Chemicals & Petrochemicals Manufacturers Association 708, 7 th - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Chemicals & Petrochemicals Manufacturers Association 708, 7 th - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Chemicals & Petrochemicals Manufacturers Association 708, 7 th Floor, Kailash Building, 26, Kasturba Gandhi Marg, New Delhi 110001, INDIA Phone: 91-11-43598337, Fax: 91-11-43598337 Email: cpmai@airtelmail.in Website: www.cpmaindia.com


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Chemicals & Petrochemicals Manufacturers’ Association

708, 7th Floor, Kailash Building, 26, Kasturba Gandhi Marg, New Delhi – 110001, INDIA Phone: 91-11-43598337, Fax: 91-11-43598337 Email: cpmai@airtelmail.in Website: www.cpmaindia.com

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Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 2

Review : Polyolefins Sector

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Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 3

Expected to register a healthy growth of 5.3% and 7%+ in 2018-19 and next two fiscals

Polyolefins demand grew at a robust growth of 10.6% in 2017-18

7,32 8,59 9,08 10,04 2014-15 A 2015-16 A 2016-17 A 2017-18 A

MMT

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Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 4

Demand of Polyolefins in 2017-18

PE & PP demand grew at 11.2% and 9.4% respectively in 2017-18; expected to witness an average growth of 5.6% and 7.8% respectively in next three years

3,67 4,25 4,59 5,11 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18

LLDPE+HDPE+LDPE

3,51 4,19 4,35 4,76 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18

Polypropylene

MMT MMT

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Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 5

Polyolefin consumption is dominated by Lin PE & PP demand LDPE+ EVA 4%

LLD/HD 42%

PP 54%

Polyolefin Production – 8.5 MMT Polyolefin Demand – 10.0 MMT

Polyolefin production increased 15% in 2017-18

LDPE +EVA 8%

LLD/HD 44%

PP 47%

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Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 6

Outlook : Polyolefins Sector

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Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 7

Expected to register a healthy growth of 5.3%, 7.1% and 7.4% in 2018-19 and 2019-20 and 2020-21 respectively

Polyolefins demand grew at a robust growth of 10.6% in 2017-18

7,32 8,59 9,08 10,04 10,57 11,33 12,16 2014-15 A 2015-16 A 2016-17 A2017-18 A 2018-19 E 2019-20 E 2020-21 E

MMT

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Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 8

Demand of Polyolefins in 2017-18

PE & PP demand grew at 8% and 4% respectively in 2016-17; expected to grow at 10% on an average respectively in next two years

3,67 4,25 4,59 4,91 5,64 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18E 2018-19E

LLDPE+HDPE+LDPE

3,51 4,19 4,33 4,82 5,25 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18E 2018-19E

Polypropylene

MMT MMT

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Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 9

Lin PE and PP demand growth expected to rise further in next three years

PE & PP Demand Trend

0,8 0,9 0,9 1,0 1,0 3,9 4,4 4,5 4,8 5,2 4,3 4,8 5,1 5,5 6,0 2016-17 A 2017-18 A 2018-19 E 2019-20 E 2020-21 E

LDPE+EVA Lin PE PP

MMT

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Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 10

LLD + HDPE net trade deficit to reduce by 2020-21 and PP would turn to be surplus

Polyolefins net trade deficit till 2020-21

  • 0,47
  • 0,63
  • 0,64
  • 0,61
  • 0,33
  • 0,34
  • 0,36
  • 1,14
  • 1,07
  • 1,07
  • 0,80
  • 0,06

0,02

  • 0,19

0,21 0,15

  • 0,06
  • 0,18
  • 0,08

0,30 0,15 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 E 2019-20 E 2020-21 E

LDPE+EVA LLD+HDPE PP

MMT

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Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 11

Healthy demand growth is expected for polyolefins in next three years after witnessing a staggering growth of 11% in 2017-18

Projected demand for Polyolefins in India

(KTA) Actual Projected % change Y-0-Y

2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21

LDPE+EVA 821 843 921 945 977 1012 3% 9% 3% 3% 4% LLDPE 1542 1655 1916 2105 2256 2430 7% 16% 10% 7% 8% HDPE 2038 2239 2452 2440 2577 2770 10% 9% 0% 6% 7% PP 4186 4346 4756 5082 5517 5950 4% 9% 7% 9% 8%

Polyolefins

8587 9083 10044 10572 11327 12162 6% 11% 5% 7% 7%

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Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 12

PP import dependency to reduce by 2020-21

PE import dependency to reduce by 2020-21

40% 44% 50% 74% 76% 77% 71% 65% 21% 21% 22% 28% 32% 33% 37% 28% 8% 7% 13% 15% 14% 13% 15% 12%

2020-21 E 2019-20 E 2018-19 E 2017-18 2016-17 2015-16 2014-15 2013-14 Figs in %

LDPE+EVA LLD+HDPE PP