citizen-created maps that put our Regional Vision & Values into action

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Moving One Region Forward Together

?

What do we want

  • ur region to look

like in 40 years? What are the moves we need to make to get us there?

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What if the region were to grow, but we kept doing what we’ve been doing…

Business as Usual Scenario

Projecting out trends from the past 25 years

new homes would go on previously undeveloped land

2 out of 3

would intensify in central cities and spread even further

  • utward

ABANDONMENT

to transit will make it tougher for people to get around

LIMITED ACCESS

lane miles of new roads to build and maintain

1,553

1 out of 3

new jobs would go in new

  • ffices on undeveloped, open

land across the region.

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What if we keep doing what we’ve been doing…

Business as Usual Scenario

Projecting out trends from the past 25 years New homes built New jobs Homes left abandoned Existing Urbanized Area

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What if our region stopped sprawling?

What if we reinvested more in our existing communities?

What if our region was better connected?

What if we protected more of our farmland?

Scenario Planning

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27 Workshops 115 Maps 770 Participants

Citizens attended Community Congress Workshops and Workshops On The Road to share their vision.

4 Months

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Turning Maps into Data

115

Citizen-created Maps

1,000+

Hours spent digitizing + analyzing each map

Collection Transcription Analysis

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Alternative Scenarios turn values into action

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Common values across the maps

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What Are Our Common Values?

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Grow Where We’ve Already Grown

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Build Walkable, Livable Communities

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Connect Our Region by Expanding Transportation Options

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Protect Farmland, Parks, and Natural Areas

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Alternative Scenarios for the Future

Sprawling Smarter A Region of Villages Back to the City

40 maps 31 maps 44 maps

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The four scenarios aren’t either-or choices

What do these alternative scenarios mean for...

…our economy? …our communities? …our environment? …our citizens?

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The three citizen-created scenarios are very different from “Business as Usual”

They each:

  • Focus housing in the already urbanized area
  • Concentrate jobs in the already urbanized area
  • Envision downtowns as denser and more lively
  • Protect more farmland from development
  • Propose greater investment in transit

Moving Beyond “Business-As-Usual”

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What if we slowed down sprawl and concentrated new development in compact, walkable communities…

Sprawling Smarter

  • f new jobs

would go in areas that are

79%

already built up

new homes would go on previously undeveloped land

1 out of 3

would slow, but still affect urban and inner ring suburban neighborhoods.

ABANDONMENT

new homes would be built in mixed-use, walkable communities

7 out of 10

  • f all jobs

would be

inaccessible via transit

60%

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New homes built New jobs Homes left abandoned What if we slowed down sprawl and concentrated new development in compact, walkable communities…

Sprawling Smarter

Existing Urbanized Area

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A Region of Villages

would become the new norm across the region

WALKABILITY

What if we began to invest heavily into our city, town, and village centers…

  • f new jobs

would go in areas that are

92%

already built up

  • f new homes

would go in areas that are

86%

already built up

  • f all jobs would be

accessible by transit

Over half

  • f open space

would be preserved

84%

from development

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New homes built New jobs Homes left abandoned What if we began to invest heavily into our city, town, and village centers…

A Region of Villages

Existing Urbanized Area

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Back to the City

  • f new jobs

would go in areas that are

96%

already built up

compared to business-as-usual

ABANDONMENT

What if our cities became the primary driver of our region’s growth and development…

new homes would go on previously undeveloped land

1 out of 10

jobs would be brought back

21,700

to former industrial sites

new homes would be built in mixed-use, walkable communities

8 out of 10

75% DECREASE IN

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New homes built New jobs Homes left abandoned What if our cities became the primary driver of our region’s growth and development…

Back to the City

Existing Urbanized Area

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New homes built New jobs Homes left abandoned

What do we want our region to look like in 40 years?

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It doesn’t tell the future, but it helps us imagine it.

