Climatology Earths breath, from years to centuries Variability, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

climatology earth s breath from years to centuries
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Climatology Earths breath, from years to centuries Variability, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Climatology Earths breath, from years to centuries Variability, why? Central England Temperature Low Solar Activity Tambora Pinatubo Variability in Earths mean temp, where? Complexity, same MET methodology?


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Climatology

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Earth’s breath, from years to centuries

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Low Solar Activity Tambora Pinatubo Central England Temperature

Variability, why?

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Variability in Earth’s mean temp, where?

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Complexity, same MET methodology?

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Complexity, multidisciplinary approach?

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Predictability, water cycle, carbon cycle, solar cycles... Cycles

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Predictability, predict what?

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Global costs of extreme weather events

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Richardson’s Forecast Factory: 64000 human computers!

Climatology is not only a matter

  • f heavy computing
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Vegetation Index

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Space Weather

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ESA

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Space Weather Space Situational Awareness

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Coronal Mass Ejection

A Coronal Mass Ejection, or CME, is a large burst of coronal material ejected away from the Sun, often at speeds up to 1000 km/s and in extremely more than 2000 km/s.

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FLARE

A solar flare is seen as a sudden variation of brightness across the electromagnetic spectrum, including X-ray wavelengths.

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Radiation

Electrons and Protons traveling to Earth, reaching it usually in hours, but rarely in only 15-20 minutes by near-relativistic velocities.

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Ionosphere Magnetosphere Electromagnetic Radiation Energetic Charged Particles

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Auroras

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Forecast the Sun

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Forecast the Sun

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Space Weather Events Synopsis

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Terrestrial Magnetic Field

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SOLAR ¡ RADIO ¡ BURSTS ¡ UHF ¡ SATCOM ¡ SHF ¡ SATCOM ¡ EHF ¡ SATCOM ¡ RADAR ¡ MICROWAVE ¡ LOS ¡ Wide ¡Area ¡ Augmenta=on ¡ System ¡ GLOBAL ¡ POSITIONING ¡ SYSTEM ¡ SATELLITE ¡ OPERATIONS ¡ (TT&C) ¡

Radio Blackout

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Total Electron Content (TEC)

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Solar Radiation Storm

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Geomagnetic Storm

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Prediction is difficult, especially about the future Niels Bohr

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  • Grazie. ¡

¡

Daniele Biron Aeronautica Militare – Italian Air Force Centro Nazionale di Meteorologia e Climatologia Aeronautica biron@meteoam.it