Chemicals & Petrochemicals Manufacturers’ Association 708, 7 th Floor, Kailash Building, 26, Kasturba Gandhi Marg, New Delhi – 110001, INDIA Phone: 91-11-43598337, Fax: 91-11-43598337 1 Email: cpmai@airtelmail.in Website: www.cpmaindia.com
Review : Elastomers 2 Elastomers - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2018, CPMA, India
Elastomers demand grew at 3% in 2017-18 599 583 600 kT 569 539 513 500 474 411 400 348 300 200 100 0 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 3 Elastomers - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
PBR demand increased by 4.1%; SBR by 1% in 2017-18 SBR PBR kT 215 225 kT 350 321 205 319 316 313 195 200 187 300 175 250 150 200 125 100 150 75 100 50 50 25 0 0 2017-18 A 2018-19 E 2019-20 E 2020-21 E 2017-18 A 2018-19 E 2019-20 E 2020-21 E Demand for PBR to witness healthy growth in next three years around 5% while SBR is expected to grow at ~1% in the same period 4 Elastomers - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
Elastomers imports stood at 277 kT in 2017-18 PBR SBR NBR EPDM kT -26 -23 -31 -34 -37 -39 -45 -48 -49 -50 -51 -53 -63 -71 -81 -85 2017-18 A 2018-19 E 2019-20 E 2020-21 E SBR deficit stood at 23 kT in 2017-18; expected to be around 51 kT by 2020-21; While PBR deficit stood at 63 kT in 2017-18 and expected to touch 85 kT by 2020-21 5 Elastomers - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
Outlook : Elastomers 6 Elastomers - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2018, CPMA, India
Outlook for 2018-19 till 2020-21 Figs in % 10% 9,2% PBR SBR NBR EPDM 6,0% 5,6% 5,3% 5,1% 4,9% 5% 4,7% 4,3% 4,1% 3,5% 3,4% 2,4% 1,0% 0,8% 1,0% 0,6% 0% 2017-18 A 2018-19 E 2019-20 E 2020-21 E Elastomers demand to register growth rate around 3% in next three fiscal years 7 Elastomers - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
Elastomers import dependency in 2017-18 Figs in % 42% 38% 2017-18 A 67% 100% PBR 43% 37% 2018-19 E 68% SBR 100% NBR 41% 37% 2019-20 E 66% EPDM 100% 42% 37% 2020-21 E 59% 100% SBR to witness low import dependency in three two years; while NBR to see a fall by 2020-21 8 Elastomers - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
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