Chemicals & Petrochemicals Manufacturers Association 708, 7 th - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Chemicals & Petrochemicals Manufacturers Association 708, 7 th - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Chemicals & Petrochemicals Manufacturers Association 708, 7 th Floor, Kailash Building, 26, Kasturba Gandhi Marg, New Delhi 110001, INDIA Phone: 91-11-43598337, Fax: 91-11-43598337 1 Email: cpmai@airtelmail.in Website:


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Chemicals & Petrochemicals Manufacturers’ Association

708, 7th Floor, Kailash Building, 26, Kasturba Gandhi Marg, New Delhi – 110001, INDIA Phone: 91-11-43598337, Fax: 91-11-43598337 Email: cpmai@airtelmail.in Website: www.cpmaindia.com

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Elastomers - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2018, CPMA, India 2

Review : Elastomers

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Elastomers - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 3 kT

348 411 474 513 539 569 583 599 100 200 300 400 500 600

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18

Elastomers demand grew at 3% in 2017-18

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Elastomers - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 4

Demand for PBR to witness healthy growth in next three years around 5% while SBR is expected to grow at ~1% in the same period

187 195 205 215

25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225

2017-18 A 2018-19 E 2019-20 E 2020-21 E

PBR

313 316 319 321

50 100 150 200 250 300 350

2017-18 A 2018-19 E 2019-20 E 2020-21 E

SBR

kT

PBR demand increased by 4.1%; SBR by 1% in 2017-18

kT

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Elastomers - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 5

SBR deficit stood at 23 kT in 2017-18; expected to be around 51 kT by 2020-21; While PBR deficit stood at 63 kT in 2017-18 and expected to touch 85 kT by 2020-21

kT

Elastomers imports stood at 277 kT in 2017-18

  • 63
  • 71
  • 81
  • 85
  • 23
  • 26
  • 49
  • 51
  • 34
  • 37
  • 39
  • 31
  • 45
  • 48
  • 50
  • 53

2017-18 A 2018-19 E 2019-20 E 2020-21 E

PBR SBR NBR EPDM

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Elastomers - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2018, CPMA, India 6

Outlook : Elastomers

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Elastomers - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 7

Elastomers demand to register growth rate around 3% in next three fiscal years

4,1% 4,3% 5,1% 4,9% 1,0% 1,0% 0,8% 0,6% 9,2% 4,7% 3,5% 3,4% 2,4% 5,6% 5,3% 6,0%

0% 5% 10% 2017-18 A 2018-19 E 2019-20 E 2020-21 E

PBR SBR NBR EPDM

Outlook for 2018-19 till 2020-21

Figs in %

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Elastomers - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India 8

SBR to witness low import dependency in three two years; while NBR to see a fall by 2020-21

Elastomers import dependency in 2017-18

100% 100% 100% 100% 59% 66% 68% 67% 37% 37% 37% 38% 42% 41% 43% 42% 2020-21 E 2019-20 E 2018-19 E 2017-18 A

PBR SBR NBR EPDM Figs in %