Measuring the Impacts of Each Scenario

Open source software Calculates impacts

  • f development

scenarios Uses local data

Envision Tomorrow

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  • Development outside urbanized area
  • Impervious surfaces
  • Jobs on former industrial sites
  • Number of abandoned homes
  • Jobs accessible via transit
  • Type of homes built
  • Miles of new roads built
  • Local gov’t debt to income ratio
  • New connections via transit
  • Number of miles driven per day
  • Homes built on sensitive areas
  • Acres of farmland protected
  • Acres of open space protected

Indicators to let us know we’re on the right path:

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Measuring Our Values

Growth on Undeveloped vs. Developed Land

I think ALL new growth should be on land we’ve already developed I think ALL new growth should be on undeveloped, greenfield land I think new growth should be on BOTH undeveloped land and land we’ve already developed

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Measuring Our Values

New Development as Single-Use and Dispersed vs. Mixed-use and Compact

I think ALL new development should be walkable and mixed-use in form I think ALL new development should be single-use and spread out in form I think new development should be a mix of BOTH single-use and spread out and mixed use and more compact

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Measuring Our Values

A land use pattern that is automobile oriented vs. transit

  • riented

I think ALL NEW investments should be transit-oriented. I think transit access should not be considered when citing new development I think transit access should be considered in development decisions, but not the only consideration.

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Measuring Our Values

Development of farmland/

  • pen space vs. preservation and

enhancement of farmland/open space

I think we should preserve and enhance ALL the farmland and open space in

  • ur region

I think we should open up all

  • ur farmland and open space

for future development I think we should preserve and enhance SOME of our farmland and open space while opening up SOME for development

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More compact, walkable traditional neighborhoods A region that’s better connected via transit

What are the moves we need to make to get us there?

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Residential Rehab

Moves to Make it Happen: Rehab Development

Large Scale Adaptive Reuse “Main Street” Commercial Rehab

Remington Lofts, North Tonawanda Winter Street, Buffalo NY Arts Café, Springville

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What Moves Do We Value?

I think we should renovate NONE of our…

large underutilized and vacant buildings

I think we should renovate ALL of our…

underutilized and vacant neighborhood homes village and town Main St. commercial buildings

I think we should renovate SOME of our…

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Downtown Infill Neighborhood Infill “Main Street” Infill

Moves to Make it Happen: Infill Development

HarborCenter, Downtown Buffalo Hudson Street, Buffalo Delaware Avenue, Kenmore

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What Moves Do We Value?

I think we should build

  • n NONE of our…

Downtown vacant parcels and surface parking lots

I think we should build on ALL of our…

vacant neighborhood parcels village and town Main St. vacant parcels and surface parking lots

I think we should build

  • n SOME of our…
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Moves to Make it Happen: Transit-Oriented Development

Large-scale Urban TOD

UB Medical School, Buffalo

Village Main Street TOD Neighborhood TOD

Bus Rapid Transit, Indianapolis Transit Center, Manteca, CA

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What Moves Do We Value?

I think “transit oriented development” should NOT be a priority for how we develop…

around the existing METRO line neighborhoods village centers and suburban strips

I think “transit oriented development” should be THE #1 priority for how we develop… I think “transit oriented development” should be a lower priority…

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What Moves Do We Value?

I think we should retrofit NONE of our…

Big box suburban strip areas Smaller scale suburban plazas Suburban homes and neighborhoods

I think we should retrofit ALL of our… I think we should retrofit SOME of our…

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Moves to Make it Happen: Creating New Places

Suburban employment centers and strip areas

Quaker Medical Building, Orchard Park

New Mixed Use Town Centers

Town Center, Glendale CA

New Suburban residential

Residential Neighborhood, Lancaster

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What Moves Do We Value?

Mixed use town centers Suburban employment centers Suburban homes and neighborhoods

I think creating new places should NOT be a priority for how we develop… I think creating new places should be THE #1 priority for how we develop… I think creating new places should be a lower priority for how we develop…

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Moving One Region Forward Together

?

What do we want

  • ur region to look

like in 40 years? What are the moves we need to make to get us there?

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Let’s Get to Work!

Learn more about the impacts of each scenario on the future of our region.

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Tell us what you think…

Using your feedback sheet, weigh in on the indicators and moves that will ultimately guide a new way to move our region forward.

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Before you leave…

Pick up a copy of the Executive Summary of the first draft of the 1RF Report outlining recommendations suggested to date…

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Share it Forward!

Tell your family, friends, and colleagues to weigh in online. Request a “Scenario” Presentation for your community or

  • rganization.