Climate Health Poverty The Elephant IPCC 2014 climate change is - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

climate health poverty the elephant
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Climate Health Poverty The Elephant IPCC 2014 climate change is - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Climate Health Poverty The Elephant IPCC 2014 climate change is unequivocal more than half of the observed increases in globally averaged temperatures from 1951 2010 is extremely likely due to the observed increase in


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SLIDE 1

Climate Poverty Health

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SLIDE 2

The Elephant

IPCC 2014 “climate change is unequivocal”

“more than half of the observed increases in globally averaged temperatures from 1951 – 2010 is extremely likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentraCons”

@HPAP_Ontario

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The Elephant

97% consensus among climate scienCsts

  • nly 2% of Canadians do not think climate

change is occurring

@HPAP_Ontario IPAC CO2 Research, 2012 NASA, 2015

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The Vitals

2°C 350ppm 0.75°C 401ppm

@HPAP_Ontario

1/3

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SLIDE 5

Climate change is an environmental issue: Is it a health issue?

@HPAP_Ontario

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The Impact

150,000 deaths over last 20 years 250,000 deaths per year by 2030

@HPAP_Ontario

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Climate = Health

direct effects é frequency & intensity of floods, droughts, storms é intensity of heat-waves indirect effects é range of insects -> é insect-spread diseases êcrop yields -> émalnutriCon édisplacement, migraCon, conflict

@HPAP_Ontario

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SLIDE 8

Local Effects: Lyme Disease

OMHLTC, 2015

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Lyme Disease

@HPAP_Ontario Ogden, 2006

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Heat Waves

@HPAP_Ontario

at risk: urban, elderly, isolated, no A/C heart and lung disease Toronto Medical Officer of Health, 2014 triple the days with temperatures >30°C by 2050 Europe 2010: 11,000 deaths in Moscow alone

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Northern CommuniCes

@HPAP_Ontario

decreased access to country food items decreased food security erosion of social and cultural values associated with country foods preparaCon, sharing, and consumpCon increased permafrost melCng challenges to housing and transportaCon

Furgal, 2006

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SLIDE 12

@HPAP_Ontario

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Global Impact

@HPAP_Ontario

malnutriCon 1 billion people at risk 4 million child & maternal deaths per year increase by 25% by 2050 mosquito-transmided diseases dengue: addiConal 2 billion people at risk by 2080 malaria: spreading to higher elevaCons

WHO, 2006 Hales, 2002

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Global Impact: Conflict, Displacement

@HPAP_Ontario

  • 2003: agriculture = 25% of Syria’s GDP, self-sufficient of

wheat

  • severe drought 2006 – 2011 (worst on record)*

– crop failures, livestock herds lost – importaCon of wheat, foodstuffs – cost of wheat, rice, and feed prices doubled in a year

  • mass migraCon rural -> urban, civil unrest

*2 - 3 Cmes more likely than by natural variability alone

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Response from Health Providers

@HPAP_Ontario

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Response from Health Providers

@HPAP_Ontario

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Response from Health Providers

@HPAP_Ontario